Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 20 November 2008 at 22:34:05 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 November 2008, Everton vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         13   32  +28      97.09     5.38    86.15    88.22    98.79    99.92    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       13   32  +13      85.11     8.02    42.69     9.35    68.03    92.75    97.80    99.80     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         12   24  +15      78.23     8.56    46.34     2.32    28.44    77.00    90.93    97.98     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         13   23  +10      62.42     8.94    17.63     0.06     1.64     8.86    31.97    67.83     0.10R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     13   23   +6      65.68     8.83    19.70     0.06     2.68    15.80    46.87    79.64     0.04R    0.00  
Hull            13   21   -2      53.32     8.85    -6.76     0.00     0.12     1.25     6.66    27.02     1.91R    0.18  
Everton         13   19   -2      48.10     8.79   -14.52     0.00     0.01     0.27     2.34    12.59     7.01R    1.05  
Middlesbrough   13   18   -4      47.42     8.73   -12.23     0.00     0.01     0.30     1.84    10.90     8.00R    1.28  
Portsmouth      13   18   -5      50.86     9.15    -7.20     0.00     0.05     0.73     4.40    20.12     4.34R    0.71  
Fulham          12   17   +1      46.79     9.01    -7.35     0.00     0.03     0.33     1.95    10.76     8.80R    1.47  
Sunderland      13   15   -7      43.72     8.84   -16.11     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.73     5.45    16.98R    4.02  
Man_City        13   14   +4      54.89     8.97    14.63     0.00     0.18     2.19    10.25    37.04     1.53R    0.22  
Bolton          13   14   -4      40.34     8.25   -15.11     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.24     2.29    25.68R    5.89  
West_Ham        13   14   -6      38.56     8.35   -25.22     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.18     1.54    35.35R   10.45  
Stoke           13   14  -11      42.88     8.92   -21.31     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.60     4.63    20.77R    5.58  
Wigan           13   13   -3      46.03     8.97    -5.97     0.00     0.01     0.18     1.39     9.09    11.06R    2.50  
Newcastle       13   13   -5      39.20     8.50   -21.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17     1.84    31.91R    9.02  
Blackburn       13   13  -10      36.85     8.50   -30.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.21    44.71R   15.15  
Tottenham       13   12   -4      46.47     9.16    -4.77     0.00     0.00     0.20     1.56    10.05    10.98R    2.62  
West_Brom       13   11  -14      31.34     7.92   -38.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.25    70.83R   39.86  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 November 2008, Blackpool vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    17   40  +15      96.05     8.88    45.51    40.05    79.07    98.73    83.16P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       17   34   +9      80.08     9.98    18.49     4.16    14.17    70.68    28.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          17   33  +22      97.48     8.19    67.65    52.52    86.52    99.44    91.19P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          17   29   +2      75.81     9.44    13.04     0.90     5.17    55.02    15.67P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        17   28   +9      75.75     9.55    20.74     1.17     6.10    56.45    22.45P    0.02R    0.00  
Cardiff          17   28   +6      69.66     9.49     8.81     0.28     1.67    30.61     8.82P    0.19R    0.01  
Swansea          17   27   +4      72.27     9.47    12.75     0.26     2.25    41.19    11.25P    0.08R    0.00  
Bristol_City     17   25   +2      67.04     9.74     5.45     0.13     0.85    22.73     5.84P    0.53R    0.02  
Plymouth         17   25   +1      68.24     9.46     6.34     0.13     0.95    25.45     6.40P    0.28R    0.01  
QPR              17   25   +0      64.01     9.74    -0.33     0.07     0.46    14.06     3.48P    1.09R    0.03  
Ipswich          17   24   +7      70.40     9.34    17.42     0.21     1.66    34.99    11.40P    0.12R    0.00  
Derby            17   24   +2      63.08     9.68     0.43     0.05     0.41    12.63     3.14P    1.44R    0.05  
Preston          17   24   +0      64.87     9.36     0.97     0.03     0.34    15.64     3.50P    0.84R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed        17   22  -11      54.95     9.43   -21.84     0.00     0.02     2.23     0.35P   10.08R    0.80  
Barnsley         17   21   -3      50.86     9.16   -19.32     0.00     0.01     0.99     0.19P   17.99R    1.53  
Blackpool        17   21   -5      53.46     9.28   -18.44     0.00     0.02     1.52     0.26P   12.51R    1.09  
Crystal_Palace   17   20   +1      62.89     9.53     6.19     0.03     0.25    12.27     3.24P    1.40R    0.06  
