Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 6 January 2009 at 22:05:14 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 December 2008, Hull vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 20 45 +22 81.94 5.91 41.27 33.61 69.41 92.70 98.40 99.97 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 20 42 +31 83.42 5.18 58.10 49.24 81.56 96.68 99.48 99.99 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 18 38 +19 78.31 6.50 37.85 15.99 42.27 81.19 94.21 99.69 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 20 38 +11 69.32 6.33 21.95 0.93 4.94 19.55 61.77 95.21 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 20 35 +10 65.92 6.34 20.21 0.22 1.69 8.62 35.57 88.47 0.00 0.00 Everton 20 32 +2 57.37 6.49 2.96 0.00 0.08 0.70 5.26 43.09 0.05R 0.00 Wigan 19 28 +3 54.18 6.69 3.46 0.01 0.03 0.31 2.44 25.79 0.28R 0.02 Hull 20 27 -9 48.33 6.33 -15.70 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.25 5.52 3.08R 0.30 Fulham 19 26 +4 53.00 6.60 6.38 0.00 0.01 0.19 1.76 20.84 0.34R 0.02 West_Ham 20 25 -4 46.51 6.37 -8.99 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.14 3.54 4.73R 0.54 Bolton 20 23 -6 45.42 6.42 -9.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 2.70 7.04R 1.08 Portsmouth 20 23 -12 41.03 6.09 -23.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.47 22.25R 4.59 Man_City 20 22 +8 50.48 6.32 14.17 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.58 11.71 1.26R 0.11 Newcastle 20 22 -6 43.61 6.38 -11.69 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 1.42 11.65R 1.94 Sunderland 20 22 -8 41.05 6.17 -16.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.55 20.45R 3.84 Tottenham 20 20 -5 41.75 6.36 -9.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.78 17.42R 3.54 Middlesbrough 20 20 -12 37.48 5.98 -22.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 41.91R 12.14 Stoke 20 20 -15 37.54 6.11 -26.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 43.23R 13.47 Blackburn 20 18 -14 35.47 6.03 -27.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 55.71R 21.73 West_Brom 20 18 -19 33.33 5.81 -34.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 70.61R 36.67Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 December 2008, Blackpool vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 26 58 +24 96.76 6.46 43.79 62.53 90.55 99.96 93.12P 0.00 0.00 Reading 26 51 +29 92.42 6.25 52.17 31.48 78.74 99.78 86.76P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 26 51 +11 84.89 6.75 20.52 5.08 22.28 95.06 40.58P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 26 44 +11 78.04 6.76 20.74 0.54 4.50 76.78 24.33P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 26 43 +5 73.56 6.91 9.76 0.11 1.13 50.82 10.40P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 26 41 +12 74.54 6.70 21.09 0.16 1.63 60.31 18.07P 0.00 0.00 Preston 26 41 +4 69.63 6.79 5.28 0.03 0.35 28.69 5.67P 0.00R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 26 40 +10 71.48 6.90 15.95 0.06 0.67 41.35 10.56P 0.00 0.00 QPR 26 38 -1 64.09 6.62 -2.28 0.00 0.03 8.49 1.57P 0.08R 0.00 Ipswich 26 35 +7 65.82 6.64 12.01 0.00 0.06 14.71 3.79P 0.05R 0.00 Swansea 26 35 +3 65.41 6.84 7.53 0.00 0.05 13.58 3.10P 0.09R 0.00 Bristol_City 26 34 -2 61.26 6.79 -2.31 0.00 0.01 4.14 0.87P 0.54R 0.03 Sheff_Wed 26 34 -12 54.79 6.43 -22.11 0.00 0.00 0.48 0.06P 4.97R 0.37 Coventry 26 33 -2 58.38 6.76 -4.72 0.00 0.00 1.98 0.42P 1.38R 0.08 Plymouth 26 33 -2 58.43 6.74 -4.67 0.00 0.00 1.86 0.33P 1.29R 0.08 Barnsley 26 32 -4 57.03 6.68 -7.55 0.00 0.00 1.10 0.23P 2.25R 0.14 Blackpool 26 31 -7 55.61 6.59 -10.84 0.00 0.00 0.54 0.10P 3.84R 0.33 Derby 26 29 -9 52.16 6.66 -15.52 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.02P 10.62R 1.38 Watford 26 27 -6 52.34 6.71 -11.24 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.03P 10.01R 1.33 Norwich 26 26 -10 48.76 6.48 -18.55 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 21.77R 3.92 Nottm_Forest 26 24 -12 44.76 6.34 -23.