Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 23 November 2008 at 22:34:23 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 November 2008, Sunderland vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         14   33  +28      94.19     5.43    77.57    85.61    98.04    99.89    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       14   33  +13      83.31     7.66    39.70    10.95    66.39    92.59    97.84    99.69     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   25  +15      77.53     8.06    45.08     3.32    31.22    79.49    92.29    98.43     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     14   24   +6      65.20     8.53    19.34     0.08     2.76    14.91    48.26    78.68     0.04R    0.00  
Arsenal         14   23   +7      59.12     8.37    11.60     0.03     0.68     4.62    19.46    54.11     0.35R    0.01  
Hull            14   22   -2      54.07     8.44    -4.91     0.00     0.22     1.41     7.69    28.93     1.54R    0.07  
Everton         13   19   -2      47.96     8.75   -14.20     0.00     0.02     0.33     2.46    11.90     8.24R    0.99  
Portsmouth      14   19   -5      50.09     8.66    -7.94     0.00     0.03     0.58     3.45    16.61     4.77R    0.69  
Fulham          13   18   +1      48.63     8.75    -3.38     0.00     0.04     0.47     2.82    13.75     6.15R    0.75  
Middlesbrough   14   18   -6      43.64     8.23   -18.67     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.63     4.42    16.52R    2.77  
Man_City        14   17   +7      58.88     8.25    22.92     0.00     0.57     4.86    19.44    55.62     0.36R    0.02  
Bolton          14   17   -2      45.31     8.21    -8.63     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.92     6.33    11.16R    1.48  
West_Ham        14   17   -5      41.48     7.85   -20.62     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.27     2.29    23.20R    4.28  
Stoke           14   17  -10      42.82     8.40   -22.45     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.53     3.94    21.12R    3.80  
Tottenham       14   15   -3      46.98     8.60    -5.18     0.00     0.02     0.25     1.52     9.68     9.00R    1.54  
Sunderland      14   15   -8      39.95     8.07   -20.42     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17     1.74    30.20R    6.97  
Newcastle       14   14   -5      42.76     8.34   -12.40     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.46     3.68    18.92R    3.43  
Wigan           13   13   -3      46.09     9.16    -5.76     0.00     0.01     0.30     1.78     9.71    12.32R    2.60  
Blackburn       14   13  -11      34.97     7.86   -31.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.43    55.20R   19.14  
West_Brom       14   11  -15      29.29     7.32   -39.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    80.93R   51.46  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 November 2008, Burnley vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    18   43  +17      96.37     8.73    43.59    54.42    81.01    99.04    84.90P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       18   37  +10      82.56     9.46    20.75     7.87    22.47    79.51    35.96P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          18   33  +21      91.90     8.34    56.75    31.47    68.88    97.66    79.14P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        18   31  +12      79.88     9.17    27.62     4.08    14.59    73.47    33.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Burnley          18   30   +2      72.52     9.18     8.41     0.56     2.78    40.98    10.55P    0.08R    0.00  
Cardiff          18   28   +5      68.27     9.23     7.76     0.27     1.48    25.70     7.30P    0.26R    0.01  
Plymouth         18   28   +2      69.94     9.14     7.20     0.29     1.76    30.93     7.90P    0.17R    0.01  
Ipswich          18   27   +9      72.26     8.98    19.45     0.50     3.10    42.04    14.15P    0.05R    0.00  
Swansea          18   27   +3      69.71     9.32     9.71     0.25     1.66    31.23     8.20P    0.27R    0.01  
Preston          18   27   +1      66.37     9.04     1.71     0.10     0.65    18.88     3.96P    0.53R    0.03  
Bristol_City     18   25   +0      64.78     9.41     1.81     0.07     0.54    15.81     3.51P    1.09R    0.04  
QPR              18   25   -3      60.28     9.24    -6.66     0.02     0.18     6.83     1.56P    3.23R    0.16  
Derby            18   24   +0      61.38     9.47    -2.11     0.03     0.22     9.39     2.06P    2.62R    0.12  
Crystal_Palace   18   23   +3      65.24     9.36     8.81     0.06     0.55    17.23     4.67P    0.98R    0.05  
Coventry         18   23   -2      57.26     9.11    -7.95     0.00     0.05     3.66     0.77P    6.13R    0.39  
Sheff_Wed        18   22  -12      51.77     8.79   -25.47     0.00     0.01     0.72     0.10P   18.36R    1.82  
Barnsley         18   21   -4      50.91     8.90   -17.78     0.00     0.01     0.87     0.16P   19.93R    2.03  
Blackpool        18   21   -7      53.20     9.10   -17.35     0.00     0.01     1.44     0.28P   14.69R    1.46  
