Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 5 December 2008 at 22:34:39 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 December 2008, Liverpool vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Liverpool       15   34  +13      80.01     7.72    34.43    14.31    50.87    85.09    94.96    99.36     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         15   33  +27      88.79     5.87    68.25    72.68    93.11    99.20    99.84    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         14   28  +16      79.45     7.45    45.64    12.51    49.77    86.37    95.43    99.25     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         15   26   +8      64.65     8.12    19.88     0.27     3.34    13.64    42.23    77.37     0.04R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     15   25   +6      63.45     8.23    16.96     0.20     2.26    10.44    35.53    72.18     0.04R    0.00  
Hull            15   23   -2      53.38     8.09    -4.84     0.01     0.14     1.03     5.58    24.11     1.57R    0.08  
Everton         15   22   -2      49.53     8.00   -10.20     0.00     0.03     0.33     2.24    12.47     4.21R    0.34  
Portsmouth      15   22   -4      51.06     8.14    -8.40     0.00     0.07     0.48     3.37    16.54     2.94R    0.24  
Bolton          15   20   +1      49.72     7.99    -1.90     0.00     0.05     0.31     2.20    13.40     3.42R    0.26  
Fulham          14   19   +1      49.36     8.20    -1.20     0.00     0.06     0.38     2.13    13.03     3.94R    0.33  
Wigan           15   19   -1      48.33     8.17    -4.89     0.00     0.03     0.27     1.87    10.63     5.68R    0.57  
Middlesbrough   15   19   -6      42.70     7.61   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.28     2.47    17.75R    2.34  
West_Ham        15   18   -5      43.30     7.77   -15.70     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.37     3.13    16.24R    2.15  
Stoke           15   18  -10      42.70     7.91   -21.42     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.32     2.65    19.74R    2.93  
Man_City        15   17   +6      57.38     7.96    21.68     0.01     0.27     2.30    12.96    46.52     0.49R    0.03  
Tottenham       15   15   -4      43.59     8.09    -8.88     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.40     3.65    15.32R    2.57  
Newcastle       15   15   -5      42.52     7.87   -11.54     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.24     2.58    18.25R    2.67  
Sunderland      15   15  -11      36.51     7.56   -27.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.42    47.59R   13.40  
Blackburn       15   13  -12      34.10     7.56   -32.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.21    60.16R   20.55  
West_Brom       15   11  -16      28.92     7.10   -39.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    82.64R   51.55  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 December 2008, Reading vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    20   47  +19      99.12     7.89    48.16    66.67    90.17    99.85    92.55P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       20   41  +11      85.48     8.67    24.23     8.06    29.70    90.71    45.82P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          20   37  +23      91.55     7.84    56.38    23.60    66.82    98.57    78.29P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          20   33   +4      73.40     8.54    11.14     0.35     2.67    49.06    12.27P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        20   32  +10      75.90     8.41    22.17     0.86     5.25    62.48    22.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Preston          20   31   +3      69.11     8.39     5.95     0.09     1.01    29.69     6.62P    0.13R    0.00  
Cardiff          20   30   +5      68.50     8.62     8.89     0.08     0.90    28.68     7.21P    0.20R    0.00  
Swansea          20   29   +3      69.44     8.58    10.33     0.11     1.08    32.51     7.95P    0.17R    0.01  
Plymouth         20   29   +1      65.74     8.41     2.45     0.03     0.39    17.68     3.85P    0.38R    0.01  
QPR              20   29   -2      62.45     8.55    -4.33     0.01     0.11     9.91     2.10P    1.23R    0.04  
Ipswich          20   28   +8      70.19     8.45    17.69     0.10     1.29    36.71    11.10P    0.09R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        20   28   -9      58.08     8.34   -17.94     0.00     0.02     3.63     0.50P    4.41R    0.24  
Crystal_Palace   20   27   +4      66.79     8.53    10.21     0.04     0.48    22.62     5.98P    0.34R    0.02  
Bristol_City     20   26   -2      60.29     8.58    -4.47     0.00     0.06     7.15     1.52P    2.52R    0.14  
Derby            20   25   -3      57.66     8.54    -8.57     0.00     0.03     3.82     0.76P    4.81R    0.31  
Barnsley         20   24   -4      51.48     8.20   -18.05     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.12P   16.64R    1.53  
Coventry         20   24   -4      56.18     8.51    -8.82     0.00     0.01     2.80     0.59P    6.83R    0.53  
