Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 25 November 2008 at 22:34:16 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 November 2008, Wigan vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         14   33  +28      93.91     5.54    77.11    86.04    98.06    99.87    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       14   33  +13      82.70     7.87    38.88    10.38    64.44    91.36    97.33    99.63     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   25  +15      77.27     8.19    44.46     3.47    32.62    78.88    91.65    98.14     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     14   24   +6      65.25     8.49    19.40     0.06     3.04    15.71    48.90    79.29     0.04R    0.00  
Arsenal         14   23   +7      59.13     8.31    11.51     0.03     0.86     5.12    19.70    54.79     0.24R    0.00  
Hull            14   22   -2      54.15     8.52    -4.73     0.00     0.20     1.68     8.01    29.74     1.70R    0.16  
Everton         14   19   -3      46.29     8.28   -15.23     0.00     0.01     0.18     1.42     8.15    10.29R    1.22  
Portsmouth      14   19   -5      50.08     8.58    -8.02     0.00     0.04     0.53     3.40    16.48     4.95R    0.67  
Fulham          13   18   +1      48.44     8.64    -3.62     0.00     0.06     0.54     2.87    13.06     6.18R    0.73  
Middlesbrough   14   18   -6      43.79     8.29   -18.46     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.74     4.78    16.91R    2.76  
Man_City        14   17   +7      58.75     8.30    22.62     0.02     0.60     5.15    19.72    54.93     0.39R    0.04  
Bolton          14   17   -2      45.38     8.14    -8.60     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.92     6.67    11.01R    1.43  
West_Ham        14   17   -5      41.84     8.02   -20.03     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.36     2.64    23.11R    4.20  
Stoke           14   17  -10      43.03     8.35   -22.16     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.55     3.96    20.80R    3.74  
Wigan           14   16   -2      47.78     8.54    -4.29     0.00     0.02     0.33     1.98    11.29     7.75R    1.17  
Tottenham       14   15   -3      46.93     8.73    -5.16     0.00     0.03     0.28     1.65     9.90     9.73R    1.73  
Sunderland      14   15   -8      40.00     8.17   -20.33     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.23     1.85    30.93R    7.53  
Newcastle       14   14   -5      42.89     8.43   -12.23     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.54     4.15    19.27R    3.55  
Blackburn       14   13  -11      35.07     7.90   -31.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.49    55.83R   19.46  
West_Brom       14   11  -15      29.41     7.35   -39.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    80.86R   51.62  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 November 2008, Birmingham vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    19   46  +19     100.18     8.25    49.84    71.13    91.42    99.80    93.37P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       19   40  +11      84.27     9.11    21.70     7.28    27.35    86.55    41.39P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          19   34  +21      90.83     8.20    55.79    19.81    65.09    97.62    76.62P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        19   31  +10      76.15     8.77    21.98     0.88     6.43    61.62    22.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          19   30   +1      70.04     8.99     5.55     0.11     1.40    33.07     7.94P    0.14R    0.00  
Cardiff          19   29   +5      68.55     8.91     8.45     0.12     1.13    28.25     7.67P    0.19R    0.00  
Plymouth         19   29   +2      69.82     8.87     7.50     0.15     1.51    32.19     8.42P    0.14R    0.00  
Swansea          19   28   +3      70.21     8.99    10.99     0.12     1.56    35.13     9.25P    0.19R    0.00  
Preston          19   28   +1      66.52     8.70     2.32     0.06     0.61    20.18     4.37P    0.34R    0.01  
QPR              19   28   -2      61.84     8.89    -5.95     0.02     0.18     9.05     1.93P    1.65R    0.05  
Ipswich          19   27   +8      70.62     8.83    17.88     0.18     1.93    37.60    12.15P    0.12R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   19   26   +4      68.03     8.88    11.48     0.09     0.89    26.76     7.31P    0.24R    0.00  
Bristol_City     19   26   +0      63.12     8.96    -0.19     0.03     0.23    12.57     2.81P    1.18R    0.04  
Derby            19   25   +0      60.40     8.99    -3.44     0.01     0.11     7.53     1.53P    2.71R    0.10  
Sheff_Wed        19   25  -10      56.00     8.71   -19.38     0.00     0.04     2.49     0.41P    7.53R    0.48  
Coventry         19   24   -2      57.26     8.78    -7.55     0.00     0.07     3.63     0.79P    5.21R    0.28  
Barnsley         19   24   -3      53.60     8.59   -15.79     0.00     0.01     1.50     0.31P   11.44R    0.77  
Blackpool        19   21   -9      48.99     8.42   -23.76     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.07P   26.22R    3.17  
