Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 12 December 2008 at 22:34:39 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 8 December 2008, West_Ham vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Liverpool       16   39  +16      83.97     7.18    38.54    24.50    60.84    93.03    98.16    99.85     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         15   33  +25      88.26     6.06    64.40    57.27    86.02    98.71    99.73    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         14   30  +17      81.95     7.36    47.16    17.95    50.28    90.61    97.28    99.71     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         16   29   +9      65.82     7.59    19.94     0.20     1.96     9.93    45.67    82.08     0.01R    0.00  
Hull            16   26   -1      54.95     7.60    -3.92     0.00     0.06     0.61     5.60    28.14     0.49R    0.03  
Aston_Villa     16   25   +3      58.97     7.88     8.95     0.02     0.19     1.92    14.58    50.69     0.14R    0.00  
Portsmouth      15   23   +0      52.44     8.17    -3.59     0.00     0.04     0.39     4.18    20.44     1.55R    0.10  
Everton         16   22   -3      48.02     7.48   -11.66     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.95     7.74     4.15R    0.33  
Man_City        16   21  +10      62.48     7.42    30.65     0.04     0.56     4.37    29.03    71.64     0.02R    0.00  
Fulham          15   20   +1      49.48     7.89    -0.39     0.00     0.02     0.14     1.57    11.44     2.97R    0.24  
Bolton          16   20   -1      48.87     7.79    -2.95     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.42    10.60     3.24R    0.28  
Wigan           16   19   -2      46.79     7.62    -5.68     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.75     6.01     5.59R    0.59  
Middlesbrough   16   19   -7      41.02     7.19   -19.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.22    20.18R    2.82  
Tottenham       16   18   -2      46.89     7.71    -4.14     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.73     6.42     5.83R    0.63  
West_Ham        16   18   -7      40.92     7.29   -19.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.15    20.84R    3.13  
Stoke           16   18  -11      41.62     7.51   -22.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     1.51    19.88R    3.34  
Newcastle       15   15   -5      39.18     7.70   -17.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.94    28.76R    5.82  
Sunderland      16   15  -12      36.49     7.31   -25.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.31    43.27R   11.48  
Blackburn       16   13  -14      33.29     7.17   -33.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    61.40R   22.76  
West_Brom       16   12  -16      29.02     6.65   -38.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    81.67R   48.45  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 December 2008, Ipswich vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    22   50  +21      97.48     7.32    46.39    57.44    85.93    99.85    89.80P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       22   47  +13      88.64     7.84    26.03    13.11    38.74    96.66    54.29P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          22   43  +25      92.59     7.32    53.42    28.40    67.31    99.26    79.42P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          22   37   +5      76.14     7.88    14.54     0.48     3.10    63.72    15.86P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        22   35  +10      73.97     7.84    19.01     0.25     1.97    54.14    16.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff          22   34   +7      71.33     7.81    13.27     0.12     0.92    40.32    10.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston          22   34   +2      67.75     7.79     2.63     0.03     0.31    22.67     4.46P    0.06R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   22   33   +8      71.60     7.87    16.40     0.11     1.03    42.39    11.57P    0.01R    0.00  
QPR              22   32   -2      63.39     7.71    -3.09     0.00     0.04     9.70     1.97P    0.37R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed        22   32   -8      59.93     7.71   -16.03     0.00     0.00     4.46     0.55P    1.66R    0.09  
Ipswich          22   31   +8      68.52     7.76    14.75     0.04     0.37    28.29     7.61P    0.07R    0.00  
Swansea          22   31   +3      66.98     7.93     7.53     0.02     0.23    21.57     4.77P    0.11R    0.00  
Plymouth         22   29   -1      61.02     7.76    -2.20     0.00     0.03     6.13     1.23P    1.11R    0.06  
Coventry         22   28   -3      57.59     7.84    -7.86     0.00     0.01     2.80     0.54P    3.24R    0.25  
Bristol_City     22   27   -4      57.66     7.83    -7.68     0.00     0.01     2.76     0.50P    3.29R    0.24  
Blackpool        22   27   -7      55.83     7.73   -12.91     0.00     0.00     1.63     0.27P    5.47R    0.41  
Barnsley         22   25   -5      51.96     7.61   -15.02     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.08P   12.89R    1.30  
