Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 19 January 2009 at 22:05:59 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 January 2009, Liverpool vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         21   47  +24      83.94     5.42    43.89    54.24    81.44    95.40    98.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       22   47  +22      79.04     5.43    37.63    17.58    45.78    81.89    94.92    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         22   45  +29      80.47     5.17    50.80    26.12    62.85    89.01    97.24    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     22   44  +13      71.19     5.80    21.63     1.53     6.81    21.20    61.74    97.95     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         22   41  +13      68.66     5.78    22.32     0.54     3.05    11.90    41.14    95.73     0.00     0.00  
Everton         22   36   +4      59.82     5.92     6.80     0.01     0.06     0.56     4.87    59.90     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           22   31   +2      53.22     5.90     2.81     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.48    16.48     0.14R    0.01  
West_Ham        22   29   -2      48.98     5.84    -5.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     5.10     1.28R    0.11  
Hull            22   27  -13      45.54     5.70   -19.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.01     6.06R    0.85  
Fulham          20   26   +2      49.94     6.31     1.92     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.24     8.31     1.11R    0.14  
Man_City        21   25   +9      51.90     6.07    14.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.30    13.61     0.51R    0.07  
Portsmouth      21   24  -12      41.16     5.89   -21.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36    21.13R    5.20  
Bolton          22   23   -8      43.65     6.01   -10.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.89    10.29R    2.06  
Newcastle       22   23   -9      40.34     5.68   -17.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16    22.99R    5.64  
Sunderland      22   23   -9      39.75     5.60   -17.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15    25.10R    6.05  
Tottenham       22   21   -6      39.56     5.75   -10.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    25.72R    7.24  
Blackburn       21   21  -11      38.32     5.75   -22.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    35.84R   11.73  
Middlesbrough   22   21  -15      34.85     5.25   -27.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    61.72R   27.69  
Stoke           22   21  -16      38.75     5.87   -22.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    34.32R   11.18  
West_Brom       22   21  -17      36.01     5.56   -27.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    53.78R   22.03  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 January 2009, Birmingham vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    28   59  +22      93.05     6.07    38.32    51.83    83.50    99.80    87.50P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          28   54  +31      91.01     5.91    51.00    38.19    77.12    99.63    85.38P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       27   52  +11      84.53     6.57    20.47     8.14    27.27    93.97    43.79P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        28   47  +15      77.21     6.12    23.04     0.55     4.00    72.13    23.90P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          28   47   +7      74.26     6.27    10.70     0.20     1.68    51.01    11.17P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          27   45  +11      77.75     6.56    20.83     0.98     5.34    72.73    22.92P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          28   43   +2      69.58     6.39     4.87     0.02     0.28    23.58     4.43P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              28   42   +1      65.98     6.24     0.47     0.00     0.07    10.00     2.11P    0.03R    0.00  
Swansea          28   41   +7      71.04     6.26    15.02     0.04     0.36    33.46     8.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   27   40   +7      68.65     6.67    10.87     0.04     0.31    22.09     5.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Ipswich          28   39  +10      67.23     6.12    15.29     0.01     0.07    15.30     3.94P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        28   38   -9      57.91     6.10   -16.24     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.11P    1.53R    0.02  
Coventry         28   37   -1      60.24     6.28    -2.98     0.00     0.00     1.97     0.35P    0.52R    0.01  
Bristol_City     27   35   -2      61.23     6.43    -1.70     0.00     0.00     2.79     0.53P    0.39R    0.00  
Plymouth         27   33   -4      56.25     6.40    -7.84     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.11P    2.87R    0.10  
Barnsley         28   32   -9      51.70     5.97   -16.32     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   10.79R    0.74  
Blackpool        27   31   -8      54.12     6.41   -12.10     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    6.71R    0.40  
Nottm_Forest     28   30   -8      49.65     5.93   -16.10     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   18.42R    1.22  
Norwich          28   29   -7      50.98     6.18   -12.03     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   13.37R    1.13  
Derby            27   29  -11      50.22     6.32   -18.33     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   18.47R    1.88  
Watford          28   27  -12      49.70     6.25   -16.39     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    19.90R    2.16  
Doncaster        27   27  -13      45.12     5.80   -23.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.59R    6.99  
Southampton      28   26  -18      42.60     5.74   -30.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.53R   16.23  
Charlton         28   19  -22      35.66     5.75   -37.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.86R   69.11  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 January 2009, Yeovil vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        25   57  +29     100.21     6.63    52.08    78.42    93.92    99.93    96.00P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          25   50  +24      90.36     6.86    43.05    14.30    57.73    97.52    70.51P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         24   47   +8      81.45     7.53    14.31     1.69    11.06    74.66    24.56P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     24   46  +16      85.25     7.22    31.26     4.44    24.58    89.43    42.31P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           26   45  +11      77.53     6.88    19.00     0.35     3.69    58.45    16.62P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       25   44  +12      78.76     7.17    21.58     0.59     5.74    64.99    19.62P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        25   41  +12      75.01     7.04    20.00     0.14     1.98    45.09    13.93P    0.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield     26   40   -1      66.85     6.82    -2.33     0.00     0.09     8.33     1.56P    0.03R    0.00  
Leeds            25   39   +8      72.02     7.24    14.49     0.05     0.80    28.95     7.57P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         24   37   +3      69.19     7.54     5.88     0.02     0.33    17.01     4.01P    0.05R    0.00  
Colchester       25   35   +1      64.32     7.16     1.28     0.00     0.04     5.46     1.10P    0.33R    0.00  
Hartlepool       25   32   -3      59.61     7.22    -5.73     0.00     0.00     1.31     0.23P    1.97R    0.03  
Walsall          24   31   -2      62.00     7.37    -0.97     0.00     0.02     3.20     0.73P    0.92R    0.02  
