Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 26 December 2008 at 22:34:59 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 26 December 2008, Aston_Villa vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Liverpool       19   42  +18      79.63     6.38    35.65    19.58    56.87    87.80    96.70    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         19   41  +31      85.00     5.28    59.42    64.55    89.48    98.46    99.79   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         17   35  +18      78.00     6.69    39.27    14.95    46.40    82.76    94.77    99.64     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     19   35  +10      68.07     6.66    21.88     0.73     5.10    19.56    59.35    93.12     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         19   32   +9      65.15     6.64    21.01     0.18     2.04    10.19    38.22    86.62     0.00     0.00  
Everton         19   29   -1      54.49     6.78    -1.98     0.00     0.05     0.46     3.55    29.53     0.38R    0.01  
Hull            19   27   -8      49.30     6.62   -15.68     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.80     9.22     2.72R    0.18  
Fulham          18   25   +4      52.12     6.80     5.12     0.00     0.02     0.24     1.98    19.96     0.80R    0.06  
Wigan           18   25   +2      52.01     7.03     1.56     0.00     0.02     0.27     2.10    20.20     1.06R    0.05  
Bolton          19   23   -5      47.14     6.83    -8.28     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.32     6.37     5.35R    0.47  
Portsmouth      19   23  -11      41.53     6.36   -24.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.94    21.93R    3.07  
Newcastle       19   22   -2      45.71     6.66    -5.95     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.20     4.02     7.11R    0.66  
West_Ham        19   22   -5      45.19     6.67    -9.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17     3.50     8.63R    0.89  
Sunderland      19   22   -5      43.70     6.60   -11.67     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     2.42    12.09R    1.27  
Man_City        19   21   +8      52.01     6.61    16.37     0.00     0.01     0.16     1.71    20.58     1.02R    0.09  
Tottenham       19   20   -3      45.04     6.75    -4.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.19     3.37     8.86R    1.16  
Middlesbrough   19   20  -11      37.39     6.16   -24.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18    44.45R    9.60  
Stoke           19   20  -14      38.65     6.42   -26.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.39    38.21R    7.84  
Blackburn       19   17  -14      34.66     6.31   -29.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    62.51R   20.80  
West_Brom       19   15  -21      30.14     6.01   -38.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    84.89R   53.84  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 26 December 2008, Burnley vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    25   57  +24      97.83     6.66    44.75    59.39    90.11    99.96    92.80P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          25   50  +29      94.17     6.51    54.61    34.58    80.24    99.86    87.84P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       25   50  +11      85.95     7.00    21.57     5.29    22.52    95.21    41.62P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          25   43   +6      76.02     7.18    12.44     0.23     2.13    62.31    13.68P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          25   41  +10      76.77     7.06    20.29     0.29     2.52    68.29    20.26P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   25   40  +11      73.44     7.20    17.79     0.10     1.08    50.67    13.41P    0.00R    0.00  
Preston          25   40   +4      70.01     7.01     5.15     0.02     0.32    29.36     5.82P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        25   38  +10      73.54     7.00    19.99     0.09     0.97    51.51    15.15P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              25   37   -1      65.26     7.00    -1.34     0.00     0.05    11.46     2.38P    0.04R    0.00  
Swansea          25   34   +3      65.06     7.07     6.32     0.00     0.03    12.11     2.72P    0.09R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        25   34  -10      56.47     6.72   -19.66     0.00     0.00     0.87     0.13P    2.42R    0.17  
Plymouth         25   33   -1      59.50     7.01    -4.17     0.00     0.00     2.76     0.55P    0.85R    0.03  
Ipswich          25   32   +6      63.72     6.98    10.17     0.00     0.03     9.19     2.41P    0.13R    0.00  
Bristol_City     25   31   -3      59.16     7.01    -4.19     0.00     0.00     2.45     0.51P    1.00R    0.04  
Barnsley         25   31   -4      57.57     6.95    -7.38     0.00     0.00     1.48     0.28P    1.70R    0.08  
Coventry         25   30   -4      56.32     6.98    -7.46     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.18P    2.65R    0.17  
Blackpool        25   30   -7      55.24     6.91   -11.87     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.13P    3.79R    0.29  