Derby            22   25   -7      54.43     7.93   -12.78     0.00     0.00     1.25     0.21P    8.09R    0.78  
Watford          22   23   -4      55.09     7.86    -7.37     0.00     0.00     1.34     0.21P    6.73R    0.66  
Norwich          22   23   -6      51.99     7.61   -14.38     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.13P   13.07R    1.71  
Southampton      22   22  -13      45.45     7.24   -27.83     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   41.39R    8.99  
Doncaster        22   18  -15      36.49     6.40   -32.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.13R   49.22  
Nottm_Forest     22   17  -13      42.08     7.37   -25.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   58.34R   18.26  
Charlton         22   17  -14      42.23     7.42   -28.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    57.96R   18.03  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 December 2008, Cheltenham vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        19   41  +18      93.71     8.43    42.52    42.16    64.19    95.73    73.77P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         19   39   +7      82.90     8.98    17.75     6.44    16.90    68.25    26.60P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          19   37  +18      89.12     8.66    43.08    21.63    43.40    89.27    57.33P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     19   36  +15      84.95     8.64    34.97    10.79    24.98    78.57    39.65P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       19   36  +11      83.26     8.92    27.91     7.36    18.80    71.73    31.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           19   35  +12      84.09     8.77    32.15     8.69    21.65    75.05    35.36P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     19   32   +9      74.34     8.93    17.44     1.10     3.64    32.84    10.49P    0.05R    0.00  
Stockport        19   31   +9      75.69     8.79    20.65     1.30     4.14    38.94    13.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere         19   30   +4      71.23     9.00    10.14     0.40     1.51    21.10     5.82P    0.14R    0.00  
Walsall          19   27   +0      64.89     8.81     0.88     0.04     0.25     7.15     1.56P    0.87R    0.00  
Southend         19   27   -3      61.69     8.89    -7.78     0.01     0.09     3.31     0.59P    2.36R    0.01  
Huddersfield     19   26   -4      61.59     8.97    -7.25     0.02     0.08     3.54     0.65P    2.67R    0.03  
Hartlepool       19   25   -1      63.22     8.99     0.14     0.03     0.17     5.20     1.21P    1.70R    0.02  
Northampton      19   24   +1      61.84     9.05     2.04     0.02     0.12     4.10     0.97P    2.32R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   19   22   +3      59.84     9.04     3.22     0.01     0.06     2.81     0.68P    3.59R    0.05  
Colchester       19   21   -4      55.04     8.76   -10.70     0.00     0.01     0.76     0.14P   10.30R    0.17  
Carlisle         19   21   -8      50.29     8.58   -22.10     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   23.97R    0.69  
Leyton_Orient    19   21   -8      50.82     8.59   -17.65     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   21.52R    0.59  
Swindon          19   20   -5      56.78     8.89    -6.61     0.00     0.01     1.04     0.22P    7.73R    0.13  
Brighton         19   20   -5      51.90     8.74   -13.34     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.06P   17.75R    0.50  
Yeovil           19   19  -10      46.94     8.26   -22.17     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   37.32R    1.66  
Hereford         19   15  -16      36.12     7.57   -39.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.92R   18.74  
Cheltenham       19   15  -21      36.31     7.51   -50.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.72R   19.64  
Crewe            19    9  -22      29.74     7.57   -55.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.05R   57.75  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 December 2008, Aldershot vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe              19   40  +17      93.01     8.16    40.77    49.56    82.60    98.53    87.76P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   34  +20      85.60     8.39    43.45    17.15    54.17    91.52    66.33P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             19   34  +10      79.08     8.68    23.78     4.26    23.55    72.36    33.35P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   32  +14      83.92     9.06    36.70    13.04    45.73    86.43    57.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 19   32   +9      76.93     8.81    22.07     2.78    17.67    63.94    28.69P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               19   32   +4      68.20     8.69     3.34     0.29     2.87    24.55     6.82P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             18   31  +11      77.37     9.15    23.60     3.59    19.55    65.11    30.12P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            18   31   +9      78.97     9.07    23.35     4.51    23.85    71.16    37.48P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            19   30   -4      65.83     8.71    -6.77     0.12     1.56    16.44     3.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            19   28  +15      79.17     8.77    39.15     4.59    26.24    74.27    40.24P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           19   28   -1      62.02     8.74    -5.85     0.06     0.64     8.94     2.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            19   26   -7      54.79     8.54   -20.62     0.01     0.05     1.78     0.29P    0.16R    0.02  