Blackpool        20   24   -8      53.08     8.22   -18.90     0.00     0.01     0.95     0.16P   13.18R    1.16  
Southampton      20   21  -10      48.30     8.03   -22.87     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P   28.59R    4.33  
Watford          20   20   -4      54.36     8.50    -8.40     0.00     0.00     1.69     0.34P    9.93R    1.04  
Norwich          20   20   -7      49.68     8.29   -19.57     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.08P   23.92R    3.44  
Charlton         20   17  -11      46.48     8.30   -22.76     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   37.43R    7.11  
Nottm_Forest     20   16  -12      42.35     7.82   -26.18     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    57.47R   15.01  
Doncaster        20   15  -15      33.76     6.74   -36.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.71R   65.08  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 November 2008, Northampton vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        18   38  +15      91.44     8.92    38.78    22.57    50.86    92.58    62.91P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          17   37  +21      97.13     8.89    55.72    54.40    76.02    97.66    82.95P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         18   36   +6      81.78     9.35    17.61     4.06    13.22    65.18    23.65P    0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           18   34  +12      86.54     8.93    36.08    10.23    28.41    83.49    42.87P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       18   33   +9      78.03     9.40    19.74     2.27     7.42    50.65    16.44P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds            18   32  +10      75.39     9.26    17.97     1.28     4.51    39.76    12.46P    0.02R    0.00  
Stockport        18   31  +11      79.94     9.17    26.95     2.60     9.99    60.08    26.25P    0.02R    0.00  
Peterborough     17   30  +12      77.14     9.52    24.31     2.19     7.27    47.80    17.85P    0.02R    0.00  
Tranmere         18   27   +3      69.13     9.29     8.46     0.18     0.87    17.23     4.61P    0.27R    0.00  
Walsall          18   27   +1      66.72     9.19     2.73     0.09     0.49    11.66     2.59P    0.57R    0.00  
Southend         18   27   +0      63.34     9.12    -4.41     0.04     0.21     6.04     1.27P    1.33R    0.01  
Hartlepool       18   24   -1      65.09     9.27     2.39     0.05     0.32     8.78     1.95P    1.10R    0.01  
Northampton      18   23   +1      63.17     9.34     3.62     0.02     0.18     6.46     1.56P    1.72R    0.01  
Huddersfield     18   23   -5      59.88     9.35    -8.52     0.01     0.06     3.20     0.61P    4.14R    0.04  
Bristol_Rovers   18   22   +4      60.36     9.20     2.72     0.01     0.09     3.87     0.95P    2.77R    0.02  
Colchester       18   21   -3      59.23     9.06    -4.78     0.00     0.04     2.55     0.48P    4.23R    0.04  
Carlisle         18   20   -8      49.44     8.93   -24.77     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   25.64R    0.89  
Leyton_Orient    18   20   -8      50.04     8.78   -19.44     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.06P   22.14R    0.57  
Swindon          18   19   -5      59.11     9.15    -3.06     0.01     0.03     2.34     0.43P    4.69R    0.06  
Brighton         18   19   -5      50.27     9.00   -17.13     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.05P   21.54R    0.65  
Yeovil           18   18  -10      45.91     8.55   -24.89     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P   39.92R    1.77  
Hereford         18   12  -17      31.87     7.43   -44.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.96R   34.97  
Cheltenham       18   12  -22      35.50     8.02   -51.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.54R   21.64  
Crewe            18    9  -21      31.68     8.03   -54.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.34R   39.33  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 December 2008, Luton vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe              18   40  +18      97.37     8.22    45.36    66.57    91.12    99.48    93.98P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             18   33  +10      79.35     9.10    23.83     3.63    24.58    71.42    33.84P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   32  +14      83.56     8.99    36.09     8.34    42.16    85.31    53.87P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   31  +19      83.99     8.70    42.94     9.38    45.16    87.28    58.61P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             18   31  +11      77.97     9.17    24.74     2.56    20.40    66.81    31.29P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 18   31   +9      78.72     9.18    24.59     3.22    22.51    69.74    33.47P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            18   31   +9      78.90     8.90    23.21     2.71    21.69    71.05    35.83P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               18   29   +3      66.10     8.97     1.81     0.10     1.87    18.50     5.