Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 27 November 2008 at 22:34:15 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 November 2008, Wigan vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         14   33  +28      93.90     5.52    77.06    85.22    97.97    99.86    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       14   33  +13      83.01     7.87    39.27    11.25    65.37    91.58    97.48    99.67     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   25  +15      77.41     8.07    44.72     3.41    31.79    78.95    91.89    98.30     0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     14   24   +6      65.52     8.52    19.85     0.10     3.09    16.24    49.74    80.01     0.04R    0.00  
Arsenal         14   23   +7      59.27     8.31    11.78     0.01     0.77     4.80    20.05    55.66     0.22R    0.01  
Hull            14   22   -2      53.90     8.45    -5.14     0.00     0.19     1.54     7.41    28.63     1.75R    0.14  
Everton         14   19   -3      46.31     8.25   -15.14     0.00     0.01     0.14     1.43     8.21    10.22R    1.41  
Portsmouth      14   19   -5      49.94     8.55    -8.32     0.00     0.04     0.50     3.19    16.08     4.99R    0.66  
Fulham          13   18   +1      48.10     8.77    -4.00     0.00     0.07     0.48     2.62    12.72     7.09R    0.99  
Middlesbrough   14   18   -6      43.86     8.20   -18.30     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.64     4.75    16.42R    2.55  
Man_City        14   17   +7      58.75     8.35    22.62     0.01     0.63     4.98    19.56    55.35     0.41R    0.04  
Bolton          14   17   -2      45.52     8.18    -8.40     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.01     6.64    10.89R    1.41  
West_Ham        14   17   -5      41.31     7.90   -21.08     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.25     2.27    24.72R    4.66  
Stoke           14   17  -10      43.24     8.35   -21.85     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.55     4.26    19.87R    3.72  
Wigan           14   16   -2      47.74     8.54    -4.24     0.00     0.03     0.38     1.98    11.35     7.60R    1.14  
Tottenham       14   15   -3      46.90     8.57    -5.22     0.00     0.01     0.23     1.53     9.63     9.38R    1.61  
Sunderland      14   15   -8      40.11     8.06   -20.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15     1.81    30.20R    7.31  
Newcastle       14   14   -5      42.74     8.48   -12.55     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.50     4.13    20.14R    3.80  
Blackburn       14   13  -11      34.99     7.88   -31.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.47    56.10R   20.12  
West_Brom       14   11  -15      29.67     7.41   -39.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08    79.95R   50.41  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 November 2008, Birmingham vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    19   46  +19     100.39     8.25    50.08    71.85    91.77    99.82    93.68P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       19   40  +11      84.06     9.14    21.39     7.02    26.70    85.82    40.77P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          19   34  +21      90.84     8.16    55.66    19.30    65.25    97.74    76.67P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        19   31  +10      76.39     8.83    22.38     0.97     6.71    62.82    23.78P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          19   30   +1      70.39     8.97     6.07     0.17     1.52    34.73     8.19P    0.11R    0.00  
Cardiff          19   29   +5      68.46     8.92     8.36     0.10     1.15    28.34     7.80P    0.16R    0.00  
Plymouth         19   29   +2      69.47     8.77     7.02     0.13     1.34    30.66     7.70P    0.14R    0.01  
Swansea          19   28   +3      69.89     8.90    10.44     0.09     1.47    33.55     8.72P    0.17R    0.01  
Preston          19   28   +1      66.84     8.71     2.76     0.04     0.61    21.17     4.59P    0.31R    0.01  
QPR              19   28   -2      61.20     8.74    -6.82     0.01     0.10     7.87     1.61P    1.89R    0.05  
Ipswich          19   27   +8      70.76     8.88    18.01     0.19     1.89    38.49    12.33P    0.10R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   19   26   +4      68.12     8.96    11.59     0.09     1.01    27.54     7.70P    0.23R    0.01  
Bristol_City     19   26   +0      63.16     8.97    -0.20     0.02     0.25    12.37     2.70P    1.25R    0.03  
Derby            19   25   +0      60.22     8.99    -3.61     0.01     0.11     7.26     1.47P    2.81R    0.13  
Sheff_Wed        19   25  -10      55.63     8.72   -19.86     0.00     0.01     2.29     0.40P    8.41R    0.51  
Coventry         19   24   -2      56.91     8.78    -8.03     0.00     0.05     3.42     0.70P    5.77R    0.35  
Barnsley         19   24   -3      53.89     8.66   -15.27     0.00     0.02     1.59     0.32P   11.16R    0.73  
Blackpool        19   21   -9      49.43     8.49   -23.07     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.06P   24.94R    2.91  
