Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 20 December 2008 at 22:35:18 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 December 2008, Blackburn vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Liverpool       17   38  +15      78.43     7.08    32.57    13.84    50.26    80.98    93.85    99.56     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         17   37  +29      86.92     5.55    64.07    74.44    93.39    98.83    99.81    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     18   34  +10      68.47     7.05    21.78     0.84     7.21    24.50    60.80    91.69     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         16   32  +17      77.27     7.00    39.95    10.48    44.98    79.32    93.10    99.22     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         17   30   +9      65.19     7.30    19.72     0.39     3.97    14.30    39.00    83.48     0.00     0.00  
Hull            18   27   -4      51.75     6.97    -9.75     0.00     0.01     0.27     1.96    16.51     1.35R    0.03  
Everton         17   25   -2      51.02     7.30    -7.25     0.00     0.03     0.29     1.71    15.12     2.27R    0.07  
Fulham          17   24   +4      52.78     7.15     5.34     0.01     0.05     0.47     2.56    22.11     0.90R    0.02  
Bolton          18   23   -2      49.03     7.13    -4.27     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.83    10.24     3.42R    0.12  
Portsmouth      18   23   -8      44.47     6.81   -18.03     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18     2.80    11.95R    0.69  
Wigan           17   22   +1      49.96     7.39    -0.12     0.00     0.03     0.24     1.45    13.31     3.04R    0.16  
Sunderland      18   21   -5      45.30     6.93   -10.12     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.21     3.72     9.10R    0.56  
Middlesbrough   18   20  -10      39.09     6.48   -23.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.43    34.96R    3.68  
Stoke           18   20  -13      39.33     6.53   -26.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.41    34.85R    3.78  
Newcastle       17   19   -2      45.28     7.34    -6.11     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.26     4.60    10.21R    0.67  
Tottenham       17   19   -2      47.52     7.45    -2.22     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.64     7.98     6.14R    0.45  
West_Ham        18   19   -8      41.40     6.94   -15.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.26    23.21R    2.15  
Man_City        17   18   +5      53.41     7.36    16.43     0.00     0.06     0.56     3.55    27.50     1.25R    0.07  
Blackburn       18   16  -14      34.68     6.56   -30.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    62.63R   12.82  
West_Brom       17   12  -20      25.91     6.01   -45.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.72R   74.73  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 December 2008, Barnsley vs Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    24   56  +24      99.26     6.92    46.47    59.90    92.42    99.95    94.57P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          24   49  +29      95.84     6.68    56.80    36.83    86.06    99.88    91.36P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       24   47  +10      83.75     7.36    19.60     2.36    13.41    90.69    32.64P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          24   43   +7      79.09     7.42    15.98     0.51     4.12    76.13    19.59P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          24   40  +10      75.96     7.30    18.30     0.23     1.96    63.28    18.27P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        24   37  +10      72.88     7.22    18.29     0.09     0.94    47.46    14.19P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   24   37   +9      72.49     7.37    16.85     0.07     0.71    45.22    12.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Preston          24   37   +2      68.63     7.27     3.31     0.00     0.22    23.67     4.87P    0.03R    0.00  
QPR              24   36   -1      65.78     7.25    -1.10     0.00     0.04    13.59     2.81P    0.09R    0.00  
Swansea          24   33   +3      66.30     7.31     7.56     0.00     0.06    16.71     3.82P    0.10R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        24   33  -10      57.46     6.98   -18.76     0.00     0.00     1.43     0.21P    2.21R    0.07  
Ipswich          24   32   +7      65.64     7.19    11.82     0.00     0.04    14.71     3.87P    0.12R    0.00  
Plymouth         24   30   -3      57.85     7.18    -6.45     0.00     0.01     1.79     0.35P    1.97R    0.07  
Coventry         24   29   -4      56.04     7.19    -8.76     0.00     0.00     1.15     0.20P    3.40R    0.19  
Derby            24   29   -6      55.73     7.19   -11.67     0.00     0.00     1.02     0.18P    4.17R    0.22  
Blackpool        24   29   -7      55.09     7.13   -12.67     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.13P    4.91R    0.27  
Barnsley         24   28   -5      54.14     7.21   -11.32     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.13P    6.12R    0.35  
