Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 19 November 2008 at 22:36:57 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 November 2008, Everton vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         13   32  +28      97.36     5.27    87.09    89.44    98.93    99.94    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       13   32  +13      84.97     8.05    42.51     8.39    67.92    92.82    97.86    99.75     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         12   24  +15      78.06     8.65    45.91     2.07    28.32    76.52    90.43    97.79     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         13   23  +10      62.51     8.89    17.76     0.05     1.63     8.75    31.80    68.02     0.09R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     13   23   +6      65.61     8.87    19.59     0.06     2.71    15.90    46.60    79.28     0.06R    0.00  
Hull            13   21   -2      53.59     9.05    -6.41     0.00     0.19     1.46     7.35    28.57     1.92R    0.21  
Everton         13   19   -2      48.00     8.83   -14.85     0.00     0.03     0.27     2.23    12.41     7.15R    1.09  
Middlesbrough   13   18   -4      47.76     8.81   -11.79     0.00     0.02     0.35     2.10    11.47     7.40R    1.05  
Portsmouth      13   18   -5      50.67     9.14    -7.58     0.00     0.03     0.69     4.07    18.87     4.54R    0.71  
Fulham          12   17   +1      46.53     9.02    -7.84     0.00     0.02     0.29     1.80    10.02     9.46R    1.45  
Sunderland      13   15   -7      43.71     8.84   -16.03     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.61     5.35    16.91R    4.01  
Man_City        13   14   +4      55.22     8.98    15.33     0.00     0.17     2.35    10.81    37.91     1.48R    0.20  
Bolton          13   14   -4      40.07     8.33   -15.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.25     2.12    26.93R    6.29  
West_Ham        13   14   -6      38.63     8.30   -25.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15     1.46    34.98R    9.83  
Stoke           13   14  -11      42.63     8.97   -21.80     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.51     4.26    21.88R    6.07  
Wigan           13   13   -3      46.03     8.98    -5.93     0.00     0.02     0.24     1.45     8.90    11.02R    2.35  
Newcastle       13   13   -5      39.18     8.40   -21.39     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14     1.78    31.47R    8.83  
Blackburn       13   13  -10      37.08     8.37   -30.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     1.20    42.84R   14.02  
Tottenham       13   12   -4      46.74     9.23    -4.23     0.00     0.01     0.26     1.72    10.69    10.64R    2.50  
West_Brom       13   11  -14      31.06     7.92   -38.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17    71.24R   41.37  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 November 2008, Blackpool vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    17   40  +15      95.86     8.86    45.13    39.33    79.20    98.61    83.29P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       17   34   +9      80.01     9.84    18.33     4.06    13.81    70.64    28.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          17   33  +22      97.43     8.27    67.49    53.00    86.02    99.33    90.75P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          17   29   +2      75.83     9.40    13.04     0.84     5.11    54.99    16.12P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        17   28   +9      75.97     9.57    21.03     1.38     6.58    56.99    22.85P    0.02R    0.00  
Cardiff          17   28   +6      69.72     9.57     8.90     0.37     1.80    30.93     9.14P    0.18R    0.00  
Swansea          17   27   +4      72.64     9.34    13.28     0.33     2.41    42.28    11.72P    0.06R    0.00  
Bristol_City     17   25   +2      66.87     9.76     5.18     0.14     0.89    22.34     5.72P    0.57R    0.02  
Plymouth         17   25   +1      68.17     9.36     6.23     0.12     0.92    24.80     6.01P    0.31R    0.01  
QPR              17   25   +0      64.06     9.60    -0.28     0.07     0.42    13.92     3.53P    1.03R    0.03  
Ipswich          17   24   +7      70.46     9.38    17.50     0.23     1.69    35.19    11.25P    0.11R    0.00  
Derby            17   24   +2      63.10     9.77     0.44     0.06     0.40    12.64     3.05P    1.48R    0.05  
Preston          17   24   +0      64.82     9.42     0.91     0.05     0.44    15.58     3.44P    0.91R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed        17   22  -11      54.78     9.38   -22.12     0.00     0.02     2.10     0.30P   10.57R    0.90  
Barnsley         17   21   -3      50.87     9.05   -19.27     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.15P   17.76R    1.38  
Blackpool        17   21   -5      53.31     9.31   -18.70     0.00     0.03     1.68     0.34P   12.52R    1.06  
Crystal_Palace   17   20   +1      62.89     9.45     6.17     0.01     0.22    11.81     3.18P    1.40R    0.08  