Norwich          18   20   -5      53.41     9.14   -15.18     0.00     0.02     1.55     0.29P   13.77R    1.39  
Southampton      18   19  -10      48.84     8.92   -24.41     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.07P   28.82R    3.99  
Watford          18   18   -4      55.32     9.06    -8.18     0.00     0.02     2.15     0.42P    9.39R    1.01  
Charlton         18   16  -10      49.28     9.06   -20.38     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.08P   26.75R    3.63  
Doncaster        18   13  -15      32.71     7.35   -40.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.67R   65.49  
Nottm_Forest     18   12  -13      41.20     8.54   -27.74     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   61.19R   18.36  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 November 2008, Brighton vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        17   35  +14      92.34     9.08    42.81    28.01    53.91    92.73    65.80P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          16   34  +18      95.54     9.32    52.70    45.44    68.39    95.81    76.94P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       17   33  +11      80.80     9.82    24.45     4.66    12.71    59.58    22.35P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall         17   33   +5      81.47     9.78    19.12     4.53    12.87    61.42    22.87P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds            17   32  +11      78.37     9.64    21.82     2.75     8.43    49.87    18.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Oldham           17   31  +11      85.68     9.30    36.33     9.15    24.87    78.69    39.41P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     16   29  +12      78.33     9.97    25.77     3.15     9.55    50.89    20.63P    0.02R    0.00  
Stockport        17   28   +9      77.79     9.44    24.25     1.78     6.58    48.03    19.32P    0.02R    0.00  
Southend         17   26   +0      64.49     9.56    -3.29     0.08     0.36     7.71     1.59P    1.26R    0.01  
Walsall          16   24   +1      65.53    10.14     1.14     0.13     0.64    10.79     2.72P    1.25R    0.01  
Tranmere         17   24   +1      65.14     9.57     2.63     0.07     0.33     8.78     1.98P    1.10R    0.01  
Hartlepool       17   23   -1      66.18     9.78     3.77     0.09     0.54    10.89     2.51P    1.06R    0.01  
Huddersfield     17   23   -4      62.88     9.68    -4.87     0.03     0.16     5.80     1.12P    2.30R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   17   21   +4      60.29     9.64     1.73     0.04     0.16     3.90     1.03P    3.25R    0.02  
Northampton      16   20   +1      64.27    10.26     5.87     0.07     0.37     9.19     2.44P    1.98R    0.02  
Carlisle         17   20   -7      49.96     9.10   -25.83     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.03P   22.60R    0.71  
Brighton         17   19   -3      52.34     9.29   -13.63     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.07P   14.95R    0.35  
Swindon          16   18   -4      60.51     9.99    -2.56     0.01     0.11     4.03     0.89P    4.42R    0.07  
Yeovil           17   18   -9      47.20     9.01   -24.62     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   33.03R    1.48  
Leyton_Orient    17   17   -9      46.07     9.06   -24.24     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   37.40R    2.04  
Colchester       16   15   -5      54.35     9.80    -9.96     0.00     0.01     0.99     0.19P   12.59R    0.45  
Hereford         17   12  -14      32.94     7.87   -41.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.23R   28.66  
Cheltenham       17   11  -22      35.77     8.57   -52.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   80.89R   21.75  
Crewe            17    9  -20      30.87     8.12   -58.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.60R   44.40  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 November 2008, Barnet vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe              16   34  +12      91.59     9.29    35.67    38.77    74.14    96.24    81.18P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           17   32  +15      89.05     8.95    44.89    27.87    66.42    94.53    74.44P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             17   30  +11      78.72     9.56    25.52     5.07    23.43    69.22    33.73P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             17   30   +9      78.39     9.67    24.15     4.47    22.92    67.46    31.99P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           17   28  +18      82.84     9.07    42.82    10.43    40.19    84.06    54.50P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 17   28   +8      75.99     9.47    21.85     2.72    15.44    58.74    25.50P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            17   28   +8      76.64     9.44    21.56     2.62    16.39    61.46    29.02P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               17   28   +3      67.01     9.25     2.74     0.28     2.54    21.90     6.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            17   27  +16      80.54     9.48    39.92     7.11    31.46    76.80    44.02P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           17   27   +0      64.06     9.50    -4.33     0.16     1.54    14.61     3.70P    0.02R    0.00  
