Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 2 December 2008 at 22:34:49 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 December 2008, Liverpool vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Liverpool       15   34  +13      80.07     7.54    34.53    14.23    51.29    85.93    95.44    99.43     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         15   33  +27      88.74     5.94    68.00    72.61    92.87    99.14    99.85   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         14   28  +16      79.35     7.56    45.55    12.70    49.79    85.90    95.22    99.24     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         15   26   +8      64.49     8.08    19.66     0.26     3.17    12.91    40.91    76.74     0.02R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     15   25   +6      63.35     8.27    16.78     0.18     2.24    10.39    35.61    71.73     0.05R    0.00  
Hull            15   23   -2      53.60     8.02    -4.44     0.00     0.14     1.01     5.67    24.42     1.34R    0.07  
Everton         15   22   -2      49.58     8.03   -10.16     0.00     0.03     0.34     2.39    12.82     4.07R    0.33  
Portsmouth      15   22   -4      51.26     8.27    -8.08     0.00     0.06     0.56     3.86    17.45     3.03R    0.27  
Bolton          15   20   +1      49.95     7.97    -1.61     0.00     0.04     0.37     2.45    13.90     3.13R    0.24  
Fulham          14   19   +1      49.22     8.30    -1.34     0.00     0.04     0.34     2.23    12.80     4.52R    0.45  
Wigan           15   19   -1      48.43     8.08    -4.69     0.00     0.03     0.29     1.77    10.54     5.28R    0.58  
Middlesbrough   15   19   -6      42.52     7.71   -18.80     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.33     2.55    18.38R    2.45  
West_Ham        15   18   -5      43.53     7.84   -15.34     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.39     3.36    15.26R    2.12  
Stoke           15   18  -10      42.72     7.85   -21.36     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.25     2.59    19.29R    3.01  
Man_City        15   17   +6      57.31     7.99    21.51     0.01     0.27     2.60    12.89    45.68     0.49R    0.05  
Tottenham       15   15   -4      43.35     8.09    -9.36     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.41     3.41    16.14R    2.82  
Newcastle       15   15   -5      42.41     8.02   -11.72     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.30     2.72    19.02R    2.85  
Sunderland      15   15  -11      36.32     7.44   -28.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.33    48.18R   13.71  
Blackburn       15   13  -12      34.07     7.56   -32.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.25    60.05R   20.55  
West_Brom       15   11  -16      29.08     7.20   -38.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    81.74R   50.50  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 December 2008, Reading vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    20   47  +19      99.08     7.91    48.16    66.48    90.21    99.83    92.58P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       20   41  +11      85.25     8.67    23.82     7.70    28.62    90.19    44.13P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          20   37  +23      91.79     7.82    56.84    24.32    68.21    98.59    78.99P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          20   33   +4      73.51     8.61    11.39     0.36     2.62    49.60    12.61P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        20   32  +10      75.83     8.46    22.07     0.69     4.99    62.20    22.38P    0.02R    0.00  
Preston          20   31   +3      69.30     8.33     6.23     0.09     1.02    30.34     6.95P    0.09R    0.00  
Cardiff          20   30   +5      68.35     8.54     8.64     0.09     0.80    28.21     7.21P    0.16R    0.00  
Swansea          20   29   +3      69.36     8.61    10.21     0.06     0.93    32.09     7.68P    0.15R    0.00  
Plymouth         20   29   +1      65.85     8.43     2.66     0.02     0.36    17.83     4.00P    0.37R    0.02  
QPR              20   29   -2      62.47     8.59    -4.33     0.01     0.15    10.07     2.10P    1.20R    0.05  
Ipswich          20   28   +8      70.34     8.46    17.93     0.13     1.34    37.07    11.47P    0.10R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        20   28   -9      58.05     8.29   -18.03     0.00     0.03     3.48     0.48P    4.44R    0.28  
Crystal_Palace   20   27   +4      66.92     8.56    10.38     0.04     0.57    22.90     6.12P    0.27R    0.01  
Bristol_City     20   26   -2      60.37     8.57    -4.38     0.01     0.06     6.99     1.33P    2.41R    0.13  
Derby            20   25   -3      57.29     8.55    -9.11     0.01     0.04     3.58     0.69P    5.27R    0.33  
Barnsley         20   24   -4      51.36     8.09   -18.12     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.10P   16.83R    1.49  
Coventry         20   24   -4      56.48     8.50    -8.40     0.00     0.03     2.90     0.59P    6.18R    0.56  
