Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 24 January 2009 at 22:05:36 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 January 2009, Liverpool vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         21   47  +24      84.02     5.46    43.99    54.24    81.53    95.40    99.03   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       22   47  +22      79.16     5.46    37.79    17.96    45.80    82.50    95.22    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         22   45  +29      80.49     5.16    50.85    25.72    62.85    88.96    97.37    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     22   44  +13      71.20     5.84    21.63     1.57     6.89    21.57    62.49    97.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         22   41  +13      68.43     5.76    21.98     0.51     2.86    10.95    39.84    95.43     0.00     0.00  
Everton         22   36   +4      59.76     5.94     6.72     0.00     0.06     0.55     4.93    59.95     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           22   31   +2      53.23     5.82     2.89     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.52    16.38     0.09R    0.00  
West_Ham        22   29   -2      49.04     5.84    -5.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     5.28     1.25R    0.11  
Hull            22   27  -13      45.52     5.71   -19.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.06     6.21R    0.91  
Fulham          20   26   +2      49.72     6.26     1.67     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.19     7.86     1.16R    0.14  
Man_City        21   25   +9      52.02     6.05    15.09     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.31    14.12     0.48R    0.06  
Portsmouth      21   24  -12      41.23     5.89   -21.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36    20.68R    5.04  
Bolton          22   23   -8      43.78     5.96    -9.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.89     9.49R    1.85  
Newcastle       22   23   -9      40.43     5.65   -17.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17    22.13R    5.32  
Sunderland      22   23   -9      39.61     5.62   -17.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15    26.28R    6.32  
Tottenham       22   21   -6      39.43     5.76   -11.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    26.37R    7.37  
Blackburn       21   21  -11      38.29     5.81   -22.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    36.29R   11.99  
Middlesbrough   22   21  -15      34.65     5.22   -27.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.18R   29.03  
Stoke           22   21  -16      38.90     5.90   -22.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15    33.25R   10.49  
West_Brom       22   21  -17      36.07     5.55   -27.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    53.13R   21.37  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 January 2009, Blackpool vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    28   59  +22      93.19     6.03    38.67    54.51    87.60    99.84    90.58P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          28   54  +31      90.98     5.84    50.96    39.55    81.68    99.74    88.40P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       28   52   +9      81.96     6.31    16.73     3.98    16.58    89.41    33.72P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        28   47  +15      77.26     6.14    23.12     0.60     4.83    72.69    24.99P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          28   47   +7      74.44     6.28    10.95     0.27     2.02    52.95    12.18P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          27   45  +11      77.65     6.50    20.68     0.97     5.89    73.06    23.58P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          28   43   +2      69.65     6.42     4.95     0.03     0.39    24.68     4.93P    0.01R    0.00  
QPR              28   42   +1      65.69     6.16     0.13     0.00     0.05     9.47     1.96P    0.03R    0.00  
Swansea          28   41   +7      70.89     6.29    14.85     0.02     0.45    33.23     8.64P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   27   40   +7      68.71     6.65    10.97     0.04     0.38    22.90     5.59P    0.02R    0.00  
Ipswich          28   39  +10      67.11     6.15    15.09     0.01     0.12    15.40     4.17P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        28   38   -9      57.88     6.07   -16.27     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.11P    1.61R    0.02  
Coventry         28   37   -1      60.14     6.28    -3.10     0.00     0.00     1.97     0.42P    0.62R    0.02  
Bristol_City     27   35   -2      61.14     6.42    -1.81     0.00     0.01     2.74     0.50P    0.54R    0.01  
Blackpool        28   34   -6      57.21     6.16    -8.03     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.11P    2.28R    0.07  
Plymouth         27   33   -4      56.16     6.43    -7.98     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.09P    3.19R    0.12  
Barnsley         28   32   -9      51.71     6.02   -16.37     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   11.30R    0.71  
