Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 9 December 2008 at 23:42:40 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 8 December 2008, West_Ham vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Liverpool       16   39  +16      84.01     7.20    38.51    25.05    62.14    93.00    98.30    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         15   33  +25      88.33     6.01    64.53    58.15    86.81    98.84    99.83    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         14   30  +17      81.58     7.42    46.66    16.57    48.23    89.75    97.01    99.65     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         16   29   +9      65.66     7.71    19.71     0.21     1.90    10.19    44.95    81.18     0.00R    0.00  
Hull            16   26   -1      54.88     7.61    -4.03     0.00     0.05     0.63     5.54    27.94     0.48R    0.02  
Aston_Villa     16   25   +3      58.90     7.81     8.80     0.01     0.23     1.92    14.41    50.18     0.11R    0.00  
Portsmouth      15   23   +0      52.02     8.05    -4.31     0.00     0.03     0.34     3.55    18.87     1.64R    0.08  
Everton         16   22   -3      47.93     7.52   -11.92     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.95     7.54     4.53R    0.38  
Man_City        16   21  +10      62.62     7.49    30.93     0.02     0.59     4.91    30.15    72.10     0.05R    0.00  
Fulham          15   20   +1      49.81     7.80     0.02     0.00     0.01     0.16     1.74    12.11     2.44R    0.15  
Bolton          16   20   -1      49.19     7.74    -2.41     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.60    11.39     2.82R    0.20  
Wigan           16   19   -2      47.06     7.75    -5.33     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.75     6.89     5.70R    0.58  
Middlesbrough   16   19   -7      41.09     7.28   -19.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13     1.29    20.03R    2.69  
Tottenham       16   18   -2      47.14     7.75    -3.76     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.80     6.90     5.56R    0.64  
West_Ham        16   18   -7      40.70     7.35   -19.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.18    21.83R    3.57  
Stoke           16   18  -11      41.63     7.52   -22.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.49    19.98R    3.41  
Newcastle       15   15   -5      39.47     7.67   -17.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.98    27.25R    5.29  
Sunderland      16   15  -12      36.42     7.32   -25.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.32    44.00R   11.58  
Blackburn       16   13  -14      33.30     7.22   -33.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    61.37R   22.00  
West_Brom       16   12  -16      28.85     6.73   -38.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    82.20R   49.40  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 December 2008, Burnley vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    22   50  +21      97.65     7.33    46.66    58.39    86.53    99.86    90.05P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       22   47  +13      88.39     7.90    25.66    12.87    38.00    96.48    53.82P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          22   43  +25      92.47     7.34    53.26    27.62    67.15    99.26    79.03P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          22   37   +5      76.09     7.96    14.47     0.50     3.16    63.54    15.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        22   35  +10      74.20     7.74    19.34     0.30     2.18    56.04    17.15P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          22   34   +7      71.36     7.84    13.30     0.12     0.99    41.04    10.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston          22   34   +2      67.68     7.74     2.60     0.04     0.30    22.49     4.50P    0.09R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   22   33   +8      71.52     7.90    16.28     0.12     1.01    42.48    11.95P    0.01R    0.00  
QPR              22   32   -2      63.48     7.81    -3.00     0.01     0.06    10.50     2.16P    0.39R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        22   32   -8      59.70     7.70   -16.34     0.00     0.01     4.38     0.63P    1.61R    0.06  
Swansea          22   31   +3      67.21     7.94     7.93     0.01     0.26    22.76     5.25P    0.17R    0.01  
Plymouth         22   29   -1      60.96     7.72    -2.30     0.00     0.03     5.98     1.21P    1.04R    0.05  
Ipswich          21   28   +6      66.46     8.10    12.06     0.03     0.25    21.19     5.62P    0.20R    0.01  
Coventry         22   28   -3      57.80     7.88    -7.54     0.00     0.01     2.99     0.57P    2.91R    0.19  
Bristol_City     21   27   -2      59.56     8.24    -4.66     0.00     0.04     5.29     1.12P    2.29R    0.13  
Blackpool        22   27   -7      55.79     7.75   -12.92     0.00     0.00     1.64     0.27P    5.39R    0.44  
Barnsley         22   25   -5      51.85     7.69   -15.16     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.09P   12.88R    1.34  
