Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 26 November 2008 at 22:34:13 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 November 2008, Wigan vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         14   33  +28      94.07     5.46    77.30    85.15    98.01    99.84    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       14   33  +13      83.35     7.84    39.85    11.64    67.04    92.33    97.62    99.67     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   25  +15      77.16     8.09    44.27     3.11    30.31    78.10    91.42    98.16     0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     14   24   +6      65.51     8.54    19.86     0.08     3.02    16.36    49.86    79.94     0.05R    0.00  
Arsenal         14   23   +7      59.05     8.24    11.37     0.01     0.63     4.33    18.97    54.38     0.30R    0.02  
Hull            14   22   -2      53.94     8.48    -5.12     0.00     0.21     1.56     7.73    28.80     1.66R    0.13  
Everton         14   19   -3      45.99     8.26   -15.80     0.00     0.01     0.16     1.32     7.62    10.74R    1.42  
Portsmouth      14   19   -5      50.10     8.72    -7.99     0.00     0.05     0.54     3.44    16.76     5.10R    0.67  
Fulham          13   18   +1      48.27     8.70    -3.76     0.00     0.05     0.50     2.67    12.83     6.60R    0.88  
Middlesbrough   14   18   -6      43.74     8.18   -18.54     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.62     4.67    16.71R    2.63  
Man_City        14   17   +7      59.02     8.25    23.18     0.00     0.61     5.37    20.25    56.47     0.39R    0.05  
Bolton          14   17   -2      45.18     8.07    -8.88     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.88     6.03    11.08R    1.37  
West_Ham        14   17   -5      41.58     7.94   -20.57     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.33     2.45    23.21R    4.20  
Stoke           14   17  -10      43.08     8.37   -21.97     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.56     3.91    20.55R    3.94  
Wigan           14   16   -2      47.80     8.51    -4.18     0.00     0.01     0.28     1.84    11.18     7.66R    1.35  
Tottenham       14   15   -3      47.29     8.71    -4.62     0.00     0.02     0.28     1.79    10.71     8.82R    1.50  
Sunderland      14   15   -8      40.15     8.11   -20.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     1.77    29.96R    7.07  
Newcastle       14   14   -5      42.67     8.50   -12.65     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.47     4.04    20.23R    3.81  
Blackburn       14   13  -11      34.96     7.92   -31.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.52    56.28R   19.58  
West_Brom       14   11  -15      29.37     7.44   -39.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    80.65R   51.40  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 November 2008, Birmingham vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    19   46  +19     100.36     8.24    50.13    72.34    92.02    99.82    93.85P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       19   40  +11      83.97     9.07    21.23     6.69    26.43    85.83    40.89P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          19   34  +21      90.78     8.13    55.47    19.17    65.53    97.77    77.05P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        19   31  +10      75.80     8.77    21.50     0.84     6.03    60.45    22.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Burnley          19   30   +1      70.40     9.02     6.11     0.18     1.55    34.69     8.31P    0.14R    0.01  
Cardiff          19   29   +5      68.66     8.98     8.65     0.16     1.29    29.31     7.94P    0.20R    0.01  
Plymouth         19   29   +2      69.32     8.81     6.72     0.12     1.29    30.37     7.78P    0.13R    0.00  
Swansea          19   28   +3      70.01     8.97    10.71     0.13     1.66    34.46     9.05P    0.12R    0.00  
Preston          19   28   +1      66.94     8.70     2.93     0.08     0.70    21.70     4.89P    0.33R    0.01  
QPR              19   28   -2      61.79     8.82    -6.04     0.01     0.17     9.18     1.84P    1.56R    0.04  
Ipswich          19   27   +8      70.59     8.73    17.76     0.16     1.68    37.34    11.78P    0.08R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   19   26   +4      68.03     8.92    11.43     0.06     1.05    27.01     7.58P    0.28R    0.01  
Bristol_City     19   26   +0      63.14     8.92    -0.23     0.02     0.30    12.47     2.88P    1.13R    0.04  
Derby            19   25   +0      60.37     9.05    -3.36     0.02     0.18     7.62     1.77P    2.79R    0.13  
Sheff_Wed        19   25  -10      55.64     8.74   -19.81     0.00     0.03     2.28     0.34P    8.56R    0.48  
Coventry         19   24   -2      57.08     8.79    -7.74     0.00     0.06     3.71     0.78P    5.53R    0.32  
Barnsley         19   24   -3      53.54     8.55   -15.95     0.00     0.01     1.44     0.29P   11.59R    0.69  
Blackpool        19   21   -9      49.31     8.39   -23.17     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.09P   25.10R    2.99  
