Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 19 January 2009 at 22:05:59 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 January 2009, Liverpool vs Everton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 21 47 +24 83.94 5.42 43.89 54.24 81.44 95.40 98.98 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 22 47 +22 79.04 5.43 37.63 17.58 45.78 81.89 94.92 99.97 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 22 45 +29 80.47 5.17 50.80 26.12 62.85 89.01 97.24 99.99 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 22 44 +13 71.19 5.80 21.63 1.53 6.81 21.20 61.74 97.95 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 22 41 +13 68.66 5.78 22.32 0.54 3.05 11.90 41.14 95.73 0.00 0.00 Everton 22 36 +4 59.82 5.92 6.80 0.01 0.06 0.56 4.87 59.90 0.00 0.00 Wigan 22 31 +2 53.22 5.90 2.81 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.48 16.48 0.14R 0.01 West_Ham 22 29 -2 48.98 5.84 -5.25 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.09 5.10 1.28R 0.11 Hull 22 27 -13 45.54 5.70 -19.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.01 6.06R 0.85 Fulham 20 26 +2 49.94 6.31 1.92 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.24 8.31 1.11R 0.14 Man_City 21 25 +9 51.90 6.07 14.81 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.30 13.61 0.51R 0.07 Portsmouth 21 24 -12 41.16 5.89 -21.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.36 21.13R 5.20 Bolton 22 23 -8 43.65 6.01 -10.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.89 10.29R 2.06 Newcastle 22 23 -9 40.34 5.68 -17.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16 22.99R 5.64 Sunderland 22 23 -9 39.75 5.60 -17.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 25.10R 6.05 Tottenham 22 21 -6 39.56 5.75 -10.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 25.72R 7.24 Blackburn 21 21 -11 38.32 5.75 -22.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 35.84R 11.73 Middlesbrough 22 21 -15 34.85 5.25 -27.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 61.72R 27.69 Stoke 22 21 -16 38.75 5.87 -22.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 34.32R 11.18 West_Brom 22 21 -17 36.01 5.56 -27.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 53.78R 22.03Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 January 2009, Birmingham vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 28 59 +22 93.05 6.07 38.32 51.83 83.50 99.80 87.50P 0.00 0.00 Reading 28 54 +31 91.01 5.91 51.00 38.19 77.12 99.63 85.38P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 27 52 +11 84.53 6.57 20.47 8.14 27.27 93.97 43.79P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 28 47 +15 77.21 6.12 23.04 0.55 4.00 72.13 23.90P 0.00 0.00 Preston 28 47 +7 74.26 6.27 10.70 0.20 1.68 51.01 11.17P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 27 45 +11 77.75 6.56 20.83 0.98 5.34 72.73 22.92P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 28 43 +2 69.58 6.39 4.87 0.02 0.28 23.58 4.43P 0.00 0.00 QPR 28 42 +1 65.98 6.24 0.47 0.00 0.07 10.00 2.11P 0.03R 0.00 Swansea 28 41 +7 71.04 6.26 15.02 0.04 0.36 33.46 8.50P 0.00R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 27 40 +7 68.65 6.67 10.87 0.04 0.31 22.09 5.19P 0.01R 0.00 Ipswich 28 39 +10 67.23 6.12 15.29 0.01 0.07 15.30 3.94P 0.01R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 28 38 -9 57.91 6.10 -16.24 0.00 0.00 0.72 0.11P 1.53R 0.02 Coventry 28 37 -1 60.24 6.28 -2.98 0.00 0.00 1.97 0.35P 0.52R 0.01 Bristol_City 27 35 -2 61.23 6.43 -1.70 0.00 0.00 2.79 0.53P 0.39R 0.00 Plymouth 27 33 -4 56.25 6.40 -7.84 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.11P 2.87R 0.10 Barnsley 28 32 -9 51.70 5.97 -16.32 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 10.79R 0.74 Blackpool 27 31 -8 54.12 6.41 -12.10 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.04P 6.71R 0.40 Nottm_Forest 28 30 -8 49.65 5.93 -16.10 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 18.42R 1.22 Norwich 28 29 -7 50.98 6.18 -12.03 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 13.37R 1.13 Derby 27 29 -11 50.22 6.32 -18.33 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 18.47R 1.88 Watford 28 27 -12 49.70 6.25 -16.39 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 19.90R 2.16 Doncaster 27 27 -13 45.12 5.80 -23.