Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 11 December 2008 at 22:34:39 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 8 December 2008, West_Ham vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Liverpool       16   39  +16      84.17     7.07    38.84    24.97    62.03    93.22    98.42    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         15   33  +25      88.33     6.04    64.67    57.46    85.96    98.71    99.81    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         14   30  +17      81.91     7.40    47.13    17.29    49.23    90.16    97.26    99.67     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         16   29   +9      65.83     7.68    19.96     0.25     1.97    10.23    45.56    81.97     0.01R    0.00  
Hull            16   26   -1      55.07     7.68    -3.73     0.00     0.07     0.65     5.92    28.97     0.49R    0.02  
Aston_Villa     16   25   +3      58.88     7.97     8.77     0.01     0.20     2.00    14.50    50.17     0.15R    0.00  
Portsmouth      15   23   +0      52.37     7.92    -3.76     0.00     0.02     0.30     3.78    19.44     1.31R    0.07  
Everton         16   22   -3      47.88     7.58   -12.02     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.93     7.79     4.58R    0.33  
Man_City        16   21  +10      62.56     7.41    30.78     0.03     0.51     4.38    29.15    72.18     0.04R    0.00  
Fulham          15   20   +1      49.36     7.79    -0.58     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.42    10.98     2.82R    0.22  
Bolton          16   20   -1      49.10     7.80    -2.56     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.51    11.20     3.07R    0.23  
Wigan           16   19   -2      46.95     7.68    -5.46     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.70     6.57     5.50R    0.60  
Middlesbrough   16   19   -7      41.16     7.19   -19.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     1.18    19.35R    2.66  
Tottenham       16   18   -2      46.73     7.67    -4.43     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.68     6.03     6.05R    0.72  
West_Ham        16   18   -7      40.62     7.28   -19.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.09    22.05R    3.54  
Stoke           16   18  -11      41.69     7.43   -22.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.47    19.38R    3.09  
Newcastle       15   15   -5      39.18     7.62   -17.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.90    28.59R    5.64  
Sunderland      16   15  -12      36.38     7.37   -26.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.38    43.80R   12.30  
Blackburn       16   13  -14      33.30     7.22   -33.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10    61.39R   22.33  
West_Brom       16   12  -16      29.08     6.67   -38.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    81.41R   48.25  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 December 2008, Ipswich vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    22   50  +21      97.46     7.36    46.28    57.09    85.66    99.85    89.35P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       22   47  +13      88.38     7.86    25.60    12.48    37.19    96.48    52.99P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          22   43  +25      92.81     7.21    53.78    29.30    68.77    99.38    80.13P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          22   37   +5      76.25     7.95    14.71     0.57     3.29    63.83    15.92P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        22   35  +10      74.11     7.82    19.17     0.27     2.07    54.71    16.93P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff          22   34   +7      71.27     7.85    13.18     0.09     0.95    39.98    10.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston          22   34   +2      67.92     7.81     2.90     0.04     0.34    23.07     4.59P    0.08R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   22   33   +8      71.52     7.84    16.25     0.10     0.99    41.36    11.34P    0.01R    0.00  
QPR              22   32   -2      63.71     7.76    -2.69     0.01     0.05    10.35     2.16P    0.38R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed        22   32   -8      59.73     7.68   -16.34     0.00     0.01     4.14     0.59P    1.64R    0.06  
Ipswich          22   31   +8      68.51     7.81    14.76     0.04     0.37    28.08     7.73P    0.06R    0.00  
Swansea          22   31   +3      67.19     7.86     7.90     0.01     0.23    22.15     4.87P    0.12R    0.00  
Plymouth         22   29   -1      60.95     7.76    -2.27     0.00     0.02     5.90     1.27P    1.12R    0.04  
Coventry         22   28   -3      57.86     7.96    -7.49     0.00     0.02     3.13     0.60P    3.06R    0.18  
Bristol_City     22   27   -4      57.74     7.91    -7.61     0.00     0.01     2.88     0.58P    3.23R    0.22  
Blackpool        22   27   -7      55.73     7.70   -13.01     0.00     0.01     1.40     0.26P    5.46R    0.43  
Barnsley         22   25   -5      51.80     7.65   -15.23     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.08P   12.93R    1.26  
