Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 3 December 2008 at 22:34:36 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 December 2008, Liverpool vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Liverpool       15   34  +13      80.38     7.58    34.97    14.51    52.45    86.83    95.65    99.42     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         15   33  +27      88.92     5.87    68.32    72.88    93.14    99.29    99.90   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         14   28  +16      79.33     7.52    45.52    12.14    48.87    85.99    95.08    99.22     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         15   26   +8      64.40     8.09    19.37     0.25     2.85    12.51    41.11    76.59     0.03R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     15   25   +6      63.21     8.30    16.58     0.18     2.08    10.00    35.01    70.85     0.05R    0.00  
Hull            15   23   -2      53.40     8.07    -4.79     0.00     0.08     0.92     5.41    24.32     1.52R    0.09  
Everton         15   22   -2      49.54     7.97   -10.16     0.00     0.02     0.30     2.40    12.80     4.02R    0.36  
Portsmouth      15   22   -4      51.22     8.23    -8.09     0.00     0.07     0.55     3.57    17.07     2.96R    0.26  
Bolton          15   20   +1      49.91     8.09    -1.60     0.00     0.03     0.29     2.67    14.66     3.32R    0.30  
Fulham          14   19   +1      49.52     8.27    -1.05     0.00     0.05     0.38     2.49    13.67     3.92R    0.39  
Wigan           15   19   -1      48.15     8.07    -5.19     0.00     0.03     0.23     1.65     9.93     5.49R    0.57  
Middlesbrough   15   19   -6      42.73     7.80   -18.45     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.34     2.85    17.80R    2.43  
West_Ham        15   18   -5      43.27     7.80   -15.81     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.34     2.98    16.20R    2.21  
Stoke           15   18  -10      42.64     7.89   -21.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.27     2.62    19.93R    3.13  
Man_City        15   17   +6      57.26     8.05    21.43     0.02     0.32     2.55    13.38    46.05     0.56R    0.05  
Tottenham       15   15   -4      43.73     8.08    -8.69     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.40     3.73    15.03R    2.58  
Newcastle       15   15   -5      42.22     7.99   -11.97     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.29     2.54    19.41R    3.01  
Sunderland      15   15  -11      36.43     7.50   -27.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.43    47.97R   13.31  
Blackburn       15   13  -12      34.21     7.58   -31.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.24    59.58R   20.33  
West_Brom       15   11  -16      28.97     7.14   -39.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    82.20R   50.99  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 December 2008, Reading vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    20   47  +19      99.08     7.83    48.15    66.42    90.20    99.88    92.57P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       20   41  +11      85.62     8.55    24.41     7.77    29.36    91.30    45.75P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          20   37  +23      91.80     7.79    56.94    24.26    67.91    98.70    79.05P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          20   33   +4      73.37     8.60    11.08     0.35     2.67    48.91    12.49P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        20   32  +10      75.82     8.42    22.04     0.73     4.79    62.26    21.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Preston          20   31   +3      69.13     8.34     6.00     0.08     0.89    30.14     6.72P    0.12R    0.00  
Cardiff          20   30   +5      68.73     8.53     9.23     0.10     0.85    29.68     7.52P    0.12R    0.00  
Swansea          20   29   +3      69.08     8.55     9.76     0.05     0.84    31.00     7.06P    0.14R    0.00  
Plymouth         20   29   +1      65.72     8.36     2.51     0.03     0.31    17.53     3.95P    0.38R    0.01  
QPR              20   29   -2      62.48     8.59    -4.32     0.02     0.16    10.31     2.12P    1.17R    0.06  
Ipswich          20   28   +8      70.19     8.50    17.72     0.13     1.38    36.69    11.24P    0.10R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        20   28   -9      58.04     8.29   -18.04     0.00     0.04     3.61     0.51P    4.29R    0.23  
Crystal_Palace   20   27   +4      66.69     8.60    10.07     0.05     0.48    22.44     5.76P    0.35R    0.01  
Bristol_City     20   26   -2      60.36     8.48    -4.36     0.00     0.06     6.70     1.36P    2.34R    0.10  
Derby            20   25   -3      57.54     8.58    -8.74     0.00     0.04     3.92     0.74P    4.85R    0.34  
Barnsley         20   24   -4      51.43     8.26   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.12P   16.95R    1.56  
Coventry         20   24   -4      56.39     8.50    -8.47     0.00     0.02     2.76     0.54P    6.51R    0.48  