Norwich          19   20   -6      50.92     8.68   -18.37     0.00     0.01     0.75     0.15P   19.20R    2.11  
Southampton      19   20  -10      48.51     8.39   -23.91     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P   28.08R    3.34  
Watford          19   19   -4      56.07     8.82    -6.20     0.00     0.02     2.65     0.53P    7.33R    0.67  
Charlton         19   16  -11      48.26     8.78   -20.96     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.05P   29.43R    4.20  
Doncaster        19   14  -15      32.30     6.84   -39.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.44R   66.48  
Nottm_Forest     19   13  -13      40.35     8.21   -28.09     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   65.22R   18.28  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 November 2008, Cheltenham vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        18   38  +15      91.57     8.86    38.94    22.48    51.10    92.62    63.37P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          17   37  +21      97.46     8.83    56.33    55.57    77.43    97.79    84.22P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         18   36   +6      81.63     9.41    17.41     3.95    12.81    63.84    22.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           18   34  +12      86.50     8.84    36.04     9.69    27.70    83.17    41.91P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       18   33   +9      77.98     9.38    19.71     2.02     7.01    49.76    15.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds            18   32  +10      75.81     9.25    18.69     1.33     4.87    40.72    13.32P    0.02R    0.00  
Stockport        18   31  +11      80.01     9.07    27.06     2.39     9.26    59.55    25.53P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     17   30  +12      76.98     9.48    24.06     2.13     7.08    46.28    17.04P    0.02R    0.00  
Tranmere         18   27   +3      69.11     9.26     8.44     0.16     0.90    16.48     4.39P    0.27R    0.00  
Southend         18   27   +0      63.54     9.13    -4.08     0.04     0.23     5.99     1.33P    1.22R    0.00  
Walsall          17   24   +0      65.25     9.64     1.98     0.05     0.43     9.90     2.32P    1.13R    0.01  
Hartlepool       18   24   -1      65.45     9.34     2.99     0.05     0.35     9.10     2.03P    1.08R    0.01  
Northampton      17   23   +2      66.61    10.00     8.06     0.13     0.64    13.02     3.52P    0.98R    0.01  
Huddersfield     18   23   -5      59.48     9.23    -9.29     0.01     0.06     2.67     0.46P    3.92R    0.05  
Bristol_Rovers   18   22   +4      60.02     9.26     2.04     0.01     0.09     3.46     0.78P    3.09R    0.02  
Carlisle         18   20   -8      49.50     8.88   -24.67     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P   24.51R    0.79  
Leyton_Orient    18   20   -8      50.00     8.83   -19.51     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   21.95R    0.63  
Swindon          17   19   -4      60.42     9.60    -2.14     0.01     0.04     3.71     0.73P    4.10R    0.06  
Brighton         18   19   -5      50.03     8.93   -17.56     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P   21.73R    0.67  
Colchester       17   18   -4      55.76     9.31    -9.15     0.00     0.01     1.32     0.25P    8.72R    0.16  
Yeovil           18   18  -10      46.17     8.58   -24.58     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   37.69R    1.64  
Hereford         18   12  -17      31.69     7.40   -44.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.70R   35.13  
Cheltenham       18   12  -22      35.28     8.01   -51.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.79R   22.21  
Crewe            18    9  -21      31.76     8.00   -54.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.05R   38.61  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 November 2008, Aldershot vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe              17   37  +14      94.38     8.81    39.21    54.72    84.48    98.33    88.94P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             18   33  +10      79.28     9.21    23.72     4.92    25.39    71.85    34.17P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   32  +14      83.66     8.89    36.17    10.91    44.10    85.93    55.74P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   31  +19      84.33     8.61    43.36    12.97    48.18    88.73    61.22P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             18   31  +11      78.35     9.25    25.38     4.20    22.86    68.75    33.94P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            18   31   +9      78.76     8.93    23.01     3.87    22.58    70.63    36.23P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               18   29   +3      66.01     8.94     1.63     0.18     1.97    18.61     5.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Bury                 17   28   +8      76.67     9.43    22.71     3.03    18.22    62.32    28.63P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           18   28   +0      64.34     9.10    -3.37     0.11     1.37    14.59     3.51P    0.00R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            18   27  +15      79.13     9.21    38.64     4.81    26.86    73.06    39.92P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            18   27   -5      61.79     9.00   -11.43     0.05     0.64     8.75     1.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield         18   23   +4      66.82     9.28    13.36     0.22     2.65    23.06     6.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         18   23   -1      59.21     9.15    -3.20     0.01     0.30     5.75     1.55P    0.05R    0.01  