Derby            25   29   -8      54.19     6.95   -13.76     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.08P    5.50R    0.50  
Watford          25   26   -6      52.30     6.96   -12.06     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P    9.04R    1.11  
Norwich          25   26   -9      51.26     6.92   -15.48     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   11.43R    1.50  
Southampton      25   22  -18      41.14     6.38   -33.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.63R   23.02  
Nottm_Forest     25   21  -13      41.95     6.56   -25.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.62R   17.83  
Doncaster        25   21  -15      39.68     6.17   -27.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.02R   28.08  
Charlton         25   19  -15      40.31     6.66   -28.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.09R   27.18  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 26 December 2008, Brighton vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        22   48  +23      97.51     7.23    49.36    44.67    80.44    99.49    86.80P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          21   46  +24      97.50     7.62    53.38    46.75    79.78    99.35    86.01P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         22   43   +7      81.51     7.98    15.18     1.49     7.30    70.45    19.96P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       22   41  +14      83.21     7.93    29.30     2.68    11.41    78.66    28.08P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           22   40  +15      83.65     7.79    32.63     2.83    12.24    81.23    31.28P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        22   37  +12      77.83     7.90    24.09     0.45     3.14    55.48    18.17P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     21   37  +11      78.71     8.27    22.98     1.06     5.04    58.96    17.74P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         22   34   +3      68.86     8.08     5.62     0.03     0.22    15.29     3.23P    0.14R    0.00  
Leeds            22   33   +6      69.48     8.05    11.28     0.02     0.34    18.04     4.31P    0.12R    0.00  
Huddersfield     22   32   -4      62.38     7.83    -9.07     0.00     0.02     3.45     0.59P    1.11R    0.01  
Walsall          22   31   +0      64.22     7.87    -0.08     0.01     0.03     5.52     1.06P    0.55R    0.00  
Southend         22   30   -6      58.20     7.62   -14.74     0.00     0.00     0.95     0.13P    3.48R    0.03  
Hartlepool       22   29   -1      62.80     8.05    -0.48     0.00     0.02     4.34     0.88P    1.07R    0.01  
Northampton      22   28   +1      61.82     8.00     2.11     0.00     0.00     3.39     0.71P    1.39R    0.02  
Colchester       22   28   -2      61.12     7.88    -2.87     0.00     0.01     2.65     0.52P    1.84R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   22   25   +2      59.87     8.09     4.06     0.00     0.00     2.30     0.47P    2.54R    0.03  
Carlisle         22   24   -7      52.05     7.71   -15.90     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   15.34R    0.41  
Swindon          22   23   -6      53.66     7.82   -11.32     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P   11.39R    0.30  
Yeovil           22   23  -11      47.89     7.37   -22.84     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   31.75R    1.24  
Leyton_Orient    22   22  -10      46.97     7.36   -21.14     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   35.96R    1.74  
Brighton         22   20   -9      47.54     7.70   -18.35     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   33.54R    1.81  
Cheltenham       22   20  -20      40.14     6.91   -43.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.61R   12.12  
Hereford         22   17  -18      35.82     6.73   -39.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.07R   27.19  
Crewe            22   13  -24      32.19     6.89   -50.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.11R   55.07  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 26 December 2008, Barnet vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe              22   45  +18      91.62     7.29    38.02    57.56    87.57    99.01    91.21P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            21   38  +12      81.81     8.01    26.33    10.95    44.36    85.52    56.14P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 22   36  +10      75.39     7.71    20.98     2.32    16.62    61.84    27.14P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             22   36   +9      74.56     7.92    18.23     2.06    14.41    57.41    23.61P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               21   36   +7      72.97     8.14    11.74     1.51    11.14    48.06    18.48P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             21   35   +9      74.98     8.20    17.94     2.37    16.46    59.00    25.47P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            21   34  +21      82.48     8.04    44.95    13.89    51.38    87.94    62.73P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           22   34  +17      77.83     7.71    34.21     4.42    27.29    74.45    42.82P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           21   34  +13      77.46     8.13    28.05     4.62    25.92    71.42    38.04P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            21   34   -1      66.21     8.00    -5.09     0.16     2.13    18.33     4.