Blackpool        20   24   -8      52.89     8.21   -19.24     0.00     0.00     0.95     0.14P   13.66R    1.37  
Southampton      20   21  -10      48.35     8.05   -22.74     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P   28.67R    4.38  
Watford          20   20   -4      54.46     8.51    -8.26     0.00     0.01     1.72     0.34P    9.85R    1.01  
Norwich          20   20   -7      49.61     8.22   -19.77     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.07P   23.65R    3.43  
Charlton         20   17  -11      46.22     8.27   -23.30     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   38.79R    7.43  
Nottm_Forest     20   16  -12      42.63     7.92   -25.90     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   56.08R   14.32  
Doncaster        20   15  -15      33.73     6.67   -36.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.96R   65.27  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 November 2008, Northampton vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        18   38  +15      91.47     8.83    38.85    21.98    51.03    92.78    63.20P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          17   37  +21      97.47     8.93    56.19    56.09    77.13    97.69    83.50P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         18   36   +6      81.81     9.37    17.58     3.99    13.22    65.13    24.01P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           18   34  +12      86.31     9.04    35.71     9.60    27.66    82.73    42.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       18   33   +9      77.78     9.28    19.37     1.93     6.70    49.78    15.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds            18   32  +10      75.79     9.21    18.66     1.31     4.87    41.09    13.26P    0.02R    0.00  
Stockport        18   31  +11      79.86     9.07    26.81     2.49     9.45    59.40    25.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     17   30  +12      77.29     9.50    24.62     2.23     7.69    48.38    18.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere         18   27   +3      68.89     9.36     8.05     0.15     0.82    16.87     4.36P    0.36R    0.00  
Walsall          18   27   +1      66.73     9.11     2.76     0.06     0.46    11.50     2.56P    0.53R    0.00  
Southend         18   27   +0      63.36     9.17    -4.51     0.05     0.22     6.08     1.24P    1.46R    0.00  
Hartlepool       18   24   -1      65.69     9.31     3.46     0.06     0.36    10.03     2.30P    0.87R    0.01  
Northampton      18   23   +1      63.25     9.39     3.70     0.02     0.18     6.55     1.57P    1.67R    0.01  
Huddersfield     18   23   -5      59.94     9.25    -8.52     0.01     0.04     3.02     0.57P    3.78R    0.03  
Bristol_Rovers   18   22   +4      60.32     9.25     2.58     0.01     0.09     3.70     0.83P    3.04R    0.03  
Colchester       18   21   -3      59.11     9.10    -4.91     0.00     0.04     2.43     0.45P    4.31R    0.05  
Carlisle         18   20   -8      49.60     8.87   -24.48     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.02P   24.61R    0.74  
Leyton_Orient    18   20   -8      49.98     8.84   -19.56     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.05P   22.41R    0.58  
Swindon          18   19   -5      58.84     9.14    -3.48     0.01     0.04     2.10     0.42P    5.19R    0.06  
Brighton         18   19   -5      50.33     8.94   -17.05     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.04P   21.30R    0.59  
Yeovil           18   18  -10      45.66     8.54   -25.28     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   40.73R    1.92  
Hereford         18   12  -17      31.70     7.47   -44.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.80R   35.65  
Cheltenham       18   12  -22      35.49     8.00   -51.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.61R   21.21  
Crewe            18    9  -21      31.69     8.07   -54.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.27R   39.10  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 December 2008, Luton vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe              18   40  +18      97.28     8.22    45.25    66.42    91.01    99.45    93.86P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             18   33  +10      79.43     9.14    24.00     3.63    24.38    71.50    33.69P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   32  +14      83.29     8.96    35.65     7.91    40.63    84.65    52.65P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   31  +19      84.17     8.53    43.23     9.31    45.25    88.10    58.97P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             18   31  +11      78.12     9.12    25.02     2.66    20.31    67.23    31.26P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 18   31   +9      79.23     9.15    25.40     3.40    24.35    71.54    35.43P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            18   31   +9      78.89     8.97    23.21     2.70    21.63    70.19    35.36P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               18   29   +3      66.00     8.87     1.66     0.12     1.69    17.83     4.78P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           18   28   +0      63.95     9.15    -3.95     0.05     1.15    13.13     3.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            18   27  +15      79.23     9.17    38.97     3.56    25.90    72.74    39.17P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            18   27   -5      61.70     9.00   -11.61     0.03     0.53     8.08     1.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield         18   23   +4      67.34     9.22    14.38     0.19     2.68    23.41     7.21P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         18   23   -1      59.38     9.13    -2.92     0.01     0.33     5.67     1.46P    0.03R    0.00  
