Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 16 November 2008 at 22:34:20 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 November 2008, Everton vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         13   32  +28      97.18     5.29    86.68    88.77    98.76    99.92    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       13   32  +13      85.03     7.96    42.59     8.83    67.00    92.88    97.96    99.81     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         12   24  +15      78.47     8.58    46.64     2.30    29.38    77.52    91.00    98.04     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         13   23  +10      62.65     8.90    18.04     0.03     1.49     8.57    32.11    68.77     0.10R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     13   23   +6      65.73     8.91    19.83     0.07     2.81    15.32    46.64    79.39     0.08R    0.00  
Hull            13   21   -2      53.57     8.86    -6.39     0.00     0.15     1.26     6.85    27.84     1.72R    0.16  
Everton         13   19   -2      48.05     8.90   -14.76     0.00     0.01     0.25     2.37    12.91     7.12R    1.00  
Middlesbrough   13   18   -4      47.67     8.75   -11.89     0.00     0.02     0.29     1.82    11.11     7.44R    1.20  
Portsmouth      13   18   -5      50.75     9.10    -7.47     0.00     0.05     0.65     4.07    19.18     4.35R    0.71  
Fulham          12   17   +1      45.98     9.01    -8.46     0.00     0.02     0.27     1.76     9.32    10.47R    1.88  
Sunderland      13   15   -7      43.56     8.73   -16.28     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.55     4.91    17.03R    3.96  
Man_City        13   14   +4      55.15     9.07    15.16     0.00     0.25     2.41    10.57    37.91     1.57R    0.25  
Bolton          13   14   -4      40.36     8.27   -15.16     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.25     2.30    25.33R    5.88  
West_Ham        13   14   -6      38.19     8.18   -25.89     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.11     1.25    36.75R   10.69  
Stoke           13   14  -11      42.76     8.95   -21.61     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.47     4.39    21.39R    5.77  
Wigan           13   13   -3      46.13     9.05    -5.85     0.00     0.02     0.23     1.49     9.25    10.80R    2.48  
Newcastle       13   13   -5      39.18     8.37   -21.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16     1.68    31.85R    8.88  
Blackburn       13   13  -10      36.92     8.40   -30.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     1.11    43.39R   15.07  
Tottenham       13   12   -4      46.70     9.24    -4.27     0.00     0.02     0.26     1.71    10.65    10.56R    2.44  
West_Brom       13   11  -14      31.33     7.90   -38.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16    70.06R   39.61  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 November 2008, Blackpool vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    17   40  +15      95.85     8.95    45.03    40.09    78.52    98.52    82.76P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       17   34   +9      80.01    10.03    18.41     4.34    14.29    70.00    28.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Reading          17   33  +22      97.23     8.25    67.02    51.94    85.79    99.30    90.64P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          17   29   +2      75.53     9.60    12.63     0.81     4.96    53.58    15.46P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        17   28   +9      76.12     9.53    21.22     1.42     6.67    57.79    23.23P    0.03R    0.00  
Cardiff          17   28   +6      69.57     9.64     8.71     0.34     1.85    30.37     8.82P    0.17R    0.00  
Swansea          17   27   +4      72.48     9.50    13.06     0.34     2.40    42.00    11.73P    0.10R    0.00  
Bristol_City     17   25   +2      67.20     9.71     5.70     0.16     0.93    22.71     5.89P    0.48R    0.01  
Plymouth         17   25   +1      68.21     9.54     6.31     0.10     1.01    25.42     6.49P    0.32R    0.02  
QPR              17   25   +0      64.48     9.86     0.38     0.08     0.52    15.31     3.91P    1.10R    0.03  
Ipswich          17   24   +7      70.15     9.45    17.07     0.19     1.74    34.02    10.79P    0.18R    0.00  
Derby            17   24   +2      63.31     9.78     0.89     0.08     0.50    13.22     3.41P    1.49R    0.06  
Preston          17   24   +0      64.79     9.35     0.89     0.05     0.41    15.49     3.45P    0.89R    0.07  
Sheff_Wed        17   22  -11      54.45     9.30   -22.62     0.00     0.02     1.91     0.24P   10.84R    0.94  
Barnsley         17   21   -3      50.86     9.20   -19.28     0.00     0.01     0.96     0.21P   18.01R    1.57  
Blackpool        17   21   -5      53.33     9.40   -18.69     0.01     0.05     1.66     0.37P   12.89R    1.08  
Crystal_Palace   17   20   +1      63.14     9.53     6.49     0.03     0.28    12.61     3.41P    1.49R    0.07  