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham           18   28   +0      63.79     9.03    -4.22     0.05     1.08    12.64     2.98P    0.00R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            18   27  +15      79.20     9.06    38.98     3.23    25.54    73.17    39.04P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            18   27   -5      61.83     8.99   -11.29     0.04     0.58     8.25     1.71P    0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield         18   23   +4      67.23     9.34    14.17     0.14     2.84    24.01     7.30P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         18   23   -1      59.45     9.09    -2.82     0.01     0.30     5.78     1.43P    0.02R    0.00  
Port_Vale            18   20  -10      48.82     8.84   -26.09     0.00     0.01     0.51     0.07P    1.53R    0.23  
Macclesfield         18   20  -15      45.10     8.36   -40.43     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    3.12R    0.47  
Accrington_Stanley   18   19   -3      55.87     8.94    -4.65     0.00     0.07     2.47     0.54P    0.15R    0.02  
Notts_County         18   18   -6      54.96     9.15    -8.67     0.01     0.08     2.21     0.49P    0.30R    0.03  
Morecambe            18   18   -8      48.72     8.87   -20.75     0.00     0.02     0.41     0.08P    1.59R    0.27  
Chester              18   16  -14      44.89     8.86   -31.74     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    4.33R    0.82  
Barnet               18   14  -18      38.08     8.27   -44.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   16.43R    4.65  
Rotherham            18   10   +2      50.64     9.11     5.72     0.00     0.01     0.70     0.22P    1.02R    0.17  
Grimsby              18   10  -20      30.12     7.59   -51.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.06R   19.49  
Bournemouth          18    0   -8      31.10     8.80   -20.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.99R   18.09  
Luton                18  -10   -6      23.07     8.99   -14.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.42R   55.75  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 4 December 2008, Mansfield vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        21   43  +13      83.27     8.32    22.31    12.91    65.52    23.83P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               19   40  +15      88.81     8.81    33.44    35.38    83.98    47.84P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              20   38  +13      84.81     8.68    30.29    18.91    72.31    32.98P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        21   37   +7      76.42     8.12    14.86     2.68    33.48    10.20P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        20   36  +10      79.99     8.63    23.23     7.77    51.82    18.12P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         21   35  +11      76.83     8.20    23.19     3.29    37.63    11.51P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham              19   33  +11      81.68     8.78    30.39    11.44    60.47    23.83P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering            19   33   +8      77.83     8.89    19.88     4.95    41.77    15.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    21   32  +10      76.13     8.29    25.00     2.38    34.77    12.20P    0.00R    0.00  
Weymouth             22   31   -1      61.85     7.94    -4.84     0.01     1.73     0.33P    0.38R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           21   28   -3      63.06     8.38    -1.72     0.05     2.63     0.52P    0.54R    0.02  
Stevenage            21   28   -5      59.11     8.07   -10.93     0.01     0.77     0.12P    1.39R    0.07  
Altrincham           20   28   -6      58.19     8.39   -14.21     0.00     0.75     0.13P    2.46R    0.12  
Ebbsfleet_United     21   27   +3      66.80     8.35    11.61     0.14     6.63     1.77P    0.13R    0.00  
Mansfield            21   25   -1      59.26     8.16    -1.00     0.01     0.95     0.26P    1.35R    0.07  
York                 21   25   -1      64.45     8.55     7.21     0.07     3.90     0.92P    0.46R    0.02  
Salisbury            20   25   -4      54.83     8.20   -12.55     0.00     0.26     0.05P    4.63R    0.23  
Barrow               19   24   -5      55.63     8.67   -15.14     0.01     0.57     0.10P    5.24R    0.33  
Eastbourne_Borough   20   21  -13      48.98     8.19   -26.53     0.00     0.02     0.01P   18.32R    2.22  
Woking               20   19   -7      45.22     8.01   -19.22     0.00     0.01     0.00P   30.78R    4.08  
Forest_Green         19   19  -10      48.02     8.42   -24.48     0.00     0.02     0.00P   21.50R    2.86  
Northwich            21   15  -10      41.27     7.90   -23.46     0.00     0.00     0.00P   50.88R   10.06  
Grays_Athletic       19   15  -12      37.31     7.90   -34.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.02R   22.28  
Lewes                20   14  -23      32.17     7.18   -53.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.90R   57.63