Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 8 December 2008 at 22:34:48 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 8 December 2008, West_Ham vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Liverpool       16   37  +15      81.15     7.36    35.91    14.02    55.14    87.29    95.90    99.66     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         16   36  +29      89.92     5.53    69.57    76.99    94.72    99.42    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         15   31  +17      79.18     7.15    42.87     8.62    44.02    84.51    95.20    99.51     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         16   29   +9      66.13     7.57    20.52     0.22     3.23    13.81    45.89    83.90     0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     16   28   +7      65.30     7.68    18.45     0.15     2.54    11.60    40.75    80.47     0.00R    0.00  
Hull            16   26   -1      54.87     7.64    -4.12     0.00     0.13     1.07     5.68    28.83     0.57R    0.02  
Portsmouth      16   23   -4      49.92     7.75    -9.41     0.00     0.01     0.18     1.67    12.38     2.84R    0.22  
Everton         16   22   -3      48.17     7.57   -11.54     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.91     8.52     4.77R    0.40  
Fulham          15   20   +1      49.49     7.88    -0.40     0.00     0.02     0.22     1.61    12.05     3.11R    0.23  
Bolton          16   20   -1      49.04     7.76    -2.76     0.00     0.01     0.14     1.37    11.22     3.36R    0.25  
Wigan           16   19   -2      47.22     7.67    -5.03     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.76     7.18     5.57R    0.61  
Middlesbrough   16   19   -7      41.23     7.27   -19.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.32    20.86R    3.07  
Stoke           16   19  -10      43.29     7.53   -20.20     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17     2.34    15.58R    2.18  
Man_City        16   18   +6      56.78     7.66    21.35     0.00     0.16     1.49     9.31    43.34     0.44R    0.03  
Tottenham       16   18   -2      46.75     7.60    -4.30     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.58     6.27     6.41R    0.81  
West_Ham        16   18   -7      39.86     7.19   -21.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.76    27.03R    4.68  
Newcastle       16   16   -5      41.49     7.56   -12.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.72    19.55R    3.36  
Sunderland      16   15  -12      36.37     7.33   -26.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.36    45.60R   12.86  
Blackburn       16   13  -14      33.35     7.21   -33.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    63.01R   22.99  
West_Brom       16   12  -16      29.34     6.78   -37.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    81.29R   48.30  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 8 December 2008, Crystal_Palace vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    21   47  +18      96.41     7.69    44.65    54.72    84.44    99.69    88.29P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       21   44  +12      85.90     8.32    23.37    10.15    30.56    92.39    45.92P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          21   40  +24      92.63     7.51    56.01    33.23    72.79    99.14    82.67P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          21   36   +5      76.88     8.15    15.03     1.00     5.24    65.72    18.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   22   33   +8      71.77     7.94    16.71     0.21     1.55    43.17    12.71P    0.03R    0.00  
Cardiff          21   33   +7      71.07     8.16    12.32     0.20     1.39    38.82    10.72P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        21   32   +9      72.55     8.16    18.32     0.33     2.06    47.03    15.02P    0.04R    0.00  
QPR              21   32   -1      65.51     8.14    -1.14     0.02     0.22    15.77     3.28P    0.29R    0.01  
Preston          21   31   +1      66.87     8.08     2.60     0.04     0.48    20.59     4.63P    0.20R    0.01  
Swansea          21   30   +3      68.85     8.31     9.86     0.05     0.71    29.61     7.21P    0.15R    0.01  
Plymouth         21   29   +0      62.83     8.13    -0.60     0.01     0.09     9.76     2.16P    0.87R    0.04  
Sheff_Wed        21   29   -9      57.56     7.93   -18.20     0.00     0.01     2.69     0.38P    4.05R    0.28  
Ipswich          21   28   +6      66.82     8.11    12.64     0.03     0.36    22.13     6.17P    0.18R    0.00  
Bristol_City     21   27   -2      59.57     8.18    -4.77     0.00     0.04     5.19     1.06P    2.40R    0.17  
Blackpool        21   27   -6      55.73     7.92   -15.00     0.00     0.01     1.66     0.30P    6.66R    0.63  
Derby            21   25   -4      55.82     8.22   -10.36     0.00     0.02     2.04     0.42P    6.89R    0.71  
Coventry         21   25   -4      55.45     8.16    -9.54     0.00     0.01     2.00     0.49P    7.04R    0.68  