Carlisle         25   31   -4      59.67     7.21    -4.73     0.00     0.00     1.42     0.29P    1.94R    0.04  
Northampton      25   30   -1      57.94     7.06    -2.37     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.22P    2.75R    0.07  
Southend         24   30  -10      56.20     7.25   -16.98     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.06P    5.80R    0.18  
Bristol_Rovers   24   29   +3      61.15     7.49     5.55     0.00     0.02     2.88     0.68P    1.31R    0.02  
Swindon          25   24   -9      49.35     6.87   -16.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   24.13R    1.88  
Yeovil           25   24  -14      46.00     6.78   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.97R    5.08  
Brighton         24   23   -9      48.44     7.24   -16.81     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   28.94R    3.07  
Leyton_Orient    25   22  -15      42.95     6.53   -25.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.71R   10.84  
Hereford         24   20  -14      41.79     6.92   -26.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.46R   16.16  
Cheltenham       24   20  -25      37.98     6.46   -49.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.59R   38.49  
Crewe            24   19  -20      40.13     6.83   -37.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.10R   24.12  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 January 2009, Aldershot vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe              25   49  +18      87.76     6.72    32.43    45.49    80.52    98.37    85.74P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            24   43  +14      82.02     7.07    27.33    15.89    51.09    90.78    61.96P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           24   41  +18      79.27     7.23    31.21     9.16    37.27    83.48    49.56P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             25   41  +13      75.41     7.18    22.04     3.21    18.47    67.33    29.68P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 26   40   +9      73.08     6.84    17.94     1.04    10.05    54.63    20.47P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            24   39  +22      82.15     7.04    43.52    17.53    55.74    91.76    66.94P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           25   39  +18      77.88     6.79    33.57     5.61    29.62    80.96    46.50P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             24   39  +10      72.15     7.38    14.61     1.37     9.53    48.53    17.02P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               24   37   +4      67.76     7.37     5.19     0.33     3.16    25.25     7.41P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           24   37   +0      66.80     7.40    -0.43     0.22     2.35    21.57     5.36P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            23   35   -2      63.12     7.36    -8.24     0.05     0.71    10.26     2.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         25   32   +2      62.82     7.12     5.23     0.02     0.47     9.25     2.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield         24   31   +4      63.82     7.33     8.34     0.06     0.92    13.08     3.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County         25   28   -9      52.66     6.90   -15.70     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.06P    0.24R    0.02  
Macclesfield         24   28  -18      49.09     6.71   -35.37     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.88R    0.08  
Port_Vale            24   27  -13      49.37     6.96   -25.15     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.86R    0.07  
Morecambe            24   25  -10      48.99     6.95   -19.74     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    0.99R    0.10  
Chester              25   24  -15      45.21     6.60   -27.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.96R    0.34  
Rotherham            24   23   +8      58.68     7.41    16.62     0.01     0.10     4.00     1.43P    0.03R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   24   23  -11      48.31     7.05   -18.49     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    1.52R    0.20  
Barnet               25   20  -22      40.36     6.56   -36.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.51R    2.52  
Grimsby              24   17  -22      35.85     6.58   -40.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.27R    9.15  
Bournemouth          25    7  -11      31.09     6.84   -18.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.33R   26.69  
Luton                25    0   -7      25.88     7.05   -11.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.41R   60.83  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 January 2009, Cambridge_Utd vs Woking; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        28   64  +24      96.00     6.19    35.74    68.52    99.24    75.56P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               25   51  +17      87.94     7.12    29.93    17.23    88.53    34.22P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         27   46  +17      77.53     6.54    25.76     0.85    43.73    11.96P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              26   46  +14      81.46     6.87    26.23     3.64    65.72    19.64P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        27   46  +12      77.44     6.48    20.09     0.66    41.24    10.92P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        26   46  +10      77.56     6.99    16.21     1.07    41.02     9.36P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            29   44   +5      67.50     6.13     5.05     0.00     3.84     0.69P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham              24   42  +17      83.44     7.22    35.55     7.21    75.50    27.07P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering            23   39   +8      75.50     7.58    15.58     0.82    31.77     8.48P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           27   39   +3      65.99     6.50     4.56     0.01     2.80     0.55P    0.03R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    27   38   +8      68.02     6.50    14.01     0.01     5.20     1.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Borough   27   36  -10      58.49     6.49   -16.22     0.00     0.18     0.01P    1.18R    0.00  
Weymouth             27   35   -2      61.56     6.49    -1.58     0.00     0.55     0.10P    0.29R    0.00  
Altrincham           26   35  -11      57.94     6.51   -17.85     0.00     0.17     0.03P    1.41R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United     28   33   -5      56.44     6.27    -6.87     0.00     0.03     0.01P    1.89R    0.00  
York                 28   32   -1      59.58     6.50     3.53     0.00     0.19     0.04P    0.66R    0.00  
Mansfield            26   30   -1      59.38     6.79     1.99     0.00     0.27     0.05P    0.98R    0.01  
Grays_Athletic       26   28  -11      47.60     6.31   -22.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.44R    0.16  
Salisbury            26   28  -12      48.50     6.49   -23.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.70R    0.17  
Barrow               25   27  -10      49.83     6.69   -21.15     0.00     0.01     0.00    17.06R    0.19  
Woking               27   26   -9      48.64     6.50   -13.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.12R    0.22  
Forest_Green         25   26  -12      48.74     6.72   -22.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.66R    0.30  
Lewes                27   17  -35      27.56     4.88   -60.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.71R   85.82  
Northwich            25   15  -16      36.49     6.68   -28.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.84R   13.13  

Adjustments:
Mansfield            -4