Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 25 December 2008 at 22:34:50 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 December 2008, Everton vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Liverpool       18   39  +15      77.59     6.77    31.91    14.89    47.36    80.02    93.78    99.56     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         18   38  +29      84.72     5.46    60.02    67.09    90.12    98.03    99.69   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     18   34  +10      68.59     7.06    21.97     1.42     8.54    26.18    62.14    92.82     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         16   32  +17      77.57     6.93    40.38    16.17    50.38    80.93    94.11    99.51     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         18   31   +9      65.02     6.98    20.02     0.42     3.44    13.08    38.44    85.26     0.00R    0.00  
Hull            18   27   -4      51.66     7.05    -9.71     0.00     0.02     0.31     2.14    17.33     1.62R    0.08  
Everton         18   26   -2      52.67     7.06    -3.41     0.00     0.05     0.43     2.38    21.91     1.15R    0.05  
Fulham          17   24   +4      52.81     7.03     5.46     0.00     0.05     0.45     2.64    23.47     0.80R    0.03  
Bolton          18   23   -2      48.98     7.05    -4.39     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.90    10.55     3.63R    0.28  
Portsmouth      18   23   -8      44.33     6.89   -18.04     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.16     3.07    13.51R    1.42  
Wigan           17   22   +1      49.84     7.39    -0.25     0.00     0.02     0.23     1.39    14.23     3.15R    0.18  
Newcastle       18   22   -1      47.51     7.06    -4.11     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.62     7.56     5.54R    0.52  
Sunderland      18   21   -5      44.89     7.00   -10.66     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.19     3.81    11.17R    1.33  
Middlesbrough   18   20  -10      39.29     6.61   -22.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.52    35.24R    6.32  
Stoke           18   20  -13      39.23     6.62   -26.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.49    36.84R    6.94  
Tottenham       18   19   -3      45.60     7.14    -4.12     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.29     5.09     9.32R    1.23  
West_Ham        18   19   -8      41.21     6.84   -15.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.29    24.66R    3.78  
Man_City        18   18   +4      49.65     7.06    11.02     0.00     0.01     0.12     1.04    13.42     3.24R    0.30  
Blackburn       18   16  -14      34.67     6.63   -30.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    63.48R   21.64  
West_Brom       18   15  -19      29.85     6.04   -40.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    86.64R   55.90  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 December 2008, Barnsley vs Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    24   56  +24      99.23     6.89    46.46    60.13    92.44    99.96    94.42P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          24   49  +29      95.78     6.67    56.65    36.67    86.04    99.86    91.31P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       24   47  +10      83.89     7.30    19.80     2.36    13.45    91.16    33.51P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          24   43   +7      79.04     7.39    15.92     0.51     4.17    76.36    19.41P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          24   40  +10      75.92     7.32    18.16     0.18     2.00    63.17    18.34P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        24   37  +10      72.92     7.18    18.33     0.06     0.78    47.83    13.92P    0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   24   37   +9      72.39     7.51    16.73     0.06     0.77    44.87    12.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston          24   37   +2      68.51     7.23     3.23     0.01     0.16    23.50     4.60P    0.03R    0.00  
QPR              24   36   -1      65.89     7.22    -0.96     0.00     0.06    13.66     2.92P    0.09R    0.00  
Swansea          24   33   +3      66.24     7.32     7.45     0.00     0.06    16.38     3.76P    0.10R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed        24   33  -10      57.37     7.08   -18.93     0.00     0.00     1.52     0.23P    2.56R    0.07  
Ipswich          24   32   +7      65.58     7.14    11.75     0.00     0.06    14.39     3.81P    0.10R    0.00  
Plymouth         24   30   -3      57.65     7.10    -6.75     0.00     0.00     1.66     0.37P    1.97R    0.09  
Coventry         24   29   -4      56.02     7.16    -8.76     0.00     0.00     1.15     0.20P    3.39R    0.16  
Derby            24   29   -6      56.05     7.20   -11.18     0.00     0.00     1.08     0.22P    3.72R    0.20  
Blackpool        24   29   -7      55.27     7.13   -12.47     0.00     0.00     0.75     0.15P    4.63R    0.25  
Barnsley         24   28   -5      54.06     7.13   -11.49     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.12P    6.16R    0.29  