Barnsley         21   24   -5      50.79     7.80   -17.30     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.07P   17.75R    2.32  
Norwich          21   23   -5      53.24     8.06   -14.01     0.00     0.01     0.99     0.19P   12.21R    1.62  
Southampton      22   22  -13      45.31     7.25   -27.99     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   43.31R   10.21  
Watford          21   20   -5      53.82     8.26    -7.91     0.00     0.00     1.11     0.22P   10.75R    1.52  
Doncaster        21   18  -14      36.67     6.57   -33.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.60R   51.90  
Nottm_Forest     21   17  -12      43.65     7.75   -24.36     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   51.49R   15.18  
Charlton         21   17  -13      44.03     7.87   -26.57     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   50.02R   14.70  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 December 2008, Cheltenham vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        19   41  +18      93.60     8.50    42.42    37.31    62.07    95.70    72.29P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         19   39   +7      83.28     9.03    18.37     6.29    17.00    70.38    27.50P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons          18   37  +19      92.51     8.87    47.56    34.09    58.42    94.03    69.45P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       19   36  +11      83.48     8.97    28.43     6.94    18.47    72.75    30.82P    0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           19   35  +12      83.88     8.66    31.83     6.88    19.42    75.19    33.38P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     18   33  +14      81.50     9.12    30.91     5.95    14.98    65.51    28.69P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds            19   32   +9      74.16     8.93    17.18     0.93     3.24    33.00    10.22P    0.04R    0.00  
Stockport        19   31   +9      76.24     8.79    21.52     1.15     4.34    42.28    15.52P    0.02R    0.00  
Tranmere         19   30   +4      71.37     9.09    10.35     0.33     1.35    22.38     5.91P    0.16R    0.00  
Walsall          19   27   +0      64.68     8.87     0.43     0.04     0.23     7.27     1.59P    0.99R    0.00  
Southend         19   27   -3      61.45     8.81    -8.31     0.01     0.08     3.35     0.60P    2.43R    0.01  
Huddersfield     19   26   -4      61.26     8.93    -7.88     0.02     0.07     3.37     0.64P    2.95R    0.03  
Hartlepool       19   25   -1      63.47     9.04     0.46     0.04     0.19     5.66     1.19P    1.65R    0.02  
Northampton      19   24   +1      61.55     9.11     1.54     0.01     0.11     4.09     1.09P    2.57R    0.03  
Bristol_Rovers   19   22   +3      59.67     8.93     2.89     0.00     0.03     2.70     0.63P    3.54R    0.03  
Colchester       19   21   -4      54.65     8.79   -11.46     0.00     0.01     0.63     0.13P   11.38R    0.22  
Carlisle         19   21   -8      50.39     8.53   -21.87     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   23.07R    0.67  
Leyton_Orient    19   21   -8      50.81     8.60   -17.71     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.05P   21.69R    0.57  
Swindon          19   20   -5      57.04     8.78    -6.12     0.00     0.00     1.03     0.20P    7.21R    0.14  
Brighton         19   20   -5      51.98     8.76   -13.31     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.07P   17.55R    0.47  
Yeovil           19   19  -10      46.57     8.24   -22.72     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   39.08R    1.86  
Hereford         19   15  -16      36.40     7.66   -38.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.02R   18.15  
Cheltenham       19   15  -21      36.67     7.65   -50.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.26R   18.84  
Crewe            19    9  -22      29.55     7.50   -55.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.37R   58.98  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 December 2008, Aldershot vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe              19   40  +17      93.11     8.19    40.91    50.22    82.53    98.25    87.52P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   34  +20      85.76     8.37    43.89    17.47    54.60    91.50    66.60P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             19   34  +10      79.08     8.66    23.81     4.12    23.49    71.39    33.36P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   32  +14      83.98     8.94    36.77    12.83    46.27    86.21    57.39P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 19   32   +9      76.84     8.72    21.99     2.66    16.86    62.55    27.50P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               19   32   +4      68.25     8.63     3.43     0.26     3.01    23.81     6.90P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             18   31  +11      78.10     9.05    24.93     4.01    21.62    67.35    32.65P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            18   31   +9      78.65     8.98    22.86     4.09    22.42    69.37    35.61P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           19   31   +1      66.16     8.64    -1.94     0.16     1.77    16.99     4.21P    0.00R    0.00  