Derby            22   25   -7      54.41     7.89   -12.85     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.19P    7.99R    0.78  
Watford          22   23   -4      55.17     7.88    -7.29     0.00     0.00     1.36     0.27P    6.52R    0.64  
Norwich          22   23   -6      52.09     7.61   -14.19     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.06P   12.54R    1.61  
Southampton      22   22  -13      45.54     7.33   -27.67     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   40.56R    8.60  
Doncaster        22   18  -15      36.22     6.36   -33.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.79R   50.01  
Nottm_Forest     22   17  -13      41.84     7.32   -25.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    59.00R   18.12  
Charlton         22   17  -14      42.10     7.51   -28.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    58.49R   18.01  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 December 2008, Cheltenham vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        19   41  +18      93.54     8.56    42.32    41.49    63.21    95.23    72.78P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         19   39   +7      82.70     8.95    17.44     6.16    16.20    67.74    25.90P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          19   37  +18      89.47     8.58    43.72    23.31    45.62    90.15    59.08P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     19   36  +15      84.79     8.68    34.68    10.85    24.87    77.93    39.25P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       19   36  +11      83.00     9.06    27.57     7.14    18.49    70.36    30.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           19   35  +12      83.91     8.67    31.82     8.08    20.91    75.09    34.76P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United     19   32   +9      74.28     8.93    17.34     1.11     3.77    33.29    10.64P    0.03R    0.00  
Stockport        19   31   +9      76.07     8.89    21.19     1.35     4.61    40.92    15.33P    0.02R    0.00  
Tranmere         19   30   +4      70.91     8.95     9.68     0.34     1.42    19.85     5.34P    0.14R    0.00  
Walsall          19   27   +0      65.02     9.00     1.10     0.05     0.31     7.64     1.73P    1.02R    0.01  
Southend         19   27   -3      61.82     8.96    -7.67     0.03     0.13     3.77     0.76P    2.27R    0.01  
Huddersfield     19   26   -4      61.49     8.94    -7.46     0.03     0.09     3.33     0.67P    2.74R    0.03  
Hartlepool       19   25   -1      63.38     9.08     0.35     0.03     0.16     5.60     1.29P    1.62R    0.03  
Northampton      19   24   +1      61.75     9.14     1.88     0.03     0.13     4.18     1.08P    2.47R    0.02  
Bristol_Rovers   19   22   +3      59.79     8.89     3.16     0.01     0.05     2.62     0.57P    3.49R    0.04  
Colchester       19   21   -4      55.09     8.87   -10.55     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.13P   10.58R    0.16  
Carlisle         19   21   -8      50.42     8.66   -21.86     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.05P   23.54R    0.73  
Leyton_Orient    19   21   -8      50.92     8.65   -17.55     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P   21.58R    0.59  
Swindon          19   20   -5      56.83     8.74    -6.51     0.00     0.02     0.95     0.18P    7.40R    0.16  
Brighton         19   20   -5      51.96     8.76   -13.38     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.08P   17.54R    0.48  
Yeovil           19   19  -10      46.74     8.32   -22.43     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   38.64R    1.73  
Hereford         19   15  -16      36.11     7.49   -39.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.98R   18.88  
Cheltenham       19   15  -21      36.47     7.58   -50.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.02R   19.37  
Crewe            19    9  -22      29.83     7.66   -55.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.92R   57.76  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 December 2008, Aldershot vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe              19   40  +17      92.88     8.22    40.56    49.34    82.21    98.33    87.30P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   34  +20      85.57     8.28    43.48    17.05    54.37    91.56    66.40P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             19   34  +10      79.27     8.78    24.05     4.83    24.63    72.83    34.41P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   32  +14      83.66     9.03    36.15    12.64    44.71    85.63    55.92P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 19   32   +9      76.88     8.76    22.11     2.75    17.36    63.31    28.13P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               19   32   +4      68.25     8.79     3.37     0.34     3.04    25.05     7.25P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             18   31  +11      77.88     9.13    24.51     3.97    21.22    66.95    31.78P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            18   31   +9      78.79     9.05    23.05     4.19    23.19    70.54    36.95P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            19   30   -4      65.68     8.61    -6.95     0.07     1.46    15.67     3.39P    0.00R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            19   28  +15      79.02     8.72    38.87     4.71    25.51    73.77    39.48P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           19   28   -1      62.13     8.65    -5.70     0.05     0.61     8.82     1.97P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            19   26   -7      54.80     8.50   -20.64     0.00     0.07     1.74     0.30P    0.13R    0.01  