Coventry         17   20   -3      53.60     9.48   -12.53     0.00     0.02     1.96     0.45P   11.62R    1.00  
Norwich          17   17   -6      50.09     9.33   -19.50     0.00     0.01     0.76     0.16P   21.46R    2.71  
Charlton         17   16   -7      52.27     9.39   -13.68     0.00     0.01     1.22     0.27P   14.98R    1.54  
Southampton      17   16  -11      41.96     8.53   -35.85     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    56.18R   13.09  
Watford          17   15   -7      52.28     9.34   -14.29     0.00     0.02     1.27     0.25P   14.75R    1.86  
Nottm_Forest     17   12  -12      44.49     9.20   -23.83     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   42.46R    9.49  
Doncaster        17   12  -15      31.43     7.48   -44.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.95R   66.68  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 November 2008, Carlisle vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe       16   33  +12      83.59    10.14    27.95    12.13    24.92    70.45    35.15P    0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        16   32  +13      89.25     9.58    39.27    25.17    46.22    87.03    58.38P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         16   32   +5      82.02    10.06    19.53     7.52    18.22    64.34    27.54P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons          15   31  +15      90.95    10.20    44.10    33.73    54.16    88.77    64.23P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            16   29   +8      75.56    10.21    16.82     2.91     7.70    39.77    15.37P    0.07R    0.00  
Oldham           16   28  +10      82.76     9.97    33.05     8.89    21.56    68.90    34.41P    0.02R    0.00  
Peterborough     15   26  +11      78.53    10.63    27.98     5.97    14.00    52.69    25.09P    0.06R    0.00  
Southend         16   26   +1      67.02    10.04     0.06     0.36     1.37    13.52     3.62P    0.90R    0.01  
Stockport        16   25   +6      73.86     9.96    17.94     1.30     4.51    34.11    13.28P    0.11R    0.00  
Walsall          15   24   +4      69.89    10.67     9.55     0.97     3.10    22.71     7.43P    0.55R    0.00  
Tranmere         16   24   +2      67.53    10.14     5.30     0.28     1.19    14.93     4.18P    0.89R    0.02  
Hartlepool       16   23   +2      68.87    10.21     9.32     0.54     1.89    18.60     5.31P    0.74R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   16   20   +4      61.92    10.13     4.20     0.08     0.40     6.49     1.65P    2.87R    0.07  
Huddersfield     16   20   -5      59.59    10.20    -8.87     0.03     0.18     3.94     0.89P    5.57R    0.18  
Brighton         16   19   -2      55.77     9.94    -9.54     0.01     0.06     1.74     0.45P    9.44R    0.30  
Northampton      15   17   -1      60.58    10.73     0.42     0.06     0.26     5.54     1.48P    5.30R    0.23  
Swindon          15   17   -4      59.15    10.72    -5.91     0.04     0.21     4.23     1.07P    7.23R    0.40  
Carlisle         16   17   -8      49.76     9.76   -24.93     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.07P   25.37R    1.71  
Leyton_Orient    16   16   -9      46.82     9.69   -24.38     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   36.03R    3.57  
Colchester       15   15   -4      54.68    10.13   -10.76     0.01     0.05     1.53     0.34P   12.82R    0.64  
Yeovil           16   15  -10      44.41     9.55   -27.74     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   46.11R    5.67  
Hereford         16   12  -12      35.68     8.49   -37.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.31R   23.89  
Cheltenham       16   11  -21      36.59     8.92   -54.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.80R   25.23  
Crewe            16    9  -17      33.43     8.74   -52.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.83R   38.07  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 November 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Darlington           16   31  +15      89.85     9.47    45.84    34.45    72.34    94.88    78.74P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              15   31  +10      89.62     9.65    32.24    31.93    70.01    94.63    78.36P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           16   27  +18      84.27     9.51    44.99    15.85    51.81    87.55    63.60P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             16   27   +9      75.77    10.01    21.31     3.86    19.04    60.52    28.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford            16   27   +8      76.31     9.85    20.60     3.77    19.51    62.31    31.78P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             16   27   +7      74.99    10.18    19.27     2.91    17.17    57.01    25.41P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           16   27   +4      68.81    10.02     5.71     0.78     6.38    32.60    11.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter               16   27   +3      68.02     9.70     3.79     0.53     4.57    28.79     9.35P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 16   25   +4      71.29     9.97    12.72     1.31     9.11    42.18    16.55P    0.00R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            16   24  +11      75.76    10.19    28.82     3.56    20.06    61.49    31.12P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         16   22   +5      68.81    10.12    14.78     0.80     6.35    34.24    12.31P    0.02R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         16   22   +1      61.69     9.93    -0.37     0.09     1.30    12.67     3.83P    0.04R    0.00  