Blackpool        20   24   -8      53.02     8.30   -18.99     0.00     0.01     1.11     0.17P   13.22R    1.35  
Southampton      20   21  -10      48.07     7.90   -23.18     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.02P   29.53R    4.28  
Watford          20   20   -4      54.30     8.53    -8.46     0.00     0.00     1.62     0.30P   10.18R    0.97  
Norwich          20   20   -7      49.70     8.24   -19.70     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.07P   23.24R    3.30  
Charlton         20   17  -11      46.59     8.28   -22.61     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   36.91R    6.91  
Nottm_Forest     20   16  -12      42.44     7.89   -26.15     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   57.23R   14.63  
Doncaster        20   15  -15      33.69     6.67   -36.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.19R   65.68  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 November 2008, Northampton vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        18   38  +15      91.32     8.92    38.52    22.50    50.49    92.29    62.76P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          17   37  +21      97.14     8.91    55.72    54.62    76.38    97.61    83.04P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         18   36   +6      81.56     9.39    17.34     3.96    12.72    63.99    22.65P    0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           18   34  +12      86.34     9.05    35.82     9.96    27.97    82.75    42.26P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       18   33   +9      77.90     9.48    19.49     2.31     7.50    49.92    16.45P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds            18   32  +10      75.79     9.26    18.63     1.27     4.94    41.14    13.27P    0.02R    0.00  
Stockport        18   31  +11      79.89     9.02    26.84     2.47     9.40    59.44    25.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough     17   30  +12      77.58     9.52    25.09     2.53     8.30    49.89    19.29P    0.02R    0.00  
Tranmere         18   27   +3      69.03     9.40     8.32     0.12     0.82    17.27     4.44P    0.35R    0.00  
Walsall          18   27   +1      66.63     9.29     2.55     0.09     0.54    11.72     2.74P    0.68R    0.00  
Southend         18   27   +0      63.49     9.17    -4.12     0.04     0.22     6.09     1.25P    1.38R    0.00  
Hartlepool       18   24   -1      65.56     9.30     3.20     0.07     0.37     9.59     2.18P    0.98R    0.00  
Northampton      18   23   +1      62.91     9.43     3.22     0.02     0.15     6.10     1.42P    1.92R    0.02  
Huddersfield     18   23   -5      59.78     9.25    -8.79     0.00     0.05     2.92     0.55P    4.02R    0.03  
Bristol_Rovers   18   22   +4      60.35     9.20     2.70     0.01     0.07     3.65     0.94P    2.97R    0.02  
Colchester       18   21   -3      59.37     9.12    -4.45     0.00     0.03     2.61     0.50P    4.20R    0.05  
Carlisle         18   20   -8      49.69     8.95   -24.36     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P   24.75R    0.73  
Leyton_Orient    18   20   -8      50.05     8.76   -19.41     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   22.34R    0.55  
Swindon          18   19   -5      58.96     9.22    -3.28     0.01     0.04     2.42     0.53P    5.15R    0.07  
Brighton         18   19   -5      50.13     8.87   -17.38     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   21.73R    0.58  
Yeovil           18   18  -10      45.94     8.37   -24.77     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   39.10R    1.73  
Hereford         18   12  -17      31.75     7.47   -44.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.12R   35.44  
Cheltenham       18   12  -22      35.34     8.06   -51.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.94R   21.98  
Crewe            18    9  -21      31.67     8.07   -54.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.30R   38.79  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 December 2008, Luton vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe              18   40  +18      97.42     8.23    45.38    66.52    91.24    99.46    94.08P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             18   33  +10      79.33     9.23    23.79     3.58    24.51    71.21    33.61P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   32  +14      83.55     8.98    36.09     8.06    41.79    85.20    53.81P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   31  +19      84.16     8.57    43.13     9.51    45.77    88.22    59.43P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             18   31  +11      78.31     9.08    25.34     2.90    20.98    68.35    32.25P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 18   31   +9      78.97     9.09    25.03     3.32    23.23    70.77    34.34P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            18   31   +9      78.64     9.10    22.93     2.62    21.26    69.49    34.71P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               18   29   +3      65.84     8.87     1.39     0.13     1.63    17.09     4.68P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           18   28   +0      63.94     9.11    -3.95     0.07     1.19    13.32     3.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            18   27  +15      79.07     9.10    38.70     3.14    24.95    72.50    38.15P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            18   27   -5      61.90     8.94   -11.19     0.02     0.52     8.34     1.73P    0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield         18   23   +4      67.25     9.27    14.20     0.11     2.57    23.97     7.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         18   23   -1      58.98     9.02    -3.49     0.01     0.23     5.35     1.37P    0.04R    0.01  
