Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 6 December 2008 at 22:35:21 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 December 2008, Arsenal vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Liverpool       16   37  +15      81.33     7.23    36.22    13.93    56.17    88.59    96.69    99.66     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         16   36  +29      89.90     5.49    69.48    76.87    94.68    99.56    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         15   31  +17      79.26     7.17    43.19     8.84    43.97    85.49    95.64    99.50     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         16   29   +9      65.91     7.66    20.26     0.24     3.22    14.00    47.12    82.73     0.01R    0.00  
Hull            16   26   -1      54.70     7.72    -4.39     0.00     0.10     0.96     6.00    28.22     0.68R    0.02  
Aston_Villa     15   25   +6      63.56     8.13    17.16     0.11     1.66     8.75    34.46    73.09     0.04R    0.00  
Everton         15   22   -2      49.25     7.98   -10.64     0.00     0.02     0.23     2.03    12.05     4.26R    0.36  
Portsmouth      15   22   -4      51.27     8.17    -7.98     0.00     0.03     0.45     3.18    17.17     2.52R    0.19  
Fulham          15   20   +1      49.68     7.84    -0.22     0.00     0.01     0.20     1.73    12.62     3.06R    0.20  
Bolton          16   20   -1      49.15     7.78    -2.61     0.00     0.01     0.16     1.65    11.69     3.44R    0.25  
Wigan           16   19   -2      46.96     7.72    -5.46     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.81     6.89     6.31R    0.58  
Middlesbrough   16   19   -7      41.05     7.13   -19.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.23    21.52R    2.86  
Stoke           16   19  -10      43.11     7.59   -20.45     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.23     2.58    16.42R    2.13  
Man_City        16   18   +6      56.72     7.55    21.28     0.00     0.13     1.43     9.52    43.15     0.33R    0.02  
West_Ham        15   18   -5      43.23     7.84   -15.87     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.33     3.17    15.60R    2.07  
Newcastle       16   16   -5      41.57     7.55   -12.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     1.86    19.72R    2.85  
Tottenham       15   15   -4      43.58     8.15    -8.83     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.41     3.85    15.18R    2.56  
Sunderland      16   15  -12      36.52     7.34   -25.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.35    45.55R   12.18  
Blackburn       16   13  -14      33.49     7.32   -33.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15    62.34R   21.72  
West_Brom       15   11  -16      28.68     7.10   -39.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    83.04R   52.01  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 December 2008, Barnsley vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    21   47  +18      96.42     7.65    44.53    54.77    84.64    99.68    88.44P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       21   44  +12      86.12     8.25    23.67    10.28    31.19    92.69    46.90P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          21   40  +24      92.58     7.52    56.00    33.05    71.74    99.03    81.38P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          21   36   +5      76.80     8.29    14.91     0.93     5.11    65.00    18.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          21   33   +7      71.30     8.30    12.69     0.22     1.66    39.59    10.96P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        21   32   +9      72.67     8.12    18.51     0.34     2.14    47.15    14.91P    0.02R    0.00  
QPR              21   32   -1      65.18     8.19    -1.55     0.03     0.21    14.80     3.18P    0.36R    0.01  
Preston          21   31   +1      66.98     8.12     2.84     0.03     0.39    20.71     4.33P    0.20R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   21   30   +5      69.43     8.21    12.70     0.09     0.83    31.94     8.69P    0.07R    0.00  
Swansea          21   30   +3      68.70     8.33     9.70     0.05     0.63    28.78     7.05P    0.16R    0.01  
Plymouth         21   29   +0      63.11     8.11    -0.15     0.03     0.12    10.21     2.26P    0.81R    0.04  
Sheff_Wed        21   29   -9      57.62     7.90   -18.09     0.00     0.02     2.75     0.43P    3.79R    0.26  
Ipswich          20   28   +8      69.99     8.50    17.43     0.18     1.24    35.49    10.99P    0.09R    0.00  
Bristol_City     21   27   -2      59.45     8.21    -4.90     0.00     0.05     4.97     1.07P    2.54R    0.23  
Blackpool        21   27   -6      55.75     7.89   -14.97     0.00     0.01     1.62     0.28P    6.51R    0.60  
Derby            21   25   -4      55.36     8.18   -11.16     0.00     0.01     1.69     0.33P    7.67R    0.84  
Coventry         21   25   -4      55.38     8.22    -9.70     0.00     0.01     1.79     0.36P    7.52R    0.83  
Barnsley         21   24   -5      50.82     7.84   -17.01     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.10P   17.62R    2.28  