Coventry         17   20   -3      53.83     9.45   -12.13     0.00     0.02     2.00     0.42P   11.20R    0.92  
Norwich          17   17   -6      50.20     9.36   -19.22     0.00     0.01     0.79     0.16P   20.97R    2.64  
Charlton         17   16   -7      52.11     9.36   -14.00     0.00     0.01     1.06     0.23P   15.46R    1.86  
Southampton      17   16  -11      42.11     8.46   -35.49     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   55.18R   12.16  
Watford          17   15   -7      51.94     9.33   -14.84     0.00     0.01     1.06     0.21P   15.59R    2.03  
Nottm_Forest     17   12  -12      44.73     9.22   -23.43     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P   41.68R    9.47  
Doncaster        17   12  -15      31.46     7.46   -44.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.91R   67.06  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 November 2008, Carlisle vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe       16   33  +12      83.59    10.16    28.05    12.01    24.83    70.41    34.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Leicester        16   32  +13      89.47     9.57    39.65    25.73    47.30    87.65    59.67P    0.00R    0.00  
Millwall         16   32   +5      82.08    10.12    19.70     7.89    18.92    64.43    28.08P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons          15   31  +15      90.83    10.10    43.81    33.20    53.29    88.80    63.67P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            16   29   +8      75.79    10.02    17.23     2.82     7.44    40.74    15.27P    0.06R    0.00  
Oldham           16   28  +10      82.80     9.95    33.17     9.07    21.95    69.00    35.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     15   26  +11      78.26    10.44    27.61     5.53    13.13    51.32    23.74P    0.05R    0.00  
Southend         16   26   +1      66.76    10.12    -0.37     0.44     1.34    13.42     3.55P    0.89R    0.01  
Stockport        16   25   +6      74.02    10.06    18.18     1.41     4.84    34.95    13.67P    0.14R    0.00  
Walsall          15   24   +4      69.74    10.54     9.24     0.93     2.91    22.04     7.27P    0.58R    0.01  
Tranmere         16   24   +2      67.56    10.02     5.38     0.34     1.24    14.91     4.20P    0.70R    0.01  
Hartlepool       16   23   +2      68.72    10.00     8.97     0.41     1.62    17.83     4.88P    0.59R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   16   20   +4      62.09    10.03     4.54     0.07     0.38     6.55     1.72P    2.58R    0.07  
Huddersfield     16   20   -5      59.67    10.20    -8.67     0.03     0.20     4.02     0.88P    5.53R    0.17  
Brighton         16   19   -2      56.04    10.07    -9.03     0.01     0.06     2.03     0.57P    9.37R    0.32  
Northampton      15   17   -1      60.80    10.62     0.74     0.05     0.29     5.57     1.50P    4.66R    0.15  
Swindon          15   17   -4      59.24    10.68    -5.75     0.03     0.20     4.26     1.03P    7.09R    0.29  
Carlisle         16   17   -8      49.76     9.70   -24.98     0.01     0.02     0.37     0.07P   25.21R    1.81  
Leyton_Orient    16   16   -9      46.62     9.60   -24.44     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   36.65R    3.32  
Colchester       15   15   -4      54.60    10.04   -11.06     0.01     0.04     1.47     0.28P   12.77R    0.68  
Yeovil           16   15  -10      43.95     9.35   -28.50     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   47.83R    5.76  
Hereford         16   12  -12      35.68     8.44   -37.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    81.32R   23.84  
Cheltenham       16   11  -21      36.84     9.06   -53.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   76.72R   24.41  
Crewe            16    9  -17      33.17     8.70   -52.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.26R   39.15  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 November 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Darlington           16   31  +15      89.39     9.57    44.98    33.13    70.85    94.56    77.58P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              15   31  +10      90.00     9.67    32.76    34.09    71.82    94.91    79.61P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           16   27  +18      84.09     9.43    44.66    15.33    50.78    87.60    62.86P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             16   27   +9      75.99     9.89    21.66     3.60    19.27    61.55    29.07P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            16   27   +8      76.44     9.79    20.76     3.79    20.15    63.31    32.40P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             16   27   +7      74.66    10.12    18.73     2.80    16.68    55.61    24.71P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham           16   27   +4      68.90    10.05     5.79     0.80     6.28    33.12    11.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter               16   27   +3      67.85     9.86     3.46     0.57     4.82    28.54     9.58P    0.00R    0.00  
