Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 10 December 2008 at 22:34:49 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 8 December 2008, West_Ham vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Liverpool       16   39  +16      84.01     7.14    38.59    24.06    61.83    93.30    98.27    99.85     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         15   33  +25      88.42     5.99    64.64    58.53    86.66    98.82    99.80    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         14   30  +17      81.68     7.49    46.90    17.18    48.76    89.92    97.04    99.66     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         16   29   +9      65.75     7.69    19.90     0.17     1.87     9.92    45.38    81.50     0.00R    0.00  
Hull            16   26   -1      55.09     7.64    -3.71     0.01     0.05     0.68     5.98    29.10     0.41R    0.02  
Aston_Villa     16   25   +3      58.90     7.79     8.77     0.02     0.22     1.89    14.21    50.07     0.10R    0.00  
Portsmouth      15   23   +0      52.13     8.01    -4.11     0.00     0.03     0.35     3.79    19.04     1.48R    0.12  
Everton         16   22   -3      47.88     7.57   -12.01     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.96     7.60     4.69R    0.35  
Man_City        16   21  +10      62.54     7.45    30.82     0.04     0.56     4.64    29.48    71.99     0.04R    0.00  
Fulham          15   20   +1      49.54     7.87    -0.36     0.00     0.02     0.18     1.71    11.66     2.76R    0.16  
Bolton          16   20   -1      48.98     7.72    -2.70     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.46    10.85     3.10R    0.22  
Wigan           16   19   -2      47.16     7.80    -5.14     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.86     7.03     5.75R    0.63  
Middlesbrough   16   19   -7      41.14     7.20   -19.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.16    19.68R    2.86  
Tottenham       16   18   -2      46.98     7.67    -4.07     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.69     6.46     5.72R    0.73  
West_Ham        16   18   -7      40.64     7.29   -19.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.04    21.98R    3.71  
Stoke           16   18  -11      41.68     7.54   -22.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.56    19.62R    3.23  
Newcastle       15   15   -5      39.14     7.64   -17.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.92    28.65R    5.81  
Sunderland      16   15  -12      36.55     7.34   -25.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.37    42.94R   11.42  
Blackburn       16   13  -14      33.25     7.25   -33.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11    61.67R   22.48  
West_Brom       16   12  -16      29.05     6.71   -38.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    81.41R   48.24  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 December 2008, Ipswich vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    22   50  +21      97.36     7.34    46.16    57.15    85.46    99.84    89.31P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       22   47  +13      88.26     7.94    25.45    12.56    37.30    96.11    52.48P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          22   43  +25      92.67     7.36    53.54    29.07    68.26    99.33    79.64P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          22   37   +5      76.35     7.93    14.83     0.55     3.50    63.94    16.22P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        22   35  +10      74.35     7.77    19.50     0.31     2.21    55.90    17.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff          22   34   +7      71.62     7.86    13.71     0.12     1.10    41.45    10.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston          22   34   +2      67.90     7.78     2.90     0.02     0.37    22.94     4.62P    0.07R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   22   33   +8      71.58     7.94    16.38     0.15     1.07    42.29    11.79P    0.02R    0.00  
QPR              22   32   -2      63.59     7.71    -2.83     0.01     0.06     9.93     2.04P    0.37R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed        22   32   -8      59.58     7.64   -16.58     0.00     0.02     3.87     0.56P    1.65R    0.08  
Ipswich          22   31   +8      68.52     7.83    14.82     0.03     0.40    27.83     7.55P    0.06R    0.00  
Swansea          22   31   +3      66.85     7.87     7.36     0.01     0.19    20.39     4.47P    0.16R    0.00  
Plymouth         22   29   -1      61.05     7.76    -2.18     0.00     0.02     5.94     1.24P    1.01R    0.04  
Coventry         22   28   -3      57.74     7.79    -7.67     0.00     0.01     2.67     0.50P    2.88R    0.16  
Bristol_City     22   27   -4      57.92     7.85    -7.31     0.00     0.01     2.78     0.52P    3.10R    0.18  
Blackpool        22   27   -7      55.51     7.68   -13.32     0.00     0.00     1.30     0.25P    5.73R    0.48  
Barnsley         22   25   -5      52.03     7.63   -14.88     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.08P   12.29R    1.18  