Bristol_City     24   28   -5      55.70     7.20    -8.90     0.00     0.00     0.91     0.17P    3.99R    0.22  
Watford          24   26   -4      55.01     7.22    -7.80     0.00     0.00     0.82     0.14P    5.12R    0.34  
Norwich          24   26   -7      52.82     7.08   -13.39     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.06P    8.78R    0.67  
Southampton      24   22  -16      42.64     6.66   -31.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.75R   13.59  
Nottm_Forest     24   21  -11      44.39     6.81   -21.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    44.05R    8.22  
Charlton         24   18  -15      40.57     6.75   -28.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.23R   21.03  
Doncaster        24   18  -17      35.45     5.94   -32.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.97R   54.75  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 December 2008, Cheltenham vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        21   47  +23      98.31     7.58    49.99    51.86    83.06    99.44    88.62P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          20   43  +23      96.05     8.12    52.74    38.91    74.62    98.42    82.07P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         21   43   +8      83.10     8.33    16.60     2.86    11.80    74.72    24.75P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       21   38  +11      80.73     8.32    24.65     1.66     7.96    66.94    21.87P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        21   37  +13      80.40     8.15    26.99     1.46     7.01    66.89    24.95P    0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           21   37  +12      82.02     8.09    29.61     2.22     9.98    73.84    26.79P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     20   34  +10      76.91     8.61    21.82     0.88     4.29    49.66    15.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere         21   33   +3      70.37     8.31     7.46     0.07     0.53    20.00     4.85P    0.09R    0.00  
Leeds            21   32   +6      69.35     8.26    10.49     0.07     0.39    17.79     4.17P    0.12R    0.00  
Huddersfield     21   32   -1      65.87     8.27    -2.46     0.01     0.14     8.59     1.57P    0.49R    0.00  
Hartlepool       21   29   +2      64.96     8.33     3.77     0.01     0.10     7.82     1.67P    0.57R    0.01  
Northampton      21   28   +2      63.95     8.41     4.30     0.00     0.06     6.39     1.52P    0.88R    0.00  
Walsall          21   28   -1      61.53     8.18    -2.96     0.00     0.02     3.49     0.74P    1.57R    0.01  
Southend         21   27   -7      55.99     8.05   -16.99     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.09P    7.24R    0.13  
Bristol_Rovers   21   25   +3      60.92     8.42     4.42     0.00     0.03     3.41     0.74P    2.10R    0.04  
Colchester       21   25   -3      58.41     8.17    -5.72     0.00     0.01     1.53     0.29P    4.02R    0.07  
Leyton_Orient    21   22   -9      49.43     7.90   -18.35     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   25.06R    1.16  
Yeovil           21   22  -11      48.58     7.72   -22.46     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   28.74R    1.49  
Carlisle         21   21  -10      48.52     8.00   -22.25     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   29.47R    1.76  
Swindon          21   20   -7      51.20     8.00   -13.75     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   18.45R    0.79  
Brighton         21   20   -8      49.67     8.10   -16.02     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   24.41R    1.27  
Cheltenham       21   19  -20      40.05     7.24   -44.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.28R   14.13  
Hereford         21   16  -18      35.17     6.83   -40.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.87R   33.14  
Crewe            21   13  -21      33.55     7.12   -47.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.62R   46.01  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 December 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe              21   44  +18      93.76     7.54    40.29    66.29    91.33    99.38    94.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 21   35  +10      75.90     8.09    21.06     2.38    19.18    65.01    30.03P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            20   35  +10      79.91     8.33    23.88     6.00    35.06    80.08    47.77P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             21   35   +9      74.92     8.23    18.32     1.90    15.93    59.99    24.88P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               20   35   +7      72.02     8.46     9.73     1.12     9.68    44.84    16.71P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           21   34  +18      80.09     7.90    36.55     6.42    38.04    82.65    52.72P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           20   33  +13      77.70     8.44    27.63     4.41    27.02    72.22    38.85P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           21   33   +1      65.49     8.09    -1.86     0.14     1.86    17.25     4.41P    0.00R    0.00  
