Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 7 December 2008 at 22:35:08 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 December 2008, Everton vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Liverpool       16   37  +15      81.14     7.24    35.91    13.42    54.51    87.57    96.36    99.73     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         16   36  +29      89.94     5.50    69.52    76.87    94.76    99.52    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         15   31  +17      79.37     7.26    43.21     9.33    44.75    84.84    95.19    99.50     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         16   29   +9      65.83     7.64    20.03     0.19     3.18    13.48    44.21    83.06     0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     16   28   +7      65.25     7.77    18.41     0.18     2.52    11.31    41.36    80.49     0.02R    0.00  
Hull            16   26   -1      54.87     7.64    -4.07     0.00     0.09     0.93     5.86    29.16     0.59R    0.03  
Portsmouth      16   23   -4      49.78     7.70    -9.68     0.00     0.02     0.22     1.76    12.25     3.02R    0.17  
Everton         16   22   -3      48.33     7.59   -11.35     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.96     9.01     4.63R    0.39  
Fulham          15   20   +1      49.35     7.75    -0.59     0.00     0.01     0.21     1.45    11.64     3.11R    0.22  
Bolton          16   20   -1      48.88     7.76    -2.95     0.00     0.01     0.14     1.39    11.07     3.59R    0.28  
Wigan           16   19   -2      47.19     7.75    -5.08     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.79     7.36     5.87R    0.54  
Middlesbrough   16   19   -7      41.17     7.23   -19.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.33    21.06R    3.07  
Stoke           16   19  -10      43.12     7.62   -20.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17     2.61    16.47R    2.43  
Man_City        16   18   +6      56.84     7.68    21.48     0.01     0.13     1.54     9.68    44.06     0.40R    0.04  
West_Ham        15   18   -5      43.38     7.82   -15.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.29     3.02    15.58R    2.20  
Newcastle       16   16   -5      41.47     7.63   -12.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.65    20.17R    3.37  
Tottenham       15   15   -4      43.53     8.03    -8.93     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.33     3.56    14.64R    2.51  
Sunderland      16   15  -12      36.36     7.29   -25.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.33    46.20R   12.83  
Blackburn       16   13  -14      33.46     7.28   -33.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16    62.80R   23.02  
West_Brom       16   12  -16      29.25     6.79   -37.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    81.84R   48.90  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 December 2008, Norwich vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    21   47  +18      96.59     7.72    44.79    55.67    84.93    99.76    88.74P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       21   44  +12      86.00     8.30    23.47     9.90    31.04    92.97    46.96P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          21   40  +24      92.57     7.49    55.82    32.83    72.61    99.23    82.53P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          21   36   +5      76.69     8.21    14.69     0.87     5.11    66.30    18.20P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff          21   33   +7      71.17     8.21    12.48     0.18     1.50    41.01    11.54P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        21   32   +9      72.45     8.10    18.11     0.28     2.12    48.07    15.02P    0.02R    0.00  
QPR              21   32   -1      65.44     8.04    -1.26     0.02     0.20    16.06     3.61P    0.29R    0.01  
Preston          21   31   +1      66.85     7.96     2.58     0.03     0.38    21.35     4.44P    0.20R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   21   30   +5      69.36     8.28    12.59     0.12     0.88    33.31     8.96P    0.13R    0.01  
Swansea          21   30   +3      68.87     8.22     9.92     0.05     0.68    30.66     7.72P    0.15R    0.01  
Plymouth         21   29   +0      63.00     8.11    -0.31     0.01     0.09    10.77     2.46P    0.89R    0.06  
Sheff_Wed        21   29   -9      57.29     7.97   -18.60     0.00     0.02     2.81     0.41P    4.70R    0.37  
Ipswich          21   28   +6      66.71     8.17    12.50     0.04     0.38    22.77     6.41P    0.24R    0.01  
Bristol_City     21   27   -2      59.67     8.13    -4.52     0.00     0.03     5.49     1.23P    2.51R    0.22  
Blackpool        21   27   -6      55.84     7.96   -14.79     0.00     0.00     1.90     0.33P    7.09R    0.73  
Derby            21   25   -4      55.64     8.29   -10.63     0.00     0.02     2.22     0.44P    7.98R    0.94  
Coventry         21   25   -4      55.71     8.21    -9.23     0.00     0.00     2.26     0.45P    7.40R    0.82  
