Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 15 November 2008 at 22:33:57 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 November 2008, Arsenal vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         13   32  +28      97.17     5.29    86.43    88.21    98.72    99.92    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       13   32  +13      85.36     7.88    43.22     9.37    68.08    93.08    97.91    99.81     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         12   24  +15      78.52     8.62    47.01     2.34    28.83    77.16    90.61    97.98     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         13   23  +10      62.28     8.78    17.35     0.04     1.16     7.59    29.70    66.17     0.11R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     13   23   +6      65.55     8.96    19.48     0.04     2.61    15.20    44.58    77.69     0.04R    0.00  
Hull            12   20   -2      53.32     9.51    -7.75     0.00     0.17     1.48     7.70    27.34     2.47R    0.32  
Everton         12   18   -2      48.76     9.32   -14.36     0.00     0.02     0.34     3.05    14.67     7.05R    1.06  
Portsmouth      13   18   -5      50.94     9.03    -7.06     0.00     0.04     0.60     3.93    18.46     3.88R    0.61  
Fulham          12   17   +1      46.37     8.94    -8.01     0.00     0.02     0.25     1.68     9.17     8.91R    1.39  
Middlesbrough   12   17   -4      48.05     9.34   -12.22     0.00     0.03     0.45     2.35    12.34     8.18R    1.42  
Sunderland      13   15   -7      43.54     8.87   -16.44     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.70     4.90    17.11R    3.93  
Bolton          13   14   -4      40.39     8.34   -15.09     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.19     2.21    25.07R    5.92  
West_Ham        13   14   -6      38.18     8.25   -25.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13     1.25    36.02R    9.96  
Stoke           13   14  -11      42.68     9.08   -21.73     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.55     4.14    21.48R    6.13  
Man_City        12   13   +4      56.18     9.54    16.62     0.00     0.28     3.24    13.58    41.84     1.53R    0.23  
Wigan           13   13   -3      46.07     9.17    -5.89     0.00     0.01     0.18     1.39     8.89    11.18R    2.57  
Newcastle       13   13   -5      39.24     8.38   -21.33     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.15     1.62    30.96R    8.12  
Blackburn       13   13  -10      36.65     8.41   -31.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.91    44.39R   15.36  
Tottenham       13   12   -4      46.98     9.28    -3.73     0.00     0.02     0.28     1.74    10.46    10.11R    2.29  
West_Brom       13   11  -14      30.93     7.88   -39.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15    71.49R   40.69  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 November 2008, Barnsley vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    17   40  +15      95.50     8.93    44.42    39.75    77.28    98.52    81.64P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       17   34   +9      80.57     9.80    19.24     4.90    15.68    73.01    30.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Reading          17   33  +22      96.84     8.31    66.41    51.60    84.57    99.16    89.66P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          17   29   +2      75.51     9.50    12.62     0.77     4.84    53.88    15.05P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        17   28   +9      76.12     9.47    21.26     1.50     6.95    57.92    23.46P    0.02R    0.00  
Cardiff          17   28   +6      70.14     9.55     9.56     0.42     2.31    32.55     9.80P    0.16R    0.00  
Swansea          17   27   +4      72.42     9.50    12.93     0.36     2.65    41.66    11.90P    0.08R    0.00  
Bristol_City     17   25   +2      67.17     9.78     5.63     0.16     1.10    23.25     6.08P    0.57R    0.02  
Plymouth         17   25   +1      67.91     9.44     5.87     0.12     1.08    24.43     6.27P    0.37R    0.02  
QPR              17   25   +0      64.53     9.82     0.38     0.09     0.67    15.20     4.10P    1.19R    0.06  