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.76R 11.20 Doncaster 26 24 -14 42.59 6.04 -25.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.97R 18.83 Southampton 26 23 -18 42.19 6.23 -30.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.93R 23.25 Charlton 26 19 -17 39.50 6.43 -29.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.43R 39.07League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 January 2009, Huddersfield vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leicester 23 51 +24 97.42 7.12 47.40 52.93 84.18 99.50 89.35P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 23 49 +25 95.15 7.22 49.35 38.61 76.29 99.09 83.47P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 23 44 +7 79.62 7.71 13.07 1.06 5.61 62.28 16.94P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 23 43 +15 83.90 7.54 30.79 3.95 15.11 83.06 32.18P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 24 42 +15 81.11 7.30 29.27 1.54 7.88 73.55 26.41P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 23 41 +12 80.44 7.63 24.72 1.48 7.54 68.92 22.28P 0.00 0.00 Stockport 23 37 +10 74.68 7.60 19.38 0.23 1.61 39.17 11.79P 0.01R 0.00 Tranmere 23 37 +4 70.89 7.83 7.38 0.06 0.55 21.40 5.08P 0.02R 0.00 Leeds 23 36 +8 73.29 7.74 16.98 0.14 1.10 32.94 8.55P 0.01R 0.00 Huddersfield 24 36 -2 65.65 7.38 -3.29 0.00 0.06 6.50 1.21P 0.25R 0.00 Colchester 23 31 -1 62.42 7.59 -2.02 0.00 0.02 3.54 0.67P 0.89R 0.01 Walsall 23 31 -1 62.56 7.65 -1.56 0.00 0.03 3.62 0.74P 0.87R 0.02 Southend 23 30 -8 57.52 7.48 -14.99 0.00 0.00 0.75 0.12P 4.32R 0.07 Northampton 23 29 +1 60.86 7.65 1.35 0.00 0.00 2.31 0.51P 1.49R 0.02 Hartlepool 23 29 -4 57.92 7.79 -9.43 0.00 0.00 1.09 0.20P 4.22R 0.09 Bristol_Rovers 23 26 +2 59.82 7.85 4.94 0.00 0.01 1.94 0.43P 2.38R 0.04 Carlisle 23 25 -7 52.80 7.59 -13.57 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.03P 13.34R 0.47 Yeovil 23 24 -11 48.39 7.26 -21.61 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 29.94R 1.78 Brighton 23 23 -7 50.88 7.49 -13.13 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02P 18.93R 0.89 Swindon 23 23 -8 50.36 7.40 -16.64 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 21.02R 1.09 Leyton_Orient 23 22 -11 45.72 7.17 -21.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.88R 3.70 Cheltenham 23 20 -23 38.78 6.62 -48.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.71R 22.77 Hereford 23 17 -19 36.13 6.70 -37.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.77R 35.74 Crewe 23 16 -21 36.81 6.95 -41.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.94R 33.31League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 January 2009, Bradford vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Wycombe 24 49 +19 91.73 6.73 37.59 56.68 88.97 99.46 92.26P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 22 41 +14 84.57 7.54 29.90 16.31 57.48 93.22 67.94P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 24 40 +13 77.20 7.30 24.58 2.63 20.24 73.17 32.78P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 23 38 +22 83.81 7.26 45.98 15.16 57.61 93.05 68.79P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 24 38 +18 79.02 7.03 34.87 4.10 29.36 82.13 46.72P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 23 38 +14 76.53 7.59 25.34 2.61 19.41 69.62 32.17P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 23 38 +10 73.55 7.60 16.44 1.21 10.42 53.14 18.95P 0.00 0.00 Bury 24 36 +8 73.09 7.32 19.42 0.70 8.51 51.80 