Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 22 December 2008 at 22:36:00 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 December 2008, Everton vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Liverpool       18   39  +15      77.73     6.68    32.06    15.43    48.81    80.77    94.48    99.61     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         18   38  +29      84.60     5.46    59.99    66.78    89.64    97.88    99.68   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     18   34  +10      68.68     7.03    22.09     1.55     8.87    26.40    62.00    93.14     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         16   32  +17      77.25     7.06    39.85    15.77    48.82    79.63    93.16    99.32     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         18   31   +9      65.09     7.07    20.13     0.46     3.61    13.45    38.89    84.89     0.01R    0.00  
Hull            18   27   -4      51.61     7.01    -9.80     0.00     0.06     0.33     1.98    17.31     1.69R    0.09  
Everton         18   26   -2      52.83     7.07    -3.19     0.00     0.06     0.39     2.46    22.31     1.14R    0.05  
Fulham          17   24   +4      52.81     7.17     5.46     0.01     0.07     0.51     2.79    23.99     0.99R    0.07  
Bolton          18   23   -2      49.00     7.09    -4.30     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.85    10.67     3.80R    0.32  
Portsmouth      18   23   -8      44.48     6.92   -17.80     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.20     3.30    12.89R    1.37  
Wigan           17   22   +1      49.76     7.48    -0.36     0.00     0.04     0.27     1.42    13.95     3.47R    0.27  
Newcastle       18   22   -1      47.50     7.11    -4.18     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.56     7.73     5.71R    0.57  
Sunderland      18   21   -5      44.87     6.99   -10.70     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.20     3.76    11.19R    1.26  
Middlesbrough   18   20  -10      39.28     6.57   -22.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.49    35.24R    6.38  
Stoke           18   20  -13      39.29     6.55   -26.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.50    36.29R    6.96  
Tottenham       18   19   -3      45.11     7.05    -4.78     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.23     4.13    10.50R    1.35  
West_Ham        18   19   -8      41.45     6.90   -15.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     1.31    23.58R    4.00  
Man_City        18   18   +4      49.56     7.15    10.86     0.00     0.01     0.13     1.05    13.50     3.46R    0.30  
Blackburn       18   16  -14      34.68     6.59   -30.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    63.55R   21.72  
West_Brom       18   15  -19      30.00     5.99   -39.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    86.50R   55.29  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 December 2008, Barnsley vs Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    24   56  +24      99.36     6.94    46.61    60.21    92.69    99.95    94.62P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          24   49  +29      95.86     6.66    56.80    36.74    86.63    99.88    91.67P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       24   47  +10      83.68     7.26    19.53     2.21    12.81    90.72    32.75P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          24   43   +7      78.99     7.38    15.84     0.48     4.04    76.02    19.46P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          24   40  +10      75.76     7.31    17.98     0.21     1.91    62.43    17.88P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        24   37  +10      72.95     7.19    18.36     0.07     0.76    48.07    13.90P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   24   37   +9      72.48     7.45    16.86     0.07     0.77    45.34    12.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston          24   37   +2      68.65     7.29     3.37     0.01     0.21    23.83     4.92P    0.03R    0.00  
QPR              24   36   -1      65.81     7.23    -1.02     0.00     0.05    13.37     2.74P    0.07R    0.00  
Swansea          24   33   +3      66.20     7.29     7.43     0.00     0.08    16.00     3.74P    0.11R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed        24   33  -10      57.22     7.04   -19.14     0.00     0.00     1.42     0.20P    2.62R    0.09  
Ipswich          24   32   +7      65.91     7.17    12.27     0.00     0.04    15.71     4.28P    0.08R    0.00  
Plymouth         24   30   -3      57.72     7.18    -6.67     0.00     0.00     1.84     0.41P    2.13R    0.09  
Coventry         24   29   -4      56.07     7.22    -8.72     0.00     0.00     1.16     0.23P    3.46R    0.18  
Derby            24   29   -6      55.81     7.17   -11.53     0.00     0.00     1.01     0.18P    4.00R    0.21  
Blackpool        24   29   -7      55.23     7.10   -12.54     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.15P    4.68R    0.28  
Barnsley         24   28   -5      54.28     7.11   -11.08     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.11P    5.78R    0.26  