Coventry         17   20   -3      53.45     9.42   -12.74     0.00     0.03     1.82     0.40P   11.81R    1.04  
Norwich          17   17   -6      50.24     9.40   -19.12     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.15P   21.39R    2.61  
Charlton         17   16   -7      52.29     9.44   -13.61     0.00     0.01     1.21     0.23P   15.32R    1.75  
Southampton      17   16  -11      42.13     8.59   -35.49     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   55.36R   12.34  
Watford          17   15   -7      52.19     9.30   -14.30     0.00     0.00     1.24     0.24P   14.92R    1.87  
Nottm_Forest     17   12  -12      44.54     9.21   -23.69     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P   42.34R    9.63  
Doncaster        17   12  -15      31.40     7.50   -44.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.91R   67.20  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 November 2008, Carlisle vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe       16   33  +12      83.67    10.13    28.05    11.90    24.77    70.55    35.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Leicester        16   32  +13      89.44     9.62    39.58    25.55    46.88    87.46    59.16P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         16   32   +5      82.05    10.28    19.71     7.96    18.64    64.20    27.84P    0.02R    0.00  
MK_Dons          15   31  +15      90.85    10.20    43.86    33.35    53.46    88.49    63.47P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds            16   29   +8      75.66    10.11    17.12     2.68     7.48    40.19    15.27P    0.04R    0.00  
Oldham           16   28  +10      82.99     9.93    33.50     9.14    22.13    69.79    35.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough     15   26  +11      77.99    10.55    27.19     5.42    12.90    50.58    23.35P    0.04R    0.00  
Southend         16   26   +1      66.99    10.14     0.09     0.45     1.51    13.90     3.81P    0.91R    0.02  
Stockport        16   25   +6      74.01    10.06    18.13     1.35     4.64    34.74    13.50P    0.13R    0.00  
Walsall          15   24   +4      70.13    10.65     9.87     1.11     3.39    23.04     7.77P    0.50R    0.01  
Tranmere         16   24   +2      67.25    10.00     4.84     0.29     1.14    13.83     3.79P    0.82R    0.01  
Hartlepool       16   23   +2      69.00    10.28     9.56     0.54     1.89    19.32     5.66P    0.67R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   16   20   +4      62.27    10.14     4.86     0.10     0.42     6.89     1.93P    2.63R    0.07  
Huddersfield     16   20   -5      59.44     9.95    -9.09     0.03     0.14     3.41     0.72P    5.16R    0.14  
Brighton         16   19   -2      55.97     9.95    -9.17     0.01     0.03     1.78     0.41P    9.30R    0.34  
Northampton      15   17   -1      60.63    10.62     0.47     0.08     0.30     5.58     1.52P    5.00R    0.14  
Swindon          15   17   -4      59.19    10.62    -5.84     0.05     0.22     4.02     0.93P    6.95R    0.33  
Carlisle         16   17   -8      49.38     9.79   -25.76     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.09P   26.60R    1.90  
Leyton_Orient    16   16   -9      46.41     9.42   -24.78     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   37.04R    3.31  
Colchester       15   15   -4      54.94    10.19   -10.35     0.00     0.05     1.65     0.37P   12.16R    0.71  
Yeovil           16   15  -10      44.22     9.42   -28.13     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   46.62R    5.49  
Hereford         16   12  -12      35.69     8.50   -37.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.15R   23.85  
Cheltenham       16   11  -21      36.52     8.93   -54.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.82R   25.73  
Crewe            16    9  -17      33.50     8.79   -52.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.44R   37.94  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 November 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Darlington           16   31  +15      89.70     9.54    45.60    34.27    71.66    94.61    78.18P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              15   31  +10      89.58     9.61    32.20    31.82    69.89    94.53    78.53P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           16   27  +18      84.40     9.31    45.16    15.79    52.07    88.38    64.12P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             16   27   +9      75.70     9.99    21.26     3.60    18.44    60.23    28.08P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            16   27   +8      76.63     9.96    20.98     4.15    20.93    63.21    33.08P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             16   27   +7      74.71    10.16    18.85     2.87    16.51    55.36    24.49P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           16   27   +4      69.01    10.06     5.96     0.82     6.53    32.98    11.61P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               16   27   +3      68.02     9.76     3.75     0.57     4.76    28.67     9.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Bury                 16   25   +4      71.36    10.05    12.89     1.43     9.39    42.48    16.89P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            16   24  +11      75.59    10.19    28.63     3.56    19.74    60.36    30.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield         16   22   +5      68.92    10.08    15.01     0.80     6.21    34.59    12.31P    0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         16   22   +1      61.85    10.05    -0.15     0.15     1.41    13.21     3.91P    0.05R    0.01  
