Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 24 November 2008 at 22:34:10 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 November 2008, Wigan vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         14   33  +28      93.90     5.54    76.94    85.74    97.94    99.86    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       14   33  +13      82.80     7.90    38.87    10.63    64.07    91.19    97.15    99.66     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   25  +15      77.57     8.01    45.00     3.51    33.13    80.10    92.45    98.42     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     14   24   +6      65.25     8.46    19.43     0.10     3.01    15.32    48.47    79.10     0.05R    0.00  
Arsenal         14   23   +7      59.06     8.31    11.49     0.02     0.82     4.79    19.49    53.88     0.27R    0.02  
Hull            14   22   -2      54.22     8.47    -4.54     0.00     0.22     1.62     7.84    29.84     1.57R    0.13  
Everton         14   19   -3      46.09     8.21   -15.58     0.00     0.01     0.15     1.31     7.60    10.55R    1.54  
Portsmouth      14   19   -5      50.47     8.64    -7.48     0.00     0.05     0.57     3.67    17.49     4.48R    0.58  
Fulham          13   18   +1      48.24     8.70    -3.86     0.00     0.05     0.45     2.79    12.73     6.55R    0.88  
Middlesbrough   14   18   -6      43.72     8.21   -18.66     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.70     4.56    16.70R    2.68  
Man_City        14   17   +7      59.01     8.15    23.13     0.00     0.63     4.95    20.10    56.26     0.34R    0.04  
Bolton          14   17   -2      45.47     8.23    -8.45     0.00     0.01     0.12     1.07     6.65    10.90R    1.41  
West_Ham        14   17   -5      41.53     7.97   -20.56     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.30     2.46    23.79R    4.23  
Stoke           14   17  -10      43.22     8.30   -21.83     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.52     3.97    19.70R    3.52  
Wigan           14   16   -2      47.64     8.52    -4.43     0.00     0.01     0.30     1.81    10.94     7.86R    1.24  
Tottenham       14   15   -3      47.16     8.62    -4.78     0.00     0.04     0.29     1.64    10.03     9.12R    1.60  
Sunderland      14   15   -8      39.87     8.13   -20.57     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.19     1.69    31.10R    7.69  
Newcastle       14   14   -5      42.92     8.51   -12.23     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.49     4.29    19.08R    3.57  
Blackburn       14   13  -11      34.81     7.77   -31.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.36    56.88R   19.18  
West_Brom       14   11  -15      29.29     7.37   -39.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    81.05R   51.69  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 November 2008, Barnsley vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    18   43  +17      96.35     8.72    43.58    55.68    81.36    99.12    85.30P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       18   37  +10      82.71     9.49    20.94     8.28    23.64    80.40    37.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Reading          18   33  +21      91.38     8.49    55.97    29.53    67.01    97.25    77.64P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        18   31  +12      80.27     9.06    28.16     4.51    15.55    75.80    35.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          19   30   +1      69.98     8.93     5.56     0.25     1.51    31.26     7.30P    0.16R    0.00  
Cardiff          18   28   +5      68.50     9.27     8.09     0.27     1.50    27.59     7.73P    0.30R    0.01  
Plymouth         18   28   +2      70.18     9.28     7.61     0.32     2.10    32.75     8.66P    0.23R    0.00  
Ipswich          18   27   +9      72.09     9.05    19.14     0.55     3.17    42.70    14.19P    0.09R    0.00  
Swansea          18   27   +3      69.61     9.16     9.59     0.26     1.63    31.12     7.99P    0.25R    0.00  
Preston          18   27   +1      66.20     9.09     1.52     0.11     0.71    18.89     4.24P    0.60R    0.03  
Bristol_City     18   25   +0      64.92     9.34     2.00     0.09     0.57    16.58     3.78P    1.10R    0.04  
QPR              18   25   -3      60.22     9.21    -6.71     0.03     0.19     6.81     1.57P    3.48R    0.17  
Derby            18   24   +0      61.83     9.43    -1.35     0.04     0.31    10.31     2.38P    2.48R    0.10  
Barnsley         19   24   -3      53.87     8.64   -15.33     0.00     0.02     1.49     0.28P   11.64R    0.75  
Crystal_Palace   18   23   +3      65.08     9.20     8.58     0.08     0.59    17.02     4.52P    0.95R    0.04  
Coventry         18   23   -2      57.45     9.07    -7.67     0.00     0.08     4.00     0.88P    6.11R    0.45  
Sheff_Wed        18   22  -12      51.54     8.83   -25.81     0.00     0.01     0.80     0.12P   20.30R    1.87  
Blackpool        18   21   -7      53.51     9.04   -16.75     0.00     0.02     1.51     0.26P   14.53R    1.32  
