Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 24 December 2008 at 22:34:50 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 December 2008, Everton vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Liverpool       18   39  +15      77.67     6.76    31.96    15.19    48.08    80.19    94.02    99.59     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         18   38  +29      84.72     5.42    60.14    67.33    90.04    98.11    99.72   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     18   34  +10      68.62     7.05    21.99     1.39     8.59    26.26    61.70    92.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         16   32  +17      77.43     6.98    40.11    15.69    49.57    80.00    93.44    99.39     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         18   31   +9      65.14     7.05    20.19     0.40     3.56    13.67    39.57    85.38     0.01R    0.00  
Hull            18   27   -4      51.69     7.06    -9.76     0.01     0.04     0.37     2.21    17.83     1.70R    0.08  
Everton         18   26   -2      52.61     7.06    -3.54     0.00     0.03     0.38     2.31    21.98     1.19R    0.05  
Fulham          17   24   +4      52.68     7.12     5.28     0.00     0.05     0.46     2.61    23.68     0.94R    0.03  
Bolton          18   23   -2      48.84     7.10    -4.60     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.85    10.56     3.86R    0.28  
Portsmouth      18   23   -8      44.45     6.87   -17.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15     3.09    12.87R    1.34  
Wigan           17   22   +1      49.85     7.37    -0.23     0.00     0.02     0.23     1.41    14.04     3.18R    0.25  
Newcastle       18   22   -1      47.46     7.03    -4.17     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.52     7.43     5.63R    0.52  
Sunderland      18   21   -5      45.07     7.00   -10.35     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.23     3.98    10.48R    1.11  
Middlesbrough   18   20  -10      39.17     6.53   -22.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.46    35.94R    6.73  
Stoke           18   20  -13      39.20     6.59   -26.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.53    37.34R    7.11  
Tottenham       18   19   -3      45.35     7.07    -4.48     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.21     4.39     9.93R    1.44  
West_Ham        18   19   -8      41.31     6.90   -15.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.27    24.56R    4.00  
Man_City        18   18   +4      49.54     7.09    10.86     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.01    13.29     3.44R    0.36  
Blackburn       18   16  -14      34.82     6.66   -30.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    62.58R   21.51  
West_Brom       18   15  -19      30.02     5.99   -39.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    86.36R   55.20  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 December 2008, Barnsley vs Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    24   56  +24      99.19     6.85    46.32    59.83    92.50    99.95    94.52P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          24   49  +29      95.78     6.67    56.66    36.89    86.26    99.86    91.41P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       24   47  +10      83.75     7.29    19.66     2.37    12.97    90.90    32.46P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          24   43   +7      78.99     7.41    15.90     0.55     4.19    75.71    19.38P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          24   40  +10      75.79     7.29    18.00     0.20     1.98    62.41    17.66P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        24   37  +10      73.10     7.18    18.58     0.08     0.90    48.65    14.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   24   37   +9      72.63     7.45    17.07     0.07     0.76    45.88    12.90P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          24   37   +2      68.52     7.32     3.20     0.01     0.22    23.17     4.59P    0.03R    0.00  
QPR              24   36   -1      65.80     7.28    -1.05     0.00     0.07    13.23     2.86P    0.08R    0.00  
Swansea          24   33   +3      66.30     7.33     7.60     0.00     0.08    16.42     3.96P    0.12R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        24   33  -10      57.22     7.07   -19.19     0.00     0.00     1.44     0.22P    2.49R    0.09  
Ipswich          24   32   +7      65.71     7.19    11.92     0.00     0.07    14.79     4.04P    0.08R    0.01  
Plymouth         24   30   -3      57.82     7.22    -6.47     0.00     0.00     1.97     0.45P    2.05R    0.07  
Coventry         24   29   -4      56.03     7.18    -8.83     0.00     0.00     1.14     0.21P    3.41R    0.17  
Derby            24   29   -6      55.86     7.20   -11.43     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.19P    3.92R    0.23  
Blackpool        24   29   -7      55.12     7.09   -12.75     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.13P    4.75R    0.26  
Barnsley         24   28   -5      54.12     7.17   -11.37     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.13P    6.20R    0.37  
