Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 1 January 2009 at 22:05:16 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 December 2008, Hull vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 20 45 +22 82.28 5.87 41.84 35.75 70.71 93.35 98.62 99.97 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 20 42 +31 83.34 5.22 58.04 47.84 80.84 96.49 99.41 99.99 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 18 38 +19 78.33 6.43 37.95 15.24 41.51 81.00 94.27 99.69 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 20 38 +11 69.48 6.33 22.13 0.96 5.26 19.72 62.35 95.49 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 20 35 +10 65.83 6.36 20.10 0.21 1.56 8.21 35.01 88.24 0.00 0.00 Everton 20 32 +2 57.48 6.44 3.13 0.00 0.09 0.72 5.22 43.59 0.03R 0.00 Wigan 19 28 +3 54.04 6.72 3.25 0.00 0.02 0.31 2.37 25.12 0.32R 0.02 Hull 20 27 -9 48.31 6.30 -15.69 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.25 5.40 2.99R 0.30 Fulham 19 26 +4 52.91 6.63 6.23 0.00 0.01 0.12 1.65 20.50 0.43R 0.02 West_Ham 20 25 -4 46.46 6.38 -9.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 3.67 4.86R 0.54 Bolton 20 23 -6 45.36 6.44 -9.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 2.86 7.13R 1.05 Portsmouth 20 23 -12 40.89 6.09 -23.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.46 22.95R 4.90 Man_City 20 22 +8 50.44 6.34 14.04 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.54 11.85 1.28R 0.13 Newcastle 20 22 -6 43.67 6.40 -11.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 1.51 11.36R 2.04 Sunderland 20 22 -8 41.32 6.22 -16.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.65 19.32R 3.67 Tottenham 20 20 -5 41.69 6.37 -9.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.75 17.55R 3.55 Middlesbrough 20 20 -12 37.47 5.99 -22.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 42.05R 12.41 Stoke 20 20 -15 37.42 6.04 -27.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 43.42R 13.53 Blackburn 20 18 -14 35.39 6.04 -27.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 56.04R 22.06 West_Brom 20 18 -19 33.41 5.82 -33.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 70.28R 35.77Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 December 2008, Blackpool vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 26 58 +24 96.87 6.44 43.94 62.97 91.19 99.95 93.47P 0.00 0.00 Reading 26 51 +29 92.46 6.29 52.20 31.34 78.71 99.77 86.48P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 26 51 +11 84.71 6.78 20.26 4.83 21.97 94.77 40.36P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 26 44 +11 77.81 6.77 20.47 0.54 4.17 75.96 23.26P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 26 43 +5 73.52 6.94 9.73 0.11 1.15 50.79 10.44P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 26 41 +12 74.65 6.68 21.21 0.12 1.67 60.81 18.29P 0.00 0.00 Preston 26 41 +4 69.77 6.73 5.48 0.03 0.30 29.40 5.88P 0.00R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 26 40 +10 71.64 6.94 16.20 0.06 0.72 42.48 11.44P 0.00 0.00 QPR 26 38 -1 64.12 6.67 -2.25 0.00 0.02 8.73 1.76P 0.06R 0.00 Ipswich 26 35 +7 65.75 6.58 11.87 0.00 0.06 14.19 3.73P 0.04R 0.00 Swansea 26 35 +3 65.23 6.86 7.24 0.00 0.04 13.07 3.02P 0.09R 0.00 Bristol_City 26 34 -2 61.08 6.79 -2.52 0.00 0.00 3.98 0.79P 0.49R 0.02 Sheff_Wed 26 34 -12 54.85 6.45 -22.04 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.05P 4.81R 0.34 Coventry 26 33 -2 58.25 6.75 -4.90 0.00 0.00 1.82 0.36P 1.41R 0.08 Plymouth 26 33 -2 58.51 6.67 -4.55 0.00 0.00 1.81 0.32P 1.38R 0.09 Barnsley 26 32 -4 57.02 6.62 -7.59 0.00 0.00 0.95 0.17P 2.32R 0.16 Blackpool 26 31 -7 55.50 6.60 -10.99 0.00 0.00 0.64 0.12P 4.06R 0.29 Derby 26 29 -9 52.18 6.60 -15.55 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.03P 10.50R 1.34 Watford 26 27 -6 52.39 6.71 -11.18 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.04P 10.06R 1.32 Norwich 26 26 -10 48.99 6.53 -18.16 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 21.26R 3.59 Nottm_Forest 26 24 -12 44.83 6.35 -22.99 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 44.47R 11.50 Doncaster 26 24 -14 42.62 6.01 -25.