Aldershot            16   21   -8      56.98     9.63   -17.26     0.02     0.30     4.85     0.94P    0.29R    0.05  
Port_Vale            16   19   -8      51.58     9.44   -21.65     0.00     0.06     1.62     0.33P    1.16R    0.20  
Notts_County         16   18   +1      62.14     9.96     6.28     0.12     1.43    14.04     4.50P    0.08R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   16   18   -2      57.56     9.84    -3.75     0.02     0.44     6.30     1.76P    0.24R    0.03  
Morecambe            16   16   -8      47.89     9.64   -24.24     0.00     0.02     0.81     0.16P    3.39R    0.80  
Macclesfield         15   14  -14      42.79     9.59   -39.61     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.04P   10.06R    2.80  
Chester              16   13  -14      41.33     9.35   -39.18     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   12.27R    3.59  
Barnet               16   13  -16      41.39     9.31   -40.53     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   12.32R    3.85  
Rotherham            16    9   +4      53.54    10.22     9.56     0.00     0.18     3.31     1.26P    1.15R    0.27  
Grimsby              16    9  -19      30.23     8.23   -52.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.79R   26.61  
Bournemouth          15   -3   -8      32.41    10.12   -18.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   42.70R   22.09  
Luton                15  -11   -3      27.45    10.35    -8.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.50R   39.70  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 November 2008, Cambridge_Utd vs York; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Torquay              19   37  +13      86.14     8.81    31.55    24.15    78.32    39.17P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               18   37  +12      86.49     9.17    28.94    26.06    77.67    40.22P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        19   37   +9      79.40     8.95    17.50     7.41    49.66    15.71P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        19   34   +7      77.12     8.84    16.37     4.32    39.71    13.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster        18   33  +10      79.93     9.58    23.86    10.00    53.26    20.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Kettering            18   32   +8      77.43     9.25    18.83     5.61    41.79    15.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         18   31  +11      78.36     9.34    25.48     7.15    47.39    17.42P    0.02R    0.00  
Wrexham              17   30  +11      81.49     9.58    30.74    13.48    60.50    25.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage            19   28   -2      62.70     8.76    -6.67     0.08     3.58     0.66P    0.73R    0.02  
Weymouth             20   27   -2      59.98     8.71    -7.31     0.03     1.74     0.30P    1.70R    0.04  
Rushden_&_D'monds    19   26   +4      70.04     9.08    14.85     0.69    15.46     4.81P    0.14R    0.00  
Altrincham           18   25   -3      59.15     9.17    -8.90     0.03     1.85     0.38P    2.91R    0.07  
Mansfield            18   24   +2      66.49     9.32     8.80     0.38     9.17     2.42P    0.44R    0.02  
Barrow               18   24   -4      58.18     9.04   -12.20     0.03     1.44     0.30P    3.67R    0.13  
Ebbsfleet_United     18   23   +3      65.72     9.35     9.99     0.34     8.04     2.19P    0.56R    0.01  
York                 19   23   -1      65.65     9.34     7.99     0.20     7.70     2.08P    0.65R    0.02  
Salisbury            18   23   -4      56.41     9.06   -11.27     0.02     1.00     0.21P    4.74R    0.19  
Oxford_Utd           18   22   -3      58.13     9.27    -6.35     0.03     1.45     0.30P    3.79R    0.13  
Eastbourne_Borough   18   21   -9      51.84     8.79   -22.68     0.00     0.21     0.02P   12.37R    0.86  
Woking               19   18   -7      44.70     8.21   -19.94     0.00     0.02     0.00P   34.95R    3.20  
Forest_Green         18   16  -11      45.44     8.69   -27.82     0.00     0.02     0.00    34.16R    3.81  
Grays_Athletic       18   15  -10      40.58     8.52   -28.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.81R    9.64  
Northwich            19   14   -9      42.49     8.52   -23.68     0.00     0.01     0.00P   46.38R    6.23  
Lewes                19   11  -25      28.42     6.98   -59.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.95R   75.63