Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 23 December 2008 at 22:36:25 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 December 2008, Everton vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Liverpool       18   39  +15      77.59     6.68    31.82    14.99    48.29    79.97    93.94    99.64     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         18   38  +29      84.69     5.46    60.08    67.71    90.27    98.07    99.69   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     18   34  +10      68.62     7.03    21.98     1.41     8.67    26.41    62.26    92.90     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         16   32  +17      77.26     7.01    39.94    15.41    48.88    79.73    93.16    99.34     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         18   31   +9      65.15     7.03    20.19     0.46     3.69    14.00    39.29    85.54     0.00R    0.00  
Hull            18   27   -4      51.79     7.00    -9.54     0.00     0.03     0.36     2.10    17.91     1.61R    0.08  
Everton         18   26   -2      52.67     7.11    -3.44     0.00     0.04     0.40     2.45    22.18     1.13R    0.04  
Fulham          17   24   +4      52.66     7.12     5.27     0.00     0.09     0.51     2.68    23.32     0.97R    0.03  
Bolton          18   23   -2      48.91     7.08    -4.49     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.86    10.67     3.87R    0.28  
Portsmouth      18   23   -8      44.48     6.87   -17.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17     3.22    12.79R    1.47  
Wigan           17   22   +1      49.93     7.36    -0.08     0.00     0.03     0.22     1.41    14.21     3.23R    0.26  
Newcastle       18   22   -1      47.43     6.99    -4.25     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.51     7.25     5.67R    0.40  
Sunderland      18   21   -5      44.86     7.01   -10.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.21     3.86    11.41R    1.24  
Middlesbrough   18   20  -10      39.27     6.57   -22.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.54    35.76R    6.32  
Stoke           18   20  -13      39.30     6.67   -26.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.55    36.85R    7.16  
Tottenham       18   19   -3      45.43     7.10    -4.34     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.29     4.53     9.86R    1.33  
West_Ham        18   19   -8      41.41     6.86   -15.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     1.23    24.08R    3.59  
Man_City        18   18   +4      49.42     7.13    10.57     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.92    12.99     3.62R    0.32  
Blackburn       18   16  -14      34.86     6.68   -30.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    62.27R   21.04  
West_Brom       18   15  -19      29.86     6.00   -39.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    86.87R   56.43  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 December 2008, Barnsley vs Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    24   56  +24      99.39     6.85    46.74    60.63    92.73    99.94    94.64P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          24   49  +29      95.77     6.65    56.66    36.24    86.36    99.85    91.60P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       24   47  +10      83.74     7.34    19.61     2.31    13.00    90.74    32.54P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          24   43   +7      78.82     7.38    15.58     0.46     3.96    75.40    19.03P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          24   40  +10      75.93     7.34    18.26     0.21     1.94    63.38    18.39P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        24   37  +10      73.06     7.19    18.55     0.06     0.79    48.46    14.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   24   37   +9      72.58     7.47    16.98     0.07     0.81    45.86    12.63P    0.00R    0.00  
Preston          24   37   +2      68.51     7.28     3.16     0.00     0.17    23.28     4.63P    0.03R    0.00  
QPR              24   36   -1      65.74     7.25    -1.15     0.01     0.08    13.24     2.89P    0.09R    0.00  
Swansea          24   33   +3      66.22     7.34     7.48     0.00     0.09    16.24     3.85P    0.11R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        24   33  -10      57.46     6.99   -18.78     0.00     0.00     1.47     0.20P    2.31R    0.07  
Ipswich          24   32   +7      65.69     7.18    11.90     0.00     0.06    14.75     3.88P    0.08R    0.00  
Plymouth         24   30   -3      57.81     7.19    -6.48     0.00     0.00     1.80     0.42P    2.10R    0.09  
Coventry         24   29   -4      56.22     7.21    -8.56     0.00     0.00     1.22     0.26P    3.31R    0.12  
Derby            24   29   -6      55.83     7.18   -11.48     0.00     0.00     0.94     0.15P    4.02R    0.26  
Blackpool        24   29   -7      55.12     7.08   -12.72     0.00     0.00     0.75     0.11P    4.81R    0.23  
Barnsley         24   28   -5      54.05     7.16   -11.47     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.11P    6.25R    0.31  
