Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 28 December 2008 at 22:05:34 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 December 2008, Arsenal vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Liverpool       20   45  +22      82.38     5.86    41.99    35.61    71.45    93.91    98.77    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         20   42  +31      83.41     5.21    58.17    48.03    81.93    97.05    99.55   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         17   35  +18      78.01     6.71    39.15    15.33    40.66    81.29    94.17    99.51     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         20   35  +10      65.80     6.34    20.04     0.23     1.64     9.05    38.20    88.47     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     19   35  +10      68.19     6.70    21.99     0.79     4.21    17.27    56.64    92.51     0.00R    0.00  
Everton         20   32   +2      57.48     6.40     3.13     0.00     0.07     0.77     6.07    43.66     0.04R    0.00  
Wigan           19   28   +3      54.18     6.66     3.40     0.00     0.02     0.37     2.88    25.52     0.27R    0.01  
Hull            19   27   -8      49.28     6.57   -15.83     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.65     7.80     2.58R    0.23  
Fulham          19   26   +4      52.87     6.64     6.18     0.00     0.01     0.19     1.94    20.55     0.46R    0.02  
West_Ham        20   25   -4      46.63     6.37    -8.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     3.95     4.76R    0.60  
Bolton          20   23   -6      45.31     6.45    -9.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     2.59     7.51R    1.09  
Portsmouth      20   23  -12      41.08     6.13   -22.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.58    22.68R    4.73  
Man_City        20   22   +8      50.40     6.30    13.98     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.73    11.72     1.19R    0.13  
Newcastle       20   22   -6      43.51     6.38   -11.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.50    11.91R    2.07  
Sunderland      20   22   -8      41.09     6.17   -16.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.58    20.44R    3.80  
Tottenham       20   20   -5      41.66     6.36    -9.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.77    17.69R    3.57  
Middlesbrough   19   20  -11      37.70     6.10   -23.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    41.29R   12.17  
Stoke           20   20  -15      37.72     6.15   -26.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    41.86R   12.88  
Blackburn       20   18  -14      35.40     6.05   -27.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    56.23R   22.12  
West_Brom       20   18  -19      33.29     5.78   -34.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    71.08R   36.59  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 December 2008, Barnsley vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    25   57  +24      98.01     6.64    45.17    67.46    92.68    99.97    94.63P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          26   51  +29      92.43     6.38    52.17    27.55    77.75    99.75    85.90P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       26   51  +11      84.89     6.74    20.51     4.27    21.80    94.90    40.46P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          26   44  +11      77.90     6.76    20.56     0.47     3.95    76.21    23.35P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          26   43   +5      73.59     6.94     9.82     0.09     1.19    51.25    10.67P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        26   41  +12      74.63     6.69    21.19     0.09     1.52    60.86    18.44P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          26   41   +4      69.78     6.75     5.47     0.02     0.35    29.39     5.74P    0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   26   40  +10      71.64     6.89    16.20     0.05     0.67    42.32    11.06P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              26   38   -1      63.95     6.65    -2.53     0.00     0.02     8.28     1.54P    0.08R    0.00  
Ipswich          26   35   +7      65.53     6.66    11.54     0.00     0.03    13.84     3.43P    0.07R    0.00  
Swansea          26   35   +3      65.42     6.84     7.52     0.00     0.03    13.50     2.91P    0.10R    0.00  
Bristol_City     26   34   -2      61.04     6.66    -2.62     0.00     0.00     3.60     0.69P    0.47R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed        26   34  -12      54.88     6.47   -21.94     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.07P    4.85R    0.40  
Coventry         26   33   -2      58.36     6.79    -4.76     0.00     0.01     1.96     0.43P    1.37R    0.07  
Plymouth         26   33   -2      58.39     6.75    -4.78     0.00     0.00     1.84     0.37P    1.28R    0.07  
Barnsley         26   32   -4      56.89     6.63    -7.80     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.16P    2.40R    0.15  
Blackpool        25   30   -7      55.12     6.82   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.10P    4.84R    0.42  