Chesterfield         19   23   +3      64.63     8.82    10.81     0.05     1.20    15.20     4.20P    0.02R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         19   23   -2      57.79     8.75    -4.46     0.01     0.14     3.71     0.91P    0.09R    0.01  
Notts_County         19   21   -5      56.45     8.71    -7.74     0.00     0.10     2.66     0.52P    0.17R    0.02  
Macclesfield         19   21  -15      46.12     8.08   -37.38     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    2.55R    0.46  
Accrington_Stanley   18   19   -3      55.73     9.02    -4.84     0.00     0.07     2.66     0.60P    0.29R    0.04  
Morecambe            19   18   -9      47.03     8.55   -22.09     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P    2.45R    0.54  
Barnet               19   14  -20      36.60     7.88   -47.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.40R    7.59  
Chester              18   13  -17      39.59     8.57   -37.97     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   14.49R    4.30  
Rotherham            19   10   +1      49.52     8.97     5.16     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.12P    1.57R    0.32  
Grimsby              18   10  -19      32.12     7.97   -46.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.41R   18.71  
Bournemouth          19    3   -7      33.06     8.45   -18.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.22R   15.87  
Luton                19   -7   -4      25.17     8.63   -11.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.16R   52.12  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 December 2008, Barrow vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        23   49  +16      87.18     7.70    26.39    25.16    83.45    36.80P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               21   44  +16      87.45     8.26    30.11    28.98    82.54    43.31P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        22   42  +13      82.42     8.09    24.85    11.76    64.76    23.96P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              22   39  +11      80.20     8.11    23.80     7.37    54.72    19.35P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         22   38  +15      79.57     7.94    29.04     6.21    52.85    18.94P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        23   38   +5      74.26     7.60    12.26     1.14    24.04     6.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham              20   36  +12      83.14     8.51    31.07    15.12    68.55    28.60P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    23   34  +10      73.46     7.61    21.92     0.74    22.91     7.64P    0.00R    0.00  
Kettering            20   33   +7      76.46     8.54    18.80     3.43    36.67    12.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth             24   32   -2      60.35     7.28    -5.43     0.00     0.69     0.12P    0.72R    0.01  
Stevenage            23   32   -3      60.24     7.47    -8.63     0.00     0.87     0.17P    0.81R    0.02  
Ebbsfleet_United     23   30   +3      64.61     7.73     7.88     0.05     3.17     0.83P    0.25R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           22   29   -3      62.89     7.99    -1.50     0.03     2.19     0.41P    0.69R    0.02  
Altrincham           22   29  -10      55.57     7.68   -19.79     0.00     0.23     0.03P    4.96R    0.29  
Eastbourne_Borough   22   27   -8      56.34     7.89   -15.16     0.00     0.30     0.06P    4.16R    0.23  
York                 23   26   -2      60.79     7.97     3.19     0.00     1.10     0.26P    1.08R    0.04  
Barrow               21   26   -5      55.75     8.16   -13.72     0.00     0.38     0.06P    5.55R    0.37  
Mansfield            22   25   -3      57.62     7.90    -3.41     0.00     0.49     0.14P    2.49R    0.16  
Salisbury            22   25   -6      50.11     7.61   -18.16     0.00     0.02     0.00P   15.38R    1.23  
Forest_Green         21   22  -10      50.77     8.02   -19.90     0.00     0.06     0.01P   15.57R    1.67  
Woking               22   20   -8      45.06     7.62   -18.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.91R    5.91  
Grays_Athletic       21   19  -11      41.78     7.53   -26.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.16R   11.32  
Lewes                22   17  -24      33.77     6.59   -51.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.19R   59.62  
Northwich            22   15  -13      39.72     7.43   -26.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.09R   19.10