Southampton      21   22  -10      47.11     7.62   -24.12     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   33.78R    7.15  
Watford          21   20   -5      54.12     8.27    -7.37     0.00     0.00     1.18     0.22P   10.07R    1.49  
Norwich          20   20   -7      49.61     8.22   -19.67     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P   23.75R    4.67  
Doncaster        21   18  -14      36.89     6.71   -33.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.43R   50.89  
Nottm_Forest     21   17  -12      43.38     7.76   -24.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   52.70R   16.55  
Charlton         21   17  -13      44.36     7.89   -26.01     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   47.84R   14.15  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 December 2008, Cheltenham vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        19   41  +18      93.73     8.43    42.69    38.13    63.04    96.05    73.25P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         19   39   +7      82.74     8.98    17.50     5.55    15.52    68.70    25.76P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          18   37  +19      92.49     8.79    47.46    33.73    58.45    94.28    69.48P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       19   36  +11      83.09     9.01    27.70     6.53    17.35    71.68    29.62P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           19   35  +12      84.27     8.64    32.54     7.49    20.54    77.10    35.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough     18   33  +14      81.47     9.17    30.79     6.12    15.34    65.69    29.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds            19   32   +9      74.11     8.91    17.08     0.97     3.33    33.35    10.29P    0.04R    0.00  
Stockport        19   31   +9      75.88     8.95    20.96     1.08     4.38    41.37    15.28P    0.03R    0.00  
Tranmere         19   30   +4      71.09     9.01     9.89     0.29     1.27    21.49     5.45P    0.14R    0.00  
Walsall          19   27   +0      64.93     8.83     0.89     0.03     0.25     7.57     1.57P    0.93R    0.00  
Southend         19   27   -3      61.57     8.90    -8.07     0.02     0.08     3.63     0.70P    2.38R    0.02  
Huddersfield     19   26   -4      61.74     8.80    -7.14     0.02     0.09     3.61     0.69P    2.32R    0.02  
Hartlepool       19   25   -1      63.56     9.04     0.65     0.04     0.18     5.92     1.28P    1.61R    0.01  
Northampton      19   24   +1      61.70     9.10     1.82     0.01     0.11     4.22     1.08P    2.58R    0.02  
Bristol_Rovers   19   22   +3      59.77     8.87     3.07     0.01     0.05     2.73     0.62P    3.40R    0.05  
Colchester       19   21   -4      55.06     8.83   -10.72     0.00     0.00     0.82     0.14P   10.66R    0.19  
Carlisle         19   21   -8      50.12     8.56   -22.43     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   24.43R    0.79  
Leyton_Orient    19   21   -8      51.04     8.56   -17.40     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   20.57R    0.48  
Swindon          19   20   -5      56.96     8.90    -6.28     0.00     0.01     1.15     0.23P    7.65R    0.16  
Brighton         19   20   -5      51.72     8.69   -13.68     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.07P   17.99R    0.54  
Yeovil           19   19  -10      46.74     8.34   -22.39     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   38.47R    1.79  
Hereford         19   15  -16      35.96     7.56   -39.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.06R   19.64  
Cheltenham       19   15  -21      36.39     7.66   -50.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.02R   20.10  
Crewe            19    9  -22      29.98     7.65   -54.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.71R   56.21  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 December 2008, Aldershot vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe              19   40  +17      92.79     8.19    40.42    48.76    81.84    98.15    87.06P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   34  +20      85.71     8.28    43.65    17.38    54.82    91.49    66.60P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             19   34  +10      79.18     8.72    23.98     4.59    24.01    71.33    33.53P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   32  +14      83.99     8.96    36.77    13.22    46.09    86.01    57.13P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 19   32   +9      76.95     8.79    22.18     3.01    17.44    62.66    28.05P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               19   32   +4      68.29     8.62     3.49     0.29     2.82    23.88     6.80P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             18   31  +11      77.70     9.17    24.27     4.00    20.60    65.36    31.14P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            18   31   +9      78.78     8.97    22.99     4.19    22.58    69.66    36.18P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           19   31   +1      66.47     8.74    -1.39     0.16     1.95    18.02     4.54P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            19   30   -4      66.10     8.81    -6.19     0.14     1.80    16.68     3.98P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            19   28  +15      78.73     8.74    38.37     4.17    24.37    71.86    38.46P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         19   23   +3      65.08     8.81    11.78     0.08     1.40    15.63     4.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         19   23   -2      57.67     8.76    -4.60     0.00     0.13     3.35     0.83P    0.08R    0.01  
