Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 21 November 2008 at 22:37:57 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 November 2008, Everton vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         13   32  +28      97.36     5.27    86.89    88.63    98.92    99.96    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       13   32  +13      85.37     7.97    43.28     9.37    69.17    93.58    98.16    99.78     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         12   24  +15      78.04     8.60    46.02     1.94    27.54    76.79    90.66    97.92     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         13   23  +10      61.91     8.82    16.70     0.02     1.17     7.45    29.71    65.97     0.12R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     13   23   +6      65.58     8.99    19.57     0.05     2.76    16.23    46.57    78.45     0.06R    0.00  
Hull            13   21   -2      53.54     8.83    -6.51     0.00     0.12     1.31     7.23    27.98     1.86R    0.17  
Everton         13   19   -2      48.15     8.90   -14.52     0.00     0.01     0.29     2.55    12.95     7.13R    1.07  
Middlesbrough   13   18   -4      47.69     8.89   -11.82     0.00     0.02     0.38     2.12    11.50     7.83R    1.26  
Portsmouth      13   18   -5      50.99     9.24    -7.01     0.00     0.05     0.72     4.68    20.31     4.45R    0.72  
Fulham          12   17   +1      46.54     9.09    -7.79     0.00     0.03     0.31     2.02    10.52     9.39R    1.53  
Sunderland      13   15   -7      43.51     8.83   -16.44     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.74     5.07    17.52R    4.05  
Man_City        13   14   +4      55.27     8.92    15.39     0.00     0.18     2.27    10.96    38.48     1.44R    0.23  
Bolton          13   14   -4      40.24     8.22   -15.14     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.26     2.17    25.73R    5.99  
West_Ham        13   14   -6      38.47     8.28   -25.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15     1.36    35.42R   10.48  
Stoke           13   14  -11      42.73     8.95   -21.70     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.64     4.42    21.16R    5.79  
Wigan           13   13   -3      46.27     9.01    -5.59     0.00     0.01     0.22     1.62     9.49    10.33R    2.28  
Newcastle       13   13   -5      39.14     8.41   -21.42     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16     1.70    31.94R    8.88  
Blackburn       13   13  -10      36.88     8.46   -31.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     1.19    43.88R   14.89  
Tottenham       13   12   -4      46.45     9.31    -4.77     0.00     0.01     0.26     1.68    10.55    11.29R    2.73  
West_Brom       13   11  -14      31.24     7.92   -38.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18    70.46R   39.93  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 21 November 2008, Swansea vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    17   40  +15      95.61     9.03    44.42    39.41    75.92    98.40    80.62P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       18   37  +10      82.86     9.40    21.32     5.89    19.59    80.32    34.03P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          17   33  +22      97.08     8.25    66.57    51.09    84.19    99.36    89.76P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          17   29   +2      75.50     9.49    12.52     0.79     4.66    53.42    15.15P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        17   28   +9      76.68     9.56    21.97     1.60     7.29    60.11    24.79P    0.02R    0.00  
Cardiff          17   28   +6      70.11     9.67     9.48     0.39     1.92    32.54     9.42P    0.15R    0.00  
Swansea          18   27   +3      69.90     9.06    10.10     0.11     1.03    30.96     7.56P    0.15R    0.00  
Bristol_City     17   25   +2      67.55     9.71     6.17     0.13     1.00    23.68     6.24P    0.46R    0.02  
Plymouth         17   25   +1      68.13     9.59     6.11     0.12     1.07    25.13     6.56P    0.40R    0.02  
QPR              17   25   +0      64.27     9.79     0.06     0.08     0.55    14.70     3.78P    1.10R    0.03  
Ipswich          17   24   +7      69.89     9.49    16.57     0.21     1.53    32.61    10.30P    0.17R    0.00  
Derby            17   24   +2      63.65     9.82     1.30     0.09     0.53    13.86     3.60P    1.30R    0.04  
Preston          17   24   +0      64.41     9.29     0.25     0.05     0.41    14.00     3.26P    0.83R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed        17   22  -11      54.40     9.25   -22.59     0.00     0.03     1.83     0.26P   10.73R    0.87  
Barnsley         17   21   -3      51.31     9.28   -18.52     0.00     0.02     1.14     0.30P   17.21R    1.43  
Blackpool        17   21   -5      53.39     9.33   -18.58     0.00     0.02     1.56     0.27P   12.51R    1.15  
Crystal_Palace   17   20   +1      62.48     9.57     5.55     0.02     0.20    11.11     3.01P    1.75R    0.12  
