Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 29 November 2008 at 22:34:19 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 November 2008, Aston_Villa vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         14   33  +28      93.90     5.51    76.93    85.55    98.00    99.88    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       14   33  +13      82.97     7.71    39.17    10.93    65.68    93.35    97.87    99.75     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   25  +15      77.46     8.12    45.15     3.46    32.79    81.71    92.81    98.39     0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     15   25   +6      63.57     8.22    17.15     0.05     1.84    11.25    41.91    74.26     0.04R    0.00  
Arsenal         14   23   +7      59.20     8.28    11.71     0.02     0.85     4.95    21.72    55.57     0.27R    0.01  
Hull            15   23   -2      53.33     8.10    -5.30     0.00     0.12     1.12     6.65    25.86     1.48R    0.10  
Bolton          15   20   +1      49.71     7.99    -2.05     0.00     0.02     0.31     3.04    15.15     3.18R    0.22  
Fulham          14   19   +1      49.15     8.28    -1.63     0.00     0.03     0.45     2.94    14.08     4.41R    0.39  
Wigan           15   19   -1      48.42     8.19    -4.92     0.00     0.02     0.34     2.35    12.20     5.41R    0.64  
Everton         14   19   -3      46.84     8.39   -14.29     0.00     0.01     0.21     1.86     9.38     8.93R    1.13  
Portsmouth      14   19   -5      49.89     8.68    -8.23     0.00     0.03     0.61     3.87    16.33     5.00R    0.65  
Middlesbrough   15   19   -6      42.93     7.78   -18.36     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.39     3.29    17.01R    2.41  
Stoke           15   18  -10      42.84     7.79   -21.35     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.36     2.93    18.74R    3.02  
Man_City        14   17   +7      58.82     8.30    22.89     0.01     0.59     5.47    21.70    56.31     0.47R    0.04  
West_Ham        14   17   -5      41.45     7.95   -20.66     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.30     2.35    23.56R    4.15  
Tottenham       14   15   -3      46.96     8.67    -5.14     0.00     0.01     0.24     1.80    10.17     9.15R    1.52  
Newcastle       15   15   -5      42.24     7.89   -12.21     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.33     2.86    18.60R    2.93  
Sunderland      15   15  -11      36.73     7.57   -27.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.57    46.00R   13.12  
Blackburn       14   13  -11      34.97     7.93   -31.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.50    55.54R   18.49  
West_Brom       15   11  -16      28.99     7.07   -39.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    82.21R   51.19  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 November 2008, Burnley vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    20   47  +19      98.96     7.92    48.17    67.73    90.36    99.81    92.65P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       20   41  +11      85.45     8.61    24.21     8.27    30.76    90.51    46.34P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          19   34  +21      90.74     8.13    55.59    22.09    64.00    97.88    75.91P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          20   33   +4      73.45     8.42    11.27     0.33     2.62    49.35    12.15P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        20   32  +10      75.81     8.47    22.08     0.93     5.56    61.52    22.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston          20   31   +3      69.37     8.42     6.39     0.14     1.20    30.32     7.01P    0.10R    0.00  
Cardiff          19   29   +5      68.06     9.00     7.77     0.12     1.10    27.63     7.23P    0.24R    0.01  
Plymouth         20   29   +1      65.72     8.34     2.49     0.03     0.41    17.11     3.80P    0.39R    0.02  
QPR              20   29   -2      62.46     8.49    -4.33     0.01     0.17     9.55     2.07P    1.18R    0.02  
Ipswich          20   28   +8      70.33     8.49    17.97     0.15     1.36    37.13    11.21P    0.07R    0.00  
Swansea          19   28   +3      70.12     8.96    10.82     0.14     1.69    35.18     9.23P    0.15R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        20   28   -9      58.03     8.32   -18.10     0.00     0.03     3.55     0.59P    4.23R    0.24  
Crystal_Palace   20   27   +4      66.66     8.61    10.06     0.04     0.58    22.03     5.91P    0.38R    0.01  
Bristol_City     20   26   -2      60.25     8.58    -4.54     0.01     0.07     6.67     1.34P    2.46R    0.10  
Derby            20   25   -3      57.39     8.69    -8.99     0.00     0.05     3.78     0.77P    5.46R    0.37  
Coventry         19   24   -2      57.52     8.73    -7.10     0.00     0.03     3.83     0.82P    5.35R    0.39  
Barnsley         20   24   -4      51.58     8.08   -17.70     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.12P   15.83R    1.30  
Blackpool        20   24   -8      53.07     8.25   -18.92     0.00     0.00     0.99     0.16P   13.24R    1.27  