Bristol_City     24   28   -5      55.91     7.10    -8.54     0.00     0.00     0.89     0.17P    3.63R    0.20  
Watford          24   26   -4      55.18     7.26    -7.51     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.16P    4.99R    0.31  
Norwich          24   26   -7      52.81     7.09   -13.38     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.08P    9.04R    0.65  
Southampton      24   22  -16      42.62     6.70   -31.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   57.88R   13.64  
Nottm_Forest     24   21  -11      44.53     6.80   -21.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   42.85R    7.80  
Charlton         24   18  -15      40.28     6.77   -29.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.02R   22.18  
Doncaster        24   18  -17      35.43     5.99   -32.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.85R   54.16  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 December 2008, Cheltenham vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        21   47  +23      98.50     7.53    50.28    51.86    83.26    99.46    88.59P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          20   43  +23      96.27     8.07    53.05    39.41    75.29    98.51    82.68P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         21   43   +8      82.85     8.32    16.17     2.45    11.02    73.87    23.69P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       21   38  +11      80.77     8.30    24.78     1.69     7.65    67.61    21.84P    0.00R    0.00  
Stockport        21   37  +13      80.53     8.20    27.22     1.44     7.15    67.09    24.91P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           21   37  +12      82.23     8.13    30.04     2.27    10.29    74.42    27.51P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     20   34  +10      77.05     8.50    22.01     0.74     4.05    50.17    15.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere         21   33   +3      70.28     8.29     7.33     0.06     0.52    19.76     4.79P    0.07R    0.00  
Leeds            21   32   +6      68.98     8.24     9.87     0.04     0.36    16.69     4.04P    0.14R    0.00  
Huddersfield     21   32   -1      65.85     8.36    -2.52     0.01     0.15     8.80     1.59P    0.47R    0.00  
Hartlepool       21   29   +2      65.03     8.27     3.86     0.01     0.12     7.93     1.77P    0.58R    0.01  
Northampton      21   28   +2      64.07     8.48     4.47     0.01     0.08     6.74     1.62P    0.86R    0.01  
Walsall          21   28   -1      61.13     8.19    -3.65     0.00     0.02     3.23     0.72P    1.80R    0.03  
Southend         21   27   -7      56.18     7.99   -16.72     0.00     0.01     0.72     0.13P    6.75R    0.13  
Bristol_Rovers   21   25   +3      60.77     8.36     4.14     0.00     0.04     3.10     0.67P    2.29R    0.04  
Colchester       21   25   -3      58.71     8.15    -5.20     0.00     0.00     1.53     0.28P    3.94R    0.05  
Leyton_Orient    21   22   -9      49.31     7.93   -18.54     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   25.48R    1.18  
Yeovil           21   22  -11      48.99     7.86   -21.90     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   27.15R    1.31  
Carlisle         21   21  -10      48.31     7.95   -22.55     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   30.15R    1.82  
Swindon          21   20   -7      51.33     8.08   -13.51     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   18.28R    0.76  
Brighton         21   20   -8      49.51     8.09   -16.27     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   24.59R    1.26  
Cheltenham       21   19  -20      39.84     7.16   -45.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    75.14R   14.06  
Hereford         21   16  -18      35.00     6.78   -40.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.45R   33.99  
Crewe            21   13  -21      33.61     7.25   -47.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.85R   45.34  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 December 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe              21   44  +18      93.53     7.61    40.09    65.01    90.65    99.23    93.45P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 21   35  +10      75.96     8.13    21.11     2.46    19.63    65.54    30.62P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            20   35  +10      79.68     8.33    23.57     6.24    34.00    79.38    46.75P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             21   35   +9      74.89     8.17    18.25     1.89    15.73    60.16    24.65P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               20   35   +7      72.18     8.45     9.94     1.29    10.14    45.80    17.16P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           21   34  +18      80.13     8.02    36.62     6.83    38.39    82.60    53.23P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           20   33  +13      77.69     8.53    27.62     4.48    27.46    72.21    39.12P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           21   33   +1      65.25     8.22    -2.29     0.15     1.87    17.22     4.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Rochdale             20   32   +8      72.24     8.48    15.16     1.08    10.69    47.54    18.60P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            20   31  +19      81.72     8.30    44.77    10.31    47.53    86.45    59.88P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            20   31   -4      63.24     8.34   -10.80     0.08     1.26    11.86     2.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         21   29   +3      65.15     8.30     6.19     0.14     1.80    17.88     5.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield         21   26   +2      62.23     8.24     4.97     0.04     0.79    10.82     2.84P    0.03R    0.01  