Aldershot            17   24   -7      58.44     9.32   -16.35     0.02     0.31     5.08     0.97P    0.12R    0.01  
Chesterfield         17   23   +5      67.82     9.76    13.77     0.39     3.81    26.91     8.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         17   23   +1      62.30     9.53     1.37     0.05     0.89    10.98     3.12P    0.04R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   17   19   -2      57.74     9.32    -2.60     0.01     0.24     4.69     1.18P    0.15R    0.02  
Port_Vale            17   19  -10      50.66     9.27   -24.24     0.00     0.04     1.10     0.19P    1.43R    0.22  
Notts_County         17   18   -4      57.42     9.51    -4.46     0.01     0.21     4.42     1.00P    0.25R    0.02  
Morecambe            17   17   -8      48.10     9.19   -23.13     0.00     0.02     0.46     0.09P    2.50R    0.55  
Macclesfield         16   17  -12      46.48     9.24   -34.28     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.04P    3.82R    0.80  
Chester              17   13  -15      38.67     8.79   -41.67     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   16.86R    5.03  
Barnet               17   13  -18      38.16     8.63   -46.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   18.68R    6.05  
Grimsby              17   10  -19      32.14     8.31   -49.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.23R   17.22  
Rotherham            17    9   +2      50.29     9.66     4.77     0.00     0.00     0.96     0.26P    1.52R    0.34  
Bournemouth          16   -2   -8      31.99     9.76   -19.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   42.71R   21.39  
Luton                16  -11   -5      25.32     9.85   -11.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.66R   48.34  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 November 2008, Ebbsfleet_United vs Kettering; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Histon               19   40  +15      88.93     8.79    33.59    37.36    86.23    50.13P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        20   40  +11      81.64     8.65    20.47    10.68    61.20    21.24P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              20   38  +13      84.56     8.55    29.77    18.32    74.61    33.31P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        19   36  +11      81.75     9.12    25.08    12.63    62.48    24.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        20   34   +6      74.67     8.46    13.80     2.22    30.23     9.53P    0.00R    0.00  
Kettering            19   33   +8      77.62     8.90    19.57     5.04    44.09    15.89P    0.02R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         20   32  +10      75.01     8.68    22.02     2.72    34.02    10.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham              18   30  +10      79.75     9.28    28.85     9.44    55.11    21.27P    0.00R    0.00  
Weymouth             21   30   -1      62.88     8.29    -3.86     0.05     3.08     0.60P    0.52R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D'monds    20   29   +6      71.55     8.54    16.54     0.89    19.40     6.11P    0.04R    0.00  
Altrincham           19   28   -2      62.44     8.88    -5.41     0.07     3.68     0.81P    0.93R    0.02  
Stevenage            20   28   -4      61.14     8.49    -8.92     0.02     2.25     0.36P    1.17R    0.05  
Ebbsfleet_United     20   27   +4      68.16     8.73    12.72     0.32    11.41     3.10P    0.11R    0.00  
Mansfield            19   24   +1      63.38     8.95     4.88     0.12     4.85     1.20P    0.83R    0.03  
York                 20   24   -1      64.35     8.83     6.59     0.09     5.15     1.29P    0.66R    0.02  
Salisbury            19   24   -4      55.70     8.61   -11.85     0.01     0.68     0.16P    5.02R    0.30  
Barrow               19   24   -5      55.67     8.56   -14.90     0.01     0.58     0.10P    5.54R    0.33  
Oxford_Utd           19   22   -6      55.94     8.90   -11.18     0.00     0.71     0.14P    5.47R    0.32  
Eastbourne_Borough   19   21  -11      50.28     8.69   -25.20     0.00     0.15     0.03P   16.45R    1.88  
Woking               20   19   -7      46.06     7.99   -18.10     0.00     0.02     0.00    28.65R    3.50  
Forest_Green         19   19  -10      48.59     8.38   -23.56     0.00     0.07     0.02P   21.31R    2.55  
Northwich            20   15   -9      42.51     8.26   -22.84     0.00     0.01     0.00P   47.56R    8.11  
Grays_Athletic       19   15  -12      37.33     7.85   -34.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.50R   21.69  
Lewes                20   14  -23      31.68     6.93   -53.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.22R   61.19