Southampton      20   21  -10      48.44     8.21   -22.71     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P   29.18R    4.19  
Watford          20   20   -4      54.37     8.54    -8.32     0.00     0.01     1.68     0.32P   10.11R    1.01  
Norwich          20   20   -7      49.48     8.21   -20.10     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.07P   24.44R    3.26  
Charlton         20   17  -11      46.49     8.30   -22.81     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   37.51R    7.14  
Nottm_Forest     20   16  -12      42.43     7.92   -26.09     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   57.41R   14.67  
Doncaster        20   15  -15      33.52     6.74   -37.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.22R   66.00  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 November 2008, Northampton vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        18   38  +15      91.65     8.81    39.04    23.16    51.94    92.96    64.09P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          17   37  +21      97.15     8.95    55.72    54.27    75.77    97.49    82.77P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         18   36   +6      81.90     9.41    17.80     4.24    13.59    65.19    24.25P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           18   34  +12      86.41     8.96    35.74     9.91    27.63    83.07    42.15P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       18   33   +9      77.62     9.53    19.03     2.17     7.07    48.71    15.51P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds            18   32  +10      75.63     9.17    18.37     1.22     4.62    40.23    12.79P    0.03R    0.00  
Stockport        18   31  +11      80.05     9.06    27.06     2.51     9.62    60.56    25.78P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     17   30  +12      77.25     9.45    24.56     2.16     7.47    48.61    18.19P    0.02R    0.00  
Tranmere         18   27   +3      68.90     9.35     8.09     0.14     0.82    16.81     4.25P    0.30R    0.00  
Walsall          18   27   +1      66.75     9.19     2.79     0.08     0.54    11.89     2.68P    0.52R    0.00  
Southend         18   27   +0      63.43     9.09    -4.24     0.03     0.20     5.93     1.21P    1.28R    0.01  
Hartlepool       18   24   -1      65.59     9.28     3.28     0.06     0.29     9.80     2.15P    0.97R    0.01  
Northampton      18   23   +1      63.17     9.43     3.62     0.02     0.22     6.47     1.59P    1.73R    0.01  
Huddersfield     18   23   -5      59.83     9.37    -8.65     0.01     0.07     3.16     0.65P    4.12R    0.05  
Bristol_Rovers   18   22   +4      60.07     9.21     2.20     0.01     0.07     3.52     0.85P    3.18R    0.03  
Colchester       18   21   -3      59.45     9.10    -4.29     0.00     0.04     2.77     0.52P    4.07R    0.03  
Carlisle         18   20   -8      49.62     8.90   -24.44     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P   24.61R    0.75  
Leyton_Orient    18   20   -8      50.01     8.66   -19.56     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   22.07R    0.61  
Swindon          18   19   -5      58.87     9.12    -3.40     0.00     0.03     2.19     0.44P    4.90R    0.09  
Brighton         18   19   -5      50.18     8.96   -17.23     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P   21.74R    0.62  
Yeovil           18   18  -10      45.69     8.59   -25.25     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   40.83R    1.94  
Hereford         18   12  -17      31.85     7.48   -44.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.72R   35.48  
Cheltenham       18   12  -22      35.49     7.96   -51.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.76R   21.26  
Crewe            18    9  -21      31.73     8.06   -54.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.12R   39.13  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 November 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe              17   37  +14      94.39     8.79    39.22    54.18    83.79    98.25    88.42P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             18   33  +10      79.79     9.17    24.58     5.19    26.58    73.09    35.61P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   32  +14      83.21     9.03    35.38    10.26    41.41    84.14    53.22P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   31  +19      84.55     8.69    43.83    13.14    48.30    88.78    61.45P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             18   31  +11      78.07     9.20    24.88     3.77    21.28    67.51    31.96P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 18   31   +9      78.83     9.17    24.61     4.12    23.59    70.14    34.70P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            18   31   +9      78.90     9.01    23.23     4.03    22.62    70.13    35.99P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               18   29   +3      66.42     8.85     2.23     0.14     1.86    18.84     5.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham           18   28   +0      64.13     9.13    -3.72     0.11     1.28    13.60     3.37P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            18   27  +15      79.13     9.15    38.63     4.83    25.85    72.54    39.06P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            18   27   -5      61.83     8.98   -11.40     0.03     0.58     8.42     1.69P    0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield         18   23   +4      66.80     9.31    13.23     0.19     2.48    22.29     6.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         18   23   -1      59.31     9.13    -3.15     0.00     0.25     5.75     1.34P    0.07R    0.01  