Port_Vale            19   23   -9      50.42     8.43   -24.98     0.00     0.01     0.54     0.09P    0.67R    0.10  
Notts_County         19   21   -5      56.48     8.69    -7.65     0.00     0.06     2.41     0.49P    0.15R    0.02  
Macclesfield         19   21  -15      46.00     8.07   -37.70     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    2.19R    0.40  
Accrington_Stanley   18   19   -3      55.90     8.90    -4.61     0.00     0.07     2.39     0.52P    0.20R    0.03  
Morecambe            19   18   -9      46.83     8.33   -22.37     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    2.24R    0.42  
Chester              19   16  -15      42.93     8.42   -33.23     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    6.09R    1.44  
Barnet               19   14  -20      36.59     7.94   -47.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    21.22R    6.67  
Rotherham            19   10   +1      49.22     8.97     4.75     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.09P    1.50R    0.30  
Grimsby              19   10  -21      29.32     7.29   -51.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.59R   26.72  
Bournemouth          19    3   -7      32.68     8.37   -18.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.98R   15.50  
Luton                19   -7   -4      25.30     8.65   -11.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.08R   48.40  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 December 2008, Crawley_Town vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        22   46  +14      84.22     7.94    22.29    14.03    69.13    24.83P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               20   43  +16      88.86     8.43    31.87    34.83    84.19    47.64P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              21   39  +13      84.05     8.25    29.49    15.37    69.69    30.44P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        21   39  +11      80.63     8.38    22.83     8.21    53.39    18.34P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         22   38  +15      79.38     7.86    28.81     5.70    48.98    17.09P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        22   38   +7      76.85     7.85    15.94     2.52    33.74    10.79P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham              20   36  +12      83.41     8.44    31.84    14.99    67.15    28.11P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    22   33  +10      74.47     7.86    23.02     1.20    25.42     8.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Kettering            20   33   +7      76.22     8.42    18.50     2.88    32.92    10.67P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth             23   31   -2      61.00     7.58    -4.87     0.02     0.94     0.17P    0.57R    0.01  
Stevenage            22   31   -3      61.29     7.73    -7.72     0.01     1.20     0.22P    0.56R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United     22   30   +4      68.57     7.98    12.83     0.17     8.15     2.09P    0.07R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           21   28   -3      62.91     8.27    -1.98     0.03     2.15     0.44P    0.58R    0.01  
Altrincham           21   28  -10      55.39     8.01   -20.50     0.00     0.23     0.04P    4.55R    0.15  
Mansfield            21   25   -1      59.48     8.17    -0.66     0.01     0.87     0.20P    1.41R    0.05  
York                 22   25   -2      60.93     8.21     2.88     0.01     1.14     0.26P    0.95R    0.04  
Barrow               20   25   -5      56.67     8.41   -12.62     0.00     0.51     0.08P    4.02R    0.13  
Salisbury            21   25   -5      53.82     8.05   -13.28     0.00     0.13     0.04P    6.01R    0.27  
Eastbourne_Borough   21   24  -10      52.54     7.97   -20.60     0.00     0.08     0.01P    8.16R    0.46  
Woking               21   19   -8      44.24     7.69   -19.57     0.00     0.01     0.00P   35.00R    3.99  
Forest_Green         20   19  -11      47.11     8.12   -25.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   25.19R    2.45  
Grays_Athletic       20   18  -11      41.01     7.76   -29.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.18R    8.27  
Northwich            22   15  -13      39.32     7.43   -27.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.60R   12.42  
Lewes                21   14  -25      30.05     6.53   -56.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.15R   71.74