Norwich          19   20   -6      51.21     8.67   -17.84     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.15P   18.65R    1.96  
Southampton      19   20  -10      48.72     8.43   -23.58     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.07P   27.86R    3.31  
Watford          19   19   -4      56.15     8.74    -6.03     0.00     0.03     2.63     0.52P    7.03R    0.58  
Charlton         19   16  -11      48.27     8.75   -20.93     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.06P   29.95R    4.10  
Doncaster        19   14  -15      32.29     6.92   -39.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.58R   67.00  
Nottm_Forest     19   13  -13      40.41     8.22   -28.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   65.38R   18.30  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 November 2008, Cheltenham vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        18   38  +15      91.09     8.88    38.33    21.27    49.08    91.65    61.40P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          17   37  +21      97.23     8.94    55.96    55.36    76.78    97.40    83.28P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         18   36   +6      81.82     9.30    17.71     4.08    13.13    64.72    23.56P    0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           18   34  +12      86.55     8.93    36.14    10.08    28.66    82.85    43.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       18   33   +9      77.84     9.32    19.43     2.22     6.96    48.98    15.64P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds            18   32  +10      75.77     9.12    18.67     1.33     4.74    40.00    12.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Stockport        18   31  +11      80.11     9.02    27.17     2.76     9.90    60.36    25.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough     17   30  +12      77.33     9.55    24.67     2.41     7.89    48.21    18.60P    0.02R    0.00  
Tranmere         18   27   +3      68.88     9.40     8.15     0.16     0.93    16.40     4.25P    0.34R    0.00  
Southend         18   27   +0      63.23     9.09    -4.60     0.05     0.24     5.50     1.17P    1.45R    0.00  
Walsall          17   24   +0      65.29     9.67     2.03     0.09     0.48    10.04     2.30P    1.11R    0.00  
Hartlepool       18   24   -1      65.30     9.27     2.76     0.04     0.31     8.90     1.85P    1.00R    0.01  
Northampton      17   23   +2      66.72     9.96     8.15     0.12     0.68    13.08     3.53P    0.99R    0.00  
Huddersfield     18   23   -5      59.83     9.37    -8.66     0.01     0.06     3.09     0.65P    3.90R    0.04  
Bristol_Rovers   18   22   +4      60.05     9.15     2.16     0.01     0.08     3.38     0.78P    2.93R    0.03  
Carlisle         18   20   -8      49.45     8.86   -24.70     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   24.60R    0.76  
Leyton_Orient    18   20   -8      50.03     8.83   -19.51     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P   21.98R    0.65  
Swindon          17   19   -4      60.07     9.68    -2.89     0.02     0.06     3.41     0.71P    4.61R    0.08  
Brighton         18   19   -5      50.41     9.11   -16.85     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.07P   21.03R    0.65  
Colchester       17   18   -4      55.89     9.38    -8.90     0.00     0.02     1.34     0.27P    8.88R    0.21  
Yeovil           18   18  -10      46.06     8.53   -24.62     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   38.02R    1.86  
Hereford         18   12  -17      31.79     7.40   -44.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.82R   34.48  
Cheltenham       18   12  -22      35.23     8.04   -51.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.57R   22.67  
Crewe            18    9  -21      31.90     8.06   -54.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.73R   38.52  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 November 2008, Aldershot vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe              17   37  +14      94.41     8.81    39.23    54.43    84.05    98.35    88.60P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             18   33  +10      79.46     9.15    23.99     4.86    25.70    72.55    34.58P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   32  +14      83.61     8.94    36.06    10.79    43.72    85.80    55.34P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   31  +19      84.54     8.70    43.80    13.58    49.18    88.93    61.98P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             18   31  +11      78.38     9.26    25.45     4.08    22.81    69.00    33.87P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            18   31   +9      78.81     9.09    23.11     3.98    23.06    70.47    36.80P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               18   29   +3      66.13     8.88     1.75     0.18     1.95    18.53     5.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 17   28   +8      76.49     9.64    22.42     3.14    17.97    60.99    28.18P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           18   28   +0      64.17     9.13    -3.63     0.09     1.26    14.04     3.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            18   27  +15      79.09     9.16    38.59     4.62    26.18    72.94    39.46P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            18   27   -5      62.10     8.95   -10.92     0.05     0.71     9.08     1.97P    0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield         18   23   +4      67.22     9.21    14.10     0.18     2.72    24.05     7.20P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         18   23   -1      59.08     8.99    -3.42     0.01     0.28     5.44     1.35P    0.04R    0.00  