Bristol_City     24   28   -5      55.73     7.17    -8.84     0.00     0.00     1.00     0.20P    4.02R    0.20  
Watford          24   26   -4      55.16     7.21    -7.56     0.00     0.00     0.75     0.15P    4.78R    0.33  
Norwich          24   26   -7      52.75     7.08   -13.41     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.07P    8.95R    0.65  
Southampton      24   22  -16      42.83     6.59   -30.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.61R   12.42  
Nottm_Forest     24   21  -11      44.60     6.85   -21.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    42.87R    7.55  
Charlton         24   18  -15      40.34     6.77   -29.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.70R   21.48  
Doncaster        24   18  -17      35.18     5.89   -32.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.95R   56.29  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 December 2008, Cheltenham vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        21   47  +23      98.48     7.64    50.30    52.08    83.05    99.43    88.61P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          20   43  +23      96.16     8.03    52.93    38.90    74.58    98.54    82.12P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         21   43   +8      83.01     8.34    16.45     2.82    11.69    74.48    24.50P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       21   38  +11      80.58     8.27    24.45     1.52     7.25    66.66    20.95P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        21   37  +13      80.56     8.26    27.26     1.59     7.49    66.85    25.38P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           21   37  +12      82.23     8.15    29.98     2.15    10.51    74.51    27.71P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     20   34  +10      77.05     8.57    21.98     0.81     4.21    50.38    15.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere         21   33   +3      70.14     8.30     7.09     0.06     0.48    19.32     4.34P    0.08R    0.00  
Leeds            21   32   +6      69.15     8.26    10.26     0.04     0.40    16.79     3.91P    0.14R    0.00  
Huddersfield     21   32   -1      65.81     8.41    -2.61     0.02     0.12     8.95     1.74P    0.51R    0.00  
Hartlepool       21   29   +2      65.09     8.34     4.02     0.00     0.10     8.12     1.77P    0.61R    0.01  
Northampton      21   28   +2      64.02     8.41     4.41     0.00     0.06     6.51     1.50P    0.90R    0.00  
Walsall          21   28   -1      61.57     8.21    -2.89     0.00     0.02     3.51     0.69P    1.63R    0.02  
Southend         21   27   -7      56.03     8.09   -16.97     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.12P    7.48R    0.14  
Bristol_Rovers   21   25   +3      60.91     8.41     4.42     0.00     0.02     3.38     0.79P    2.05R    0.01  
Colchester       21   25   -3      58.54     8.19    -5.50     0.00     0.00     1.50     0.28P    3.94R    0.06  
Leyton_Orient    21   22   -9      49.54     7.86   -18.20     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   24.09R    1.03  
Yeovil           21   22  -11      48.79     7.77   -22.13     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   27.63R    1.46  
Carlisle         21   21  -10      48.40     8.04   -22.42     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   29.92R    1.80  
Swindon          21   20   -7      51.13     8.05   -13.90     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   18.70R    0.83  
Brighton         21   20   -8      49.45     8.09   -16.46     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   25.35R    1.29  
Cheltenham       21   19  -20      39.96     7.17   -44.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.43R   13.93  
Hereford         21   16  -18      35.06     6.85   -40.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.02R   33.12  
Crewe            21   13  -21      33.43     7.16   -47.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.51R   46.30  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 December 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe              21   44  +18      93.52     7.50    40.06    65.34    90.97    99.34    93.55P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 21   35  +10      76.13     8.09    21.42     2.60    20.04    66.17    31.07P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            20   35  +10      80.00     8.36    24.03     6.53    35.51    80.12    48.45P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             21   35   +9      74.97     8.24    18.40     2.07    16.18    60.42    25.37P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               20   35   +7      72.10     8.51     9.86     1.31    10.15    45.28    17.25P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           21   34  +18      79.76     7.92    36.04     6.17    36.34    81.94    51.01P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           20   33  +13      77.52     8.53    27.26     4.36    26.73    71.43    38.44P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           21   33   +1      65.41     8.13    -2.02     0.14     1.99    16.96     4.46P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             20   32   +8      72.48     8.58    15.62     1.25    11.40    48.60    19.29P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            20   31  +19      81.64     8.33    44.55    10.01    46.93    85.90    59.22P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            20   31   -4      63.16     8.35   -10.91     0.05     1.12    12.00     2.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         21   29   +3      65.41     8.29     6.56     0.13     1.91    18.79     5.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield         21   26   +2      61.86     8.13     4.34     0.03     0.67     9.73     2.51P    0.04R    0.00  
