Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 29 December 2008 at 22:05:13 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 December 2008, Arsenal vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 20 45 +22 82.31 5.80 41.85 35.46 72.31 94.08 98.86 99.98 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 20 42 +31 83.35 5.21 58.01 48.38 82.15 97.04 99.49 99.99 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 17 35 +18 77.76 6.73 38.72 15.11 39.68 80.75 93.70 99.55 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 20 35 +10 65.77 6.33 19.96 0.20 1.55 9.09 38.72 88.32 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 19 35 +10 68.14 6.72 21.90 0.84 4.23 17.51 56.64 92.42 0.00R 0.00 Everton 20 32 +2 57.36 6.47 2.91 0.00 0.05 0.80 5.92 43.25 0.05R 0.00 Wigan 19 28 +3 53.95 6.73 3.14 0.00 0.02 0.40 2.96 24.81 0.34R 0.03 Hull 19 27 -8 49.46 6.55 -15.48 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.63 8.28 2.45R 0.24 Fulham 19 26 +4 52.99 6.64 6.33 0.00 0.01 0.23 2.01 21.19 0.48R 0.03 West_Ham 20 25 -4 46.57 6.39 -8.96 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.17 3.88 4.85R 0.54 Bolton 20 23 -6 45.56 6.49 -9.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 2.95 7.13R 0.96 Portsmouth 20 23 -12 41.06 6.11 -22.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.55 22.56R 4.65 Man_City 20 22 +8 50.44 6.31 14.04 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.73 11.64 1.25R 0.14 Newcastle 20 22 -6 43.65 6.36 -11.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 1.49 11.52R 2.00 Sunderland 20 22 -8 41.16 6.22 -16.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.62 20.50R 3.96 Tottenham 20 20 -5 41.73 6.41 -9.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.80 17.90R 3.72 Middlesbrough 19 20 -11 37.83 6.16 -23.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 40.63R 11.92 Stoke 20 20 -15 37.41 6.08 -27.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 44.08R 13.70 Blackburn 20 18 -14 35.50 6.04 -27.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 55.65R 21.71 West_Brom 20 18 -19 33.36 5.84 -33.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 70.61R 36.39Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 December 2008, Blackpool vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 26 58 +24 97.00 6.51 44.25 63.67 91.07 99.97 93.44P 0.00 0.00 Reading 26 51 +29 92.30 6.35 51.97 30.62 78.44 99.73 86.53P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 26 51 +11 84.81 6.72 20.40 4.96 22.35 95.02 41.15P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 26 44 +11 77.72 6.76 20.27 0.46 4.05 75.73 22.98P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 26 43 +5 73.46 6.92 9.61 0.10 1.15 50.86 10.40P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 26 41 +12 74.49 6.68 21.01 0.11 1.60 60.12 18.00P 0.00 0.00 Preston 26 41 +4 69.86 6.73 5.59 0.03 0.38 29.92 5.99P 0.00R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 26 40 +10 71.56 6.99 16.09 0.06 0.83 42.23 10.92P 0.00R 0.00 QPR 26 38 -1 63.96 6.58 -2.45 0.00 0.02 8.10 1.60P 0.08R 0.00 Ipswich 26 35 +7 65.86 6.63 12.01 0.00 0.05 15.02 3.93P 0.05R 0.00 Swansea 26 35 +3 65.35 6.85 7.43 0.00 0.04 13.30 3.10P 0.11R 0.00 Bristol_City 26 34 -2 61.35 6.72 -2.15 0.00 0.01 4.14 0.88P 0.50R 0.03 Sheff_Wed 26 34 -12 54.93 6.44 -21.91 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.06P 4.85R 0.36 Coventry 26 33 -2 58.24 6.68 -4.97 0.00 0.00 1.65 0.30P 1.47R 0.08 Plymouth 26 33 -2 58.38 6.67 -4.76 0.00 0.00 1.73 0.34P 1.33R 0.06 Barnsley 26 32 -4 56.91 6.63 -7.73 0.00 0.00 0.98 0.20P 2.34R 0.15 Blackpool 26 31 -7 55.45 6.58 -11.08 0.00 0.00 0.58 0.10P 4.00R 0.33 Derby 26 29 -9 52.36 6.62 -15.26 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.04P 9.97R 1.15 Watford 26 27 -6 52.39 6.69 -11.18 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.03P 10.17R 1.29 Norwich 26 26 -10 48.88 6.55 -18.34 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 22.01R 3.80 Nottm_Forest 26 24 -12 44.94 6.39 -22.