Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 31 December 2008 at 22:05:16 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 December 2008, Hull vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 20 45 +22 82.22 5.83 41.71 35.32 70.06 93.23 98.57 99.97 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 20 42 +31 83.21 5.27 57.86 46.94 79.84 96.19 99.40 99.99 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 18 38 +19 78.57 6.48 38.29 16.63 43.28 81.66 94.55 99.72 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 20 38 +11 69.45 6.30 22.14 0.88 5.09 19.47 62.26 95.64 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 20 35 +10 65.90 6.37 20.19 0.22 1.63 8.33 35.30 88.42 0.00 0.00 Everton 20 32 +2 57.43 6.42 3.03 0.00 0.06 0.62 4.95 43.66 0.04R 0.00 Wigan 19 28 +3 54.06 6.70 3.29 0.00 0.02 0.24 2.30 25.22 0.33R 0.03 Hull 20 27 -9 48.21 6.33 -15.88 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.19 5.17 3.26R 0.32 Fulham 19 26 +4 52.86 6.63 6.15 0.00 0.02 0.20 1.63 20.24 0.40R 0.02 West_Ham 20 25 -4 46.67 6.40 -8.79 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.16 3.95 4.59R 0.52 Bolton 20 23 -6 45.26 6.43 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 2.49 7.44R 1.08 Portsmouth 20 23 -12 41.14 6.13 -22.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.54 21.63R 4.27 Man_City 20 22 +8 50.46 6.33 14.10 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.54 11.80 1.28R 0.13 Newcastle 20 22 -6 43.67 6.39 -11.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 1.49 11.32R 1.95 Sunderland 20 22 -8 41.19 6.19 -16.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.66 19.99R 3.74 Tottenham 20 20 -5 41.65 6.37 -9.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.75 17.77R 3.63 Middlesbrough 20 20 -12 37.47 6.02 -22.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 42.02R 12.30 Stoke 20 20 -15 37.42 6.10 -27.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 43.78R 13.71 Blackburn 20 18 -14 35.30 6.04 -27.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 56.62R 22.43 West_Brom 20 18 -19 33.45 5.90 -33.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 69.52R 35.87Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 December 2008, Blackpool vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 26 58 +24 96.94 6.47 44.01 63.38 91.01 99.96 93.40P 0.00 0.00 Reading 26 51 +29 92.42 6.31 52.18 30.89 78.37 99.78 86.46P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 26 51 +11 84.76 6.84 20.32 4.96 22.42 94.72 40.68P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 26 44 +11 77.81 6.72 20.41 0.43 4.17 76.06 23.16P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 26 43 +5 73.62 6.92 9.90 0.10 1.18 51.47 10.44P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 26 41 +12 74.50 6.66 21.01 0.17 1.65 59.60 17.86P 0.00 0.00 Preston 26 41 +4 69.76 6.77 5.44 0.02 0.33 29.50 5.82P 0.00R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 26 40 +10 71.66 6.90 16.21 0.06 0.77 42.72 11.63P 0.00 0.00 QPR 26 38 -1 64.16 6.67 -2.27 0.00 0.03 8.70 1.74P 0.08R 0.00 Ipswich 26 35 +7 65.51 6.67 11.48 0.00 0.05 13.91 3.66P 0.05R 0.00 Swansea 26 35 +3 65.27 6.82 7.26 0.00 0.02 13.17 3.02P 0.09R 0.00 Bristol_City 26 34 -2 61.30 6.71 -2.22 0.00 0.01 4.18 0.81P 0.47R 0.02 Sheff_Wed 26 34 -12 54.85 6.43 -21.99 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.08P 5.02R 0.38 Coventry 26 33 -2 58.17 6.79 -5.06 0.00 0.00 1.81 0.36P 1.52R 0.10 Plymouth 26 33 -2 58.58 6.76 -4.46 0.00 0.00 2.01 0.47P 1.32R 0.10 Barnsley 26 32 -4 56.98 6.61 -7.68 0.00 0.00 0.99 0.18P 2.26R 0.14 Blackpool 26 31 -7 55.45 6.61 -11.06 0.00 0.00 0.60 0.14P 4.04R 0.37 Derby 26 29 -9 52.34 6.56 -15.26 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.04P 9.76R 1.15 Watford 26 27 -6 52.38 6.67 -11.12 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.04P 10.00R 1.33 Norwich 26 26 -10 48.84 6.52 -18.39 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 21.66R 3.85 Nottm_Forest 26 24 -12 44.81 6.38 -22.99 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 44.95R 11.64 Doncaster 26 24 -14 42.67 5.98 -25.