Norwich          19   20   -6      51.11     8.66   -18.03     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.14P   18.81R    1.91  
Southampton      19   20  -10      48.44     8.51   -23.97     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.06P   28.80R    3.81  
Watford          19   19   -4      56.21     8.75    -5.96     0.00     0.02     2.74     0.56P    7.01R    0.53  
Charlton         19   16  -11      48.02     8.74   -21.40     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.06P   30.68R    4.38  
Doncaster        19   14  -15      32.35     6.79   -39.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.57R   66.75  
Nottm_Forest     19   13  -13      40.64     8.36   -27.66     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    63.67R   17.87  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 November 2008, Cheltenham vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        18   38  +15      91.42     8.82    38.80    22.94    50.50    92.45    62.65P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          17   37  +21      96.88     8.99    55.38    53.22    74.84    97.27    81.64P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         18   36   +6      81.70     9.48    17.57     4.43    13.48    63.03    23.43P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           18   34  +12      86.33     8.99    35.75     9.75    27.59    82.11    41.50P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       18   33   +9      78.15     9.40    20.04     2.36     7.63    49.73    16.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds            18   32  +10      76.08     9.21    19.13     1.34     5.02    41.32    13.54P    0.02R    0.00  
Stockport        18   31  +11      80.07     9.09    27.12     2.73     9.72    59.70    25.82P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     17   30  +12      77.75     9.54    25.36     2.77     8.60    49.34    19.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere         18   27   +3      68.85     9.32     7.97     0.16     0.80    15.96     4.02P    0.30R    0.00  
Southend         18   27   +0      63.36     9.07    -4.37     0.04     0.22     5.64     1.16P    1.19R    0.00  
Walsall          17   24   +0      65.21     9.63     1.88     0.06     0.43     9.65     2.26P    1.08R    0.01  
Hartlepool       18   24   -1      65.12     9.34     2.44     0.05     0.32     8.61     1.84P    1.07R    0.01  
Northampton      17   23   +2      67.24     9.76     9.06     0.12     0.64    13.64     3.66P    0.74R    0.01  
Huddersfield     18   23   -5      59.89     9.21    -8.56     0.01     0.03     2.73     0.51P    3.65R    0.05  
Bristol_Rovers   18   22   +4      60.00     9.15     2.05     0.01     0.07     3.21     0.74P    3.07R    0.04  
Carlisle         18   20   -8      49.37     8.90   -24.99     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   24.62R    0.85  
Leyton_Orient    18   20   -8      49.76     8.83   -19.87     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P   22.55R    0.63  
Swindon          17   19   -4      60.44     9.72    -2.25     0.02     0.08     3.75     0.76P    4.23R    0.08  
Brighton         18   19   -5      50.16     8.92   -17.31     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   21.00R    0.66  
Colchester       17   18   -4      55.37     9.46    -9.85     0.00     0.02     1.23     0.25P    9.71R    0.27  
Yeovil           18   18  -10      45.60     8.57   -25.33     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   39.32R    2.13  
Hereford         18   12  -17      31.82     7.52   -44.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.30R   35.14  
Cheltenham       18   12  -22      35.64     8.04   -51.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.31R   20.90  
Crewe            18    9  -21      31.72     8.05   -54.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.80R   39.23  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 November 2008, Aldershot vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe              17   37  +14      94.59     8.77    39.46    55.74    84.93    98.43    89.32P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             18   33  +10      79.62     9.11    24.29     5.03    26.75    73.68    35.98P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   32  +14      83.23     8.98    35.44     9.98    42.75    84.91    54.14P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   31  +19      84.48     8.64    43.69    13.34    49.18    89.07    62.28P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             18   31  +11      78.02     9.16    24.82     3.81    21.79    67.81    32.58P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            18   31   +9      78.62     9.10    22.82     3.97    22.75    69.88    35.91P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               18   29   +3      66.00     8.91     1.60     0.15     1.91    18.59     5.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Bury                 17   28   +8      76.75     9.45    22.77     3.10    18.53    62.72    29.37P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           18   28   +0      63.99     9.21    -3.87     0.10     1.30    14.04     3.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            18   27  +15      78.77     9.25    37.97     4.46    25.73    71.99    38.85P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            18   27   -5      61.92     8.93   -11.20     0.05     0.70     9.02     1.85P    0.03R    0.00  