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.90R 11.20 Doncaster 26 24 -14 42.68 5.99 -25.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.59R 18.38 Southampton 26 23 -18 42.07 6.24 -30.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.16R 24.13 Charlton 26 19 -17 39.54 6.43 -29.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.46R 39.04League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 December 2008, Cheltenham vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leicester 23 51 +24 97.44 7.14 47.47 52.12 83.05 99.52 88.46P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 23 49 +25 95.30 7.29 49.50 38.93 76.09 98.99 83.35P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 23 44 +7 79.67 7.74 13.12 1.10 5.58 62.24 17.13P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 23 43 +15 84.09 7.53 31.16 3.87 15.48 83.50 33.20P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 23 41 +15 81.94 7.54 29.99 2.25 10.00 75.96 28.51P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 23 41 +12 80.30 7.66 24.51 1.39 6.83 68.13 21.41P 0.00 0.00 Stockport 23 37 +10 74.47 7.57 19.03 0.15 1.32 38.36 11.05P 0.00R 0.00 Tranmere 23 37 +4 70.75 7.77 7.15 0.07 0.51 20.81 4.74P 0.03R 0.00 Leeds 23 36 +8 73.12 7.70 16.70 0.13 1.00 32.09 8.10P 0.01R 0.00 Huddersfield 23 35 -2 65.78 7.56 -3.75 0.01 0.06 7.21 1.35P 0.23R 0.00 Colchester 23 31 -1 62.33 7.59 -2.20 0.00 0.01 3.33 0.62P 1.05R 0.01 Walsall 23 31 -1 62.48 7.57 -1.65 0.00 0.02 3.33 0.66P 0.92R 0.01 Southend 23 30 -8 57.50 7.51 -15.03 0.00 0.00 0.76 0.15P 4.42R 0.06 Northampton 23 29 +1 60.84 7.70 1.29 0.00 0.01 2.46 0.55P 1.56R 0.01 Hartlepool 23 29 -4 58.22 7.71 -8.98 0.00 0.01 1.11 0.20P 3.72R 0.04 Bristol_Rovers 23 26 +2 59.72 7.78 4.71 0.00 0.01 1.88 0.46P 2.55R 0.04 Carlisle 23 25 -7 52.67 7.58 -13.80 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.03P 13.90R 0.52 Yeovil 23 24 -11 48.55 7.33 -21.30 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 29.56R 1.73 Brighton 23 23 -7 50.58 7.54 -13.67 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 20.22R 0.97 Swindon 23 23 -8 50.57 7.45 -16.25 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 20.42R 1.07 Leyton_Orient 23 22 -11 45.89 7.08 -21.32 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 42.84R 3.47 Cheltenham 23 20 -23 38.92 6.68 -47.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.07R 22.40 Hereford 23 17 -19 36.11 6.72 -37.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.12R 36.19 Crewe 23 16 -21 36.71 6.90 -41.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.37R 33.47League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 December 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Wycombe 23 46 +18 90.56 7.04 36.91 49.60 84.85 99.00 89.51P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 22 41 +14 84.68 7.54 29.96 17.94 58.14 93.71 68.58P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 23 39 +13 77.33 7.62 24.30 3.64 22.03 72.91 33.60P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 22 37 +22 84.17 7.54 46.04 18.18 59.03 93.22 69.80P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 23 37 +18 79.05 7.34 34.58 5.04 30.31 81.92 46.65P 0.00 0.00 Bury 23 36 +9 74.17 7.48 20.07 1.29 11.42 58.10 22.58P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 22 36 +5 70.29 7.86 7.44 0.54 5.16 36.38 10.71P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 