Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 27 December 2008 at 22:35:06 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 26 December 2008, Aston_Villa vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Liverpool       19   42  +18      79.70     6.31    35.70    20.28    56.98    88.12    96.89    99.89     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         19   41  +31      84.82     5.31    59.07    63.49    88.88    98.27    99.70   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         17   35  +18      78.01     6.72    39.32    15.28    46.73    83.00    94.81    99.69     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     19   35  +10      68.05     6.68    21.82     0.72     5.07    19.37    59.71    92.93     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         19   32   +9      65.06     6.66    20.81     0.22     2.22     9.97    37.82    86.59     0.00R    0.00  
Everton         19   29   -1      54.52     6.74    -1.97     0.00     0.03     0.44     3.38    29.75     0.37R    0.01  
Hull            19   27   -8      49.37     6.61   -15.54     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.81     9.35     2.72R    0.15  
Fulham          18   25   +4      51.89     6.67     4.85     0.00     0.02     0.18     1.67    18.81     0.83R    0.04  
Wigan           18   25   +2      51.95     7.11     1.49     0.00     0.05     0.35     2.32    20.17     1.17R    0.07  
Bolton          19   23   -5      47.23     6.82    -8.19     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.40     6.49     5.31R    0.42  
Portsmouth      19   23  -11      41.67     6.35   -23.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.06    21.13R    2.79  
Newcastle       19   22   -2      45.89     6.68    -5.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.21     4.31     7.07R    0.62  
West_Ham        19   22   -5      45.03     6.72    -9.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16     3.46     9.26R    0.88  
Sunderland      19   22   -5      43.72     6.64   -11.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     2.39    12.10R    1.24  
Man_City        19   21   +8      52.00     6.70    16.41     0.00     0.01     0.15     1.77    20.78     1.16R    0.08  
Tottenham       19   20   -3      45.09     6.84    -4.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20     3.66     9.21R    1.25  
Middlesbrough   19   20  -11      37.61     6.12   -24.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15    43.34R    8.86  
Stoke           19   20  -14      38.63     6.46   -26.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.41    38.51R    7.63  
Blackburn       19   17  -14      34.72     6.30   -29.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    62.00R   20.18  
West_Brom       19   15  -21      29.88     6.03   -39.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    85.83R   55.79  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 26 December 2008, Burnley vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    25   57  +24      97.93     6.67    44.92    59.68    89.91    99.95    92.66P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          25   50  +29      94.19     6.54    54.57    34.34    80.19    99.81    87.79P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       25   50  +11      86.09     7.02    21.73     5.29    23.04    95.26    41.76P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          25   43   +6      75.99     7.14    12.36     0.22     1.96    62.12    13.47P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          25   41  +10      76.70     7.06    20.20     0.27     2.34    67.87    19.93P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   25   40  +11      73.71     7.24    18.21     0.11     1.20    51.94    14.21P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          25   40   +4      70.03     7.06     5.22     0.02     0.37    29.35     5.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        25   38  +10      73.47     6.93    19.89     0.07     0.89    50.96    14.91P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              25   37   -1      65.50     7.05    -1.03     0.00     0.02    12.00     2.42P    0.06R    0.01  
Swansea          25   34   +3      65.14     7.09     6.45     0.00     0.05    12.38     2.83P    0.08R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        25   34  -10      56.48     6.77   -19.60     0.00     0.00     0.90     0.17P    2.54R    0.14  
Plymouth         25   33   -1      59.53     6.98    -4.14     0.00     0.01     2.79     0.55P    0.77R    0.03  
Ipswich          25   32   +6      63.71     6.92    10.07     0.00     0.02     8.82     2.25P    0.14R    0.00  
Bristol_City     25   31   -3      59.07     6.93    -4.34     0.00     0.00     2.21     0.43P    1.01R    0.06  
Barnsley         25   31   -4      57.45     6.94    -7.54     0.00     0.00     1.27     0.27P    1.81R    0.09  
Coventry         25   30   -4      56.27     7.04    -7.50     0.00     0.00     1.05     0.21P    2.70R    0.23  
Blackpool        25   30   -7      55.04     6.84   -12.15     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.11P    4.03R    0.30  