Derby            22   25   -7      54.50     7.88   -12.68     0.00     0.00     1.10     0.20P    7.77R    0.81  
Watford          22   23   -4      55.23     7.90    -7.12     0.00     0.00     1.45     0.29P    6.39R    0.60  
Norwich          22   23   -6      52.13     7.67   -14.11     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.08P   12.27R    1.55  
Southampton      22   22  -13      45.30     7.21   -28.07     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   41.64R    8.63  
Doncaster        22   18  -15      36.21     6.37   -33.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.69R   49.86  
Nottm_Forest     22   17  -13      42.07     7.37   -25.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    58.05R   17.55  
Charlton         22   17  -14      41.83     7.41   -29.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.83R   18.86  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 December 2008, Cheltenham vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        19   41  +18      93.57     8.41    42.35    41.60    63.47    95.63    73.10P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         19   39   +7      82.98     8.86    17.88     6.62    16.98    68.84    26.90P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          19   37  +18      89.15     8.65    43.09    22.01    44.20    89.24    57.88P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     19   36  +15      84.87     8.74    34.80    11.26    25.06    77.83    39.75P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       19   36  +11      83.35     8.89    28.05     7.41    18.81    71.88    30.92P    0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           19   35  +12      83.95     8.65    32.02     8.11    20.83    74.86    34.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United     19   32   +9      74.27     8.94    17.33     1.12     3.61    32.82    10.20P    0.03R    0.00  
Stockport        19   31   +9      75.94     8.88    21.04     1.28     4.61    40.15    15.00P    0.03R    0.00  
Tranmere         19   30   +4      71.30     9.05    10.24     0.42     1.60    21.05     5.78P    0.17R    0.00  
Walsall          19   27   +0      64.72     8.90     0.60     0.05     0.26     7.07     1.53P    1.05R    0.00  
Southend         19   27   -3      61.69     8.82    -7.82     0.02     0.11     3.48     0.68P    2.29R    0.01  
Huddersfield     19   26   -4      61.47     8.82    -7.58     0.02     0.09     3.17     0.68P    2.65R    0.03  
Hartlepool       19   25   -1      63.32     8.98     0.26     0.04     0.16     5.22     1.17P    1.61R    0.02  
Northampton      19   24   +1      61.89     9.05     2.14     0.02     0.11     4.03     0.98P    2.36R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   19   22   +3      59.69     8.91     2.97     0.02     0.07     2.50     0.58P    3.51R    0.04  
Colchester       19   21   -4      54.98     8.75   -10.75     0.00     0.01     0.63     0.13P   10.38R    0.21  
Carlisle         19   21   -8      50.49     8.65   -21.80     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P   23.34R    0.67  
Leyton_Orient    19   21   -8      50.69     8.59   -17.89     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   22.14R    0.65  
Swindon          19   20   -5      56.87     8.82    -6.44     0.00     0.01     0.98     0.20P    7.58R    0.16  
Brighton         19   20   -5      52.22     8.76   -12.87     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.06P   16.94R    0.40  
Yeovil           19   19  -10      46.51     8.38   -22.84     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   39.46R    1.96  
Hereford         19   15  -16      36.17     7.52   -38.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.82R   18.23  
Cheltenham       19   15  -21      36.66     7.60   -50.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.46R   18.93  
Crewe            19    9  -22      29.61     7.61   -55.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.18R   58.69  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 December 2008, Aldershot vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe              19   40  +17      92.75     8.26    40.42    48.23    81.26    98.17    86.46P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   34  +20      85.46     8.36    43.27    17.04    53.62    91.01    65.81P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             19   34  +10      79.15     8.67    23.90     4.57    23.95    72.14    33.24P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   32  +14      83.93     8.89    36.59    13.08    45.61    86.53    56.94P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 19   32   +9      76.99     8.84    22.22     2.93    17.62    63.54    28.43P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               19   32   +4      68.32     8.70     3.50     0.29     3.14    24.67     7.09P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             18   31  +11      77.58     9.16    23.99     3.93    20.09    65.39    30.66P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            18   31   +9      79.20     9.12    23.61     4.97    24.40    71.57    37.98P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            19   30   -4      65.92     8.80    -6.58     0.12     1.66    16.79     3.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            19   28  +15      79.23     8.72    39.31     4.68    26.35    74.69    40.67P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           19   28   -1      61.64     8.71    -6.52     0.04     0.57     7.94     1.80P    0.02R    0.00  