Bury                 16   25   +4      71.18    10.16    12.62     1.45     9.49    41.65    16.86P    0.00R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            16   24  +11      75.72    10.12    28.76     3.44    20.02    61.52    31.01P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         16   22   +5      68.77     9.95    14.77     0.75     6.03    33.53    11.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         16   22   +1      62.23    10.01     0.45     0.11     1.50    13.81     4.09P    0.05R    0.00  
Aldershot            16   21   -8      56.41     9.69   -18.27     0.02     0.32     4.48     0.94P    0.42R    0.06  
Port_Vale            16   19   -8      51.83     9.56   -21.31     0.01     0.09     1.77     0.36P    1.11R    0.18  
Notts_County         16   18   +1      61.46     9.98     5.22     0.09     1.17    12.62     3.97P    0.12R    0.02  
Accrington_Stanley   16   18   -2      57.38     9.96    -3.89     0.02     0.48     6.35     1.82P    0.31R    0.06  
Morecambe            16   16   -8      48.05     9.62   -23.77     0.00     0.03     0.80     0.17P    3.23R    0.74  
Macclesfield         15   14  -14      43.05     9.61   -39.13     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.04P    9.78R    2.71  
Chester              16   13  -14      41.90     9.55   -38.09     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   11.31R    3.39  
Barnet               16   13  -16      41.33     9.47   -40.74     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   13.32R    4.29  
Rotherham            16    9   +4      54.05    10.20    10.41     0.01     0.20     3.74     1.39P    0.93R    0.18  
Grimsby              16    9  -19      30.30     8.15   -52.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.74R   26.33  
Bournemouth          15   -3   -8      32.11    10.13   -19.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   44.00R   23.49  
Luton                15  -11   -3      27.73    10.20    -8.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.65R   38.56  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 November 2008, Crawley_Town vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        19   37   +9      79.31     9.01    17.33     8.44    50.66    16.76P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              18   34  +10      85.26     9.23    29.63    24.30    75.14    38.81P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               17   34  +10      83.32     9.73    24.47    18.82    66.81    31.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster        18   33  +10      80.44     9.48    24.75    12.21    56.47    22.71P    0.00R    0.00  
Kettering            18   32   +8      77.63     9.19    19.10     6.46    44.19    16.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         18   31  +11      78.48     9.26    25.63     7.88    49.32    18.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        18   31   +6      75.34     9.19    15.12     3.72    34.27    11.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham              17   30  +11      81.58     9.65    30.91    15.52    61.95    27.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage            18   28   +0      64.97     9.08    -2.96     0.35     6.81     1.45P    0.46R    0.03  
Rushden_&_D'monds    19   26   +4      69.89     8.96    14.63     0.82    15.70     5.18P    0.09R    0.00  
Weymouth             19   26   -2      61.31     8.99    -5.79     0.08     2.81     0.56P    1.47R    0.04  
Altrincham           18   25   -3      58.82     9.09    -9.44     0.05     1.87     0.41P    3.02R    0.07  
Mansfield            18   24   +2      66.75     9.34     9.14     0.49    10.34     2.62P    0.43R    0.01  
Barrow               18   24   -4      58.50     9.05   -11.57     0.04     1.61     0.30P    3.40R    0.11  
Ebbsfleet_United     18   23   +3      65.34     9.44     9.32     0.33     8.34     2.38P    0.63R    0.01  
York                 18   23   +0      66.94     9.65     8.99     0.45    10.91     2.95P    0.47R    0.03  
Salisbury            18   23   -4      56.87     9.13   -10.76     0.02     1.13     0.28P    4.70R    0.17  
Oxford_Utd           18   22   -3      57.56     9.26    -7.26     0.01     1.33     0.27P    4.17R    0.13  
Eastbourne_Borough   18   21   -9      51.72     8.99   -23.00     0.01     0.26     0.03P   13.39R    1.09  
Woking               18   17   -7      44.10     8.53   -21.36     0.00     0.01     0.00    38.57R    4.55  
Forest_Green         18   16  -11      45.72     8.80   -27.45     0.00     0.04     0.01P   33.19R    3.65  
Grays_Athletic       18   15  -10      40.75     8.54   -28.45     0.00     0.01     0.00    56.07R    9.67  
Northwich            19   14   -9      42.77     8.58   -23.35     0.00     0.01     0.00P   45.02R    6.26  
Lewes                18   11  -22      28.73     7.25   -57.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.88R   74.16