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.78R 18.34 Southampton 26 23 -18 42.18 6.24 -30.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.88R 23.70 Charlton 26 19 -17 39.60 6.43 -29.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.10R 38.87League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 December 2008, Cheltenham vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leicester 23 51 +24 97.33 7.17 47.33 52.43 82.86 99.50 88.47P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 23 49 +25 95.07 7.24 49.02 38.07 74.75 98.93 82.62P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 23 44 +7 79.69 7.77 13.14 1.17 5.73 62.69 17.29P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 23 43 +15 84.18 7.56 31.32 4.05 16.03 83.58 33.23P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 23 41 +15 82.14 7.58 30.30 2.40 10.61 76.90 29.74P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 23 41 +12 80.32 7.66 24.55 1.45 6.96 68.29 21.47P 0.00 0.00 Stockport 23 37 +10 74.48 7.54 19.10 0.22 1.45 38.13 10.96P 0.01R 0.00 Tranmere 23 37 +4 70.64 7.73 7.01 0.07 0.44 20.20 4.41P 0.04R 0.00 Leeds 23 36 +8 73.01 7.74 16.50 0.13 1.02 31.43 7.85P 0.02R 0.00 Huddersfield 23 35 -2 65.60 7.63 -4.09 0.01 0.08 6.93 1.25P 0.30R 0.00 Colchester 23 31 -1 62.45 7.54 -1.96 0.00 0.02 3.22 0.62P 0.98R 0.01 Walsall 23 31 -1 62.79 7.64 -1.12 0.00 0.03 3.89 0.77P 0.81R 0.01 Southend 23 30 -8 57.55 7.56 -14.95 0.00 0.00 0.82 0.12P 4.36R 0.07 Northampton 23 29 +1 60.81 7.69 1.23 0.00 0.01 2.31 0.56P 1.68R 0.02 Hartlepool 23 29 -4 57.90 7.62 -9.46 0.00 0.01 1.01 0.18P 3.97R 0.07 Bristol_Rovers 23 26 +2 59.73 7.74 4.76 0.00 0.00 1.81 0.40P 2.39R 0.04 Carlisle 23 25 -7 52.92 7.64 -13.34 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.04P 13.35R 0.48 Yeovil 23 24 -11 48.56 7.23 -21.25 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 29.28R 1.48 Brighton 23 23 -7 50.85 7.56 -13.23 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 19.35R 0.91 Swindon 23 23 -8 50.39 7.36 -16.56 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 20.70R 0.98 Leyton_Orient 23 22 -11 45.75 7.16 -21.45 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 44.08R 3.62 Cheltenham 23 20 -23 38.89 6.68 -48.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.15R 22.48 Hereford 23 17 -19 36.02 6.59 -37.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.76R 36.27 Crewe 23 16 -21 36.80 6.98 -41.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.78R 33.56League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 December 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Wycombe 23 46 +18 90.57 7.10 36.98 48.99 84.64 98.94 89.30P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 22 41 +14 84.73 7.60 30.10 18.02 58.04 93.44 68.56P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 23 39 +13 77.34 7.67 24.30 3.48 21.87 73.19 33.24P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 22 37 +22 84.41 7.53 46.54 18.66 59.96 93.59 70.52P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 23 37 +18 79.24 7.35 34.90 5.37 30.84 82.31 47.24P 0.00 0.00 Bury 23 36 +9 74.09 7.47 19.90 1.29 10.95 58.08 22.00P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 22 36 +5 70.35 7.84 7.57 0.55 5.16 36.40 11.05P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 22 35 +13 75.87 