Bristol_City     24   28   -5      55.75     7.10    -8.86     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.17P    3.86R    0.19  
Watford          24   26   -4      55.10     7.24    -7.69     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.18P    5.07R    0.34  
Norwich          24   26   -7      52.63     7.14   -13.67     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.05P    9.33R    0.78  
Southampton      24   22  -16      42.71     6.66   -30.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    57.28R   13.33  
Nottm_Forest     24   21  -11      44.44     6.77   -21.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   43.58R    7.79  
Charlton         24   18  -15      40.58     6.77   -28.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.61R   20.79  
Doncaster        24   18  -17      35.31     5.98   -32.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.29R   55.66  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 December 2008, Cheltenham vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        21   47  +23      98.34     7.63    50.06    51.29    82.53    99.36    88.31P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          20   43  +23      96.14     8.13    52.85    39.36    74.61    98.44    81.96P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         21   43   +8      83.07     8.37    16.54     2.95    11.75    74.43    24.57P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       21   38  +11      80.64     8.30    24.54     1.52     7.58    66.78    21.34P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        21   37  +13      80.63     8.15    27.33     1.59     7.71    67.56    25.69P    0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           21   37  +12      82.14     8.19    29.87     2.31    10.30    74.16    27.47P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     20   34  +10      76.93     8.58    21.80     0.83     4.18    49.49    14.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere         21   33   +3      70.42     8.34     7.52     0.06     0.51    20.23     4.78P    0.06R    0.00  
Leeds            21   32   +6      69.28     8.22    10.40     0.05     0.47    17.22     4.19P    0.12R    0.00  
Huddersfield     21   32   -1      66.16     8.23    -2.04     0.02     0.14     9.04     1.75P    0.40R    0.00  
Hartlepool       21   29   +2      64.80     8.34     3.57     0.01     0.10     7.49     1.60P    0.64R    0.01  
Northampton      21   28   +2      64.10     8.44     4.46     0.01     0.07     6.60     1.48P    0.88R    0.00  
Walsall          21   28   -1      61.53     8.21    -2.94     0.00     0.03     3.48     0.78P    1.65R    0.02  
Southend         21   27   -7      55.95     8.01   -17.13     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.10P    7.01R    0.12  
Bristol_Rovers   21   25   +3      60.77     8.33     4.19     0.00     0.03     3.06     0.70P    2.13R    0.04  
Colchester       21   25   -3      58.84     8.13    -4.97     0.00     0.01     1.57     0.32P    3.50R    0.05  
Leyton_Orient    21   22   -9      49.28     7.88   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   25.41R    1.11  
Yeovil           21   22  -11      48.76     7.80   -22.28     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   27.86R    1.54  
Carlisle         21   21  -10      48.44     8.02   -22.35     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   29.67R    1.77  
Swindon          21   20   -7      51.00     8.00   -14.20     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   18.86R    0.78  
Brighton         21   20   -8      49.61     8.16   -16.09     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   24.37R    1.33  
Cheltenham       21   19  -20      39.78     7.20   -45.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.07R   14.28  
Hereford         21   16  -18      35.05     6.86   -40.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.05R   33.25  
Crewe            21   13  -21      33.53     7.17   -47.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.31R   45.71  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 December 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe              21   44  +18      93.39     7.58    39.87    64.64    90.77    99.30    93.53P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 21   35  +10      76.22     8.11    21.55     2.85    20.63    66.60    31.91P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            20   35  +10      79.62     8.33    23.48     6.12    33.83    79.31    46.51P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             21   35   +9      74.74     8.23    18.08     1.98    15.71    59.45    24.77P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               20   35   +7      72.20     8.38    10.02     1.27    10.07    46.18    17.31P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           21   34  +18      79.87     7.92    36.20     6.41    37.01    82.31    51.75P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           20   33  +13      77.59     8.43    27.46     4.43    27.07    72.02    38.96P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           21   33   +1      65.24     8.06    -2.27     0.13     1.84    16.56     4.20P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             20   32   +8      72.48     8.65    15.61     1.35    11.71    48.54    19.62P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            20   31  +19      81.71     8.33    44.78    10.60    47.55    86.18    59.75P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            20   31   -4      63.01     8.31   -11.24     0.05     1.03    11.38     2.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         21   29   +3      65.34     8.27     6.46     0.12     1.88    18.54     5.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield         21   26   +2      62.11     8.25     4.82     0.02     0.85    10.46     2.76P    0.02R    0.00  