Aldershot            19   30   -4      65.77     8.68    -6.80     0.10     1.56    15.62     3.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            19   28  +15      78.83     8.64    38.54     3.98    24.30    72.47    38.39P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         19   23   +3      64.76     8.85    11.12     0.08     1.23    14.81     4.11P    0.02R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         19   23   -2      57.74     8.77    -4.59     0.01     0.17     3.45     0.88P    0.08R    0.01  
Port_Vale            19   23   -9      50.03     8.41   -25.55     0.00     0.01     0.49     0.07P    0.69R    0.09  
Notts_County         19   21   -5      56.45     8.77    -7.76     0.01     0.07     2.57     0.54P    0.14R    0.02  
Macclesfield         19   21  -15      46.00     8.18   -37.64     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    2.56R    0.37  
Accrington_Stanley   18   19   -3      55.92     8.84    -4.59     0.00     0.08     2.46     0.61P    0.15R    0.01  
Morecambe            19   18   -9      46.91     8.38   -22.23     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.05P    2.23R    0.42  
Chester              19   16  -15      42.98     8.36   -33.19     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    5.90R    1.40  
Barnet               19   14  -20      36.82     7.88   -47.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.52R    6.19  
Rotherham            19   10   +1      49.79     8.97     5.52     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.09P    1.39R    0.31  
Grimsby              19   10  -21      29.35     7.28   -51.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.19R   27.26  
Bournemouth          19    3   -7      32.76     8.40   -18.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.58R   15.30  
Luton                19   -7   -4      25.26     8.66   -11.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.55R   48.61  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 December 2008, Crawley_Town vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        22   46  +14      84.41     7.93    22.56    14.27    69.91    25.20P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               20   43  +16      88.96     8.50    32.03    35.09    84.24    47.72P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              21   39  +13      83.90     8.38    29.29    15.05    68.92    29.88P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        21   39  +11      80.68     8.45    22.88     8.60    53.69    18.61P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         22   38  +15      79.29     7.82    28.71     5.24    48.66    16.55P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        22   38   +7      76.88     7.90    15.96     2.60    33.85    10.86P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              20   36  +12      83.45     8.48    31.79    14.87    67.47    28.27P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    22   33  +10      74.60     7.80    23.26     1.25    25.97     8.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Kettering            20   33   +7      76.01     8.50    18.21     2.79    32.34    10.76P    0.00R    0.00  
Weymouth             23   31   -2      61.07     7.62    -4.74     0.00     0.96     0.19P    0.56R    0.01  
Stevenage            22   31   -3      61.23     7.69    -7.88     0.00     1.17     0.16P    0.54R    0.01  
Ebbsfleet_United     22   30   +4      68.13     8.08    12.19     0.17     7.48     1.94P    0.06R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           21   28   -3      63.08     8.32    -1.68     0.04     2.32     0.45P    0.49R    0.01  
Altrincham           21   28  -10      55.44     8.02   -20.41     0.00     0.22     0.03P    4.56R    0.17  
Mansfield            21   25   -1      59.45     8.13    -0.68     0.00     0.90     0.20P    1.44R    0.05  
York                 22   25   -2      61.12     8.27     3.14     0.01     1.23     0.27P    0.95R    0.04  
Barrow               20   25   -5      56.61     8.43   -12.71     0.00     0.47     0.09P    4.05R    0.16  
Salisbury            21   25   -5      53.48     7.93   -13.82     0.00     0.12     0.02P    6.47R    0.22  
Eastbourne_Borough   21   24  -10      52.16     8.00   -21.16     0.00     0.06     0.01P    9.29R    0.59  
Woking               21   19   -8      44.49     7.78   -19.15     0.00     0.01     0.00P   34.68R    4.00  
Forest_Green         20   19  -11      47.34     8.14   -24.70     0.00     0.01     0.00    24.58R    2.41  
Grays_Athletic       20   18  -11      41.23     7.76   -29.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.48R    7.72  
Northwich            22   15  -13      39.33     7.41   -27.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.62R   12.55  
Lewes                21   14  -25      30.06     6.52   -56.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.21R   72.06