Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 1 December 2008 at 22:34:26 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 December 2008, Liverpool vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Liverpool       15   34  +13      80.09     7.71    34.50    14.24    51.97    85.27    94.86    99.24     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         15   33  +27      88.87     5.87    68.17    73.24    93.41    99.23    99.89    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         14   28  +16      79.18     7.55    45.35    12.04    48.47    85.33    94.86    99.17     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         15   26   +8      64.72     8.03    20.03     0.31     3.22    13.85    42.08    77.37     0.03R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     15   25   +6      63.42     8.34    16.91     0.15     2.30    10.58    35.65    71.13     0.05R    0.00  
Hull            15   23   -2      53.68     8.05    -4.29     0.01     0.15     1.11     5.69    24.73     1.37R    0.08  
Everton         15   22   -2      49.80     7.99    -9.78     0.00     0.03     0.34     2.39    13.19     3.80R    0.27  
Portsmouth      15   22   -4      51.31     8.12    -7.94     0.00     0.06     0.56     3.50    16.89     2.57R    0.21  
Bolton          15   20   +1      50.07     8.06    -1.34     0.00     0.03     0.38     2.58    14.36     3.00R    0.28  
Fulham          14   19   +1      49.26     8.22    -1.36     0.00     0.04     0.35     2.12    12.37     4.20R    0.34  
Wigan           15   19   -1      48.40     8.13    -4.76     0.00     0.02     0.27     1.78    10.49     5.31R    0.52  
Middlesbrough   15   19   -6      42.48     7.61   -18.93     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.26     2.34    17.93R    2.31  
West_Ham        15   18   -5      43.43     7.83   -15.58     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.40     3.29    15.67R    2.05  
Stoke           15   18  -10      42.83     8.02   -21.22     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.32     2.97    18.99R    2.96  
Man_City        15   17   +6      57.34     8.05    21.65     0.01     0.28     2.54    12.96    45.85     0.50R    0.05  
Tottenham       15   15   -4      43.25     8.13    -9.40     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.37     3.50    16.47R    2.88  
Newcastle       15   15   -5      42.16     7.98   -12.09     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.24     2.48    19.45R    2.87  
Sunderland      15   15  -11      36.31     7.52   -28.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.40    47.99R   13.57  
Blackburn       15   13  -12      33.96     7.45   -32.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.21    60.36R   20.15  
West_Brom       15   11  -16      28.86     7.13   -39.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    82.31R   51.47  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 December 2008, Reading vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    20   47  +19      98.85     7.89    47.74    66.02    89.95    99.81    92.38P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       20   41  +11      85.37     8.66    24.07     7.95    29.26    90.41    45.22P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          20   37  +23      91.60     7.87    56.51    24.25    67.03    98.50    78.09P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          20   33   +4      73.33     8.52    11.09     0.32     2.62    48.51    12.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        20   32  +10      76.23     8.52    22.65     0.95     5.83    63.99    23.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston          20   31   +3      69.06     8.34     5.89     0.08     0.88    29.42     6.51P    0.12R    0.01  
Cardiff          20   30   +5      68.50     8.58     8.87     0.08     0.95    28.77     7.30P    0.17R    0.00  
Swansea          20   29   +3      69.24     8.55    10.06     0.07     0.94    31.44     7.65P    0.16R    0.00  
Plymouth         20   29   +1      66.09     8.39     3.02     0.02     0.41    18.59     4.23P    0.37R    0.01  
QPR              20   29   -2      62.35     8.50    -4.46     0.02     0.17     9.63     2.08P    1.23R    0.05  
Ipswich          20   28   +8      70.37     8.50    18.01     0.18     1.31    37.37    11.00P    0.09R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        20   28   -9      57.97     8.37   -18.11     0.00     0.03     3.68     0.52P    4.41R    0.21  
Crystal_Palace   20   27   +4      66.56     8.68     9.88     0.04     0.50    22.24     5.95P    0.37R    0.02  
Bristol_City     20   26   -2      60.49     8.61    -4.19     0.01     0.06     7.24     1.44P    2.32R    0.11  
Derby            20   25   -3      57.54     8.53    -8.65     0.00     0.02     3.68     0.75P    5.03R    0.37  
Barnsley         20   24   -4      51.63     8.21   -17.70     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.16P   16.06R    1.51  
Coventry         20   24   -4      56.33     8.43    -8.63     0.00     0.02     2.54     0.49P    6.37R    0.43  