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham           22   33   -1      64.40     7.82    -3.07     0.07     1.16    12.85     3.20P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         22   30   +3      64.61     7.83     6.09     0.06     1.11    13.77     4.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield         22   27   +2      60.82     7.89     3.20     0.02     0.37     6.99     1.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe            22   25   -5      53.49     7.74   -11.95     0.00     0.01     0.95     0.17P    0.21R    0.02  
Notts_County         22   24   -7      52.16     7.59   -14.46     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.09P    0.42R    0.06  
Macclesfield         22   24  -20      46.16     7.17   -40.97     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    2.77R    0.39  
Chester              22   23  -11      50.04     7.69   -20.65     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.05P    1.03R    0.17  
Port_Vale            22   23  -14      45.64     7.38   -30.15     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    3.27R    0.50  
Accrington_Stanley   21   19  -11      46.43     7.77   -21.88     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    3.58R    0.62  
Rotherham            21   16   +4      54.43     8.30    10.71     0.00     0.04     1.56     0.51P    0.36R    0.07  
Barnet               22   16  -23      35.97     6.95   -47.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   32.21R   10.31  
Grimsby              22   14  -21      33.42     6.83   -43.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.77R   16.49  
Bournemouth          22    7   -7      35.98     7.75   -13.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.42R   11.20  
Luton                22   -4   -4      25.79     7.79    -8.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.95R   60.17  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 26 December 2008, Barrow vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        25   55  +19      90.03     7.11    28.87    38.47    91.69    49.07P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              24   45  +15      84.79     7.45    29.86    15.92    76.67    31.52P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               23   45  +13      83.97     7.87    24.55    13.76    70.69    26.56P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        24   43  +11      78.37     7.52    19.02     3.58    43.46    12.65P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         24   42  +17      80.72     7.28    30.81     6.13    58.62    20.72P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        25   42   +9      76.87     7.03    18.11     1.62    34.88    10.58P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              22   40  +17      85.14     7.69    37.30    18.64    78.15    35.79P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    25   37   +9      70.92     7.05    16.77     0.21    11.97     3.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Kettering            22   36   +7      74.94     7.88    16.23     1.63    27.79     8.55P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage            25   36   -1      63.69     6.99    -3.05     0.01     1.61     0.30P    0.21R    0.00  
Weymouth             26   32   -4      57.75     6.73    -7.21     0.00     0.14     0.02P    1.80R    0.02  
Altrincham           24   32  -11      55.44     6.91   -21.57     0.00     0.09     0.02P    4.77R    0.08  
Mansfield            24   31   +0      63.04     7.34     2.89     0.01     1.64     0.36P    0.37R    0.01  
Ebbsfleet_United     25   30   +0      59.71     7.13     1.72     0.00     0.37     0.08P    1.18R    0.02  
Oxford_Utd           24   30   -4      60.24     7.31    -4.10     0.00     0.63     0.15P    1.32R    0.01  
Eastbourne_Borough   24   30  -12      54.52     7.12   -22.34     0.00     0.08     0.01P    6.86R    0.11  
York                 25   29   -1      63.50     7.32     7.95     0.01     1.44     0.34P    0.44R    0.00  
Salisbury            24   28   -9      50.47     6.99   -21.54     0.00     0.01     0.00    17.13R    0.49  
Barrow               23   27   -6      53.19     7.33   -16.06     0.00     0.05     0.00P    9.87R    0.31  
Grays_Athletic       23   25   -9      48.14     7.16   -20.65     0.00     0.00     0.00P   27.35R    0.95  
Woking               24   24   -6      48.23     7.03   -13.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.71R    0.98  
Forest_Green         23   23  -12      49.47     7.34   -21.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.33R    1.08  
Lewes                24   17  -27      31.01     5.88   -54.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.86R   72.85  
Northwich            24   15  -15      36.91     6.88   -28.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.78R   23.10