Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 28 November 2008 at 22:34:16 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 November 2008, Wigan vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         14   33  +28      94.03     5.46    77.26    86.38    98.08    99.89    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       14   33  +13      82.63     7.82    38.68    10.23    64.03    91.17    97.31    99.61     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   25  +15      77.39     8.15    44.86     3.28    32.77    78.86    91.77    98.17     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     14   24   +6      65.64     8.46    20.08     0.08     3.35    16.50    50.11    80.29     0.04R    0.00  
Arsenal         14   23   +7      59.08     8.31    11.49     0.03     0.75     4.79    19.16    54.20     0.24R    0.01  
Hull            14   22   -2      54.14     8.52    -4.69     0.00     0.21     1.56     7.98    29.53     1.66R    0.12  
Everton         14   19   -3      46.20     8.26   -15.44     0.00     0.01     0.12     1.26     7.77    10.43R    1.45  
Portsmouth      14   19   -5      50.28     8.60    -7.70     0.00     0.05     0.55     3.36    16.75     4.61R    0.65  
Fulham          13   18   +1      48.32     8.85    -3.76     0.00     0.05     0.61     2.97    13.33     6.95R    0.92  
Middlesbrough   14   18   -6      43.79     8.23   -18.55     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.70     4.68    16.27R    2.49  
Man_City        14   17   +7      58.66     8.33    22.44     0.00     0.65     4.96    19.22    54.48     0.49R    0.04  
Bolton          14   17   -2      45.26     8.13    -8.76     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.88     6.18    11.13R    1.48  
West_Ham        14   17   -5      41.40     7.98   -20.78     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.30     2.38    24.48R    4.50  
Stoke           14   17  -10      43.20     8.38   -21.87     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.50     4.22    19.90R    3.56  
Wigan           14   16   -2      47.70     8.46    -4.38     0.00     0.02     0.26     1.82    11.04     7.53R    1.21  
Tottenham       14   15   -3      47.28     8.75    -4.66     0.00     0.02     0.32     1.93    10.64     9.29R    1.54  
Sunderland      14   15   -8      39.98     8.19   -20.43     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.19     1.84    30.63R    7.41  
Newcastle       14   14   -5      43.02     8.52   -12.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.53     4.38    18.83R    3.56  
Blackburn       14   13  -11      34.99     7.90   -31.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.46    56.14R   19.47  
West_Brom       14   11  -15      29.24     7.33   -40.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    81.36R   51.60  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 November 2008, Birmingham vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    19   46  +19     100.29     8.25    49.98    71.78    91.57    99.80    93.53P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       19   40  +11      84.16     9.15    21.48     7.02    27.07    86.15    41.35P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          19   34  +21      90.78     8.13    55.62    19.42    65.37    97.64    76.71P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        19   31  +10      76.07     8.75    21.95     0.95     6.20    61.30    22.73P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          19   30   +1      70.32     8.88     5.96     0.16     1.44    34.23     7.97P    0.14R    0.00  
Cardiff          19   29   +5      68.25     8.96     8.04     0.11     1.18    27.26     7.32P    0.26R    0.01  
Plymouth         19   29   +2      69.72     8.83     7.33     0.10     1.45    31.99     8.42P    0.16R    0.00  
Swansea          19   28   +3      70.05     8.94    10.77     0.13     1.58    34.25     8.99P    0.15R    0.00  
Preston          19   28   +1      66.94     8.74     2.97     0.06     0.69    21.67     4.79P    0.34R    0.01  
QPR              19   28   -2      61.61     8.81    -6.34     0.01     0.15     8.62     1.81P    1.71R    0.03  
Ipswich          19   27   +8      70.84     8.73    18.12     0.15     1.79    38.59    12.20P    0.08R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   19   26   +4      68.08     8.90    11.53     0.08     0.98    27.06     7.43P    0.27R    0.01  
Bristol_City     19   26   +0      62.96     8.87    -0.46     0.01     0.26    11.86     2.71P    1.29R    0.04  
Derby            19   25   +0      60.41     8.96    -3.35     0.01     0.16     7.54     1.65P    2.57R    0.09  
Sheff_Wed        19   25  -10      55.94     8.71   -19.47     0.00     0.02     2.39     0.37P    7.66R    0.40  
Coventry         19   24   -2      56.93     8.67    -8.00     0.00     0.04     3.33     0.78P    5.39R    0.30  
Barnsley         19   24   -3      53.60     8.62   -15.79     0.01     0.01     1.58     0.30P   11.70R    0.73  
Blackpool        19   21   -9      49.27     8.41   -23.36     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.06P   25.22R    2.79  