Nottm_Forest     28   30   -8      49.90     5.98   -15.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    17.61R    1.16  
Norwich          28   29   -7      50.92     6.19   -12.16     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   14.28R    1.23  
Derby            27   29  -11      50.31     6.34   -18.29     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   18.83R    1.75  
Watford          28   27  -12      49.61     6.24   -16.54     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   21.14R    2.12  
Doncaster        27   27  -13      45.29     5.96   -23.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.60R    7.04  
Southampton      28   26  -18      42.51     5.80   -30.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.91R   16.61  
Charlton         28   19  -22      35.63     5.73   -37.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.02R   69.15  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 January 2009, Bristol_Rovers vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        26   60  +31     101.14     6.39    53.55    84.34    96.43    99.96    97.63P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          26   51  +24      90.15     6.60    43.19    11.62    61.42    97.60    73.41P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           27   48  +13      79.44     6.58    21.68     0.46     6.44    68.36    21.63P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     26   47  +14      82.50     6.74    27.55     1.44    13.30    82.26    31.60P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       26   47  +13      79.37     6.91    20.97     0.57     6.96    66.41    20.44P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         24   47   +8      81.46     7.44    14.42     1.41    12.18    73.81    25.77P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            26   42  +10      74.26     6.91    17.58     0.07     1.48    38.33    10.49P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        26   41  +10      73.04     6.69    17.13     0.06     0.91    31.39     9.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         25   40   +6      71.56     7.21    10.01     0.04     0.75    24.25     6.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield     27   40   -3      66.20     6.62    -3.17     0.00     0.08     6.20     1.18P    0.06R    0.00  
Colchester       26   36   +1      64.36     6.88     2.13     0.00     0.03     4.70     1.02P    0.20R    0.00  
Northampton      26   33   +3      60.33     6.86     2.65     0.00     0.01     1.49     0.39P    0.89R    0.01  
Walsall          25   32   -2      60.55     7.09    -2.59     0.00     0.00     1.77     0.39P    1.11R    0.02  
Hartlepool       25   32   -3      59.57     7.15    -5.73     0.00     0.00     1.13     0.22P    1.99R    0.02  
Carlisle         26   31   -7      57.74     7.01    -8.81     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.11P    3.11R    0.06  
Southend         26   31  -11      53.61     6.72   -19.22     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    9.05R    0.21  
Bristol_Rovers   25   30   +3      60.27     7.19     4.79     0.00     0.01     1.73     0.40P    1.29R    0.03  
Yeovil           26   27  -13      48.62     6.55   -21.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   27.66R    1.69  
Swindon          25   24   -9      49.13     6.87   -16.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   24.75R    1.92  
Brighton         25   24   -9      48.11     6.88   -16.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   29.57R    2.29  
Leyton_Orient    27   23  -16      42.19     6.09   -25.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.18R   11.36  
Hereford         25   21  -14      42.62     6.75   -24.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.09R   11.95  
Cheltenham       25   21  -25      37.92     6.21   -48.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.03R   36.55  
Crewe            25   19  -24      38.15     6.46   -42.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.00R   33.90  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 January 2009, Accrington_Stanley vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe              26   49  +16      84.59     6.64    28.10    37.28    71.54    96.19    78.34P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            25   43  +12      78.57     6.91    22.21    11.01    37.11    81.65    49.06P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 27   43  +10      74.11     6.56    17.99     2.66    15.55    61.36    26.55P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           26   43   +3      70.91     6.91     4.00     1.24     7.71    39.71    12.82P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            26   42  +22      79.85     6.64    39.28    15.86    48.55    88.16    60.47P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           26   42  +19      79.68     6.49    34.57    13.91    46.24    88.00    60.36P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             26   42  +13      74.62     6.92    21.44     4.24    19.32    64.18    29.48P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           25   41  +17      78.17     7.01    30.26    11.09    37.29    80.99    49.45P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               26   40   +4      69.43     6.73     7.47     0.71     4.76    31.99    10.08P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             25   39   +9      71.66     7.17    15.19     1.89    10.57    46.60    18.11P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            25   36   -3      61.79     6.90    -8.45     0.03     0.48     6.45     1.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         26   33   +2      61.44     6.88     3.69     0.03     0.42     6.20     1.74P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County         27   32   -7      54.87     6.38   -12.34     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.08P    0.09R    0.01  
