Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 22 November 2008 at 22:34:23 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 November 2008, Aston_Villa vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         14   33  +28      93.95     5.44    77.25    85.18    98.01    99.89    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       14   33  +13      83.11     7.82    39.58    11.46    65.98    91.92    97.41    99.66     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   25  +15      77.27     8.15    44.60     3.25    31.27    78.72    91.61    98.09     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     14   24   +6      65.37     8.53    19.77     0.07     2.99    15.82    48.85    79.41     0.05R    0.00  
Arsenal         14   23   +7      59.30     8.28    12.03     0.03     0.82     4.88    19.83    55.02     0.25R    0.01  
Hull            14   22   -2      53.81     8.52    -5.12     0.00     0.21     1.60     7.55    28.03     1.62R    0.13  
Everton         13   19   -2      47.94     8.82   -14.12     0.00     0.03     0.38     2.60    12.31     7.88R    1.02  
Portsmouth      14   19   -5      49.94     8.58    -8.11     0.00     0.04     0.53     3.33    15.56     4.69R    0.65  
Fulham          13   18   +1      48.75     8.73    -3.01     0.00     0.04     0.58     3.05    13.77     5.73R    0.68  
Middlesbrough   14   18   -6      43.69     8.26   -18.44     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.70     4.56    16.41R    2.54  
Man_City        14   17   +7      58.53     8.29    22.30     0.01     0.54     4.66    18.88    53.62     0.41R    0.03  
Bolton          14   17   -2      45.15     8.21    -8.85     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.95     6.08    11.42R    1.45  
Stoke           14   17  -10      43.40     8.54   -21.48     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.59     4.48    19.08R    3.79  
Sunderland      13   15   -7      42.99     8.85   -17.03     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.70     4.77    20.73R    4.50  
Newcastle       14   14   -5      42.67     8.49   -12.46     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.43     3.77    19.58R    3.76  
West_Ham        13   14   -6      38.26     8.22   -25.05     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17     1.38    38.52R   10.03  
Wigan           13   13   -3      45.92     9.01    -5.74     0.00     0.02     0.28     1.54     8.49    12.15R    2.57  
Blackburn       13   13  -10      36.34     8.33   -31.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.95    48.74R   15.12  
Tottenham       13   12   -4      46.47     9.17    -4.38     0.00     0.03     0.31     1.73     9.98    11.87R    2.49  
West_Brom       14   11  -15      29.18     7.40   -40.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    80.86R   51.22  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 November 2008, Burnley vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    18   43  +17      96.47     8.68    43.75    54.97    81.10    99.06    84.85P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       18   37  +10      82.63     9.44    20.77     8.03    22.76    79.61    36.20P    0.00R    0.00  
Reading          18   33  +21      91.68     8.41    56.47    30.54    67.35    97.43    77.81P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        18   31  +12      80.29     9.06    28.16     4.31    15.05    74.57    34.70P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          18   30   +2      72.70     9.26     8.70     0.57     3.10    41.46    10.98P    0.06R    0.00  
Cardiff          18   28   +5      68.40     9.21     7.95     0.23     1.41    26.04     7.16P    0.31R    0.01  
Plymouth         18   28   +2      70.27     9.14     7.70     0.31     1.94    31.49     8.19P    0.19R    0.00  
Ipswich          18   27   +9      72.20     9.07    19.42     0.50     3.16    41.42    14.15P    0.07R    0.00  
Swansea          18   27   +3      69.97     9.31    10.15     0.25     1.80    31.66     8.18P    0.24R    0.01  
Preston          18   27   +1      66.57     9.10     2.03     0.09     0.79    19.37     4.27P    0.45R    0.01  
Bristol_City     18   25   +0      64.54     9.48     1.41     0.07     0.46    15.43     3.54P    1.23R    0.05  
QPR              18   25   -3      59.87     9.30    -7.12     0.02     0.17     6.30     1.40P    3.55R    0.15  
Derby            18   24   +0      61.28     9.41    -2.27     0.03     0.24     8.72     2.07P    2.63R    0.11  
Crystal_Palace   18   23   +3      65.16     9.30     8.72     0.07     0.53    16.60     4.41P    0.88R    0.04  
Coventry         18   23   -2      57.47     9.01    -7.73     0.01     0.07     3.57     0.81P    5.60R    0.32  
Sheff_Wed        18   22  -12      51.84     8.90   -25.35     0.00     0.01     0.85     0.12P   18.61R    1.73  
Barnsley         18   21   -4      50.43     8.92   -18.67     0.00     0.01     0.74     0.15P   21.50R    2.08  
Blackpool        18   21   -7      53.05     9.01   -17.58     0.00     0.00     1.20     0.19P   14.75R    1.47  
