Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 30 November 2008 at 22:34:19 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 November 2008, Chelsea vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         15   33  +27      88.78     5.99    68.23    66.46    91.20    99.15    99.87    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       14   33  +13      82.48     7.94    38.33    21.80    60.92    89.51    96.72    99.54     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         14   28  +16      79.38     7.50    45.51    11.36    42.98    85.14    95.11    99.26     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         15   26   +8      64.53     8.04    19.65     0.22     2.55    11.67    40.46    76.95     0.02R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     15   25   +6      63.64     8.26    17.31     0.14     1.84     9.73    36.25    72.56     0.04R    0.00  
Hull            15   23   -2      53.31     8.06    -5.11     0.00     0.12     0.89     5.11    23.63     1.44R    0.08  
Everton         15   22   -2      49.75     8.05    -9.89     0.00     0.03     0.26     2.36    13.37     3.80R    0.28  
Portsmouth      15   22   -4      51.31     8.22    -8.00     0.00     0.05     0.47     3.65    17.50     2.67R    0.21  
Bolton          15   20   +1      49.89     7.98    -1.57     0.00     0.02     0.25     2.22    13.78     3.15R    0.23  
Fulham          14   19   +1      49.49     8.30    -0.94     0.00     0.04     0.34     2.27    13.57     3.83R    0.32  
Wigan           15   19   -1      48.25     8.08    -4.96     0.00     0.02     0.26     1.70     9.95     5.39R    0.54  
Middlesbrough   15   19   -6      42.73     7.61   -18.55     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.24     2.45    16.70R    2.22  
Stoke           15   18  -10      42.63     7.90   -21.58     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.29     2.54    19.30R    3.11  
Man_City        15   17   +6      57.32     8.02    21.53     0.01     0.21     2.15    12.81    45.95     0.52R    0.04  
West_Ham        14   17   -5      41.91     7.87   -19.49     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.29     2.28    21.05R    3.32  
Tottenham       15   15   -4      43.49     8.10    -9.02     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.37     3.47    15.50R    2.68  
Newcastle       15   15   -5      42.17     8.03   -12.17     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.24     2.54    19.26R    3.16  
Sunderland      15   15  -11      36.41     7.41   -27.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.41    46.69R   13.13  
Blackburn       15   13  -12      34.14     7.52   -32.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.22    58.85R   20.05  
West_Brom       15   11  -16      29.00     7.09   -39.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    81.79R   50.63  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 November 2008, Swansea vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    20   47  +19      98.82     7.93    47.72    67.07    90.10    99.78    92.43P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       20   41  +11      85.48     8.68    24.21     8.65    31.29    90.46    46.72P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          19   34  +21      90.77     8.13    55.73    22.46    64.08    97.87    75.98P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          20   33   +4      73.48     8.55    11.30     0.38     2.99    49.38    12.99P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        20   32  +10      76.06     8.42    22.37     0.86     5.65    63.08    22.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston          20   31   +3      69.11     8.43     5.91     0.10     1.03    29.81     6.75P    0.11R    0.01  
Cardiff          20   30   +5      68.45     8.56     8.79     0.10     0.95    28.40     7.01P    0.19R    0.00  
Swansea          20   29   +3      69.51     8.60    10.43     0.09     1.16    32.50     7.97P    0.14R    0.00  
Plymouth         20   29   +1      65.77     8.41     2.53     0.04     0.41    17.59     4.15P    0.36R    0.01  
QPR              20   29   -2      62.11     8.57    -4.78     0.02     0.15     9.33     1.94P    1.24R    0.05  
Ipswich          20   28   +8      70.20     8.47    17.69     0.15     1.38    36.50    10.91P    0.11R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        20   28   -9      58.07     8.32   -18.01     0.00     0.04     3.62     0.49P    4.32R    0.21  
Crystal_Palace   20   27   +4      66.79     8.58    10.20     0.06     0.56    22.61     5.84P    0.33R    0.01  
Bristol_City     20   26   -2      60.47     8.58    -4.15     0.00     0.08     7.07     1.55P    2.22R    0.11  
Derby            20   25   -3      57.60     8.46    -8.61     0.00     0.04     3.66     0.71P    4.62R    0.31  
Coventry         19   24   -2      57.61     8.82    -6.96     0.00     0.07     4.24     0.91P    5.39R    0.35  
Barnsley         20   24   -4      51.37     8.22   -18.04     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.13P   16.94R    1.47  