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.59R 6.99 Southampton 28 26 -18 42.60 5.74 -30.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.53R 16.23 Charlton 28 19 -22 35.66 5.75 -37.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.86R 69.11League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 January 2009, Yeovil vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leicester 25 57 +29 100.21 6.63 52.08 78.42 93.92 99.93 96.00P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 25 50 +24 90.36 6.86 43.05 14.30 57.73 97.52 70.51P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 24 47 +8 81.45 7.53 14.31 1.69 11.06 74.66 24.56P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 24 46 +16 85.25 7.22 31.26 4.44 24.58 89.43 42.31P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 26 45 +11 77.53 6.88 19.00 0.35 3.69 58.45 16.62P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 25 44 +12 78.76 7.17 21.58 0.59 5.74 64.99 19.62P 0.00 0.00 Stockport 25 41 +12 75.01 7.04 20.00 0.14 1.98 45.09 13.93P 0.00R 0.00 Huddersfield 26 40 -1 66.85 6.82 -2.33 0.00 0.09 8.33 1.56P 0.03R 0.00 Leeds 25 39 +8 72.02 7.24 14.49 0.05 0.80 28.95 7.57P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 24 37 +3 69.19 7.54 5.88 0.02 0.33 17.01 4.01P 0.05R 0.00 Colchester 25 35 +1 64.32 7.16 1.28 0.00 0.04 5.46 1.10P 0.33R 0.00 Hartlepool 25 32 -3 59.61 7.22 -5.73 0.00 0.00 1.31 0.23P 1.97R 0.03 Walsall 24 31 -2 62.00 7.37 -0.97 0.00 0.02 3.20 0.73P 0.92R 0.02 Carlisle 25 31 -4 59.67 7.21 -4.73 0.00 0.00 1.42 0.29P 1.94R 0.04 Northampton 25 30 -1 57.94 7.06 -2.37 0.00 0.00 0.83 0.22P 2.75R 0.07 Southend 24 30 -10 56.20 7.25 -16.98 0.00 0.00 0.51 0.06P 5.80R 0.18 Bristol_Rovers 24 29 +3 61.15 7.49 5.55 0.00 0.02 2.88 0.68P 1.31R 0.02 Swindon 25 24 -9 49.35 6.87 -16.17 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 24.13R 1.88 Yeovil 25 24 -14 46.00 6.78 -24.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.97R 5.08 Brighton 24 23 -9 48.44 7.24 -16.81 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 28.94R 3.07 Leyton_Orient 25 22 -15 42.95 6.53 -25.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.71R 10.84 Hereford 24 20 -14 41.79 6.92 -26.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.46R 16.16 Cheltenham 24 20 -25 37.98 6.46 -49.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.59R 38.49 Crewe 24 19 -20 40.13 6.83 -37.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.10R 24.12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 January 2009, Aldershot vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Wycombe 25 49 +18 87.76 6.72 32.43 45.49 80.52 98.37 85.74P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 24 43 +14 82.02 7.07 27.33 15.89 51.09 90.78 61.96P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 24 41 +18 79.27 7.23 31.21 9.16 37.27 83.48 49.56P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 25 41 +13 75.41 7.18 22.04 3.21 18.47 67.33 29.68P 0.00 0.00 Bury 26 40 +9 73.08 6.84 17.94 1.04 10.05 54.63 20.47P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 24 39 +22 82.15 7.04 43.52 17.53 55.74 91.76 66.94P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 25 39 +18 77.88 6.79 33.57 5.61 29.62 80.96 46.50P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 24 