Norwich          19   20   -6      51.12     8.70   -18.08     0.00     0.01     0.76     0.15P   19.02R    1.88  
Southampton      19   20  -10      48.66     8.44   -23.65     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.04P   27.74R    3.39  
Watford          19   19   -4      56.39     8.77    -5.59     0.00     0.03     3.01     0.65P    6.61R    0.48  
Charlton         19   16  -11      47.99     8.73   -21.43     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P   30.78R    4.25  
Doncaster        19   14  -15      31.93     6.71   -40.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.26R   68.38  
Nottm_Forest     19   13  -13      40.48     8.22   -27.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   64.65R   17.20  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 November 2008, Cheltenham vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        18   38  +15      91.64     8.82    39.07    23.22    51.61    92.74    63.84P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          17   37  +21      97.18     8.99    55.80    54.39    76.10    97.51    82.80P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         18   36   +6      81.88     9.37    17.76     4.16    13.54    64.84    23.91P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           18   34  +12      86.46     8.88    35.99     9.73    27.63    82.82    42.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       18   33   +9      77.90     9.42    19.59     2.16     7.28    49.71    16.16P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds            18   32  +10      75.65     9.20    18.43     1.24     4.53    40.00    12.58P    0.03R    0.00  
Stockport        18   31  +11      80.03     9.01    27.07     2.55     9.45    59.60    25.23P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     17   30  +12      77.09     9.48    24.25     2.10     7.17    46.87    17.34P    0.03R    0.00  
Tranmere         18   27   +3      69.30     9.30     8.74     0.17     0.90    17.23     4.50P    0.27R    0.00  
Southend         18   27   +0      63.41     9.22    -4.28     0.04     0.22     6.03     1.34P    1.39R    0.00  
Walsall          17   24   +0      64.81     9.67     1.18     0.07     0.42     9.21     2.20P    1.27R    0.01  
Hartlepool       18   24   -1      65.37     9.36     2.89     0.05     0.30     9.34     2.06P    1.03R    0.01  
Northampton      17   23   +2      66.35     9.81     7.52     0.10     0.57    11.89     3.36P    0.89R    0.00  
Huddersfield     18   23   -5      59.63     9.34    -9.04     0.01     0.07     2.93     0.56P    4.07R    0.06  
Bristol_Rovers   18   22   +4      60.06     9.21     2.18     0.02     0.10     3.37     0.81P    3.09R    0.02  
Carlisle         18   20   -8      49.61     8.86   -24.42     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.06P   24.15R    0.70  
Leyton_Orient    18   20   -8      49.80     8.83   -19.80     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.05P   22.75R    0.70  
Swindon          17   19   -4      60.56     9.65    -1.92     0.01     0.09     3.87     0.83P    4.09R    0.06  
Brighton         18   19   -5      50.09     8.82   -17.39     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P   21.10R    0.60  
Colchester       17   18   -4      56.15     9.43    -8.37     0.00     0.02     1.42     0.29P    8.45R    0.21  
Yeovil           18   18  -10      45.67     8.47   -25.24     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   39.48R    2.04  
Hereford         18   12  -17      31.85     7.52   -44.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.36R   35.41  
Cheltenham       18   12  -22      35.43     8.06   -51.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.99R   22.13  
Crewe            18    9  -21      31.94     8.07   -54.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.52R   38.05  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 November 2008, Aldershot vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe              17   37  +14      94.82     8.70    39.78    55.95    85.44    98.70    89.82P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             18   33  +10      79.71     9.16    24.48     5.05    26.77    73.00    35.84P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   32  +14      83.57     8.98    35.93    10.49    43.42    85.57    54.96P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   31  +19      84.59     8.67    43.91    13.44    49.01    89.01    62.14P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             18   31  +11      78.34     9.01    25.37     3.50    22.08    69.47    33.47P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            18   31   +9      78.62     9.01    22.83     3.59    22.43    70.08    35.68P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               18   29   +3      66.41     8.87     2.22     0.14     2.01    19.47     5.33P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 17   28   +8      76.71     9.62    22.77     3.15    18.71    61.97    28.97P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           18   28   +0      64.02     9.17    -3.83     0.10     1.32    13.99     3.40P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            18   27  +15      78.80     9.18    38.03     4.33    24.93    72.05    38.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Aldershot            18   27   -5      61.70     8.93   -11.55     0.04     0.60     8.62     1.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield         18   23   +4      67.03     9.24    13.69     0.19     2.65    23.52     7.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         18   23   -1      59.10     9.05    -3.38     0.01     0.28     5.59     1.43P    0.05R    0.00  