Derby            22   25   -7      54.26     7.93   -13.09     0.00     0.00     1.23     0.25P    8.46R    0.89  
Norwich          21   23   -5      53.30     8.05   -13.71     0.00     0.00     0.95     0.17P   11.01R    1.42  
Southampton      22   22  -13      45.41     7.25   -27.85     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   41.18R    8.61  
Watford          21   20   -5      54.00     8.26    -7.50     0.00     0.00     1.32     0.25P    9.35R    1.24  
Doncaster        22   18  -15      36.38     6.40   -33.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.14R   48.99  
Nottm_Forest     22   17  -13      42.10     7.44   -25.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   57.75R   17.82  
Charlton         22   17  -14      41.97     7.51   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    59.11R   18.79  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 December 2008, Cheltenham vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        19   41  +18      93.86     8.44    42.78    42.39    64.38    95.72    73.93P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         19   39   +7      82.84     8.95    17.66     6.31    16.21    68.02    25.92P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons          19   37  +18      89.52     8.56    43.81    22.22    45.02    90.12    58.68P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     19   36  +15      84.91     8.69    34.89    10.69    24.79    77.72    39.44P    0.00R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       19   36  +11      83.50     8.93    28.34     7.54    19.14    71.82    31.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           19   35  +12      83.91     8.74    31.88     8.10    20.46    74.41    34.13P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     19   32   +9      74.22     9.03    17.29     1.05     3.52    32.49    10.11P    0.04R    0.00  
Stockport        19   31   +9      76.33     8.79    21.59     1.29     4.43    41.18    14.99P    0.03R    0.00  
Tranmere         19   30   +4      71.27     9.05    10.22     0.29     1.34    21.09     5.63P    0.19R    0.00  
Walsall          19   27   +0      64.74     8.90     0.59     0.04     0.20     7.12     1.55P    0.99R    0.01  
Southend         19   27   -3      61.57     8.88    -8.04     0.01     0.09     3.42     0.66P    2.27R    0.01  
Huddersfield     19   26   -4      61.46     8.91    -7.54     0.01     0.07     3.23     0.59P    2.57R    0.02  
Hartlepool       19   25   -1      63.19     9.07    -0.01     0.03     0.18     5.12     1.17P    1.88R    0.02  
Northampton      19   24   +1      61.57     9.07     1.61     0.02     0.10     3.79     0.90P    2.53R    0.02  
Bristol_Rovers   19   22   +3      59.64     8.99     2.85     0.01     0.06     2.52     0.63P    3.57R    0.05  
Colchester       19   21   -4      54.71     8.83   -11.24     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.12P   11.08R    0.20  
Carlisle         19   21   -8      50.46     8.60   -21.79     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   23.23R    0.61  
Leyton_Orient    19   21   -8      51.06     8.55   -17.30     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   20.47R    0.54  
Swindon          19   20   -5      56.92     8.85    -6.40     0.00     0.01     0.93     0.19P    7.54R    0.13  
Brighton         19   20   -5      52.26     8.93   -12.85     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.06P   16.78R    0.44  
Yeovil           19   19  -10      46.35     8.22   -23.06     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   39.61R    1.92  
Hereford         19   15  -16      36.10     7.51   -39.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.86R   18.66  
Cheltenham       19   15  -21      36.39     7.59   -50.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.33R   19.75  
Crewe            19    9  -22      29.72     7.59   -55.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.05R   57.61  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 December 2008, Aldershot vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe              19   40  +17      92.98     8.28    40.72    49.53    82.14    98.28    87.14P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   34  +20      85.71     8.31    43.60    17.12    54.70    91.83    66.63P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             19   34  +10      79.16     8.71    24.01     4.62    23.88    72.16    33.57P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   32  +14      83.83     8.92    36.45    12.54    45.20    86.18    56.35P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 19   32   +9      76.83     8.72    21.99     2.86    16.76    62.96    27.50P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               19   32   +4      68.45     8.72     3.72     0.31     3.22    25.05     7.39P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             18   31  +11      77.89     9.18    24.48     4.14    21.25    66.97    32.30P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            18   31   +9      78.94     8.92    23.29     4.11    23.42    70.90    36.97P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            19   30   -4      65.82     8.77    -6.72     0.09     1.56    16.49     3.65P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            19   28  +15      79.01     8.75    38.90     4.55    25.58    73.42    39.53P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           19   28   -1      61.96     8.77    -6.00     0.04     0.62     8.77     1.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            19   26   -7      54.96     8.61   -20.34     0.00     0.07     1.86     0.34P    0.18R    0.01  