Blackpool        20   24   -8      53.29     8.26   -18.51     0.00     0.01     1.03     0.17P   12.69R    1.25  
Southampton      20   21  -10      48.36     8.08   -22.83     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P   28.92R    4.27  
Watford          20   20   -4      54.16     8.52    -8.69     0.00     0.01     1.50     0.30P   10.38R    1.19  
Norwich          20   20   -7      49.55     8.27   -19.93     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.08P   24.07R    3.42  
Charlton         20   17  -11      46.37     8.31   -23.05     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   37.89R    7.16  
Nottm_Forest     20   16  -12      42.42     7.95   -26.20     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   57.49R   15.16  
Doncaster        20   15  -15      33.75     6.68   -36.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.86R   64.84  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 November 2008, Northampton vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        18   38  +15      91.53     8.88    38.98    22.53    50.91    92.60    63.16P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          17   37  +21      97.50     8.93    56.27    55.69    77.43    97.63    83.95P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         18   36   +6      81.82     9.36    17.62     3.98    13.06    65.09    23.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           18   34  +12      86.63     8.82    36.26     9.61    28.01    83.96    42.75P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       18   33   +9      77.82     9.34    19.38     1.87     6.69    49.63    15.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds            18   32  +10      75.69     9.10    18.46     1.18     4.57    40.39    12.77P    0.03R    0.00  
Stockport        18   31  +11      79.96     9.09    26.95     2.56     9.63    60.07    26.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough     17   30  +12      77.27     9.54    24.55     2.24     7.52    48.13    18.06P    0.02R    0.00  
Tranmere         18   27   +3      69.02     9.34     8.32     0.13     0.81    16.95     4.26P    0.38R    0.00  
Walsall          18   27   +1      66.75     9.15     2.85     0.07     0.46    11.38     2.57P    0.58R    0.00  
Southend         18   27   +0      63.17     9.21    -4.73     0.05     0.22     5.93     1.20P    1.45R    0.00  
Hartlepool       18   24   -1      65.50     9.29     3.12     0.03     0.31     9.61     2.06P    1.04R    0.01  
Northampton      18   23   +1      63.36     9.44     3.96     0.02     0.20     6.67     1.68P    1.72R    0.01  
Huddersfield     18   23   -5      59.52     9.21    -9.14     0.01     0.05     2.70     0.54P    4.11R    0.05  
Bristol_Rovers   18   22   +4      60.18     9.15     2.35     0.01     0.05     3.38     0.77P    3.01R    0.02  
Colchester       18   21   -3      59.44     9.15    -4.39     0.01     0.04     2.83     0.55P    4.00R    0.06  
Carlisle         18   20   -8      49.75     8.86   -24.24     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P   23.73R    0.69  
Leyton_Orient    18   20   -8      49.79     8.88   -19.84     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P   23.12R    0.73  
Swindon          18   19   -5      59.20     9.20    -2.91     0.01     0.03     2.40     0.51P    4.69R    0.08  
Brighton         18   19   -5      49.93     8.91   -17.70     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.06P   22.04R    0.71  
Yeovil           18   18  -10      45.59     8.60   -25.47     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   40.90R    2.05  
Hereford         18   12  -17      31.72     7.52   -44.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.64R   35.57  
Cheltenham       18   12  -22      35.36     8.00   -51.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.62R   21.54  
Crewe            18    9  -21      31.76     8.06   -54.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.92R   38.48  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 November 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe              17   37  +14      94.41     8.80    39.14    54.34    83.79    98.30    88.50P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             18   33  +10      79.49     9.19    24.10     5.00    25.78    71.80    34.77P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   32  +14      83.41     9.02    35.66    10.65    42.36    84.80    53.81P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   31  +19      84.33     8.72    43.41    12.49    47.34    88.08    60.61P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             18   31  +11      78.12     9.17    24.91     3.85    21.52    67.55    32.34P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 18   31   +9      79.04     9.09    24.96     4.56    24.17    70.96    35.17P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            18   31   +9      78.70     9.05    22.96     3.87    22.22    69.73    35.79P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               18   29   +3      66.29     8.98     2.03     0.18     2.19    18.79     5.29P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           18   28   +0      64.30     9.20    -3.43     0.13     1.34    14.28     3.53P    0.01R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            18   27  +15      78.98     9.14    38.30     4.69    25.63    71.95    38.63P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            18   27   -5      61.79     8.95   -11.43     0.02     0.55     8.33     1.65P    0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield         18   23   +4      66.89     9.29    13.54     0.19     2.58    22.57     6.85P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         18   23   -1      59.51     9.07    -2.79     0.02     0.33     5.83     1.48P    0.05R    0.01  