Norwich          18   20   -5      53.04     9.06   -15.91     0.00     0.01     1.27     0.23P   14.68R    1.50  
Southampton      18   19  -10      48.94     8.78   -24.24     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.05P   27.53R    3.74  
Watford          18   18   -4      55.61     9.06    -7.72     0.00     0.03     2.26     0.45P    8.66R    0.86  
Charlton         18   16  -10      49.35     9.00   -20.08     0.00     0.01     0.48     0.08P   25.99R    3.53  
Doncaster        18   13  -15      32.40     7.28   -40.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.09R   66.82  
Nottm_Forest     18   12  -13      41.23     8.55   -27.68     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   60.99R   17.56  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 November 2008, Brighton vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        17   35  +14      92.47     9.18    43.14    28.92    55.26    92.59    66.56P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          16   34  +18      95.13     9.36    51.91    43.75    66.89    95.30    75.46P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       17   33  +11      81.11     9.72    25.01     4.90    13.08    60.94    23.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Millwall         17   33   +5      81.31     9.65    18.84     4.23    12.44    61.00    22.41P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds            17   32  +11      78.32     9.63    21.74     2.92     8.40    49.46    17.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Oldham           17   31  +11      85.67     9.30    36.40     9.57    25.01    78.65    39.73P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     16   29  +12      78.17    10.00    25.47     3.39     9.54    50.05    20.26P    0.02R    0.00  
Stockport        17   28   +9      77.76     9.44    24.22     1.74     6.46    48.16    19.57P    0.03R    0.00  
Southend         17   26   +0      64.86     9.62    -2.65     0.12     0.45     8.08     1.79P    1.16R    0.01  
Walsall          16   24   +1      65.55    10.14     1.13     0.11     0.65    10.87     2.55P    1.22R    0.01  
Tranmere         17   24   +1      65.19     9.82     2.78     0.07     0.41     9.37     2.38P    1.09R    0.00  
Hartlepool       17   23   -1      66.69     9.85     4.69     0.13     0.58    11.89     2.79P    0.93R    0.01  
Huddersfield     17   23   -4      62.86     9.63    -4.89     0.03     0.20     5.57     1.14P    2.10R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   17   21   +4      60.37     9.69     1.95     0.04     0.14     4.04     1.01P    3.11R    0.03  
Northampton      16   20   +1      63.47    10.26     4.57     0.08     0.35     7.76     2.00P    2.42R    0.02  
Carlisle         17   20   -7      49.85     9.23   -26.19     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P   23.33R    0.85  
Brighton         17   19   -3      52.07     9.40   -14.00     0.00     0.01     0.49     0.12P   15.74R    0.42  
Swindon          16   18   -4      60.45    10.12    -2.60     0.01     0.12     4.25     0.95P    4.64R    0.09  
Yeovil           17   18   -9      47.09     9.04   -24.72     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   33.17R    1.70  
Leyton_Orient    17   17   -9      46.48     9.08   -23.65     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   35.38R    2.14  
Colchester       16   15   -5      54.40     9.88    -9.89     0.00     0.01     1.06     0.19P   12.42R    0.46  
Hereford         17   12  -14      32.96     7.88   -41.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.23R   28.58  
Cheltenham       17   11  -22      35.80     8.48   -52.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.22R   21.82  
Crewe            17    9  -20      30.93     8.06   -58.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.77R   43.84  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 November 2008, Barnet vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe              16   34  +12      91.65     9.28    35.82    38.74    74.86    96.28    81.56P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           17   32  +15      89.12     8.98    45.19    28.18    66.79    94.56    74.65P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             17   30  +11      78.56     9.59    25.35     4.88    23.23    68.70    33.89P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             17   30   +9      78.30     9.57    23.97     4.31    22.43    67.60    31.67P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           17   28  +18      82.85     9.23    42.74    10.93    40.81    83.60    55.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 17   28   +8      75.92     9.51    21.71     2.61    15.52    58.84    25.39P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            17   28   +8      76.50     9.44    21.32     2.54    16.22    61.28    28.70P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               17   28   +3      66.82     9.31     2.45     0.23     2.45    21.45     6.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            17   27  +16      80.12     9.63    39.18     6.86    30.25    75.33    42.59P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           17   27   +0      64.23     9.57    -4.05     0.19     1.68    15.43     3.87P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot            17   24   -7      58.36     9.18   -16.47     0.00     0.30     4.88     0.98P    0.11R    0.01  
