Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 2 January 2009 at 22:05:11 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 December 2008, Hull vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 20 45 +22 82.10 5.91 41.47 35.23 70.22 92.80 98.42 99.97 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 20 42 +31 83.16 5.26 57.85 47.73 80.32 96.29 99.31 99.98 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 18 38 +19 78.26 6.48 37.77 15.75 42.12 80.95 94.35 99.68 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 20 38 +11 69.44 6.32 22.04 0.99 5.37 19.90 62.24 95.46 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 20 35 +10 65.90 6.40 20.22 0.29 1.85 8.93 35.61 88.40 0.00 0.00 Everton 20 32 +2 57.43 6.49 3.07 0.00 0.07 0.66 5.08 43.32 0.05R 0.00 Wigan 19 28 +3 54.06 6.70 3.27 0.00 0.03 0.27 2.26 25.20 0.33R 0.02 Hull 20 27 -9 48.32 6.27 -15.65 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.23 5.09 3.07R 0.29 Fulham 19 26 +4 52.98 6.62 6.34 0.00 0.01 0.18 1.63 20.92 0.40R 0.02 West_Ham 20 25 -4 46.82 6.42 -8.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19 4.16 4.26R 0.49 Bolton 20 23 -6 45.26 6.42 -9.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 2.63 7.27R 1.06 Portsmouth 20 23 -12 41.06 6.13 -22.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.47 22.36R 4.56 Man_City 20 22 +8 50.45 6.34 14.03 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.52 11.69 1.31R 0.12 Newcastle 20 22 -6 43.66 6.41 -11.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.44 11.47R 2.03 Sunderland 20 22 -8 41.13 6.17 -16.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.60 20.20R 3.85 Tottenham 20 20 -5 41.63 6.32 -9.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.75 17.69R 3.61 Middlesbrough 20 20 -12 37.56 5.97 -22.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 41.28R 12.08 Stoke 20 20 -15 37.36 6.12 -27.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 44.33R 14.15 Blackburn 20 18 -14 35.39 5.99 -27.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 56.32R 22.04 West_Brom 20 18 -19 33.49 5.89 -33.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 69.68R 35.68Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 December 2008, Blackpool vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 26 58 +24 96.85 6.41 43.89 62.47 90.75 99.96 93.22P 0.00 0.00 Reading 26 51 +29 92.58 6.27 52.38 31.69 79.19 99.79 87.11P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 26 51 +11 84.92 6.74 20.58 5.01 22.05 95.14 40.64P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 26 44 +11 77.74 6.78 20.30 0.51 4.07 75.53 22.94P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 26 43 +5 73.68 6.93 10.00 0.11 1.24 51.83 10.62P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 26 41 +12 74.69 6.63 21.25 0.12 1.53 61.20 18.77P 0.00 0.00 Preston 26 41 +4 69.60 6.71 5.23 0.02 0.30 28.73 5.54P 0.01R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 26 40 +10 71.49 6.95 16.00 0.07 0.74 41.72 10.96P 0.00 0.00 QPR 26 38 -1 64.09 6.63 -2.26 0.00 0.01 8.58 1.73P 0.07R 0.00 Ipswich 26 35 +7 65.60 6.62 11.69 0.01 0.05 13.90 3.48P 0.05R 0.00 Swansea 26 35 +3 65.39 6.86 7.49 0.00 0.04 13.55 3.07P 0.11R 0.00 Bristol_City 26 34 -2 61.08 6.71 -2.60 0.00 0.00 3.89 0.73P 0.50R 0.03 Sheff_Wed 26 34 -12 54.63 6.41 -22.29 0.00 0.00 0.36 0.05P 5.19R 0.44 Coventry 26 33 -2 58.20 6.75 -5.04 0.00 0.00 1.95 0.36P 1.43R 0.08 Plymouth 26 33 -2 58.21 6.67 -4.98 0.00 0.00 1.69 0.37P 1.38R 0.06 Barnsley 26 32 -4 57.17 6.63 -7.36 0.00 0.00 1.12 0.22P 2.19R 0.16 Blackpool 26 31 -7 55.55 6.63 -10.89 0.00 0.00 0.62 0.10P 3.85R 0.28 Derby 26 29 -9 52.35 6.61 -15.27 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.05P 9.83R 1.27 Watford 26 27 -6 52.26 6.72 -11.29 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.04P 10.41R 1.35 Norwich 26 26 -10 48.94 6.55 -18.25 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 21.65R 3.77 Nottm_Forest 26 24 -12 44.90 6.41 -22.88 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 44.49R 11.27 Doncaster 26 24 -14 42.73 6.02 -25.