Norwich          18   20   -5      53.36     9.09   -15.19     0.00     0.01     1.51     0.30P   14.70R    1.40  
Southampton      18   19  -10      49.19     8.74   -23.83     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.05P   27.86R    3.55  
Watford          18   18   -4      55.19     9.05    -8.44     0.00     0.02     2.21     0.45P    9.99R    1.00  
Charlton         18   16  -10      48.88     9.02   -20.94     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.06P   28.99R    4.14  
Doncaster        18   13  -15      32.70     7.38   -40.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.88R   65.28  
Nottm_Forest     18   12  -13      40.77     8.55   -28.38     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   64.34R   19.86  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 November 2008, Brighton vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        17   35  +14      92.09     9.08    42.46    26.94    53.20    92.39    65.02P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          16   34  +18      95.33     9.27    52.25    45.10    67.87    95.54    76.30P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       17   33  +11      81.07     9.83    25.00     5.07    13.58    60.73    23.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall         17   33   +5      81.25     9.70    18.69     4.08    12.27    60.70    22.10P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds            17   32  +11      78.71     9.63    22.33     3.06     9.09    51.42    19.02P    0.02R    0.00  
Oldham           17   31  +11      85.57     9.35    36.12     9.84    24.88    78.17    39.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough     16   29  +12      78.44    10.03    25.97     3.56     9.92    50.83    21.18P    0.03R    0.00  
Stockport        17   28   +9      77.64     9.50    24.07     1.84     6.54    47.51    19.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend         17   26   +0      64.75     9.53    -2.86     0.10     0.34     7.81     1.63P    1.20R    0.00  
Walsall          16   24   +1      65.52    10.08     1.14     0.14     0.65    10.53     2.62P    1.16R    0.01  
Tranmere         17   24   +1      65.25     9.70     2.83     0.06     0.38     9.29     2.22P    1.10R    0.01  
Hartlepool       17   23   -1      66.47     9.80     4.38     0.09     0.54    11.40     2.53P    0.99R    0.01  
Huddersfield     17   23   -4      62.84     9.62    -4.87     0.02     0.16     5.58     1.02P    2.28R    0.02  
Bristol_Rovers   17   21   +4      60.18     9.60     1.65     0.01     0.10     3.63     0.90P    3.23R    0.03  
Northampton      16   20   +1      64.06    10.28     5.60     0.07     0.36     8.71     2.26P    2.00R    0.01  
Carlisle         17   20   -7      49.84     9.06   -26.16     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P   22.95R    0.76  
Brighton         17   19   -3      52.41     9.25   -13.43     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.11P   14.63R    0.42  
Swindon          16   18   -4      60.32     9.96    -2.94     0.02     0.11     3.86     0.81P    4.58R    0.09  
Yeovil           17   18   -9      47.33     9.07   -24.31     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   32.61R    1.55  
Leyton_Orient    17   17   -9      46.26     8.94   -23.90     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   36.73R    1.89  
Colchester       16   15   -5      54.31     9.76   -10.07     0.00     0.02     1.00     0.19P   12.54R    0.41  
Hereford         17   12  -14      32.89     7.82   -42.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.28R   28.45  
Cheltenham       17   11  -22      35.75     8.48   -52.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.77R   21.17  
Crewe            17    9  -20      30.72     8.12   -59.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.85R   45.16  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 November 2008, Barnet vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe              16   34  +12      91.24     9.30    35.22    37.18    72.86    95.98    80.13P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           17   32  +15      89.07     9.00    44.95    28.54    67.00    94.27    74.62P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             17   30  +11      78.51     9.55    25.28     4.86    22.87    68.67    33.59P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             17   30   +9      78.13     9.58    23.69     4.37    21.90    66.70    30.84P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           17   28  +18      83.08     9.10    43.21    11.33    41.67    84.53    55.78P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 17   28   +8      76.11     9.60    22.04     3.05    16.20    59.41    26.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford            17   28   +8      76.51     9.45    21.39     2.74    16.30    60.78    28.61P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               17   28   +3      67.03     9.29     2.73     0.26     2.71    22.31     6.43P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            17   27  +16      80.45     9.48    39.67     6.97    31.40    76.64    44.17P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           17   27   +0      64.11     9.54    -4.31     0.14     1.66    14.97     3.83P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot            17   24   -7      58.45     9.21   -16.26     0.02     0.27     4.84     0.91P    0.09R    0.01  