Aldershot            16   21   -8      56.74     9.72   -17.70     0.02     0.32     4.78     0.99P    0.39R    0.06  
Port_Vale            16   19   -8      51.57     9.52   -21.63     0.00     0.09     1.81     0.40P    1.18R    0.20  
Notts_County         16   18   +1      61.81     9.86     5.84     0.09     1.26    13.07     4.05P    0.09R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   16   18   -2      57.65     9.97    -3.50     0.04     0.51     6.83     1.94P    0.28R    0.04  
Morecambe            16   16   -8      47.88     9.71   -24.23     0.00     0.02     0.85     0.15P    3.49R    0.90  
Macclesfield         15   14  -14      43.03     9.76   -39.24     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.07P   10.12R    2.90  
Chester              16   13  -14      41.49     9.40   -38.86     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   11.90R    3.56  
Barnet               16   13  -16      41.21     9.41   -41.01     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   13.31R    4.15  
Rotherham            16    9   +4      53.61    10.15     9.67     0.01     0.13     3.25     1.16P    1.07R    0.23  
Grimsby              16    9  -19      30.27     8.25   -52.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.00R   27.08  
Bournemouth          15   -3   -8      32.72    10.14   -18.41     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    41.42R   21.67  
Luton                15  -11   -3      27.59    10.01    -8.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.68R   39.20  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 20 November 2008, Crawley_Town vs Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Torquay              19   37  +13      86.21     8.89    31.62    25.05    78.68    40.08P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               18   37  +12      86.30     9.13    28.67    25.97    77.70    39.67P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        19   37   +9      79.17     8.93    17.13     7.27    49.05    15.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        19   34   +7      77.40     8.81    16.73     4.82    41.68    14.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster        18   33  +10      80.16     9.46    24.27    10.55    54.71    20.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Kettering            18   32   +8      77.66     9.34    19.20     6.28    43.83    16.41P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         19   31  +10      75.32     8.93    21.75     3.58    34.60    11.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham              17   30  +11      81.56     9.74    30.99    14.33    61.45    26.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage            19   28   -2      62.67     8.77    -6.70     0.07     3.73     0.65P    0.84R    0.02  
Weymouth             20   27   -2      59.78     8.65    -7.56     0.01     1.72     0.34P    1.58R    0.03  
Ebbsfleet_United     19   26   +4      68.88     9.01    13.43     0.60    13.52     3.69P    0.16R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    19   26   +4      69.72     9.08    14.39     0.62    15.45     4.81P    0.12R    0.00  
Altrincham           18   25   -3      59.16     9.11    -8.85     0.03     1.89     0.37P    2.80R    0.07  
Mansfield            18   24   +2      66.51     9.56     8.80     0.49    10.11     2.63P    0.46R    0.01  
Barrow               18   24   -4      58.30     9.10   -11.98     0.06     1.55     0.32P    3.68R    0.12  
York                 19   23   -1      65.52     9.31     7.83     0.22     7.48     1.96P    0.65R    0.02  
Salisbury            18   23   -4      56.42     9.10   -11.43     0.01     0.98     0.22P    5.19R    0.21  
Oxford_Utd           18   22   -3      58.01     9.45    -6.47     0.05     1.54     0.35P    4.09R    0.13  
Eastbourne_Borough   18   21   -9      51.89     8.96   -22.56     0.00     0.28     0.04P   12.71R    0.92  
Woking               19   18   -7      44.94     8.35   -19.67     0.00     0.01     0.00    34.40R    3.14  
Forest_Green         18   16  -11      45.76     8.86   -27.30     0.00     0.03     0.00P   33.33R    3.52  
Grays_Athletic       18   15  -10      40.51     8.44   -28.85     0.00     0.01     0.00P   57.46R    9.26  
Northwich            19   14   -9      42.48     8.49   -23.76     0.00     0.01     0.00P   46.56R    6.13  
Lewes                19   11  -25      28.20     7.00   -59.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.94R   76.41