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.99R 18.62 Southampton 26 23 -18 42.00 6.25 -30.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.29R 24.52 Charlton 26 19 -17 39.70 6.44 -29.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.76R 38.13League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 December 2008, Cheltenham vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leicester 23 51 +24 97.32 7.15 47.34 52.33 82.89 99.51 88.50P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 23 49 +25 95.09 7.25 49.13 38.26 74.94 98.95 82.58P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 23 44 +7 79.85 7.82 13.37 1.26 5.98 63.50 17.73P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 23 43 +15 84.12 7.60 31.22 3.84 15.80 83.41 32.75P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 23 41 +15 81.91 7.57 29.94 2.38 10.12 75.81 28.77P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 23 41 +12 80.37 7.66 24.59 1.49 7.17 68.47 21.61P 0.00 0.00 Stockport 23 37 +10 74.60 7.60 19.27 0.23 1.52 38.63 11.51P 0.00R 0.00 Tranmere 23 37 +4 70.62 7.67 6.96 0.05 0.41 19.80 4.30P 0.03R 0.00 Leeds 23 36 +8 73.03 7.77 16.56 0.14 1.06 31.28 8.06P 0.01R 0.00 Huddersfield 23 35 -2 65.71 7.63 -3.93 0.01 0.07 7.16 1.33P 0.27R 0.00 Colchester 23 31 -1 62.29 7.62 -2.25 0.00 0.02 3.32 0.63P 1.06R 0.00 Walsall 23 31 -1 62.69 7.65 -1.32 0.00 0.02 3.57 0.70P 0.93R 0.01 Southend 23 30 -8 57.62 7.50 -14.90 0.00 0.00 0.82 0.14P 4.12R 0.07 Northampton 23 29 +1 61.03 7.70 1.60 0.00 0.01 2.52 0.64P 1.44R 0.00 Hartlepool 23 29 -4 58.28 7.67 -8.81 0.00 0.00 1.09 0.21P 3.72R 0.07 Bristol_Rovers 23 26 +2 59.80 7.75 4.89 0.00 0.00 1.84 0.48P 2.41R 0.05 Carlisle 23 25 -7 52.68 7.53 -13.77 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.03P 13.27R 0.49 Yeovil 23 24 -11 48.60 7.29 -21.25 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 29.08R 1.68 Brighton 23 23 -7 50.69 7.56 -13.46 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 19.82R 0.99 Swindon 23 23 -8 50.49 7.38 -16.46 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00P 20.53R 1.03 Leyton_Orient 23 22 -11 45.67 7.07 -21.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 44.15R 3.67 Cheltenham 23 20 -23 38.80 6.67 -48.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.47R 22.80 Hereford 23 17 -19 36.00 6.66 -37.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.21R 36.23 Crewe 23 16 -21 36.73 6.88 -41.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.48R 32.89League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 December 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Wycombe 23 46 +18 90.71 7.06 37.17 49.87 84.84 99.05 89.39P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 22 41 +14 84.68 7.55 30.01 17.30 57.67 93.53 68.43P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 23 39 +13 77.58 7.56 24.72 3.65 22.38 74.32 34.15P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 22 37 +22 84.28 7.54 46.37 18.04 58.89 93.30 69.67P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 23 37 +18 79.43 7.33 35.18 5.66 31.39 82.97 47.84P 0.00 0.00 Bury 23 36 +9 74.30 7.49 20.22 1.30 11.39 58.48 22.45P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 22 36 +5 70.20 7.79 7.33 0.53 4.82 35.40 10.45P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 22 35 +13 76.13 7.71 26.22 2.59 18.13 67.90 31.07P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 