Chesterfield         19   23   +3      64.66     8.88    10.95     0.08     1.29    15.25     4.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         19   23   -2      57.53     8.87    -4.87     0.01     0.14     3.58     0.88P    0.08R    0.01  
Notts_County         19   21   -5      56.40     8.74    -7.84     0.00     0.07     2.61     0.56P    0.17R    0.03  
Macclesfield         19   21  -15      45.91     8.08   -37.88     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    2.64R    0.49  
Accrington_Stanley   18   19   -3      56.23     9.07    -4.12     0.01     0.10     3.00     0.75P    0.25R    0.02  
Morecambe            19   18   -9      46.95     8.41   -22.28     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    2.38R    0.51  
Barnet               19   14  -20      36.74     7.91   -47.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.61R    7.36  
Chester              18   13  -17      39.27     8.54   -38.49     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    15.35R    4.70  
Rotherham            19   10   +1      49.25     9.01     4.68     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.12P    1.77R    0.41  
Grimsby              18   10  -19      32.06     7.82   -46.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.20R   18.49  
Bournemouth          19    3   -7      32.97     8.52   -18.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.58R   16.33  
Luton                19   -7   -4      25.27     8.61   -11.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.77R   51.64  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 December 2008, Barrow vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        23   49  +16      87.08     7.65    26.24    24.50    83.10    36.52P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               21   44  +16      87.40     8.29    30.01    29.12    82.24    43.17P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        22   42  +13      82.46     8.07    25.00    11.89    65.04    24.54P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              22   39  +11      80.07     8.11    23.58     7.15    53.79    18.61P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         22   38  +15      79.33     7.91    28.61     6.02    51.79    18.17P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        23   38   +5      74.47     7.65    12.52     1.20    24.93     7.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham              20   36  +12      83.42     8.58    31.64    16.09    69.42    29.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    23   34  +10      73.45     7.67    21.94     0.76    23.18     7.65P    0.02R    0.00  
Kettering            20   33   +7      76.40     8.46    18.68     3.16    36.50    12.27P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth             24   32   -2      60.33     7.41    -5.44     0.00     0.83     0.14P    0.66R    0.01  
Stevenage            23   32   -3      60.11     7.55    -8.85     0.01     0.92     0.19P    0.92R    0.02  
Ebbsfleet_United     23   30   +3      64.62     7.70     7.88     0.05     3.12     0.78P    0.26R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           22   29   -3      63.25     8.08    -0.95     0.03     2.54     0.51P    0.64R    0.01  
Altrincham           22   29  -10      55.60     7.69   -19.79     0.00     0.21     0.04P    4.96R    0.26  
Eastbourne_Borough   22   27   -8      56.09     7.86   -15.61     0.00     0.25     0.02P    4.34R    0.25  
York                 23   26   -2      61.20     7.92     3.77     0.00     1.22     0.31P    0.84R    0.03  
Barrow               21   26   -5      55.51     8.13   -14.12     0.00     0.35     0.05P    5.88R    0.34  
Mansfield            22   25   -3      57.62     7.87    -3.37     0.00     0.48     0.12P    2.51R    0.18  
Salisbury            22   25   -6      50.31     7.62   -17.81     0.00     0.03     0.00P   14.72R    1.17  
Forest_Green         21   22  -10      50.45     7.98   -20.57     0.00     0.06     0.01P   16.31R    1.76  
Woking               22   20   -8      45.14     7.55   -17.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.45R    5.49  
Grays_Athletic       21   19  -11      42.05     7.52   -26.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.70R   10.49  
Lewes                22   17  -24      33.73     6.59   -51.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.18R   59.56  
Northwich            22   15  -13      39.45     7.47   -27.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.62R   20.42