Macclesfield         21   24  -17      48.34     7.64   -35.84     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.01P    2.63R    0.34  
Port_Vale            21   23  -13      46.57     7.63   -30.15     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.02P    3.94R    0.60  
Morecambe            21   22   -8      50.39     7.94   -17.09     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.09P    1.40R    0.22  
Notts_County         21   21   -8      50.17     7.89   -16.23     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.09P    1.77R    0.28  
Chester              21   20  -13      47.30     7.99   -24.64     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    3.88R    0.62  
Accrington_Stanley   20   19   -9      49.05     8.19   -17.89     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.07P    2.83R    0.50  
Barnet               21   16  -20      38.71     7.58   -41.67     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   25.85R    6.96  
Grimsby              21   14  -20      35.24     7.32   -41.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.64R   13.60  
Rotherham            20   13   +3      53.85     8.61    11.27     0.00     0.03     1.56     0.55P    0.94R    0.16  
Bournemouth          21    7   -5      37.42     8.02   -11.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   29.55R    9.53  
Luton                21   -5   -4      25.25     8.07   -10.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.54R   67.18  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 December 2008, Altrincham vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        24   52  +18      88.63     7.36    28.37    29.77    84.86    40.81P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               22   44  +13      83.86     8.07    23.86    13.21    65.28    24.90P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              23   42  +14      83.28     7.84    29.39    11.91    64.71    25.43P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        23   42  +11      80.48     7.66    21.90     6.04    49.41    15.84P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         23   41  +17      81.48     7.46    31.71     7.78    56.68    21.06P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        24   41   +9      77.66     7.17    18.76     2.06    33.88    10.40P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              21   39  +17      86.48     7.94    39.40    23.90    78.57    38.95P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    24   37  +11      74.10     7.31    21.45     0.67    19.70     6.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Kettering            21   36   +9      78.83     8.22    21.97     4.64    42.06    15.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage            24   33   -3      60.51     7.12    -7.46     0.00     0.48     0.07P    0.55R    0.01  
Weymouth             25   32   -3      58.86     7.02    -6.72     0.00     0.24     0.05P    1.04R    0.02  
Ebbsfleet_United     24   30   +1      62.51     7.43     4.83     0.01     0.95     0.25P    0.40R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           23   30   -3      62.18     7.55    -2.08     0.01     0.88     0.18P    0.66R    0.01  
York                 24   29   +0      64.46     7.69     8.37     0.01     1.80     0.44P    0.31R    0.01  
Altrincham           23   29  -12      53.25     7.18   -23.76     0.00     0.03     0.00P    7.45R    0.32  
Mansfield            23   28   -2      59.10     7.48    -2.62     0.00     0.36     0.07P    1.28R    0.05  
Eastbourne_Borough   23   27  -13      54.22     7.45   -21.38     0.00     0.06     0.01P    6.48R    0.32  
Barrow               22   26   -6      52.96     7.64   -17.44     0.00     0.05     0.01P    8.82R    0.48  
Salisbury            23   25  -10      47.78     7.27   -24.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.29R    1.65  
Woking               23   23   -6      47.95     7.26   -14.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.90R    1.63  
Grays_Athletic       22   22  -10      44.80     7.31   -24.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.55R    3.75  
Forest_Green         22   22  -12      48.42     7.55   -23.85     0.00     0.01     0.00P   23.07R    1.96  
Lewes                23   17  -26      31.70     6.09   -55.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.69R   72.54  
Northwich            23   15  -14      39.26     7.26   -26.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.51R   17.25