Port_Vale            19   26   -7      54.88     8.57   -20.53     0.01     0.06     1.82     0.28P    0.15R    0.02  
Chesterfield         19   23   +3      64.90     8.86    11.32     0.10     1.34    15.83     4.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         19   23   -2      57.85     8.89    -4.40     0.01     0.16     3.88     0.99P    0.06R    0.00  
Notts_County         19   21   -5      56.75     8.71    -7.26     0.00     0.07     2.68     0.57P    0.14R    0.01  
Macclesfield         19   21  -15      46.03     8.12   -37.69     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    2.70R    0.50  
Accrington_Stanley   18   19   -3      55.95     9.02    -4.53     0.00     0.09     2.66     0.69P    0.23R    0.03  
Morecambe            19   18   -9      47.03     8.37   -22.05     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P    2.27R    0.51  
Barnet               19   14  -20      36.77     7.82   -47.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   21.46R    6.84  
Chester              18   13  -17      39.27     8.59   -38.53     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    15.28R    4.64  
Rotherham            19   10   +1      49.14     9.03     4.60     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.11P    1.82R    0.44  
Grimsby              18   10  -19      31.96     7.86   -46.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.83R   18.88  
Bournemouth          19    3   -7      32.82     8.40   -18.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.06R   16.62  
Luton                19   -7   -4      25.21     8.63   -11.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.97R   51.50  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 December 2008, Barrow vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        23   49  +16      87.14     7.72    26.37    24.52    83.08    36.52P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               21   44  +16      87.88     8.24    30.73    30.62    84.01    44.91P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        22   42  +13      82.38     8.08    24.82    11.44    64.60    24.01P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              22   39  +11      79.99     8.25    23.44     7.17    53.63    18.53P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         22   38  +15      79.36     7.90    28.79     5.84    52.03    18.34P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        23   38   +5      74.43     7.51    12.48     1.06    24.44     6.81P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              20   36  +12      83.14     8.53    31.16    15.08    68.57    28.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    23   34  +10      73.60     7.60    22.17     0.89    23.38     7.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Kettering            20   33   +7      76.34     8.55    18.63     3.32    36.45    12.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Weymouth             24   32   -2      60.38     7.34    -5.35     0.01     0.84     0.16P    0.77R    0.02  
Stevenage            23   32   -3      59.97     7.53    -9.06     0.00     0.78     0.13P    0.88R    0.02  
Ebbsfleet_United     23   30   +3      64.79     7.72     8.11     0.03     3.26     0.85P    0.21R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           22   29   -3      63.11     8.07    -1.22     0.02     2.36     0.51P    0.69R    0.02  
Altrincham           22   29  -10      55.66     7.71   -19.69     0.00     0.23     0.04P    4.82R    0.26  
Eastbourne_Borough   22   27   -8      56.16     7.85   -15.47     0.00     0.28     0.04P    4.14R    0.25  
York                 23   26   -2      60.93     7.93     3.36     0.00     1.11     0.30P    1.01R    0.04  
Barrow               21   26   -5      55.72     8.06   -13.71     0.00     0.34     0.08P    5.43R    0.33  
Mansfield            22   25   -3      57.49     7.98    -3.64     0.00     0.51     0.11P    2.81R    0.23  
Salisbury            22   25   -6      50.08     7.55   -18.16     0.00     0.03     0.01P   15.05R    1.18  
Forest_Green         21   22  -10      50.57     8.02   -20.29     0.00     0.06     0.01P   16.26R    1.69  
Woking               22   20   -8      45.28     7.57   -17.82     0.00     0.01     0.00P   34.91R    5.60  
Grays_Athletic       21   19  -11      41.83     7.46   -26.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.07R   10.83  
Lewes                22   17  -24      33.61     6.52   -51.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.47R   60.52  
Northwich            22   15  -13      39.72     7.48   -26.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.48R   19.00