Port_Vale            18   20  -10      48.60     8.75   -26.47     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.07P    1.45R    0.20  
Macclesfield         18   20  -15      44.87     8.42   -40.92     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    3.43R    0.54  
Accrington_Stanley   18   19   -3      55.89     8.98    -4.66     0.00     0.06     2.58     0.55P    0.20R    0.03  
Notts_County         18   18   -6      54.94     9.07    -8.72     0.00     0.06     2.15     0.45P    0.34R    0.04  
Morecambe            18   18   -8      48.48     8.87   -21.12     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.06P    1.63R    0.29  
Chester              18   16  -14      45.14     8.93   -31.33     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.02P    4.18R    0.82  
Barnet               18   14  -18      38.10     8.27   -44.79     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   16.85R    4.63  
Rotherham            18   10   +2      50.90     9.26     6.11     0.00     0.01     0.85     0.26P    1.08R    0.23  
Grimsby              18   10  -20      30.64     7.67   -50.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.69R   18.04  
Bournemouth          18    0   -8      31.02     8.78   -20.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.17R   18.52  
Luton                18  -10   -6      22.96     8.96   -14.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.91R   56.67  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 November 2008, Altrincham vs Rushden_&_D'monds; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        21   43  +13      83.09     8.26    22.01    12.34    64.99    22.77P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               19   40  +15      88.89     8.77    33.64    36.25    84.22    48.62P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              20   38  +13      84.99     8.58    30.57    19.27    73.88    33.86P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        21   37   +7      76.34     8.26    14.82     2.79    33.81    10.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster        20   36  +10      79.70     8.67    22.78     7.27    50.63    17.61P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         21   35  +11      77.07     8.17    23.58     3.37    38.88    12.23P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              19   33  +11      81.79     8.69    30.47    11.62    60.94    23.81P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering            19   33   +8      77.30     8.85    19.14     4.45    39.42    14.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    21   32  +10      75.98     8.20    24.77     2.26    34.03    11.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Weymouth             22   31   -1      61.74     7.91    -5.02     0.04     1.56     0.33P    0.48R    0.00  
Stevenage            21   28   -5      59.09     8.09   -10.99     0.00     0.81     0.13P    1.36R    0.05  
Altrincham           20   28   -6      58.17     8.29   -14.16     0.01     0.77     0.15P    2.29R    0.08  
Ebbsfleet_United     21   27   +3      66.97     8.41    11.88     0.16     6.99     1.96P    0.18R    0.01  
Mansfield            20   25   +1      63.02     8.51     4.84     0.06     3.06     0.71P    0.57R    0.04  
York                 21   25   -1      64.64     8.55     7.46     0.07     4.04     0.98P    0.40R    0.01  
Salisbury            20   25   -4      55.00     8.30   -12.32     0.00     0.28     0.06P    4.74R    0.28  
Oxford_Utd           20   25   -5      59.06     8.62    -7.57     0.01     1.07     0.23P    1.83R    0.07  
Barrow               19   24   -5      55.68     8.64   -15.06     0.02     0.50     0.10P    5.22R    0.35  
Eastbourne_Borough   20   21  -13      48.85     8.24   -26.77     0.00     0.04     0.00P   18.90R    2.28  
Woking               20   19   -7      45.38     8.04   -18.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.09R    3.88  
Forest_Green         19   19  -10      48.54     8.49   -23.70     0.00     0.05     0.02P   20.15R    2.34  
Northwich            21   15  -10      41.23     7.81   -23.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.93R    9.85  
Grays_Athletic       19   15  -12      37.24     7.84   -34.30     0.00     0.00     0.00P   72.35R   21.88  
Lewes                20   14  -23      31.93     7.08   -53.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.49R   58.88