Port_Vale            18   20  -10      48.90     8.74   -25.90     0.00     0.01     0.42     0.09P    1.32R    0.18  
Macclesfield         17   20  -11      46.96     8.80   -34.85     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.05P    2.38R    0.36  
Accrington_Stanley   18   19   -3      55.43     8.98    -5.34     0.00     0.05     2.29     0.51P    0.23R    0.02  
Notts_County         18   18   -6      55.28     9.14    -8.23     0.00     0.03     2.22     0.46P    0.31R    0.04  
Morecambe            18   18   -8      48.44     8.78   -21.33     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.08P    1.59R    0.23  
Chester              18   16  -14      44.64     8.81   -32.21     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    4.70R    0.92  
Barnet               18   14  -18      38.36     8.38   -44.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    16.28R    4.34  
Rotherham            18   10   +2      50.72     9.32     5.88     0.00     0.01     0.79     0.28P    1.24R    0.21  
Grimsby              18   10  -20      30.67     7.73   -50.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.66R   17.62  
Bournemouth          17   -1   -8      30.29     9.21   -21.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.35R   22.90  
Luton                17  -11   -6      23.51     9.35   -13.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.86R   53.18  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 November 2008, Altrincham vs Rushden_&_D'monds; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        21   43  +13      82.83     8.38    21.62    12.10    63.46    22.51P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               19   40  +15      88.82     8.67    33.52    35.70    84.54    48.16P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              20   38  +13      84.95     8.54    30.54    19.31    73.31    33.78P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        21   37   +7      76.90     8.11    15.62     3.14    35.73    11.41P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        20   36  +10      79.68     8.71    22.71     7.37    50.52    17.56P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         21   35  +11      76.68     8.24    23.01     3.28    37.16    11.37P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              19   33  +11      81.85     8.77    30.62    11.86    61.36    24.46P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering            19   33   +8      77.48     8.86    19.34     4.60    40.34    14.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    21   32  +10      76.09     8.17    24.94     2.31    34.40    12.03P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth             22   31   -1      62.04     7.85    -4.49     0.02     1.71     0.29P    0.33R    0.01  
Stevenage            21   28   -5      59.30     8.03   -10.65     0.01     0.82     0.13P    1.26R    0.05  
Altrincham           20   28   -6      58.32     8.37   -14.03     0.01     0.86     0.20P    2.26R    0.06  
Ebbsfleet_United     21   27   +3      66.87     8.38    11.72     0.16     6.92     1.91P    0.13R    0.00  
Mansfield            20   25   +1      62.86     8.57     4.72     0.05     3.17     0.73P    0.57R    0.02  
York                 21   25   -1      64.47     8.50     7.23     0.07     3.90     0.91P    0.43R    0.02  
Salisbury            20   25   -4      55.00     8.27   -12.28     0.00     0.30     0.06P    4.76R    0.27  
Oxford_Utd           20   25   -5      59.22     8.61    -7.37     0.01     0.99     0.20P    1.97R    0.08  
Barrow               19   24   -5      55.70     8.57   -14.98     0.00     0.44     0.09P    4.87R    0.31  
Eastbourne_Borough   20   21  -13      49.07     8.20   -26.39     0.00     0.03     0.01P   17.52R    1.98  
Woking               20   19   -7      45.35     8.08   -19.12     0.00     0.00     0.00P   29.95R    3.83  
Forest_Green         19   19  -10      48.21     8.37   -24.23     0.00     0.03     0.01P   20.56R    2.61  
Northwich            21   15  -10      41.05     7.78   -23.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.58R    9.82  
Grays_Athletic       19   15  -12      37.06     7.90   -34.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.00R   22.69  
Lewes                20   14  -23      31.90     6.99   -53.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.80R   58.25