Macclesfield         21   24  -17      48.12     7.56   -36.26     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.02P    2.68R    0.34  
Port_Vale            21   23  -13      46.59     7.62   -30.01     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    4.02R    0.63  
Morecambe            21   22   -8      50.46     7.95   -16.94     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.09P    1.41R    0.20  
Notts_County         21   21   -8      50.26     7.86   -16.04     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.06P    1.66R    0.23  
Chester              21   20  -13      47.60     8.06   -24.18     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P    3.74R    0.67  
Accrington_Stanley   20   19   -9      48.64     8.19   -18.53     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.07P    3.07R    0.53  
Barnet               21   16  -20      38.78     7.57   -41.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.58R    6.77  
Grimsby              21   14  -20      35.34     7.37   -41.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.63R   13.65  
Rotherham            20   13   +3      53.59     8.75    10.86     0.00     0.04     1.66     0.63P    1.08R    0.19  
Bournemouth          21    7   -5      37.30     7.99   -11.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.97R    9.91  
Luton                21   -5   -4      25.32     8.15    -9.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.10R   66.88  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 December 2008, Altrincham vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        24   52  +18      88.68     7.43    28.49    30.40    84.84    41.26P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               22   44  +13      83.81     7.97    23.74    13.07    65.20    24.85P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              23   42  +14      83.03     7.70    28.87    11.37    63.72    24.61P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        23   42  +11      80.47     7.70    21.87     6.01    49.70    16.08P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         23   41  +17      81.53     7.50    31.75     7.91    57.47    21.46P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        24   41   +9      77.45     7.28    18.43     2.10    33.17    10.37P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              21   39  +17      86.48     7.85    39.48    23.86    79.00    39.10P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    24   37  +11      73.90     7.34    21.15     0.72    18.99     6.04P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering            21   36   +9      78.93     8.08    22.05     4.52    42.79    15.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage            24   33   -3      60.48     7.18    -7.40     0.00     0.51     0.06P    0.58R    0.01  
Weymouth             25   32   -3      59.08     7.02    -6.38     0.00     0.28     0.03P    1.01R    0.03  
Ebbsfleet_United     24   30   +1      62.71     7.46     5.08     0.01     1.11     0.28P    0.35R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           23   30   -3      62.28     7.59    -1.91     0.00     1.01     0.20P    0.60R    0.00  
York                 24   29   +0      64.28     7.65     8.07     0.00     1.65     0.44P    0.28R    0.01  
Altrincham           23   29  -12      53.22     7.17   -23.80     0.00     0.04     0.01P    7.69R    0.30  
Mansfield            23   28   -2      59.24     7.54    -2.37     0.00     0.39     0.08P    1.31R    0.05  
Eastbourne_Borough   23   27  -13      54.27     7.52   -21.35     0.00     0.05     0.01P    6.47R    0.32  
Barrow               22   26   -6      53.00     7.58   -17.35     0.00     0.06     0.01P    8.65R    0.43  
Salisbury            23   25  -10      47.76     7.18   -24.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.39R    1.61  
Woking               23   23   -6      47.86     7.33   -14.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.51R    1.55  
Grays_Athletic       22   22  -10      44.82     7.27   -24.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.23R    3.63  
Forest_Green         22   22  -12      48.66     7.60   -23.40     0.00     0.00     0.00P   22.21R    1.88  
Lewes                23   17  -26      31.60     6.14   -55.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.88R   73.10  
Northwich            23   15  -14      39.24     7.24   -26.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.83R   17.06