Chesterfield         17   23   +5      67.83     9.77    13.81     0.42     3.94    27.30     8.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         17   23   +1      62.85     9.59     2.10     0.08     1.04    12.46     3.65P    0.02R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   17   19   -2      58.13     9.37    -2.01     0.01     0.24     5.10     1.31P    0.15R    0.02  
Port_Vale            17   19  -10      50.99     9.36   -23.57     0.00     0.02     1.16     0.19P    1.23R    0.21  
Notts_County         17   18   -4      57.20     9.36    -4.79     0.01     0.16     4.15     0.94P    0.21R    0.04  
Morecambe            17   17   -8      47.57     9.21   -24.06     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.06P    2.85R    0.59  
Macclesfield         16   17  -12      47.01     9.29   -33.21     0.00     0.02     0.48     0.08P    3.49R    0.58  
Chester              17   13  -15      38.74     8.78   -41.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   16.55R    4.97  
Barnet               17   13  -18      37.85     8.61   -46.91     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   19.60R    6.34  
Grimsby              17   10  -19      31.77     8.15   -50.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   44.79R   18.44  
Rotherham            17    9   +2      50.19     9.70     4.60     0.00     0.02     0.99     0.31P    1.69R    0.35  
Bournemouth          16   -2   -8      32.32     9.81   -19.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   41.02R   20.78  
Luton                16  -11   -5      25.47     9.70   -11.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.29R   47.68  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 November 2008, Altrincham vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Histon               19   40  +15      88.85     8.87    33.49    36.63    85.39    49.39P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        20   40  +11      81.34     8.58    19.92     9.54    59.40    19.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Torquay              20   38  +13      84.66     8.69    30.01    18.76    74.01    33.63P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        19   36  +11      82.14     9.09    25.63    13.25    63.36    25.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        20   34   +6      74.55     8.43    13.58     2.01    28.94     8.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Kettering            18   32   +8      77.23     9.22    18.53     5.20    42.16    14.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         19   31  +10      75.60     8.82    22.30     3.31    35.55    11.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham              18   30  +10      79.82     9.21    28.92     9.35    54.99    21.36P    0.00R    0.00  
Weymouth             21   30   -1      62.85     8.37    -3.95     0.06     3.09     0.65P    0.53R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D'monds    20   29   +6      71.73     8.56    16.78     0.86    19.58     6.24P    0.04R    0.00  
Altrincham           19   28   -2      62.42     8.84    -5.36     0.07     3.53     0.81P    1.01R    0.02  
Stevenage            20   28   -4      61.18     8.50    -8.74     0.05     2.28     0.41P    1.02R    0.04  
Ebbsfleet_United     19   26   +4      69.14     9.08    13.73     0.60    14.44     4.17P    0.15R    0.01  
Mansfield            19   24   +1      63.36     9.06     4.79     0.10     4.86     1.12P    0.74R    0.02  
Salisbury            19   24   -4      55.50     8.67   -12.16     0.00     0.56     0.10P    5.29R    0.33  
Barrow               19   24   -5      55.73     8.62   -14.87     0.01     0.55     0.13P    5.47R    0.34  
York                 19   23   -1      64.99     9.20     6.92     0.19     6.52     1.78P    0.63R    0.03  
Oxford_Utd           19   22   -6      55.87     8.85   -11.33     0.00     0.63     0.10P    5.41R    0.29  
Eastbourne_Borough   19   21  -11      50.43     8.55   -24.82     0.00     0.10     0.01P   15.46R    1.77  
Woking               20   19   -7      45.45     8.03   -18.92     0.00     0.01     0.00P   31.59R    3.91  
Forest_Green         19   19  -10      48.82     8.52   -23.16     0.00     0.05     0.00P   20.48R    2.41  
Northwich            20   15   -9      42.56     8.28   -22.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.51R    8.51  
Grays_Athletic       19   15  -12      37.04     7.85   -34.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.35R   22.74  
Lewes                20   14  -23      31.87     7.08   -53.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.29R   59.57