Coventry         17   20   -3      53.82     9.36   -12.07     0.00     0.02     1.97     0.47P   11.04R    0.92  
Norwich          17   17   -6      50.29     9.39   -18.93     0.00     0.01     0.78     0.15P   20.96R    2.59  
Charlton         17   16   -7      52.28     9.40   -13.67     0.00     0.01     1.18     0.21P   15.22R    1.71  
Southampton      17   16  -11      42.20     8.53   -35.18     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   55.05R   12.48  
Watford          17   15   -7      51.79     9.37   -15.12     0.00     0.01     1.17     0.22P   16.19R    2.30  
Nottm_Forest     17   12  -12      44.39     9.11   -23.87     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   43.06R    9.74  
Doncaster        17   12  -15      31.55     7.54   -43.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.65R   66.55  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 November 2008, Carlisle vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe       16   33  +12      83.58    10.13    27.97    11.86    25.05    70.25    35.20P    0.00R    0.00  
Leicester        16   32  +13      89.30     9.68    39.42    25.82    46.46    86.86    58.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Millwall         16   32   +5      82.00    10.13    19.52     7.71    18.60    64.08    27.76P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons          15   31  +15      90.59    10.10    43.49    32.69    52.75    88.36    63.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds            16   29   +8      75.64    10.03    16.97     2.69     7.36    39.83    14.99P    0.05R    0.00  
Oldham           16   28  +10      82.74    10.00    33.04     9.29    22.01    68.58    34.60P    0.02R    0.00  
Peterborough     15   26  +11      78.60    10.39    28.13     5.81    13.75    53.27    24.80P    0.04R    0.00  
Southend         16   26   +1      67.17    10.12     0.38     0.41     1.45    14.21     3.92P    0.90R    0.01  
Stockport        16   25   +6      73.98    10.24    18.11     1.57     5.10    34.82    14.12P    0.17R    0.00  
Walsall          15   24   +4      69.86    10.62     9.45     1.02     3.10    22.51     7.27P    0.46R    0.00  
Tranmere         16   24   +2      67.34    10.07     4.94     0.31     1.20    14.16     4.10P    0.86R    0.01  
Hartlepool       16   23   +2      68.87    10.19     9.27     0.51     1.90    18.58     5.37P    0.63R    0.02  
Bristol_Rovers   16   20   +4      62.09    10.15     4.44     0.12     0.46     6.65     1.94P    2.97R    0.09  
Huddersfield     16   20   -5      59.75     9.96    -8.49     0.04     0.16     3.75     0.82P    5.02R    0.14  
Brighton         16   19   -2      55.67    10.04    -9.66     0.01     0.06     1.82     0.45P    9.77R    0.32  
Northampton      15   17   -1      60.99    10.72     1.12     0.06     0.35     6.11     1.75P    4.62R    0.14  
Swindon          15   17   -4      59.35    10.63    -5.49     0.06     0.19     4.16     0.94P    6.95R    0.34  
Carlisle         16   17   -8      49.55     9.74   -25.38     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.06P   25.87R    1.96  
Leyton_Orient    16   16   -9      46.42     9.45   -24.85     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   37.12R    3.28  
Colchester       15   15   -4      54.64    10.12   -10.96     0.01     0.05     1.45     0.30P   12.82R    0.65  
Yeovil           16   15  -10      44.06     9.32   -28.21     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00P   47.47R    5.52  
Hereford         16   12  -12      35.78     8.57   -37.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.61R   23.85  
Cheltenham       16   11  -21      36.96     9.05   -53.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.55R   24.32  
Crewe            16    9  -17      33.22     8.79   -52.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.07R   39.36  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 21 November 2008, Grimsby vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Darlington           16   31  +15      89.45     9.50    45.16    33.22    71.18    94.78    77.76P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              15   31  +10      90.14     9.64    32.88    34.58    72.44    94.94    80.15P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           16   27  +18      83.74     9.51    44.18    14.53    49.46    86.91    61.47P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             16   27   +9      75.66    10.23    21.24     3.96    19.35    59.85    29.11P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            16   27   +8      76.46     9.90    20.86     3.64    20.36    63.28    32.54P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             16   27   +7      74.70    10.11    18.80     2.64    16.52    56.12    24.85P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham           16   27   +4      68.93    10.07     5.90     0.81     6.41    33.48    11.62P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               16   27   +3      67.82     9.69     3.53     0.48     4.31    28.45     8.93P    0.00R    0.00  