Chesterfield         19   23   +3      64.87     8.79    11.25     0.06     1.24    15.78     4.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         19   23   -2      57.41     8.76    -5.05     0.00     0.15     3.51     0.88P    0.09R    0.01  
Notts_County         19   21   -5      56.76     8.78    -7.30     0.00     0.13     2.86     0.62P    0.14R    0.01  
Macclesfield         19   21  -15      46.23     8.15   -37.29     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P    2.57R    0.40  
Accrington_Stanley   18   19   -3      56.08     8.98    -4.37     0.00     0.09     2.81     0.65P    0.24R    0.03  
Morecambe            19   18   -9      47.01     8.45   -22.01     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.05P    2.46R    0.53  
Barnet               19   14  -20      36.61     7.92   -47.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    23.00R    7.67  
Chester              18   13  -17      39.18     8.60   -38.78     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   15.80R    5.03  
Rotherham            19   10   +1      49.31     9.06     4.84     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.17P    1.66R    0.41  
Grimsby              18   10  -19      32.23     7.87   -46.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.24R   18.24  
Bournemouth          19    3   -7      32.77     8.43   -18.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.78R   17.03  
Luton                19   -7   -4      25.43     8.69   -11.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.88R   50.63  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 December 2008, Barrow vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        23   49  +16      87.09     7.71    26.23    24.36    82.99    36.61P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               21   44  +16      87.63     8.22    30.40    30.05    83.36    44.25P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        22   42  +13      82.47     8.07    24.93    11.79    64.98    24.03P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              22   39  +11      80.05     8.17    23.56     7.16    54.35    18.87P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         22   38  +15      79.41     7.91    28.80     6.09    52.42    18.39P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        23   38   +5      74.33     7.57    12.34     1.10    24.43     7.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham              20   36  +12      83.25     8.49    31.32    15.34    69.02    28.98P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    23   34  +10      73.61     7.58    22.18     0.93    23.31     7.82P    0.01R    0.00  
Kettering            20   33   +7      76.07     8.59    18.18     3.10    35.33    12.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth             24   32   -2      60.37     7.36    -5.41     0.01     0.73     0.12P    0.74R    0.02  
Stevenage            23   32   -3      60.02     7.54    -9.05     0.01     0.85     0.16P    0.89R    0.04  
Ebbsfleet_United     23   30   +3      64.58     7.72     7.79     0.03     3.07     0.72P    0.30R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           22   29   -3      63.18     7.99    -1.09     0.02     2.41     0.45P    0.60R    0.03  
Altrincham           22   29  -10      55.77     7.76   -19.59     0.00     0.25     0.03P    4.73R    0.26  
Eastbourne_Borough   22   27   -8      56.13     7.82   -15.49     0.00     0.29     0.06P    4.33R    0.29  
York                 23   26   -2      60.97     8.02     3.43     0.00     1.26     0.29P    1.13R    0.06  
Barrow               21   26   -5      55.75     8.11   -13.71     0.00     0.37     0.07P    5.49R    0.39  
Mansfield            22   25   -3      57.70     7.92    -3.28     0.00     0.51     0.09P    2.53R    0.16  
Salisbury            22   25   -6      50.20     7.58   -17.89     0.00     0.03     0.00P   14.81R    1.07  
Forest_Green         21   22  -10      50.57     8.03   -20.28     0.00     0.05     0.01P   16.09R    1.79  
Woking               22   20   -8      44.97     7.52   -18.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.55R    6.13  
Grays_Athletic       21   19  -11      41.96     7.55   -26.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.14R   10.72  
Lewes                22   17  -24      33.69     6.58   -51.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.31R   59.89  
Northwich            22   15  -13      39.75     7.50   -26.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.32R   19.14