Blackpool        20   24   -8      53.21     8.22   -18.75     0.00     0.01     1.04     0.20P   12.49R    1.20  
Southampton      20   21  -10      48.28     8.08   -22.93     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.05P   28.90R    4.31  
Watford          20   20   -4      54.22     8.46    -8.49     0.00     0.01     1.59     0.32P    9.99R    1.00  
Norwich          20   20   -7      49.54     8.30   -19.80     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.06P   24.33R    3.72  
Charlton         20   17  -11      46.31     8.24   -23.06     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.00P   38.18R    7.12  
Nottm_Forest     20   16  -12      42.23     7.86   -26.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   58.36R   15.44  
Doncaster        20   15  -15      33.73     6.73   -36.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.75R   64.69  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 November 2008, Northampton vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        18   38  +15      91.52     8.82    39.00    23.11    50.84    92.86    63.14P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          17   37  +21      97.08     8.96    55.54    53.89    75.68    97.42    82.59P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         18   36   +6      82.01     9.41    17.94     4.24    13.75    65.65    24.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           18   34  +12      86.59     8.98    36.19    10.31    28.73    83.33    42.89P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       18   33   +9      77.83     9.32    19.47     1.91     6.59    49.42    15.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds            18   32  +10      75.80     9.13    18.74     1.24     4.80    41.04    13.24P    0.01R    0.00  
Stockport        18   31  +11      79.97     9.09    26.96     2.52     9.54    59.98    25.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     17   30  +12      77.45     9.44    24.87     2.40     7.77    48.85    18.39P    0.02R    0.00  
Tranmere         18   27   +3      69.01     9.21     8.26     0.16     0.84    16.55     4.15P    0.26R    0.00  
Walsall          18   27   +1      66.54     9.24     2.45     0.08     0.53    11.34     2.56P    0.71R    0.01  
Southend         18   27   +0      63.45     9.16    -4.31     0.04     0.20     6.06     1.20P    1.35R    0.00  
Hartlepool       18   24   -1      65.43     9.24     2.97     0.05     0.30     9.07     1.97P    1.00R    0.02  
Northampton      18   23   +1      63.24     9.46     3.75     0.03     0.22     6.56     1.73P    1.69R    0.01  
Huddersfield     18   23   -5      59.98     9.30    -8.39     0.01     0.07     3.06     0.62P    3.84R    0.05  
Bristol_Rovers   18   22   +4      60.21     9.20     2.49     0.01     0.09     3.56     0.86P    3.06R    0.03  
Colchester       18   21   -3      59.19     9.03    -4.77     0.00     0.04     2.42     0.54P    4.06R    0.03  
Carlisle         18   20   -8      49.76     8.82   -24.27     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P   23.63R    0.71  
Leyton_Orient    18   20   -8      50.09     8.84   -19.47     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   22.37R    0.58  
Swindon          18   19   -5      58.92     9.21    -3.33     0.00     0.01     2.25     0.45P    4.98R    0.07  
Brighton         18   19   -5      50.06     8.89   -17.46     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.04P   21.69R    0.61  
Yeovil           18   18  -10      45.84     8.55   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   39.83R    1.77  
Hereford         18   12  -17      31.55     7.43   -44.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.19R   35.41  
Cheltenham       18   12  -22      35.22     7.93   -51.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.73R   21.54  
Crewe            18    9  -21      31.53     8.02   -54.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.55R   39.17  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 November 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe              17   37  +14      94.79     8.55    39.62    56.04    85.25    98.66    89.82P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             18   33  +10      79.43     9.16    23.98     4.79    25.41    71.75    34.49P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   32  +14      83.40     8.99    35.68    10.26    42.11    84.85    53.83P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   31  +19      84.47     8.57    43.67    12.50    47.72    88.68    61.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             18   31  +11      78.05     9.13    24.86     3.50    20.66    67.12    31.68P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 18   31   +9      78.99     9.13    24.98     4.22    23.99    70.94    34.97P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            18   31   +9      79.00     9.09    23.35     3.91    23.26    70.57    36.70P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               18   29   +3      66.50     8.85     2.40     0.18     2.01    19.14     5.27P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham           18   28   +0      64.08     9.10    -3.68     0.10     1.32    13.45     3.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            18   27  +15      78.76     9.19    38.04     4.23    24.66    71.27    37.50P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            18   27   -5      62.02     8.95   -10.99     0.06     0.65     8.60     1.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield         18   23   +4      66.93     9.28    13.58     0.19     2.46    22.59     6.69P    0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         18   23   -1      59.24     9.15    -3.14     0.01     0.33     5.58     1.52P    0.05R    0.01  