Barnsley         21   24   -5      50.81     7.85   -17.12     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.10P   18.77R    2.47  
Norwich          21   23   -5      53.21     8.00   -13.96     0.00     0.01     1.04     0.19P   12.52R    1.73  
Southampton      21   22  -10      47.25     7.54   -23.85     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   34.29R    7.16  
Watford          21   20   -5      53.92     8.29    -7.76     0.00     0.00     1.34     0.24P   11.20R    1.60  
Doncaster        21   18  -14      36.88     6.69   -33.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.64R   51.77  
Nottm_Forest     21   17  -12      43.46     7.72   -24.61     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   53.82R   16.54  
Charlton         21   17  -13      43.89     7.89   -26.80     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   52.13R   15.55  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 December 2008, Cheltenham vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        19   41  +18      93.85     8.46    42.79    38.54    63.70    96.13    73.97P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         19   39   +7      82.86     9.01    17.71     5.78    15.83    69.48    26.06P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons          18   37  +19      92.44     8.86    47.47    33.58    58.19    94.05    69.20P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       19   36  +11      83.52     9.00    28.41     7.26    18.75    73.43    31.31P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           19   35  +12      83.79     8.76    31.69     6.79    19.30    75.17    33.99P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     18   33  +14      81.39     9.10    30.65     5.69    15.10    65.57    28.56P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds            19   32   +9      74.14     8.94    17.09     0.87     3.19    33.77    10.29P    0.05R    0.00  
Stockport        19   31   +9      75.84     8.85    20.95     1.04     3.88    41.07    14.56P    0.02R    0.00  
Tranmere         19   30   +4      71.01     9.02     9.84     0.31     1.31    21.31     5.54P    0.15R    0.00  
Walsall          19   27   +0      65.03     8.79     1.15     0.04     0.22     7.67     1.68P    0.91R    0.01  
Southend         19   27   -3      61.59     8.82    -8.05     0.01     0.10     3.52     0.71P    2.38R    0.02  
Huddersfield     19   26   -4      61.29     8.90    -7.88     0.01     0.08     3.40     0.65P    2.89R    0.03  
Hartlepool       19   25   -1      63.20     9.16     0.00     0.04     0.19     5.81     1.37P    1.82R    0.02  
Northampton      19   24   +1      61.76     9.10     1.95     0.02     0.09     4.26     0.98P    2.53R    0.03  
Bristol_Rovers   19   22   +3      59.68     8.97     2.87     0.01     0.03     2.83     0.68P    3.80R    0.04  
Colchester       19   21   -4      54.84     8.78   -11.13     0.00     0.01     0.75     0.14P   11.10R    0.21  
Carlisle         19   21   -8      50.56     8.60   -21.66     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P   23.16R    0.69  
Leyton_Orient    19   21   -8      50.95     8.53   -17.47     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P   20.96R    0.58  
Swindon          19   20   -5      56.90     8.79    -6.39     0.00     0.01     1.10     0.20P    7.51R    0.14  
Brighton         19   20   -5      52.18     8.73   -12.92     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.05P   16.94R    0.41  
Yeovil           19   19  -10      46.59     8.27   -22.63     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   39.21R    1.81  
Hereford         19   15  -16      36.34     7.57   -38.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.51R   18.46  
Cheltenham       19   15  -21      36.51     7.60   -50.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.07R   19.53  
Crewe            19    9  -22      29.83     7.62   -55.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.00R   58.02  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 December 2008, Aldershot vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe              19   40  +17      92.75     8.28    40.45    48.26    81.13    97.97    86.38P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   34  +20      85.96     8.33    44.12    18.44    55.72    91.83    67.49P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             19   34  +10      79.13     8.70    23.95     4.48    23.63    71.28    33.29P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   32  +14      83.91     8.92    36.68    12.32    45.27    86.04    56.72P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 19   32   +9      77.10     8.71    22.42     3.00    17.44    63.37    28.38P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               19   32   +4      68.08     8.68     3.20     0.31     2.94    23.07     6.63P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             18   31  +11      77.79     9.17    24.43     4.18    20.88    65.66    31.37P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            18   31   +9      78.87     9.01    23.19     4.27    23.00    70.04    36.73P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           19   31   +1      66.53     8.68    -1.32     0.18     1.84    17.87     4.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Aldershot            19   30   -4      65.83     8.76    -6.73     0.13     1.51    16.02     3.51P    0.00R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            19   28  +15      78.94     8.78    38.73     4.37    25.07    72.38    38.98P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         19   23   +3      64.74     8.81    11.07     0.06     1.19    14.74     4.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         19   23   -2      57.57     8.62    -4.81     0.00     0.15     3.22     0.75P    0.07R    0.01  