Bristol_City     24   28   -5      56.00     7.20    -8.50     0.00     0.00     1.00     0.22P    3.77R    0.18  
Watford          24   26   -4      55.23     7.21    -7.42     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.17P    5.02R    0.30  
Norwich          24   26   -7      52.69     7.02   -13.56     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.06P    8.85R    0.66  
Southampton      24   22  -16      42.61     6.65   -31.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.00R   13.40  
Nottm_Forest     24   21  -11      44.55     6.86   -21.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   43.09R    7.70  
Charlton         24   18  -15      40.50     6.79   -29.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.84R   21.00  
Doncaster        24   18  -17      35.27     5.94   -32.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.31R   55.56  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 December 2008, Cheltenham vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        21   47  +23      98.64     7.60    50.59    52.86    83.79    99.44    89.15P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          20   43  +23      96.24     8.03    53.10    38.58    74.92    98.53    82.41P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         21   43   +8      83.01     8.34    16.45     2.76    11.57    74.32    24.11P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       21   38  +11      80.63     8.26    24.51     1.47     7.33    66.80    20.95P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        21   37  +13      80.64     8.18    27.30     1.39     7.34    67.74    25.43P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           21   37  +12      82.12     8.14    29.73     2.02     9.92    74.35    27.34P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     20   34  +10      76.99     8.54    21.89     0.77     3.90    49.95    15.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere         21   33   +3      70.28     8.29     7.30     0.07     0.50    19.66     4.65P    0.09R    0.00  
Leeds            21   32   +6      69.07     8.21    10.07     0.04     0.37    16.66     3.95P    0.10R    0.00  
Huddersfield     21   32   -1      65.88     8.36    -2.48     0.01     0.14     9.04     1.81P    0.47R    0.00  
Hartlepool       21   29   +2      65.08     8.31     4.02     0.01     0.10     8.04     1.69P    0.58R    0.00  
Northampton      21   28   +2      63.98     8.43     4.23     0.01     0.07     6.48     1.58P    0.88R    0.01  
Walsall          21   28   -1      61.27     8.10    -3.44     0.00     0.03     3.19     0.67P    1.58R    0.01  
Southend         21   27   -7      56.02     8.07   -17.01     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.10P    7.12R    0.14  
Bristol_Rovers   21   25   +3      60.68     8.36     4.03     0.00     0.02     3.08     0.67P    2.32R    0.05  
Colchester       21   25   -3      58.64     8.16    -5.30     0.00     0.00     1.51     0.26P    3.83R    0.05  
Leyton_Orient    21   22   -9      49.37     7.92   -18.39     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.03P   25.18R    1.07  
Yeovil           21   22  -11      48.83     7.79   -22.14     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   27.99R    1.40  
Carlisle         21   21  -10      48.39     8.00   -22.37     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   29.77R    1.82  
Swindon          21   20   -7      51.19     8.00   -13.78     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P   18.36R    0.85  
Brighton         21   20   -8      49.50     8.12   -16.30     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   24.69R    1.30  
Cheltenham       21   19  -20      39.93     7.19   -45.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.93R   14.00  
Hereford         21   16  -18      35.01     6.81   -40.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.28R   34.16  
Crewe            21   13  -21      33.72     7.25   -46.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.82R   45.13  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 December 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe              21   44  +18      93.60     7.64    40.17    65.31    90.85    99.26    93.56P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 21   35  +10      75.90     8.10    21.05     2.57    19.86    65.33    30.71P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            20   35  +10      79.81     8.33    23.76     6.21    34.36    79.72    47.36P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             21   35   +9      74.95     8.21    18.36     1.91    16.04    60.33    25.38P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               20   35   +7      71.91     8.35     9.52     1.19     9.50    44.39    16.25P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           21   34  +18      80.08     7.97    36.54     6.71    37.80    82.70    52.74P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           20   33  +13      77.40     8.48    27.15     4.14    26.34    71.36    38.02P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           21   33   +1      65.41     8.16    -2.01     0.15     1.87    17.53     4.41P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             20   32   +8      72.65     8.59    15.89     1.36    11.90    49.62    20.13P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            20   31  +19      81.73     8.30    44.68    10.25    47.73    86.22    59.83P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            20   31   -4      62.94     8.43   -11.27     0.08     1.14    11.51     2.55P    0.03R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         21   29   +3      65.21     8.18     6.30     0.09     1.77    18.05     5.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield         21   26   +2      62.10     8.23     4.74     0.03     0.77    10.50     2.76P    0.02R    0.00  