Derby            26   29   -9      52.26     6.57   -15.47     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   10.08R    1.18  
Watford          26   27   -6      52.48     6.67   -10.95     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P    9.65R    1.27  
Norwich          26   26  -10      49.01     6.57   -18.16     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    21.21R    3.64  
Nottm_Forest     26   24  -12      44.94     6.35   -22.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   43.58R   10.90  
Doncaster        26   24  -14      42.67     6.04   -25.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.49R   18.59  
Southampton      26   23  -18      41.94     6.20   -31.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.10R   24.39  
Charlton         26   19  -17      39.50     6.33   -30.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.44R   38.89  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 December 2008, Cheltenham vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        23   51  +24      97.55     7.16    47.68    43.90    84.36    99.61    89.55P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          22   49  +26      98.15     7.43    53.13    50.71    85.58    99.52    90.00P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         23   44   +7      79.75     7.76    13.24     0.83     4.94    64.58    17.24P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           23   41  +15      81.96     7.55    30.11     1.60     8.54    77.31    28.59P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       23   41  +12      80.31     7.65    24.47     1.05     6.03    69.41    21.25P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     22   40  +14      80.84     7.88    27.30     1.61     7.81    71.79    23.98P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        23   37  +10      74.42     7.60    19.01     0.14     1.25    39.66    11.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere         23   37   +4      70.68     7.77     7.07     0.03     0.41    21.59     4.82P    0.03R    0.00  
Leeds            23   36   +8      73.39     7.70    17.15     0.12     0.96    34.83     8.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield     23   35   -2      65.50     7.63    -4.25     0.01     0.05     7.51     1.22P    0.31R    0.00  
Colchester       23   31   -1      62.23     7.56    -2.34     0.00     0.02     3.37     0.65P    1.03R    0.01  
Walsall          23   31   -1      62.60     7.66    -1.45     0.00     0.02     4.04     0.77P    0.88R    0.00  
Southend         23   30   -8      57.34     7.49   -15.26     0.00     0.00     0.75     0.14P    4.61R    0.08  
Northampton      23   29   +1      60.80     7.66     1.24     0.00     0.01     2.61     0.60P    1.61R    0.01  
Hartlepool       23   29   -4      58.02     7.64    -9.32     0.00     0.00     1.16     0.23P    3.95R    0.06  
Bristol_Rovers   23   26   +2      59.70     7.71     4.62     0.00     0.01     1.87     0.38P    2.31R    0.04  
Carlisle         23   25   -7      52.81     7.64   -13.55     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.02P   13.48R    0.53  
Yeovil           23   24  -11      48.50     7.33   -21.42     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   30.07R    1.68  
Brighton         23   23   -7      51.14     7.54   -12.81     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P   18.14R    0.88  
Swindon          23   23   -8      50.46     7.43   -16.45     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   21.07R    1.07  
Leyton_Orient    23   22  -11      45.76     7.17   -21.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   44.01R    3.79  
Cheltenham       23   20  -23      38.85     6.64   -48.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.36R   22.84  
Hereford         23   17  -19      36.19     6.71   -37.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.95R   35.98  
Crewe            23   16  -21      36.84     6.89   -41.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.17R   33.04  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 December 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe              23   46  +18      90.58     7.11    36.98    49.21    84.26    98.90    89.02P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            22   41  +14      84.70     7.54    29.99    17.70    57.84    93.53    68.14P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             23   39  +13      77.57     7.58    24.62     3.71    22.26    74.06    33.94P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            22   37  +22      84.33     7.55    46.38    18.36    59.25    93.38    70.