18.65P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 22 36 +5 70.34 7.84 7.57 0.46 5.25 35.75 10.88P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 23 34 -1 64.90 7.57 -1.86 0.04 0.95 13.97 2.94P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 22 34 -2 65.02 7.70 -5.68 0.08 1.05 14.46 2.89P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 23 30 +2 62.67 7.57 4.11 0.01 0.42 9.20 2.29P 0.00R 0.00 Chesterfield 23 28 +2 61.47 7.58 5.12 0.01 0.29 7.42 1.66P 0.00R 0.00 Macclesfield 23 27 -18 48.57 6.88 -37.56 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 0.93R 0.12 Port_Vale 23 26 -13 48.77 7.13 -26.76 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.01P 0.91R 0.12 Morecambe 23 25 -9 51.12 7.26 -17.69 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.06P 0.44R 0.06 Notts_County 23 24 -10 49.26 7.20 -20.13 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 0.92R 0.14 Chester 23 23 -13 47.47 7.28 -24.66 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 1.82R 0.30 Accrington_Stanley 23 22 -11 47.21 7.20 -21.19 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00P 1.86R 0.33 Rotherham 23 20 +7 57.72 7.58 16.78 0.00 0.04 2.84 0.93P 0.07R 0.01 Barnet 23 19 -21 39.44 6.85 -41.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.25R 4.13 Grimsby 23 14 -23 32.01 6.50 -45.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.66R 24.18 Bournemouth 24 7 -10 31.62 7.07 -18.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.58R 26.05 Luton 23 -1 -3 28.30 7.53 -6.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.54R 44.55 Adjustments: Rotherham -17 Bournemouth -17 Luton -30Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 January 2009, Stevenage vs Lewes; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Burton_Albion 27 61 +23 94.62 6.51 35.11 61.50 98.47 69.78P 0.00 0.00 Histon 24 48 +16 86.60 7.45 29.39 16.29 83.35 32.36P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 26 46 +18 79.49 6.86 27.70 2.46 53.93 16.12P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 25 46 +12 81.31 7.14 21.82 4.34 61.76 17.75P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 25 45 +14 82.20 7.13 26.80 5.99 67.61 21.68P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 26 43 +9 74.88 6.72 15.73 0.40 25.56 6.73P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 23 41 +17 83.16 7.49 34.52 8.40 72.34 26.10P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 28 41 +2 65.82 6.43 1.90 0.00 2.44 0.44P 0.04R 0.00 Rushden_&_D'monds 26 38 +9 70.07 6.81 15.97 0.05 9.84 2.70P 0.01R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 26 36 +2 64.85 6.77 4.31 0.01 2.22 0.46P 0.13R 0.00 Kettering 22 35 +6 72.97 7.88 13.77 0.55 21.54 5.70P 0.01R 0.00 Altrincham 25 35 -10 58.90 6.82 -17.68 0.00 0.29 0.04P 1.84R 0.01 Eastbourne_Borough 26 33 -11 56.26 6.74 -18.25 0.00 0.09 0.01P 4.47R 0.01 Weymouth 26 32 -4 58.15 6.78 -6.54 0.00 0.17 0.03P 2.23R 0.01 Ebbsfleet_United 27 30 -6 54.48 6.54 -8.34 0.00 0.02 0.01P 6.17R 0.03 Grays_Athletic 25 30 -9 51.28 6.69 -20.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.97R 0.07 York 27 29 -4 58.13 6.78 0.87 0.00 0.11 0.02P 2.23R 0.01 Salisbury 25 28 -11 49.12 6.74 -23.32 0.00 0.01 0.00 26.15R 0.27 Mansfield 25 27 -2 57.15 7.09 0.02 0.00 0.18 0.05P 3.17R 0.03 Barrow 24 27 -7 51.55 7.05 -17.48 0.00 0.03 0.02P 15.79R 0.23 Woking 26 26 -6 50.30 6.70 -9.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.07R 0.16 Forest_Green 24 26 -11 50.93 7.16 -20.27 0.00 0.01 0.00P 19.00R 0.33 Lewes 26 17 -32 28.65 5.25 -58.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.52R 83.91 Northwich 24 15 -15 37.24 6.83 -28.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.21R 14.93 Adjustments: Mansfield -4