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.70R 18.40 Southampton 26 23 -18 42.04 6.26 -30.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.46R 24.80 Charlton 26 19 -17 39.72 6.40 -29.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.68R 38.10League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 December 2008, Cheltenham vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leicester 23 51 +24 97.23 7.19 47.18 51.70 82.44 99.55 88.02P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 23 49 +25 95.25 7.19 49.37 39.17 76.16 99.09 83.52P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 23 44 +7 79.70 7.81 13.12 1.21 5.80 62.90 17.27P 0.00R 0.00 Peterborough 23 43 +15 84.13 7.51 31.23 3.92 15.62 83.72 33.06P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 23 41 +15 81.97 7.51 30.11 2.19 9.97 76.27 28.72P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 23 41 +12 80.30 7.64 24.47 1.43 7.00 68.10 21.61P 0.00 0.00 Stockport 23 37 +10 74.58 7.50 19.23 0.19 1.41 38.41 11.34P 0.00R 0.00 Tranmere 23 37 +4 70.64 7.71 7.00 0.06 0.43 19.84 4.44P 0.03R 0.00 Leeds 23 36 +8 73.04 7.76 16.59 0.12 1.03 31.67 8.10P 0.02R 0.00 Huddersfield 23 35 -2 65.68 7.65 -3.92 0.01 0.08 7.24 1.28P 0.26R 0.00 Colchester 23 31 -1 62.34 7.64 -2.14 0.00 0.01 3.42 0.64P 0.96R 0.00 Walsall 23 31 -1 62.61 7.66 -1.46 0.00 0.02 3.62 0.67P 0.94R 0.01 Southend 23 30 -8 57.62 7.54 -14.88 0.00 0.00 0.83 0.15P 4.38R 0.07 Northampton 23 29 +1 60.86 7.65 1.34 0.00 0.01 2.32 0.54P 1.51R 0.01 Hartlepool 23 29 -4 58.04 7.66 -9.17 0.00 0.00 1.03 0.20P 3.78R 0.08 Bristol_Rovers 23 26 +2 59.49 7.70 4.30 0.00 0.01 1.72 0.39P 2.32R 0.03 Carlisle 23 25 -7 52.76 7.54 -13.64 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 13.72R 0.54 Yeovil 23 24 -11 48.49 7.31 -21.41 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 30.01R 1.82 Brighton 23 23 -7 50.75 7.47 -13.38 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 19.52R 0.93 Swindon 23 23 -8 50.60 7.49 -16.20 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 20.76R 1.03 Leyton_Orient 23 22 -11 46.00 7.15 -21.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.86R 3.49 Cheltenham 23 20 -23 38.84 6.66 -48.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.56R 22.78 Hereford 23 17 -19 36.09 6.66 -37.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.42R 36.45 Crewe 23 16 -21 36.87 6.92 -41.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.96R 32.76League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 December 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Wycombe 23 46 +18 90.74 7.06 37.21 50.22 85.19 99.10 89.73P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 22 41 +14 84.78 7.59 30.16 17.99 58.27 93.96 68.78P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 23 39 +13 77.38 7.62 24.37 3.51 21.94 73.52 33.64P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 22 37 +22 84.27 7.53 46.27 17.97 59.18 93.63 69.94P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 23 37 +18 79.09 7.34 34.60 5.05 30.40 82.06 47.11P 0.00 0.00 Bury 23 36 +9 74.01 7.53 19.85 1.23 11.24 57.60 22.13P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 22 36 +5 70.14 7.78 7.26 0.48 4.92 35.33 10.37P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 22 35 +13 75.82 7.82 25.71 2.51 17.76 66.86 