Chesterfield         17   23   +5      67.82     9.66    13.81     0.45     3.70    27.02     8.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         17   23   +1      62.49     9.64     1.60     0.06     0.95    11.69     3.34P    0.03R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   17   19   -2      57.75     9.47    -2.55     0.02     0.22     4.93     1.26P    0.18R    0.03  
Port_Vale            17   19  -10      50.85     9.27   -23.88     0.00     0.03     0.99     0.18P    1.23R    0.19  
Notts_County         17   18   -4      57.34     9.41    -4.61     0.02     0.21     4.24     0.97P    0.19R    0.03  
Morecambe            17   17   -8      48.22     9.23   -22.96     0.00     0.01     0.50     0.09P    2.38R    0.49  
Macclesfield         16   17  -12      46.88     9.33   -33.35     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.06P    3.52R    0.68  
Chester              17   13  -15      38.85     8.71   -41.47     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    15.81R    4.59  
Barnet               17   13  -18      38.01     8.62   -46.77     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   19.06R    6.01  
Grimsby              17   10  -19      31.53     8.11   -51.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.71R   18.60  
Rotherham            17    9   +2      50.53     9.67     5.11     0.00     0.02     1.02     0.30P    1.42R    0.27  
Bournemouth          16   -2   -8      32.24     9.63   -19.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   40.81R   20.11  
Luton                16  -11   -5      25.07     9.69   -12.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.55R   49.00  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 November 2008, Ebbsfleet_United vs Kettering; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Histon               19   40  +15      89.11     8.74    33.99    37.86    86.65    50.86P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        20   40  +11      81.60     8.66    20.41    10.42    61.10    20.75P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              20   38  +13      84.74     8.63    30.11    18.94    75.10    33.96P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        19   36  +11      82.06     9.02    25.49    12.98    63.64    25.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        20   34   +6      74.64     8.47    13.74     2.22    30.00     9.31P    0.01R    0.00  
Kettering            19   33   +8      77.76     8.84    19.73     5.08    44.51    16.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         20   32  +10      74.98     8.58    21.95     2.55    33.35    10.14P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham              18   30  +10      79.30     9.29    28.08     8.49    53.28    20.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Weymouth             21   30   -1      62.64     8.32    -4.26     0.06     2.95     0.58P    0.59R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D'monds    20   29   +6      71.39     8.45    16.35     0.71    18.97     5.76P    0.04R    0.00  
Altrincham           19   28   -2      62.52     8.89    -5.28     0.07     3.79     0.81P    0.97R    0.04  
Stevenage            20   28   -4      61.15     8.46    -8.86     0.03     2.27     0.41P    1.00R    0.05  
Ebbsfleet_United     20   27   +4      68.44     8.58    13.13     0.35    11.60     3.18P    0.11R    0.00  
Mansfield            19   24   +1      63.48     9.01     5.02     0.11     4.95     1.22P    0.82R    0.03  
York                 20   24   -1      64.63     8.90     7.00     0.10     5.55     1.38P    0.59R    0.03  
Salisbury            19   24   -4      55.54     8.66   -12.03     0.01     0.61     0.12P    5.27R    0.28  
Barrow               19   24   -5      55.66     8.60   -14.93     0.01     0.62     0.11P    5.46R    0.34  
Oxford_Utd           19   22   -6      56.05     9.01   -11.04     0.00     0.83     0.19P    5.34R    0.34  
Eastbourne_Borough   19   21  -11      50.38     8.60   -24.96     0.00     0.14     0.02P   15.75R    1.79  
Woking               20   19   -7      45.69     8.02   -18.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.04R    3.57  
Forest_Green         19   19  -10      48.45     8.42   -23.82     0.00     0.08     0.02P   21.46R    2.56  
Northwich            20   15   -9      42.57     8.13   -22.78     0.00     0.01     0.00P   46.09R    7.99  
Grays_Athletic       19   15  -12      37.03     7.80   -34.57     0.00     0.00     0.00P   74.68R   22.53  
Lewes                20   14  -23      31.76     7.08   -53.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.75R   60.43