Macclesfield         21   24  -17      48.24     7.64   -36.03     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P    2.63R    0.36  
Port_Vale            21   23  -13      46.39     7.65   -30.45     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    4.35R    0.68  
Morecambe            21   22   -8      50.49     7.88   -16.92     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.08P    1.34R    0.18  
Notts_County         21   21   -8      50.44     7.84   -15.78     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.06P    1.45R    0.19  
Chester              21   20  -13      47.30     8.01   -24.62     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P    3.82R    0.64  
Accrington_Stanley   20   19   -9      48.92     8.18   -18.08     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.07P    2.80R    0.44  
Barnet               21   16  -20      38.86     7.67   -41.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   25.36R    6.92  
Grimsby              21   14  -20      35.24     7.28   -41.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.74R   13.38  
Rotherham            20   13   +3      53.61     8.68    10.95     0.00     0.04     1.67     0.54P    0.97R    0.17  
Bournemouth          21    7   -5      37.37     8.02   -11.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   29.80R    9.39  
Luton                21   -5   -4      25.06     8.23   -10.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.68R   67.65  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 December 2008, Altrincham vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        24   52  +18      88.69     7.41    28.44    29.95    84.77    41.16P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               22   44  +13      84.06     7.94    24.21    13.68    66.03    25.39P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              23   42  +14      83.10     7.69    29.01    11.23    63.85    24.63P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        23   42  +11      80.44     7.69    21.90     5.87    49.12    15.47P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         23   41  +17      81.53     7.47    31.77     7.67    57.10    21.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        24   41   +9      77.56     7.20    18.58     1.99    33.28    10.33P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              21   39  +17      86.57     7.85    39.64    24.21    78.62    39.17P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    24   37  +11      74.17     7.32    21.55     0.74    20.07     6.44P    0.00R    0.00  
Kettering            21   36   +9      78.97     8.05    22.11     4.64    42.28    15.37P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            24   33   -3      60.27     7.22    -7.76     0.00     0.53     0.06P    0.60R    0.01  
Weymouth             25   32   -3      58.82     7.00    -6.78     0.00     0.22     0.04P    1.10R    0.02  
Ebbsfleet_United     24   30   +1      62.44     7.36     4.69     0.00     0.88     0.20P    0.40R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           23   30   -3      62.28     7.63    -1.94     0.01     1.05     0.22P    0.54R    0.01  
York                 24   29   +0      64.39     7.60     8.29     0.01     1.71     0.40P    0.26R    0.01  
Altrincham           23   29  -12      53.49     7.25   -23.42     0.00     0.04     0.00P    7.30R    0.31  
Mansfield            23   28   -2      59.04     7.48    -2.72     0.00     0.35     0.07P    1.31R    0.06  
Eastbourne_Borough   23   27  -13      54.12     7.48   -21.59     0.00     0.04     0.01P    6.71R    0.37  
Barrow               22   26   -6      52.83     7.65   -17.66     0.00     0.05     0.01P    8.97R    0.55  
Salisbury            23   25  -10      48.00     7.21   -24.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.22R    1.49  
Woking               23   23   -6      47.84     7.32   -14.44     0.00     0.01     0.00P   22.22R    1.64  
Grays_Athletic       22   22  -10      44.64     7.39   -24.52     0.00     0.00     0.00P   40.92R    3.97  
Forest_Green         22   22  -12      48.64     7.62   -23.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.35R    1.94  
Lewes                23   17  -26      31.65     6.11   -55.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.71R   72.31  
Northwich            23   15  -14      39.21     7.27   -26.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.40R   17.31