39 +10 72.15 7.38 14.61 1.37 9.53 48.53 17.02P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 24 37 +4 67.76 7.37 5.19 0.33 3.16 25.25 7.41P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 24 37 +0 66.80 7.40 -0.43 0.22 2.35 21.57 5.36P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 23 35 -2 63.12 7.36 -8.24 0.05 0.71 10.26 2.11P 0.00R 0.00 Lincoln_City 25 32 +2 62.82 7.12 5.23 0.02 0.47 9.25 2.35P 0.00R 0.00 Chesterfield 24 31 +4 63.82 7.33 8.34 0.06 0.92 13.08 3.34P 0.00R 0.00 Notts_County 25 28 -9 52.66 6.90 -15.70 0.00 0.01 0.34 0.06P 0.24R 0.02 Macclesfield 24 28 -18 49.09 6.71 -35.37 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 0.88R 0.08 Port_Vale 24 27 -13 49.37 6.96 -25.15 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.02P 0.86R 0.07 Morecambe 24 25 -10 48.99 6.95 -19.74 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 0.99R 0.10 Chester 25 24 -15 45.21 6.60 -27.65 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 2.96R 0.34 Rotherham 24 23 +8 58.68 7.41 16.62 0.01 0.10 4.00 1.43P 0.03R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 24 23 -11 48.31 7.05 -18.49 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.02P 1.52R 0.20 Barnet 25 20 -22 40.36 6.56 -36.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.51R 2.52 Grimsby 24 17 -22 35.85 6.58 -40.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.27R 9.15 Bournemouth 25 7 -11 31.09 6.84 -18.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.33R 26.69 Luton 25 0 -7 25.88 7.05 -11.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.41R 60.83 Adjustments: Rotherham -17 Bournemouth -17 Luton -30Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 January 2009, Cambridge_Utd vs Woking; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Burton_Albion 28 64 +24 96.00 6.19 35.74 68.52 99.24 75.56P 0.00 0.00 Histon 25 51 +17 87.94 7.12 29.93 17.23 88.53 34.22P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 27 46 +17 77.53 6.54 25.76 0.85 43.73 11.96P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 26 46 +14 81.46 6.87 26.23 3.64 65.72 19.64P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 27 46 +12 77.44 6.48 20.09 0.66 41.24 10.92P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 26 46 +10 77.56 6.99 16.21 1.07 41.02 9.36P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 29 44 +5 67.50 6.13 5.05 0.00 3.84 0.69P 0.00R 0.00 Wrexham 24 42 +17 83.44 7.22 35.55 7.21 75.50 27.07P 0.00 0.00 Kettering 23 39 +8 75.50 7.58 15.58 0.82 31.77 8.48P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 27 39 +3 65.99 6.50 4.56 0.01 2.80 0.55P 0.03R 0.00 Rushden_&_D'monds 27 38 +8 68.02 6.50 14.01 0.01 5.20 1.32P 0.01R 0.00 Eastbourne_Borough 27 36 -10 58.49 6.49 -16.22 0.00 0.18 0.01P 1.18R 0.00 Weymouth 27 35 -2 61.56 6.49 -1.58 0.00 0.55 0.10P 0.29R 0.00 Altrincham 26 35 -11 57.94 6.51 -17.85 0.00 0.17 0.03P 1.41R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 28 33 -5 56.44 6.27 -6.87 0.00 0.03 0.01P 1.89R 0.00 York 28 32 -1 59.58 6.50 3.53 0.00 0.19 0.04P 0.66R 0.00 Mansfield 26 30 -1 59.38 6.79 1.99 0.00 0.27 0.05P 0.98R 0.01 Grays_Athletic 26 28 -11 47.60 6.31 -22.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.44R 0.16 Salisbury 26 28 -12 48.50 6.49 -23.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.70R 0.17 Barrow 25 27 -10 49.83 6.69 -21.15 0.00 0.01 0.00 17.06R 0.19 Woking 27 26 -9 48.64 6.50 -13.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.12R 0.22 Forest_Green 25 26 -12 48.74 6.72 -22.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.66R 0.30 Lewes 27 17 -35 27.56 4.88 -60.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.71R 85.82 Northwich 25 15 -16 36.49 6.68 -28.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.84R 13.13 Adjustments: Mansfield -4