Chesterfield         25   31   +3      60.85     7.15     4.65     0.03     0.45     6.33     1.67P    0.02R    0.00  
Macclesfield         25   31  -16      52.55     6.63   -29.91     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.05P    0.37R    0.01  
Morecambe            25   28   -9      52.23     6.76   -15.99     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.03P    0.42R    0.04  
Port_Vale            26   27  -17      46.32     6.46   -30.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    3.87R    0.41  
Chester              26   25  -15      45.54     6.47   -26.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     4.76R    0.44  
Accrington_Stanley   25   24  -11      46.96     6.79   -19.84     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    3.06R    0.32  
Rotherham            25   23   +5      54.75     7.17     9.79     0.00     0.02     1.06     0.33P    0.25R    0.02  
Barnet               26   21  -22      40.27     6.39   -36.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.11R    3.89  
Grimsby              25   20  -19      39.58     6.50   -34.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.22R    4.48  
Bournemouth          26   10   -9      34.39     6.78   -13.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.75R   17.49  
Luton                26    1   -7      25.87     6.87   -11.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.07R   72.88  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 January 2009, Barrow vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        29   65  +24      94.20     6.04    33.44    60.38    99.09    69.15P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               25   51  +17      87.70     7.07    29.52    19.91    89.95    36.28P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            30   47   +7      69.56     5.87     7.68     0.01     7.71     1.37P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         28   46  +16      74.85     6.29    22.64     0.32    30.98     8.34P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              26   46  +14      81.36     6.84    26.04     4.29    68.74    20.83P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        28   46  +10      75.75     6.25    17.67     0.38    33.95     8.43P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        27   46   +9      75.57     6.64    14.27     0.57    32.83     7.23P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              25   45  +19      85.49     6.83    38.42    13.02    86.52    35.44P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           29   45   +5      69.69     6.03     7.29     0.02     8.04     1.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    28   39   +8      66.70     6.28    12.60     0.02     3.75     0.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Kettering            23   39   +8      75.72     7.58    15.93     1.06    36.20    10.02P    0.00     0.00  
Eastbourne_Borough   28   39   -9      60.64     6.23   -14.32     0.00     0.39     0.05P    0.41R    0.00  
Weymouth             28   38   +1      63.34     6.29     1.73     0.00     1.11     0.20P    0.10R    0.00  
Altrincham           27   36  -11      58.90     6.32   -15.57     0.00     0.23     0.03P    0.89R    0.00  
Mansfield            27   33   +0      60.23     6.50     1.86     0.00     0.43     0.09P    0.52R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United     29   33   -6      55.09     5.99    -7.85     0.00     0.02     0.01P    2.54R    0.00  
York                 29   32   -2      57.62     6.25     1.65     0.00     0.06     0.02P    1.07R    0.00  
Barrow               26   30   -9      52.24     6.45   -18.64     0.00     0.01     0.00P    9.00R    0.03  
Woking               28   29   -8      50.47     6.23   -11.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.27R    0.02  
Grays_Athletic       26   28  -11      47.65     6.34   -22.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.11R    0.11  
Salisbury            27   28  -14      46.69     6.19   -26.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.20R    0.13  
Forest_Green         27   27  -13      48.74     6.28   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.24R    0.11  
Lewes                28   17  -36      26.75     4.60   -60.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.88R   84.94  
Northwich            26   15  -19      34.60     6.26   -32.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.75R   14.65  

Adjustments:
Mansfield            -4