Port_Vale            18   20  -10      48.95     8.85   -25.89     0.00     0.02     0.58     0.12P    1.39R    0.22  
Macclesfield         17   20  -11      46.95     8.75   -34.90     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.04P    2.17R    0.30  
Accrington_Stanley   17   19   -2      57.85     9.45    -2.63     0.01     0.29     5.09     1.32P    0.17R    0.03  
Notts_County         18   18   -6      55.14     9.09    -8.41     0.00     0.05     2.18     0.45P    0.30R    0.03  
Morecambe            18   18   -8      48.30     8.87   -21.54     0.00     0.01     0.40     0.09P    1.71R    0.31  
Chester              18   16  -14      44.88     8.90   -31.72     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P    4.54R    0.81  
Barnet               18   14  -18      38.24     8.26   -44.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   16.62R    4.54  
Rotherham            18   10   +2      50.78     9.34     5.96     0.00     0.02     0.87     0.27P    1.15R    0.19  
Grimsby              18   10  -20      30.55     7.68   -50.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.45R   17.99  
Bournemouth          17   -1   -8      30.36     9.04   -21.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   47.22R   21.75  
Luton                17  -11   -6      23.33     9.46   -13.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.19R   53.83  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 November 2008, Oxford_Utd vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Histon               19   40  +15      88.99     8.75    33.84    38.93    86.95    51.58P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        20   40  +11      81.65     8.57    20.50    11.02    62.31    21.25P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              20   38  +13      84.66     8.57    30.03    19.86    75.74    35.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster        20   36  +10      79.47     8.68    22.42     7.86    53.36    18.56P    0.00R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        20   34   +6      74.56     8.52    13.64     2.27    30.67     9.69P    0.00R    0.00  
Kettering            19   33   +8      77.59     8.80    19.55     5.14    44.67    16.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         20   32  +10      75.10     8.53    22.17     2.99    35.09    10.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham              18   30  +10      79.89     9.26    29.04    10.18    56.70    22.14P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth             21   30   -1      62.55     8.30    -4.43     0.04     3.12     0.60P    0.65R    0.02  
Rushden_&_D'monds    20   29   +6      71.42     8.59    16.38     0.82    19.73     6.26P    0.05R    0.00  
Altrincham           19   28   -2      62.34     8.87    -5.62     0.11     3.72     0.79P    1.04R    0.03  
Stevenage            20   28   -4      61.20     8.40    -8.74     0.03     2.36     0.40P    1.04R    0.04  
Ebbsfleet_United     20   27   +4      68.39     8.64    13.05     0.42    12.07     3.28P    0.14R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           20   25   -5      58.66     8.64    -8.21     0.02     1.17     0.27P    2.70R    0.09  
Mansfield            19   24   +1      63.53     8.91     5.09     0.15     5.20     1.29P    0.71R    0.03  
York                 20   24   -1      64.58     8.89     6.89     0.13     5.61     1.46P    0.66R    0.03  
Salisbury            19   24   -4      55.50     8.64   -12.08     0.01     0.67     0.14P    5.41R    0.26  
Barrow               19   24   -5      55.67     8.68   -15.03     0.02     0.66     0.15P    5.94R    0.30  
Eastbourne_Borough   19   21  -11      50.36     8.61   -25.11     0.00     0.11     0.01P   16.18R    1.83  
Woking               20   19   -7      45.55     8.03   -18.74     0.00     0.01     0.00P   31.68R    3.63  
Forest_Green         19   19  -10      48.55     8.44   -23.59     0.00     0.08     0.02P   21.90R    2.44  
Northwich            20   15   -9      42.82     8.15   -22.31     0.00     0.00     0.00P   45.43R    7.33  
Grays_Athletic       19   15  -12      37.19     7.85   -34.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.39R   22.40  
Lewes                20   14  -23      31.59     7.03   -54.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.06R   61.59