Chesterfield         18   23   +4      67.20     9.25    14.02     0.23     2.94    24.49     7.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         18   23   -1      59.07     9.19    -3.45     0.03     0.32     5.73     1.49P    0.05R    0.01  
Port_Vale            18   20  -10      48.69     8.68   -26.26     0.00     0.01     0.44     0.08P    1.58R    0.22  
Macclesfield         17   20  -11      47.21     8.76   -34.34     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.03P    2.20R    0.32  
Accrington_Stanley   17   19   -2      58.11     9.33    -2.22     0.00     0.29     5.19     1.44P    0.15R    0.03  
Notts_County         18   18   -6      55.06     9.15    -8.54     0.01     0.09     2.40     0.53P    0.36R    0.04  
Morecambe            18   18   -8      48.44     8.80   -21.35     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.08P    1.63R    0.24  
Chester              18   16  -14      44.68     8.88   -32.02     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    4.60R    0.83  
Barnet               18   14  -18      38.49     8.38   -43.82     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   15.72R    4.31  
Rotherham            18   10   +2      50.37     9.30     5.34     0.00     0.02     0.76     0.24P    1.23R    0.21  
Grimsby              18   10  -20      30.30     7.73   -51.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.31R   19.19  
Bournemouth          17   -1   -8      30.70     9.19   -20.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.29R   21.72  
Luton                17  -11   -6      23.69     9.27   -13.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.82R   52.89  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 November 2008, Oxford_Utd vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Histon               19   40  +15      89.37     8.72    34.40    40.66    87.88    53.51P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        20   40  +11      81.59     8.57    20.34    10.77    62.39    21.30P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              20   38  +13      84.53     8.67    29.82    19.22    75.15    34.57P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        20   36  +10      79.39     8.77    22.29     7.75    53.55    18.69P    0.00R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        20   34   +6      74.42     8.45    13.42     2.25    29.88     9.18P    0.02R    0.00  
Kettering            19   33   +8      77.39     8.88    19.25     5.12    44.31    15.84P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         20   32  +10      75.18     8.53    22.24     2.88    35.57    10.81P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham              18   30  +10      79.70     9.28    28.78     9.70    56.09    21.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth             21   30   -1      63.07     8.32    -3.57     0.07     3.52     0.72P    0.50R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D'monds    20   29   +6      71.43     8.62    16.39     0.89    20.15     6.24P    0.05R    0.00  
Altrincham           19   28   -2      62.30     8.94    -5.64     0.07     3.95     0.85P    1.09R    0.04  
Stevenage            20   28   -4      61.27     8.46    -8.64     0.05     2.43     0.39P    1.01R    0.04  
Ebbsfleet_United     20   27   +4      68.30     8.59    12.96     0.34    11.88     3.24P    0.14R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           20   25   -5      58.48     8.62    -8.52     0.01     1.19     0.22P    2.78R    0.12  
Mansfield            19   24   +1      63.22     8.97     4.60     0.13     4.92     1.09P    0.85R    0.04  
York                 20   24   -1      64.56     8.91     6.87     0.09     5.59     1.45P    0.67R    0.03  
Salisbury            19   24   -4      55.60     8.66   -11.88     0.01     0.62     0.12P    5.29R    0.30  
Barrow               19   24   -5      55.77     8.64   -14.76     0.00     0.71     0.10P    5.54R    0.32  
Eastbourne_Borough   19   21  -11      50.26     8.56   -25.20     0.00     0.15     0.04P   16.52R    1.78  
Woking               20   19   -7      46.01     8.09   -18.10     0.00     0.01     0.00P   29.40R    3.53  
Forest_Green         19   19  -10      48.50     8.42   -23.66     0.00     0.06     0.01P   21.86R    2.51  
Northwich            20   15   -9      42.29     8.16   -23.28     0.00     0.01     0.00    48.40R    8.65  
Grays_Athletic       19   15  -12      37.19     7.90   -34.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.17R   22.62  
Lewes                20   14  -23      31.85     7.04   -53.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.68R   60.02