Macclesfield         21   24  -17      48.19     7.57   -36.01     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P    2.83R    0.37  
Port_Vale            21   23  -13      46.62     7.68   -30.09     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P    4.01R    0.60  
Morecambe            21   22   -8      50.67     7.92   -16.66     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.09P    1.39R    0.19  
Notts_County         21   21   -8      50.45     7.98   -15.82     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.10P    1.66R    0.23  
Chester              21   20  -13      47.53     8.02   -24.22     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.05P    3.49R    0.60  
Accrington_Stanley   20   19   -9      48.71     8.23   -18.40     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.06P    3.12R    0.52  
Barnet               21   16  -20      38.69     7.55   -41.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.41R    6.70  
Grimsby              21   14  -20      35.24     7.29   -41.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.52R   13.38  
Rotherham            20   13   +3      53.65     8.65    11.01     0.00     0.04     1.73     0.62P    0.93R    0.15  
Bournemouth          21    7   -5      37.29     8.03   -11.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   29.90R    9.75  
Luton                21   -5   -4      25.11     8.04   -10.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.69R   67.52  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 December 2008, Altrincham vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        24   52  +18      88.64     7.31    28.33    29.80    85.34    40.91P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               22   44  +13      83.73     7.98    23.70    13.18    64.96    24.80P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              23   42  +14      83.03     7.75    28.89    11.44    63.91    24.85P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        23   42  +11      80.52     7.72    22.01     6.31    50.03    16.09P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         23   41  +17      81.33     7.52    31.43     7.70    56.47    20.92P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        24   41   +9      77.66     7.24    18.73     2.19    34.65    11.02P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              21   39  +17      86.51     7.94    39.48    24.45    78.74    39.37P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    24   37  +11      74.09     7.32    21.48     0.74    19.75     6.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Kettering            21   36   +9      78.56     8.10    21.51     4.15    41.01    14.49P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            24   33   -3      60.39     7.22    -7.63     0.00     0.57     0.08P    0.65R    0.01  
Weymouth             25   32   -3      59.13     7.05    -6.30     0.00     0.21     0.04P    1.06R    0.01  
Ebbsfleet_United     24   30   +1      62.68     7.39     5.06     0.01     1.01     0.26P    0.38R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           23   30   -3      62.36     7.55    -1.80     0.01     1.10     0.23P    0.49R    0.01  
York                 24   29   +0      64.39     7.61     8.24     0.02     1.70     0.39P    0.27R    0.01  
Altrincham           23   29  -12      53.23     7.22   -23.76     0.00     0.04     0.01P    7.60R    0.27  
Mansfield            23   28   -2      59.33     7.54    -2.22     0.00     0.40     0.07P    1.14R    0.05  
Eastbourne_Borough   23   27  -13      54.16     7.46   -21.40     0.00     0.03     0.00     6.44R    0.33  
Barrow               22   26   -6      53.21     7.68   -16.89     0.00     0.07     0.01P    8.18R    0.44  
Salisbury            23   25  -10      47.82     7.25   -24.23     0.00     0.01     0.00P   24.06R    1.60  
Woking               23   23   -6      47.92     7.39   -14.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.48R    1.57  
Grays_Athletic       22   22  -10      44.72     7.33   -24.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.07R    3.84  
Forest_Green         22   22  -12      48.54     7.56   -23.71     0.00     0.01     0.00    22.49R    1.94  
Lewes                23   17  -26      31.62     6.11   -55.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.71R   72.58  
Northwich            23   15  -14      39.16     7.23   -26.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.98R   17.34