Port_Vale            18   20  -10      48.56     8.70   -26.55     0.00     0.01     0.42     0.05P    1.55R    0.20  
Macclesfield         17   20  -11      47.05     8.70   -34.51     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.03P    2.10R    0.29  
Accrington_Stanley   17   19   -2      57.70     9.47    -2.84     0.01     0.25     4.80     1.32P    0.16R    0.02  
Notts_County         18   18   -6      55.12     9.12    -8.45     0.00     0.08     2.24     0.48P    0.31R    0.03  
Morecambe            18   18   -8      48.22     8.72   -21.73     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.05P    1.67R    0.27  
Chester              18   16  -14      44.68     8.87   -32.08     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P    4.86R    0.88  
Barnet               18   14  -18      38.36     8.17   -44.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   15.60R    4.22  
Rotherham            18   10   +2      50.34     9.35     5.23     0.00     0.01     0.73     0.25P    1.26R    0.24  
Grimsby              18   10  -20      30.54     7.74   -50.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.77R   18.93  
Bournemouth          17   -1   -8      30.34     9.05   -21.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.58R   22.53  
Luton                17  -11   -6      23.76     9.38   -13.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.07R   52.38  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 November 2008, Oxford_Utd vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Histon               19   40  +15      88.84     8.76    33.57    38.30    86.51    50.66P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        20   40  +11      81.53     8.55    20.19    10.68    61.51    20.66P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              20   38  +13      84.75     8.61    30.16    19.96    75.94    35.40P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster        20   36  +10      79.48     8.77    22.42     8.18    53.34    19.09P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        20   34   +6      74.68     8.53    13.79     2.47    31.09     9.73P    0.01R    0.00  
Kettering            19   33   +8      77.30     8.92    19.09     5.10    43.38    15.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         20   32  +10      75.05     8.59    22.05     2.92    34.76    10.82P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham              18   30  +10      80.02     9.36    29.27    10.55    57.27    22.92P    0.00R    0.00  
Weymouth             21   30   -1      62.71     8.32    -4.17     0.06     3.19     0.60P    0.56R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D'monds    20   29   +6      71.71     8.49    16.79     0.97    20.73     6.65P    0.03R    0.00  
Altrincham           19   28   -2      62.39     8.83    -5.47     0.08     3.58     0.79P    1.08R    0.03  
Stevenage            20   28   -4      60.84     8.41    -9.41     0.03     2.24     0.32P    1.18R    0.05  
Ebbsfleet_United     20   27   +4      68.45     8.70    13.15     0.40    12.32     3.46P    0.15R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           20   25   -5      59.04     8.64    -7.61     0.03     1.33     0.30P    2.43R    0.07  
Mansfield            19   24   +1      63.36     9.08     4.83     0.15     5.29     1.33P    0.79R    0.04  
York                 20   24   -1      64.73     8.88     7.15     0.12     5.95     1.48P    0.59R    0.02  
Salisbury            19   24   -4      55.27     8.71   -12.45     0.00     0.70     0.13P    5.81R    0.32  
Barrow               19   24   -5      55.67     8.57   -14.99     0.01     0.65     0.11P    5.61R    0.34  
Eastbourne_Borough   19   21  -11      50.42     8.69   -24.96     0.00     0.15     0.02P   16.14R    1.78  
Woking               20   19   -7      45.71     8.01   -18.50     0.00     0.01     0.00P   30.46R    3.60  
Forest_Green         19   19  -10      48.30     8.44   -23.96     0.00     0.05     0.01P   22.40R    2.63  
Northwich            20   15   -9      42.68     8.15   -22.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.74R    7.86  
Grays_Athletic       19   15  -12      37.08     7.73   -34.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.09R   22.32  
Lewes                20   14  -23      31.75     7.02   -53.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.90R   60.93