Port_Vale            18   20  -10      48.49     8.76   -26.63     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.06P    1.54R    0.20  
Macclesfield         17   20  -11      47.06     8.73   -34.67     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.05P    2.01R    0.31  
Accrington_Stanley   17   19   -2      58.08     9.50    -2.29     0.02     0.31     5.37     1.40P    0.12R    0.01  
Notts_County         18   18   -6      55.20     9.10    -8.30     0.00     0.07     2.26     0.50P    0.26R    0.03  
Morecambe            18   18   -8      48.28     8.88   -21.61     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.06P    1.69R    0.32  
Chester              18   16  -14      44.59     8.93   -32.27     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    4.60R    0.92  
Barnet               18   14  -18      38.30     8.21   -44.26     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   15.49R    4.16  
Rotherham            18   10   +2      50.61     9.46     5.68     0.00     0.01     0.89     0.27P    1.23R    0.26  
Grimsby              18   10  -20      30.10     7.68   -51.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.71R   19.45  
Bournemouth          17   -1   -8      30.28     9.13   -21.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.65R   22.96  
Luton                17  -11   -6      23.75     9.42   -13.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.63R   51.37  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 November 2008, Oxford_Utd vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Histon               19   40  +15      89.12     8.74    33.99    39.46    87.19    52.13P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        20   40  +11      81.68     8.56    20.50    11.05    62.33    21.69P    0.00R    0.00  
Torquay              20   38  +13      84.59     8.62    29.92    19.44    75.28    34.39P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        20   36  +10      79.37     8.71    22.20     7.83    53.01    18.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        20   34   +6      74.78     8.57    13.92     2.67    31.61    10.17P    0.01R    0.00  
Kettering            19   33   +8      77.59     8.85    19.51     5.27    44.51    15.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         20   32  +10      75.29     8.57    22.48     2.92    35.96    10.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham              18   30  +10      79.61     9.30    28.69     9.70    55.27    21.56P    0.00R    0.00  
Weymouth             21   30   -1      62.63     8.28    -4.32     0.06     3.24     0.64P    0.55R    0.02  
Rushden_&_D'monds    20   29   +6      71.28     8.50    16.19     0.89    19.49     6.09P    0.05R    0.00  
Altrincham           19   28   -2      62.30     8.85    -5.63     0.06     3.61     0.73P    1.00R    0.03  
Stevenage            20   28   -4      61.12     8.43    -8.89     0.04     2.35     0.42P    1.06R    0.05  
Ebbsfleet_United     20   27   +4      68.54     8.62    13.30     0.35    12.34     3.39P    0.13R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           20   25   -5      58.78     8.67    -8.03     0.02     1.30     0.32P    2.47R    0.10  
Mansfield            19   24   +1      63.51     8.94     5.03     0.09     5.18     1.24P    0.75R    0.02  
York                 20   24   -1      64.48     8.93     6.77     0.13     5.75     1.38P    0.65R    0.03  
Salisbury            19   24   -4      55.63     8.63   -11.91     0.00     0.66     0.14P    5.04R    0.31  
Barrow               19   24   -5      55.82     8.68   -14.73     0.01     0.67     0.13P    5.46R    0.36  
Eastbourne_Borough   19   21  -11      50.17     8.59   -25.38     0.00     0.14     0.03P   16.44R    1.92  
Woking               20   19   -7      45.58     8.07   -18.72     0.00     0.02     0.00P   31.34R    3.68  
Forest_Green         19   19  -10      48.74     8.50   -23.17     0.00     0.06     0.01P   20.98R    2.37  
Northwich            20   15   -9      42.41     8.21   -23.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.11R    8.18  
Grays_Athletic       19   15  -12      37.00     7.87   -34.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.06R   23.06  
Lewes                20   14  -23      31.72     7.03   -53.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.88R   59.87