22 35 +8 72.00 7.88 14.47 0.91 7.72 45.47 15.20P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 23 34 -1 64.74 7.59 -2.11 0.06 0.89 13.61 2.90P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 22 34 -2 64.98 7.69 -5.79 0.05 1.04 14.46 2.93P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 23 30 +2 62.56 7.55 3.95 0.02 0.41 9.21 2.27P 0.00R 0.00 Chesterfield 23 28 +2 61.56 7.60 5.30 0.01 0.33 7.89 1.85P 0.01R 0.00 Macclesfield 23 27 -18 48.69 6.93 -37.39 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 1.04R 0.12 Port_Vale 23 26 -13 48.58 7.07 -26.98 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 0.95R 0.12 Morecambe 23 25 -9 50.78 7.22 -18.31 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.03P 0.52R 0.06 Notts_County 23 24 -10 49.27 7.15 -20.13 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.03P 0.89R 0.13 Chester 23 23 -13 47.53 7.33 -24.59 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 1.90R 0.30 Accrington_Stanley 22 22 -9 48.23 7.44 -19.75 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 1.62R 0.25 Rotherham 22 19 +7 57.88 7.92 16.48 0.00 0.07 3.66 1.27P 0.12R 0.01 Barnet 23 19 -21 39.75 6.91 -40.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.68R 3.86 Grimsby 23 14 -23 31.94 6.44 -45.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.10R 24.66 Bournemouth 23 7 -9 32.14 7.31 -19.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.08R 24.46 Luton 23 -1 -3 28.13 7.62 -6.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.07R 46.02 Adjustments: Rotherham -17 Bournemouth -17 Luton -30Conference (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 1 January 2009, Crawley_Town vs Woking; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Burton_Albion 27 61 +23 94.63 6.50 35.18 61.37 98.42 69.49P 0.00 0.00 Histon 24 48 +16 86.59 7.42 29.35 16.00 82.71 31.83P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 26 46 +18 79.53 6.86 27.73 2.44 52.90 15.96P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 25 46 +12 81.08 7.16 21.47 4.17 59.31 16.64P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 25 45 +14 82.09 7.21 26.65 5.55 65.96 21.05P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 26 43 +9 75.15 6.80 16.12 0.52 26.11 6.91P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 23 41 +17 83.40 7.49 34.89 8.88 72.42 26.75P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'monds 26 38 +9 70.02 6.78 15.95 0.07 8.94 2.39P 0.01R 0.00 Stevenage 27 38 -1 64.36 6.55 -0.71 0.00 1.60 0.24P 0.13R 0.00 Kettering 22 36 +7 74.96 7.89 16.20 0.99 28.67 8.23P 0.01R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 26 36 +2 64.84 6.85 4.27 0.00 2.16 0.41P 0.12R 0.00 Altrincham 25 35 -10 58.90 6.79 -17.70 0.00 0.27 0.04P 1.54R 0.00 Eastbourne_Borough 26 33 -11 56.23 6.73 -18.34 0.00 0.07 0.00P 4.17R 0.01 Weymouth 26 32 -4 58.14 6.76 -6.51 0.00 0.17 0.02P 1.97R 0.02 Ebbsfleet_United 27 30 -6 54.47 6.60 -8.37 0.00 0.03 0.01P 5.53R 0.07 York 27 29 -4 58.15 6.80 0.88 0.00 0.09 0.01P 1.96R 0.03 Grays_Athletic 25 28 -10 48.87 6.68 -21.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.94R 0.38 Salisbury 25 28 -11 49.12 6.69 -23.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.28R 0.35 Mansfield 25 27 -2 56.90 7.07 -0.40 0.00 0.15 0.02P 3.25R 0.04 Barrow 24 27 -7 51.46 6.98 -17.70 0.00 0.02 0.00P 14.87R 0.29 Woking 26 26 -6 50.19 6.72 -9.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.26R 0.28 Forest_Green 24 26 -11 51.05 7.10 -20.06 0.00 0.01 0.00P 17.27R 0.42 Lewes 25 17 -29 29.53 5.46 -56.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.08R 80.84 Northwich 24 15 -15 37.31 6.94 -28.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.62R 17.27 Adjustments: Mansfield -4