Port_Vale            18   20  -10      48.84     8.75   -26.03     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.07P    1.45R    0.23  
Macclesfield         17   20  -11      46.99     8.81   -34.78     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.04P    2.28R    0.28  
Accrington_Stanley   18   19   -3      55.93     9.07    -4.56     0.00     0.08     2.67     0.63P    0.21R    0.01  
Notts_County         18   18   -6      55.14     9.25    -8.41     0.00     0.07     2.26     0.47P    0.28R    0.02  
Morecambe            18   18   -8      48.65     8.84   -20.99     0.00     0.01     0.44     0.08P    1.41R    0.21  
Chester              18   16  -14      44.47     8.79   -32.50     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    4.54R    0.88  
Barnet               18   14  -18      38.40     8.30   -44.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.94R    4.37  
Rotherham            18   10   +2      50.52     9.37     5.52     0.00     0.01     0.82     0.27P    1.22R    0.19  
Grimsby              18   10  -20      30.31     7.66   -50.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.37R   18.67  
Bournemouth          17   -1   -8      30.37     9.13   -21.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   47.66R   22.08  
Luton                17  -11   -6      23.57     9.39   -13.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.58R   53.06  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 November 2008, Altrincham vs Rushden_&_D'monds; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        21   43  +13      83.12     8.19    22.10    12.32    65.04    23.21P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               19   40  +15      88.66     8.69    33.32    35.30    83.78    48.05P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              20   38  +13      84.82     8.51    30.38    18.80    72.93    33.12P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        21   37   +7      76.45     8.05    14.94     2.75    33.40    10.39P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        20   36  +10      79.73     8.60    22.81     7.48    50.47    17.29P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         21   35  +11      76.96     8.23    23.42     3.50    38.55    12.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham              19   33  +11      81.89     8.74    30.75    12.32    61.50    24.71P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering            19   33   +8      77.52     8.86    19.41     4.71    40.58    14.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    21   32  +10      76.00     8.16    24.82     2.48    34.18    12.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth             22   31   -1      61.86     7.92    -4.80     0.02     1.59     0.30P    0.43R    0.01  
Stevenage            21   28   -5      59.25     8.11   -10.66     0.01     0.92     0.15P    1.52R    0.07  
Altrincham           20   28   -6      58.26     8.48   -14.03     0.01     0.96     0.16P    2.38R    0.10  
Ebbsfleet_United     21   27   +3      66.82     8.36    11.62     0.16     6.58     1.74P    0.18R    0.00  
Mansfield            20   25   +1      63.19     8.63     5.27     0.07     3.51     0.89P    0.56R    0.02  
York                 21   25   -1      64.45     8.50     7.19     0.06     4.02     0.97P    0.39R    0.01  
Salisbury            20   25   -4      54.89     8.24   -12.39     0.00     0.35     0.09P    4.94R    0.27  
Oxford_Utd           20   25   -5      58.83     8.62    -8.00     0.00     1.01     0.20P    2.19R    0.08  
Barrow               19   24   -5      55.67     8.67   -15.04     0.01     0.54     0.10P    5.18R    0.35  
Eastbourne_Borough   20   21  -13      49.07     8.29   -26.40     0.00     0.03     0.01P   18.04R    2.28  
Woking               20   19   -7      45.38     8.10   -19.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    30.02R    4.02  
Forest_Green         19   19  -10      48.27     8.47   -24.18     0.00     0.04     0.00P   20.91R    2.64  
Northwich            21   15  -10      41.22     7.77   -23.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.88R    9.60  
Grays_Athletic       19   15  -12      37.36     7.94   -34.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.48R   21.67  
Lewes                20   14  -23      31.92     7.04   -53.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.89R   58.88