Derby            25   29   -8      54.05     6.89   -13.97     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.08P    5.37R    0.47  
Watford          25   26   -6      52.31     6.89   -12.07     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P    8.60R    0.95  
Norwich          25   26   -9      51.47     6.91   -15.11     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P   10.68R    1.30  
Southampton      25   22  -18      41.00     6.38   -33.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.36R   23.67  
Nottm_Forest     25   21  -13      41.81     6.57   -25.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   58.33R   18.05  
Doncaster        25   21  -15      39.58     6.19   -28.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.40R   28.85  
Charlton         25   19  -15      40.40     6.60   -28.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.13R   25.86  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 26 December 2008, Brighton vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        22   48  +23      97.40     7.29    49.12    44.08    80.06    99.44    86.52P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          21   46  +24      97.39     7.71    53.22    46.97    79.12    99.17    85.31P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         22   43   +7      81.43     7.95    15.12     1.64     7.29    69.82    19.51P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       22   41  +14      83.35     7.89    29.49     2.73    11.59    79.50    28.46P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           22   40  +15      83.76     7.84    32.84     2.90    12.81    81.40    32.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Stockport        22   37  +12      77.87     7.81    24.17     0.57     3.32    55.59    18.13P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     21   37  +11      78.74     8.26    23.09     1.04     5.12    59.03    18.29P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         22   34   +3      68.87     8.02     5.77     0.02     0.25    15.17     3.19P    0.11R    0.00  
Leeds            22   33   +6      69.55     8.02    11.39     0.05     0.34    18.09     4.21P    0.08R    0.00  
Huddersfield     22   32   -4      62.58     7.87    -8.69     0.00     0.03     3.73     0.63P    1.06R    0.01  
Walsall          22   31   +0      64.11     7.87    -0.30     0.00     0.02     5.56     1.04P    0.62R    0.00  
Southend         22   30   -6      58.28     7.67   -14.61     0.00     0.01     1.00     0.16P    3.58R    0.03  
Hartlepool       22   29   -1      62.85     7.86    -0.37     0.00     0.02     3.97     0.73P    0.93R    0.01  
Northampton      22   28   +1      61.77     8.10     2.05     0.00     0.01     3.48     0.84P    1.49R    0.01  
Colchester       22   28   -2      60.97     7.84    -3.07     0.00     0.01     2.55     0.46P    1.81R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   22   25   +2      59.68     7.98     3.71     0.00     0.00     2.04     0.42P    2.49R    0.03  
Carlisle         22   24   -7      52.05     7.69   -15.90     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   15.23R    0.42  
Swindon          22   23   -6      53.59     7.79   -11.47     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P   11.47R    0.25  
Yeovil           22   23  -11      47.96     7.49   -22.80     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   32.12R    1.32  
Leyton_Orient    22   22  -10      47.36     7.51   -20.62     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   34.45R    1.63  
Brighton         22   20   -9      47.43     7.77   -18.57     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   33.97R    1.85  
Cheltenham       22   20  -20      40.07     6.90   -44.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.26R   11.68  
Hereford         22   17  -18      35.97     6.76   -38.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.81R   26.34  
Crewe            22   13  -24      31.95     6.81   -50.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.52R   56.43  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 26 December 2008, Barnet vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe              22   45  +18      91.74     7.36    38.09    58.10    87.86    98.98    91.39P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            21   38  +12      81.78     7.96    26.21    10.64    44.10    85.51    55.96P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 22   36  +10      75.46     7.79    21.08     2.28    16.89    62.30    27.51P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             22   36   +9      74.74     7.90    18.54     1.99    14.71    58.24    24.10P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               21   36   +7      72.93     8.11    11.64     1.42    11.14    47.95    18.45P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             21   35   +9      74.77     8.22    17.60     2.18    15.63    57.86    24.44P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            21   34  +21      82.66     7.98    45.32    14.23    52.16    88.53    63.72P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           22   34  +17      77.75     7.68    34.13     4.13    26.64    74.13    42.09P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           21   34  +13      77.49     8.15    28.09     4.67    25.91    71.37    37.96P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            21   34   -1      66.46     7.99    -4.58     0.19     2.22    19.08     4.74P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham           22   33   -1      64.30     7.81    -3.20     0.10     1.11    12.35     2.95P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         22   30   +3      64.47     7.91     5.87     0.05     1.14    13.79     4.