7.81 25.79 2.69 17.55 66.88 30.58P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 22 35 +8 72.11 7.84 14.66 0.80 8.04 46.69 15.80P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 23 34 -1 64.76 7.68 -2.07 0.06 1.08 14.26 3.24P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 22 34 -2 65.00 7.69 -5.74 0.07 1.06 14.88 3.06P 0.00R 0.00 Lincoln_City 23 30 +2 62.51 7.54 3.88 0.01 0.39 9.05 2.22P 0.01R 0.00 Chesterfield 23 28 +2 61.63 7.54 5.37 0.01 0.32 7.80 1.76P 0.01R 0.00 Macclesfield 23 27 -18 48.77 6.92 -37.26 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.01P 0.95R 0.13 Port_Vale 23 26 -13 48.73 7.14 -26.82 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.01P 1.20R 0.19 Morecambe 23 25 -9 50.80 7.25 -18.29 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.04P 0.57R 0.07 Notts_County 23 24 -10 49.27 7.18 -20.08 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 0.97R 0.17 Chester 23 23 -13 47.65 7.25 -24.32 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.01P 1.81R 0.31 Accrington_Stanley 22 22 -9 48.21 7.49 -19.72 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.01P 1.61R 0.28 Rotherham 22 19 +7 57.74 7.95 16.25 0.00 0.09 3.63 1.34P 0.08R 0.01 Barnet 23 19 -21 39.57 6.94 -41.23 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 16.01R 4.46 Grimsby 23 14 -23 32.28 6.52 -45.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.28R 23.77 Bournemouth 23 7 -9 32.02 7.22 -19.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.29R 25.24 Luton 23 -1 -3 28.38 7.58 -6.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.22R 45.39 Adjustments: Rotherham -17 Bournemouth -17 Luton -30Conference (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 December 2008, Mansfield vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Burton_Albion 26 58 +21 92.57 6.81 32.46 50.91 95.86 60.44P 0.00 0.00 Histon 24 48 +16 86.73 7.45 29.65 19.58 82.33 34.17P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 25 46 +12 80.85 7.17 21.19 4.78 56.29 16.20P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 25 45 +18 81.36 7.06 29.87 5.51 61.43 21.25P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 25 45 +14 82.16 7.19 26.80 6.88 64.83 21.71P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 26 43 +9 75.04 6.68 15.96 0.51 24.09 6.49P 0.00R 0.00 Wrexham 23 41 +17 83.28 7.47 34.80 10.36 70.81 27.17P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'monds 25 37 +9 71.32 7.02 17.32 0.18 12.26 3.44P 0.00R 0.00 Stevenage 26 37 -1 63.95 6.83 -2.05 0.00 1.42 0.26P 0.14R 0.00 Kettering 22 36 +7 75.14 7.89 16.52 1.28 28.30 8.41P 0.00R 0.00 Altrincham 25 35 -10 59.16 6.80 -17.26 0.00 0.24 0.02P 1.17R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 25 33 +0 63.47 7.03 2.57 0.01 1.37 0.27P 0.31R 0.00 Weymouth 26 32 -4 57.81 6.76 -7.04 0.00 0.13 0.02P 1.71R 0.02 Ebbsfleet_United 26 30 -4 56.68 6.80 -4.93 0.00 0.07 0.01P 2.65R 0.07 Eastbourne_Borough 25 30 -13 54.13 6.99 -21.18 0.00 0.03 0.01P 6.85R 0.12 York 26 29 -2 60.23 7.12 3.99 0.00 0.34 0.08P 1.11R 0.02 Salisbury 24 28 -9 50.61 7.01 -21.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.32R 0.45 Mansfield 25 27 -2 56.88 7.08 -0.40 0.00 0.15 0.04P 2.76R 0.07 Barrow 24 27 -7 51.54 7.04 -17.49 0.00 0.01 0.00P 12.68R 0.43 Forest_Green 24 26 -11 51.22 7.17 -19.92 0.00 0.02 0.00P 14.85R 0.55 Woking 25 25 -6 49.13 6.86 -11.20 0.00 0.01 0.00 19.29R 0.68 Grays_Athletic 24 25 -12 45.78 6.82 -25.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.95R 1.90 Lewes 24 17 -27 31.15 5.87 -53.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.58R 72.89 Northwich 24 15 -15 37.07 6.93 -28.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.63R 22.79 Adjustments: Mansfield -4