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           23   37  +18      79.28     7.35    34.96     5.53    31.00    82.24    47.56P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 23   36   +9      74.27     7.46    20.22     1.33    11.47    58.70    22.56P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               22   36   +5      70.24     7.88     7.41     0.51     5.06    35.80    10.50P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           22   35  +13      76.03     7.82    26.02     2.63    18.12    67.23    31.17P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             22   35   +8      72.01     7.91    14.49     0.87     7.88    45.79    15.66P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           23   34   -1      64.72     7.64    -2.15     0.04     0.88    13.72     2.86P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            22   34   -2      65.07     7.69    -5.55     0.07     1.13    14.94     3.10P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         23   30   +2      62.58     7.60     3.93     0.03     0.47     9.42     2.41P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         23   28   +2      61.51     7.59     5.18     0.01     0.30     7.63     1.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield         23   27  -18      48.63     6.93   -37.47     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    1.00R    0.11  
Port_Vale            23   26  -13      48.70     7.19   -26.89     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    1.07R    0.16  
Morecambe            23   25   -9      50.96     7.27   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.03P    0.54R    0.07  
Notts_County         23   24  -10      49.46     7.27   -19.82     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    0.87R    0.10  
Chester              23   23  -13      47.69     7.25   -24.34     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    1.73R    0.30  
Accrington_Stanley   22   22   -9      48.32     7.49   -19.53     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P    1.49R    0.25  
Rotherham            22   19   +7      57.78     7.97    16.32     0.00     0.08     3.75     1.28P    0.09R    0.01  
Barnet               23   19  -21      39.64     6.90   -41.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.86R    3.94  
Grimsby              23   14  -23      32.07     6.53   -45.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.77R   24.07  
Bournemouth          23    7   -9      31.92     7.22   -19.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.27R   24.89  
Luton                23   -1   -3      28.06     7.59    -6.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.31R   46.11  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 December 2008, Cambridge_Utd vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        25   55  +19      90.39     7.06    29.52    40.78    92.39    51.35P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               24   48  +16      86.56     7.36    29.37    21.95    81.82    35.91P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        25   46  +12      81.12     7.21    21.61     6.37    57.93    18.36P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         25   45  +18      81.35     6.99    29.84     6.68    61.41    22.05P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              25   45  +14      82.38     7.12    27.15     8.60    66.23    23.46P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        26   43   +9      75.23     6.71    16.24     0.81    24.83     6.87P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              23   41  +17      83.42     7.51    35.03    13.11    71.23    29.36P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    25   37   +9      71.21     7.00    17.21     0.20    12.10     3.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage            26   37   -1      63.83     6.81    -2.23     0.01     1.51     0.26P    0.14R    0.00  
Kettering            22   36   +7      74.69     7.90    15.86     1.47    26.62     8.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Altrincham           25   35  -10      58.97     6.77   -17.50     0.00     0.24     0.03P    1.24R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           25   33   +0      63.43     7.09     2.51     0.01     1.46     0.30P    0.32R    0.01  
Weymouth             26   32   -4      57.96     6.76    -6.80     0.00     0.13     0.01P    1.64R    0.01  
Mansfield            24   31   +0      63.14     7.37     2.97     0.01     1.60     0.36P    0.43R    0.01  
Ebbsfleet_United     26   30   -4      56.78     6.83    -4.86     0.00     0.07     0.02P    2.66R    0.04  
Eastbourne_Borough   25   30  -13      54.23     7.01   -21.07     0.00     0.03     0.00P    7.10R    0.12  
York                 26   29   -2      60.38     7.05     4.22     0.00     0.32     0.09P    0.91R    0.02  
Salisbury            24   28   -9      50.65     7.01   -21.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.18R    0.37  
Barrow               24   27   -7      51.62     7.04   -17.37     0.00     0.03     0.00P   12.86R    0.39  
Forest_Green         24   26  -11      51.05     7.12   -20.19     0.00     0.01     0.00    15.36R    0.54  
Woking               25   25   -6      49.38     6.88   -10.83     0.00     0.01     0.00    18.38R    0.57  
Grays_Athletic       24   25  -12      45.56     6.72   -26.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.21R    1.72  
Lewes                24   17  -27      30.88     5.83   -54.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.01R   73.55  
Northwich            24   15  -15      36.91     6.91   -28.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.56R   22.64