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield         22   27   +2      60.65     7.88     2.91     0.02     0.41     6.66     1.72P    0.02R    0.00  
Morecambe            22   25   -5      53.49     7.68   -11.94     0.00     0.02     0.84     0.18P    0.25R    0.02  
Notts_County         22   24   -7      52.34     7.57   -14.19     0.00     0.01     0.55     0.10P    0.35R    0.03  
Macclesfield         22   24  -20      46.06     7.16   -41.16     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    2.87R    0.45  
Chester              22   23  -11      50.15     7.64   -20.44     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P    0.93R    0.13  
Port_Vale            22   23  -14      45.69     7.38   -30.09     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    3.10R    0.57  
Accrington_Stanley   21   19  -11      46.27     7.74   -22.04     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    3.43R    0.67  
Rotherham            21   16   +4      54.38     8.29    10.63     0.00     0.04     1.47     0.50P    0.40R    0.07  
Barnet               22   16  -23      35.78     6.96   -47.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.04R   10.70  
Grimsby              22   14  -21      33.37     6.87   -43.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.77R   17.06  
Bournemouth          22    7   -7      35.95     7.75   -13.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.36R   11.11  
Luton                22   -4   -4      25.92     7.75    -8.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.48R   59.19  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 26 December 2008, Barrow vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        25   55  +19      89.87     7.05    28.62    37.44    91.51    48.40P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              24   45  +15      84.85     7.40    29.91    16.06    76.73    31.85P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               23   45  +13      83.90     7.77    24.46    13.43    70.60    26.26P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        24   43  +11      78.71     7.41    19.46     3.72    45.20    13.23P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         24   42  +17      80.77     7.31    30.92     6.56    58.58    21.55P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        25   42   +9      76.83     6.98    18.07     1.53    34.16     9.82P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              22   40  +17      85.34     7.63    37.62    19.55    78.74    36.39P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    25   37   +9      71.10     7.04    17.04     0.21    11.96     3.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Kettering            22   36   +7      74.64     7.88    15.80     1.49    26.73     7.98P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage            25   36   -1      63.52     6.95    -3.34     0.00     1.52     0.23P    0.23R    0.00  
Weymouth             26   32   -4      57.75     6.75    -7.21     0.00     0.12     0.02P    1.78R    0.03  
Altrincham           24   32  -11      55.64     6.94   -21.19     0.00     0.07     0.01P    4.49R    0.06  
Mansfield            24   31   +0      63.31     7.38     3.32     0.01     1.62     0.34P    0.35R    0.01  
Ebbsfleet_United     25   30   +0      59.71     7.10     1.70     0.00     0.42     0.10P    1.13R    0.02  
Oxford_Utd           24   30   -4      59.98     7.26    -4.49     0.00     0.48     0.10P    1.36R    0.02  
Eastbourne_Borough   24   30  -12      54.56     7.15   -22.29     0.00     0.06     0.01P    6.84R    0.12  
York                 25   29   -1      63.33     7.32     7.66     0.01     1.42     0.35P    0.41R    0.00  
Salisbury            24   28   -9      50.61     6.96   -21.25     0.00     0.01     0.00    16.39R    0.42  
Barrow               23   27   -6      53.15     7.35   -16.26     0.00     0.05     0.01P   10.09R    0.31  
Grays_Athletic       23   25   -9      47.98     7.17   -20.88     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.03R    1.03  
Woking               24   24   -6      48.35     7.07   -12.98     0.00     0.01     0.00    24.10R    0.93  
Forest_Green         23   23  -12      49.49     7.46   -21.16     0.00     0.01     0.00    22.91R    1.13  
Lewes                24   17  -27      30.78     5.82   -54.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.12R   74.02  
Northwich            24   15  -15      37.01     6.83   -28.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.75R   21.89