Port_Vale            19   23   -9      50.13     8.40   -25.47     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.06P    0.74R    0.12  
Notts_County         19   21   -5      56.60     8.78    -7.51     0.00     0.10     2.71     0.53P    0.14R    0.02  
Macclesfield         19   21  -15      46.06     8.04   -37.54     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.01P    2.28R    0.35  
Accrington_Stanley   18   19   -3      56.18     8.96    -4.19     0.00     0.11     2.62     0.57P    0.19R    0.02  
Morecambe            19   18   -9      46.85     8.45   -22.33     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.03P    2.26R    0.47  
Chester              19   16  -15      42.91     8.38   -33.36     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    5.80R    1.35  
Barnet               19   14  -20      36.54     7.81   -47.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.25R    6.66  
Rotherham            19   10   +1      49.42     9.04     4.98     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.13P    1.45R    0.31  
Grimsby              19   10  -21      29.26     7.33   -51.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.05R   27.21  
Bournemouth          19    3   -7      32.71     8.46   -18.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.86R   15.55  
Luton                19   -7   -4      25.38     8.61   -11.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.89R   47.93  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 December 2008, Crawley_Town vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        22   46  +14      84.41     7.96    22.49    14.59    69.72    25.59P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               20   43  +16      89.07     8.45    32.20    35.65    84.88    48.28P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              21   39  +13      84.10     8.27    29.53    14.98    69.88    30.15P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        21   39  +11      80.52     8.38    22.62     8.03    52.85    17.83P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         22   38  +15      79.27     7.93    28.72     5.28    48.69    16.74P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        22   38   +7      76.82     7.91    15.89     2.56    33.96    10.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham              20   36  +12      83.43     8.40    31.82    14.69    67.37    27.67P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    22   33  +10      74.31     7.94    22.78     1.17    25.07     8.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Kettering            20   33   +7      75.89     8.61    18.07     2.78    31.79    10.51P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth             23   31   -2      61.10     7.61    -4.68     0.01     0.92     0.15P    0.51R    0.01  
Stevenage            22   31   -3      61.24     7.77    -7.86     0.01     1.21     0.19P    0.53R    0.01  
Ebbsfleet_United     22   30   +4      68.54     8.08    12.80     0.20     8.49     2.26P    0.07R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           21   28   -3      62.94     8.25    -1.92     0.04     2.18     0.41P    0.55R    0.01  
Altrincham           21   28  -10      55.30     7.85   -20.53     0.00     0.21     0.03P    4.70R    0.17  
Mansfield            21   25   -1      59.47     8.07    -0.65     0.01     0.84     0.21P    1.30R    0.05  
York                 22   25   -2      60.90     8.28     2.79     0.01     1.23     0.29P    0.92R    0.04  
Barrow               20   25   -5      56.36     8.37   -13.12     0.01     0.44     0.09P    4.28R    0.18  
Salisbury            21   25   -5      53.65     7.95   -13.56     0.00     0.14     0.03P    6.25R    0.29  
Eastbourne_Borough   21   24  -10      52.16     8.03   -21.16     0.00     0.09     0.02P    9.19R    0.64  
Woking               21   19   -8      44.89     7.88   -18.71     0.00     0.01     0.00    33.36R    3.63  
Forest_Green         20   19  -11      47.28     8.13   -24.68     0.00     0.03     0.01P   24.87R    2.59  
Grays_Athletic       20   18  -11      41.15     7.74   -29.10     0.00     0.01     0.00P   54.85R    8.48  
Northwich            22   15  -13      39.24     7.43   -27.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.59R   13.27  
Lewes                21   14  -25      30.35     6.51   -55.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.01R   70.64