30.60P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 22 35 +8 72.10 7.89 14.64 0.88 8.09 46.44 15.81P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 23 34 -1 64.74 7.61 -2.11 0.06 0.98 14.06 3.05P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 22 34 -2 64.99 7.69 -5.80 0.05 1.08 14.88 3.01P 0.00R 0.00 Lincoln_City 23 30 +2 62.90 7.53 4.47 0.02 0.46 9.89 2.55P 0.01R 0.00 Chesterfield 23 28 +2 61.55 7.63 5.23 0.01 0.36 7.91 1.90P 0.00R 0.00 Macclesfield 23 27 -18 48.64 6.89 -37.53 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 0.98R 0.13 Port_Vale 23 26 -13 48.53 7.13 -27.16 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.01P 1.22R 0.18 Morecambe 23 25 -9 50.71 7.28 -18.36 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.06P 0.61R 0.07 Notts_County 23 24 -10 49.41 7.21 -19.88 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.02P 0.96R 0.16 Chester 23 23 -13 47.78 7.29 -24.09 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.01P 1.78R 0.30 Accrington_Stanley 22 22 -9 48.29 7.51 -19.58 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.01P 1.63R 0.30 Rotherham 22 19 +7 57.95 7.97 16.61 0.00 0.11 3.88 1.26P 0.10R 0.01 Barnet 23 19 -21 39.65 6.93 -41.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.38R 4.11 Grimsby 23 14 -23 32.10 6.52 -45.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.68R 24.66 Bournemouth 23 7 -9 32.28 7.23 -18.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.72R 24.09 Luton 23 -1 -3 28.22 7.56 -6.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.93R 45.99 Adjustments: Rotherham -17 Bournemouth -17 Luton -30Conference (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 1 January 2009, Crawley_Town vs Woking; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Burton_Albion 27 61 +23 94.65 6.50 35.24 61.70 98.38 69.88P 0.00 0.00 Histon 24 48 +16 86.63 7.46 29.47 16.23 82.83 31.95P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 26 46 +18 79.64 6.88 27.87 2.53 53.67 16.11P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 25 46 +12 81.02 7.13 21.39 3.94 59.20 16.16P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 25 45 +14 82.17 7.24 26.75 5.89 66.77 21.64P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 26 43 +9 74.81 6.75 15.64 0.35 24.31 6.25P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 23 41 +17 83.18 7.46 34.57 8.37 71.57 26.31P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'monds 26 38 +9 70.13 6.83 16.08 0.05 9.63 2.71P 0.00R 0.00 Stevenage 27 38 -1 64.49 6.59 -0.56 0.00 1.66 0.25P 0.08R 0.00 Kettering 22 36 +7 75.01 7.88 16.28 0.93 29.03 8.21P 0.01R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 26 36 +2 64.82 6.77 4.20 0.00 2.09 0.39P 0.15R 0.00 Altrincham 25 35 -10 58.95 6.86 -17.59 0.00 0.29 0.04P 1.64R 0.00 Eastbourne_Borough 26 33 -11 56.36 6.75 -18.11 0.00 0.07 0.01P 3.99R 0.01 Weymouth 26 32 -4 58.00 6.74 -6.77 0.00 0.18 0.02P 2.01R 0.01 Ebbsfleet_United 27 30 -6 54.36 6.55 -8.49 0.00 0.02 0.00 5.68R 0.04 York 27 29 -4 58.21 6.73 0.98 0.00 0.10 0.03P 1.79R 0.02 Grays_Athletic 25 28 -10 48.67 6.69 -22.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.09R 0.40 Salisbury 25 28 -11 49.21 6.72 -23.14 0.00 0.01 0.00P 23.86R 0.37 Mansfield 25 27 -2 56.91 7.08 -0.35 0.00 0.17 0.03P 3.19R 0.06 Barrow 24 27 -7 51.51 7.09 -17.57 0.00 0.02 0.00P 15.05R 0.32 Woking 26 26 -6 50.15 6.68 -9.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.98R 0.28 Forest_Green 24 26 -11 51.09 7.18 -20.03 0.00 0.02 0.00P 17.27R 0.36 Lewes 25 17 -29 29.58 5.50 -56.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.10R 81.02 Northwich 24 15 -15 37.43 6.93 -27.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.12R 17.10 Adjustments: Mansfield -4