Port_Vale            18   20  -10      48.62     8.72   -26.48     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.06P    1.40R    0.19  
Macclesfield         17   20  -11      47.02     8.85   -34.84     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.04P    2.23R    0.33  
Accrington_Stanley   18   19   -3      55.70     9.03    -4.93     0.00     0.06     2.57     0.55P    0.25R    0.04  
Notts_County         18   18   -6      54.95     9.17    -8.67     0.01     0.07     2.16     0.50P    0.32R    0.03  
Morecambe            18   18   -8      48.48     9.01   -21.25     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.07P    1.86R    0.32  
Chester              18   16  -14      44.77     8.76   -31.89     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    4.30R    0.84  
Barnet               18   14  -18      38.39     8.25   -44.16     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   15.57R    4.25  
Rotherham            18   10   +2      50.68     9.29     5.78     0.00     0.02     0.77     0.26P    1.05R    0.16  
Grimsby              18   10  -20      30.24     7.67   -51.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.81R   19.15  
Bournemouth          17   -1   -8      30.21     9.15   -21.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.29R   22.85  
Luton                17  -11   -6      23.73     9.42   -13.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.84R   51.84  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 November 2008, Altrincham vs Rushden_&_D'monds; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        21   43  +13      83.03     8.24    21.91    11.98    64.55    22.65P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               19   40  +15      88.77     8.90    33.40    35.36    83.61    47.80P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              20   38  +13      84.88     8.69    30.42    19.19    72.88    33.27P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        21   37   +7      76.50     8.09    15.07     2.74    33.48    10.43P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        20   36  +10      79.69     8.79    22.72     7.50    50.22    17.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         21   35  +11      77.00     8.19    23.51     3.45    38.57    12.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham              19   33  +11      81.93     8.76    30.72    12.20    61.55    24.74P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering            19   33   +8      77.41     8.92    19.30     4.80    39.92    14.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    21   32  +10      76.29     8.18    25.17     2.47    35.55    12.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth             22   31   -1      62.13     7.94    -4.38     0.01     1.84     0.34P    0.41R    0.00  
Stevenage            21   28   -5      59.50     8.11   -10.32     0.01     1.00     0.14P    1.34R    0.04  
Altrincham           20   28   -6      58.18     8.45   -14.25     0.01     0.79     0.16P    2.35R    0.08  
Ebbsfleet_United     21   27   +3      66.80     8.40    11.60     0.12     6.66     1.73P    0.17R    0.00  
Mansfield            20   25   +1      63.02     8.59     4.96     0.06     3.40     0.83P    0.57R    0.01  
York                 21   25   -1      64.50     8.55     7.27     0.08     3.98     0.98P    0.44R    0.01  
Salisbury            20   25   -4      54.73     8.28   -12.62     0.00     0.38     0.08P    4.90R    0.25  
Oxford_Utd           20   25   -5      59.02     8.65    -7.62     0.01     1.06     0.20P    2.15R    0.09  
Barrow               19   24   -5      55.63     8.52   -15.18     0.01     0.48     0.09P    4.98R    0.33  
Eastbourne_Borough   20   21  -13      49.19     8.35   -26.24     0.00     0.04     0.00P   17.77R    2.07  
Woking               20   19   -7      45.28     8.06   -19.17     0.00     0.01     0.00P   30.21R    3.92  
Forest_Green         19   19  -10      48.12     8.46   -24.48     0.00     0.04     0.01P   20.98R    2.67  
Northwich            21   15  -10      41.30     7.84   -23.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.53R    9.43  
Grays_Athletic       19   15  -12      37.22     7.89   -34.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.05R   21.52  
Lewes                20   14  -23      31.69     7.09   -54.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.16R   59.56