Rochdale             20   32   +8      72.69     8.62    16.01     1.31    11.80    49.18    19.93P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            20   31  +19      81.63     8.22    44.57     9.81    46.32    86.17    59.08P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            20   31   -4      63.09     8.34   -11.12     0.08     1.13    11.64     2.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         21   29   +3      65.24     8.32     6.35     0.11     1.86    18.03     5.53P    0.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield         21   26   +2      62.08     8.21     4.73     0.02     0.74    10.31     2.70P    0.02R    0.00  
Macclesfield         21   24  -17      48.10     7.66   -36.25     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.03P    2.58R    0.31  
Port_Vale            21   23  -13      46.35     7.56   -30.52     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    4.00R    0.64  
Morecambe            21   22   -8      50.26     7.91   -17.33     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.09P    1.53R    0.21  
Notts_County         21   21   -8      50.48     7.94   -15.77     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.09P    1.66R    0.23  
Chester              21   20  -13      47.51     8.01   -24.18     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    3.66R    0.61  
Accrington_Stanley   20   19   -9      48.89     8.23   -18.10     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.06P    2.89R    0.45  
Barnet               21   16  -20      38.71     7.53   -41.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.97R    6.43  
Grimsby              21   14  -20      35.22     7.28   -41.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.37R   13.16  
Rotherham            20   13   +3      53.70     8.61    11.08     0.00     0.03     1.57     0.52P    0.94R    0.17  
Bournemouth          21    7   -5      37.13     7.97   -11.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.43R    9.97  
Luton                21   -5   -4      25.03     8.06   -10.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.94R   67.82  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 December 2008, Altrincham vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        24   52  +18      88.63     7.43    28.40    29.99    84.66    40.96P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               22   44  +13      83.70     8.04    23.59    13.11    64.40    24.60P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              23   42  +14      83.18     7.75    29.16    11.60    64.48    25.30P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        23   42  +11      80.58     7.69    22.11     6.14    50.20    16.10P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         23   41  +17      81.33     7.53    31.48     7.49    56.33    20.65P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        24   41   +9      77.93     7.23    19.12     2.45    35.44    11.34P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              21   39  +17      86.48     7.89    39.36    24.09    78.60    39.10P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    24   37  +11      74.06     7.23    21.40     0.66    19.62     6.31P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering            21   36   +9      78.65     8.10    21.68     4.42    41.20    14.53P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            24   33   -3      60.27     7.19    -7.81     0.00     0.50     0.08P    0.68R    0.01  
Weymouth             25   32   -3      59.10     7.00    -6.35     0.00     0.22     0.03P    0.88R    0.01  
Ebbsfleet_United     24   30   +1      62.57     7.43     4.86     0.00     0.98     0.23P    0.40R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           23   30   -3      62.22     7.60    -2.01     0.01     1.06     0.21P    0.60R    0.01  
York                 24   29   +0      64.25     7.68     8.08     0.01     1.77     0.43P    0.25R    0.01  
Altrincham           23   29  -12      53.41     7.19   -23.45     0.00     0.02     0.00P    7.41R    0.31  
Mansfield            23   28   -2      59.06     7.52    -2.68     0.00     0.36     0.08P    1.37R    0.05  
Eastbourne_Borough   23   27  -13      54.25     7.53   -21.33     0.00     0.07     0.01P    6.51R    0.35  
Barrow               22   26   -6      53.13     7.63   -17.03     0.00     0.07     0.01P    8.62R    0.41  
Salisbury            23   25  -10      47.83     7.18   -24.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.41R    1.46  
Woking               23   23   -6      47.91     7.35   -14.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.34R    1.55  
Grays_Athletic       22   22  -10      44.79     7.30   -24.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.71R    3.78  
Forest_Green         22   22  -12      48.47     7.63   -23.83     0.00     0.01     0.00    23.26R    2.16  
Lewes                23   17  -26      31.61     6.10   -55.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.83R   73.08  
Northwich            23   15  -14      39.38     7.26   -26.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.74R   16.80