Bury                 16   25   +4      70.95    10.20    12.31     1.40     9.08    41.26    16.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            16   24  +11      75.80    10.09    28.98     3.57    20.22    61.92    31.31P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         16   22   +5      69.12    10.14    15.50     0.92     6.90    35.65    13.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         16   22   +1      62.08     9.88     0.37     0.10     1.35    13.41     4.06P    0.05R    0.01  
Aldershot            16   21   -8      56.34     9.67   -18.27     0.02     0.34     4.45     0.90P    0.46R    0.07  
Port_Vale            16   19   -8      51.52     9.62   -21.56     0.00     0.08     1.80     0.34P    1.43R    0.29  
Notts_County         16   18   +1      61.30    10.03     5.11     0.08     1.33    12.67     4.07P    0.15R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   16   18   -2      57.33     9.95    -3.85     0.02     0.44     6.27     1.68P    0.35R    0.06  
Morecambe            16   16   -8      48.24     9.70   -23.42     0.00     0.03     0.86     0.15P    3.51R    0.86  
Macclesfield         15   14  -14      42.80     9.57   -39.40     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.05P   10.91R    3.24  
Chester              16   13  -14      41.58     9.51   -38.55     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   12.51R    3.94  
Barnet               16   13  -16      41.26     9.45   -40.90     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   13.99R    4.65  
Grimsby              17   10  -19      31.64     8.23   -50.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.13R   21.91  
Rotherham            16    9   +4      53.56    10.21     9.67     0.01     0.20     3.34     1.23P    1.18R    0.28  
Bournemouth          16   -2   -8      32.12     9.91   -19.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   44.71R   23.77  
Luton                15  -11   -3      27.72    10.24    -8.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.60R   40.92  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 20 November 2008, Crawley_Town vs Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Torquay              19   37  +13      86.36     8.87    31.79    25.69    79.38    40.71P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               18   37  +12      86.40     9.20    28.74    26.66    77.68    40.63P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        19   37   +9      79.27     8.95    17.26     7.20    49.86    15.65P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        19   34   +7      76.73     8.73    15.83     4.02    38.49    12.84P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        18   33  +10      80.15     9.64    24.26    10.72    55.33    21.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Kettering            18   32   +8      77.49     9.41    18.93     6.19    43.64    16.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         19   31  +10      75.18     8.98    21.57     3.38    34.58    10.95P    0.02R    0.00  
Wrexham              17   30  +11      81.48     9.69    30.75    13.90    61.26    25.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage            19   28   -2      62.70     8.75    -6.58     0.10     3.78     0.67P    0.80R    0.02  
Weymouth             20   27   -2      59.70     8.68    -7.78     0.04     1.77     0.33P    1.79R    0.03  
Ebbsfleet_United     19   26   +4      69.36     9.03    14.16     0.59    14.84     3.97P    0.13R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    19   26   +4      69.80     8.99    14.54     0.69    15.26     4.85P    0.14R    0.00  
Altrincham           18   25   -3      59.27     9.18    -8.69     0.05     2.11     0.42P    2.85R    0.09  
Mansfield            18   24   +2      66.66     9.43     9.03     0.45    10.25     2.62P    0.41R    0.01  
Barrow               18   24   -4      58.55     9.03   -11.46     0.04     1.51     0.29P    3.35R    0.10  
York                 19   23   -1      65.39     9.32     7.61     0.21     7.27     1.95P    0.65R    0.02  
Salisbury            18   23   -4      56.55     9.02   -11.19     0.01     1.02     0.19P    4.85R    0.18  
Oxford_Utd           18   22   -3      57.66     9.38    -7.06     0.04     1.60     0.39P    4.28R    0.13  
Eastbourne_Borough   18   21   -9      52.22     8.94   -22.03     0.00     0.32     0.05P   11.98R    0.78  
Woking               19   18   -7      44.88     8.25   -19.68     0.00     0.02     0.00P   34.19R    3.15  
Forest_Green         18   16  -11      45.54     8.81   -27.58     0.00     0.03     0.00P   34.25R    3.86  
Grays_Athletic       18   15  -10      40.41     8.56   -29.05     0.00     0.00     0.00P   57.79R    9.76  
Northwich            19   14   -9      42.47     8.43   -23.83     0.00     0.00     0.00P   46.65R    6.11  
Lewes                19   11  -25      28.28     7.09   -59.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.85R   75.75