Port_Vale            18   20  -10      48.61     8.69   -26.42     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.05P    1.38R    0.19  
Macclesfield         18   20  -15      44.78     8.39   -41.05     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P    3.33R    0.51  
Accrington_Stanley   18   19   -3      56.02     8.98    -4.38     0.00     0.08     2.64     0.66P    0.23R    0.04  
Notts_County         18   18   -6      55.03     9.13    -8.58     0.00     0.06     2.03     0.44P    0.29R    0.03  
Morecambe            18   18   -8      48.66     8.88   -20.96     0.00     0.01     0.40     0.09P    1.41R    0.23  
Chester              18   16  -14      44.72     8.91   -32.08     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P    4.61R    0.84  
Barnet               18   14  -18      38.35     8.37   -44.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   15.51R    4.38  
Rotherham            18   10   +2      50.89     9.24     6.20     0.00     0.01     0.75     0.26P    1.06R    0.19  
Grimsby              18   10  -20      30.12     7.64   -51.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.66R   19.35  
Bournemouth          18    0   -8      30.86     8.76   -20.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.92R   18.27  
Luton                18  -10   -6      22.89     8.91   -14.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.55R   55.96  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 November 2008, Altrincham vs Rushden_&_D'monds; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        21   43  +13      83.01     8.25    21.90    11.84    64.53    22.48P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               19   40  +15      88.65     8.79    33.33    35.30    83.67    47.71P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              20   38  +13      85.07     8.61    30.65    19.88    73.61    34.05P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        21   37   +7      76.34     8.24    14.87     2.73    33.33    10.55P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster        20   36  +10      79.65     8.71    22.69     7.39    50.30    17.51P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         21   35  +11      77.10     8.14    23.67     3.39    39.05    12.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham              19   33  +11      81.81     8.76    30.62    12.01    61.11    24.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Kettering            19   33   +8      77.25     8.83    19.04     4.38    39.24    13.91P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    21   32  +10      76.44     8.14    25.47     2.70    35.77    12.76P    0.00R    0.00  
Weymouth             22   31   -1      61.85     7.95    -4.88     0.02     1.67     0.28P    0.47R    0.01  
Stevenage            21   28   -5      59.14     8.04   -10.88     0.01     0.88     0.15P    1.41R    0.06  
Altrincham           20   28   -6      58.03     8.30   -14.40     0.01     0.75     0.12P    2.30R    0.12  
Ebbsfleet_United     21   27   +3      67.15     8.42    12.17     0.18     7.21     1.95P    0.16R    0.00  
Mansfield            20   25   +1      62.82     8.54     4.63     0.07     3.05     0.72P    0.58R    0.02  
York                 21   25   -1      64.61     8.49     7.47     0.06     3.94     1.01P    0.37R    0.02  
Salisbury            20   25   -4      54.81     8.27   -12.55     0.01     0.30     0.06P    4.99R    0.26  
Oxford_Utd           20   25   -5      59.13     8.62    -7.50     0.02     1.04     0.20P    2.12R    0.10  
Barrow               19   24   -5      55.76     8.58   -14.93     0.00     0.47     0.08P    5.03R    0.30  
Eastbourne_Borough   20   21  -13      48.95     8.23   -26.59     0.00     0.02     0.01P   18.06R    2.26  
Woking               20   19   -7      45.45     8.04   -18.94     0.00     0.01     0.00P   29.62R    3.76  
Forest_Green         19   19  -10      48.10     8.42   -24.46     0.00     0.04     0.01P   21.34R    2.73  
Northwich            21   15  -10      41.09     7.85   -23.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.77R   10.16  
Grays_Athletic       19   15  -12      37.40     7.88   -34.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.44R   22.00  
Lewes                20   14  -23      32.05     7.09   -53.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.32R   58.21