22 35 +13 75.78 7.81 25.69 2.61 17.37 66.31 30.19P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 22 35 +8 72.26 7.91 14.87 1.02 8.65 47.16 16.43P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 23 34 -1 64.75 7.66 -2.09 0.05 0.99 14.13 3.19P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 22 34 -2 65.08 7.69 -5.57 0.06 1.16 14.92 3.03P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 23 30 +2 62.61 7.51 3.97 0.03 0.43 9.14 2.31P 0.00R 0.00 Chesterfield 23 28 +2 61.76 7.58 5.62 0.01 0.35 8.35 1.98P 0.01R 0.00 Macclesfield 23 27 -18 48.72 7.00 -37.28 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.01P 1.07R 0.16 Port_Vale 23 26 -13 48.69 7.18 -26.91 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.02P 1.15R 0.17 Morecambe 23 25 -9 50.88 7.26 -18.11 0.00 0.01 0.28 0.05P 0.55R 0.05 Notts_County 23 24 -10 49.28 7.20 -20.06 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.01P 0.99R 0.16 Chester 23 23 -13 47.68 7.27 -24.29 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 1.79R 0.32 Accrington_Stanley 22 22 -9 48.43 7.54 -19.32 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.03P 1.54R 0.27 Rotherham 22 19 +7 57.88 7.94 16.43 0.00 0.08 3.86 1.27P 0.09R 0.01 Barnet 23 19 -21 39.51 6.87 -41.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.68R 4.36 Grimsby 23 14 -23 32.15 6.56 -45.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.09R 24.04 Bournemouth 23 7 -9 32.11 7.23 -19.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.54R 24.63 Luton 23 -1 -3 28.26 7.57 -6.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.52R 45.82 Adjustments: Rotherham -17 Bournemouth -17 Luton -30Conference (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 December 2008, Mansfield vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Burton_Albion 26 58 +21 92.72 6.77 32.69 51.33 96.43 61.05P 0.00 0.00 Histon 24 48 +16 86.75 7.41 29.69 19.14 82.50 34.18P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 25 46 +12 81.11 7.15 21.58 5.02 57.79 17.04P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 25 45 +18 81.48 7.01 30.00 5.49 62.11 21.21P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 25 45 +14 82.41 7.20 27.21 7.26 66.11 22.44P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 26 43 +9 74.99 6.76 15.92 0.57 24.14 6.61P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 23 41 +17 82.97 7.47 34.27 9.86 69.23 26.07P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'monds 25 37 +9 71.05 7.04 16.90 0.15 11.67 3.20P 0.00R 0.00 Stevenage 26 37 -1 63.89 6.78 -2.17 0.00 1.43 0.21P 0.18R 0.00 Kettering 22 36 +7 74.59 7.97 15.75 1.19 26.08 7.51P 0.01R 0.00 Altrincham 25 35 -10 58.81 6.79 -17.82 0.00 0.25 0.03P 1.38R 0.01 Oxford_Utd 25 33 +0 63.50 7.08 2.60 0.00 1.45 0.28P 0.32R 0.00 Weymouth 26 32 -4 57.95 6.78 -6.86 0.00 0.13 0.03P 1.65R 0.02 Ebbsfleet_United 26 30 -4 56.58 6.84 -5.04 0.00 0.08 0.02P 2.76R 0.04 Eastbourne_Borough 25 30 -13 54.27 6.98 -20.99 0.00 0.05 0.01P 6.79R 0.15 York 26 29 -2 60.34 7.13 4.16 0.00 0.34 0.07P 0.98R 0.02 Salisbury 24 28 -9 50.61 7.07 -21.38 0.00 0.01 0.00P 16.37R 0.43 Mansfield 25 27 -2 57.06 7.13 -0.13 0.00 0.15 0.03P 2.67R 0.09 Barrow 24 27 -7 51.66 7.05 -17.30 0.00 0.02 0.00 12.54R 0.39 Forest_Green 24 26 -11 51.19 7.09 -19.93 0.00 0.02 0.00 14.75R 0.54 Woking 25 25 -6 49.44 6.93 -10.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.35R 0.67 Grays_Athletic 24 25 -12 45.67 6.75 -25.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.58R 2.03 Lewes 24 17 -27 31.15 5.83 -53.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.75R 72.89 Northwich 24 15 -15 37.10 6.91 -28.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.92R 22.72 Adjustments: Mansfield -4