Ipswich          17   24   +7      70.00     9.36    16.84     0.20     1.65    33.53    10.57P    0.18R    0.00  
Derby            17   24   +2      63.61     9.70     1.30     0.07     0.54    13.79     3.32P    1.25R    0.05  
Sheff_Wed        17   22  -11      54.55     9.29   -22.45     0.00     0.04     2.02     0.32P   10.70R    0.84  
Preston          16   21   -2      60.28     9.70    -5.51     0.01     0.16     7.82     1.66P    3.19R    0.27  
Barnsley         17   21   -3      51.31     9.11   -18.53     0.00     0.02     1.00     0.18P   17.03R    1.35  
Blackpool        16   21   -3      57.63     9.97   -11.19     0.01     0.13     5.01     1.06P    6.76R    0.54  
Crystal_Palace   17   20   +1      62.70     9.63     5.86     0.04     0.30    12.17     3.38P    1.71R    0.12  
Coventry         17   20   -3      53.51     9.37   -12.73     0.00     0.02     1.87     0.46P   11.84R    0.98  
Norwich          17   17   -6      50.37     9.34   -18.95     0.00     0.01     0.84     0.19P   20.93R    2.45  
Charlton         17   16   -7      51.93     9.37   -14.26     0.00     0.01     1.08     0.21P   16.19R    1.84  
Southampton      17   16  -11      42.10     8.51   -35.60     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   55.76R   12.90  
Watford          17   15   -7      51.91     9.23   -14.89     0.00     0.00     1.13     0.19P   15.60R    2.07  
Nottm_Forest     17   12  -12      44.09     9.17   -24.35     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   45.08R   10.61  
Doncaster        17   12  -15      31.75     7.59   -43.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.34R   65.87  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 November 2008, Carlisle vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe       16   33  +12      83.72    10.16    28.27    11.65    24.55    70.29    34.92P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        16   32  +13      89.64     9.62    39.89    25.85    47.53    87.52    59.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Millwall         16   32   +5      82.03    10.20    19.60     7.87    18.66    63.94    27.77P    0.02R    0.00  
MK_Dons          15   31  +15      91.11    10.14    44.47    33.41    53.84    88.98    64.18P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            16   29   +8      75.32    10.00    16.49     2.40     6.68    38.50    14.17P    0.07R    0.00  
Oldham           16   28  +10      82.96    10.05    33.46     9.30    21.96    69.13    34.84P    0.03R    0.00  
Peterborough     15   26  +11      78.52    10.50    28.05     5.65    13.54    52.26    24.57P    0.06R    0.00  
Southend         16   26   +1      66.89    10.09    -0.20     0.34     1.20    13.50     3.46P    0.88R    0.01  
Stockport        16   25   +6      74.05    10.14    18.26     1.43     4.77    34.52    13.53P    0.13R    0.00  
Walsall          15   24   +4      70.06    10.71     9.76     1.08     3.28    23.00     7.54P    0.55R    0.01  
Tranmere         16   24   +2      67.64    10.03     5.47     0.33     1.17    15.16     4.08P    0.78R    0.01  
Hartlepool       16   23   +2      68.87    10.22     9.29     0.42     1.69    18.80     5.24P    0.62R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   16   20   +4      61.96    10.21     4.29     0.12     0.40     6.78     1.84P    2.75R    0.08  
Huddersfield     16   20   -5      59.56    10.07    -8.97     0.03     0.16     3.55     0.75P    5.47R    0.17  
Brighton         16   19   -2      55.82    10.02    -9.45     0.01     0.07     1.91     0.47P    9.26R    0.35  
Northampton      15   17   -1      60.79    10.64     0.70     0.06     0.27     5.54     1.47P    4.71R    0.16  
Swindon          15   17   -4      59.21    10.83    -5.92     0.05     0.22     4.53     1.12P    7.08R    0.33  
Carlisle         16   17   -8      49.66     9.83   -25.16     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.08P   25.54R    1.77  
Leyton_Orient    16   16   -9      46.59     9.67   -24.54     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P   36.21R    3.50  
Colchester       15   15   -4      54.53    10.20   -11.17     0.00     0.02     1.43     0.30P   13.06R    0.73  
Yeovil           16   15  -10      43.82     9.32   -28.55     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   48.11R    5.77  
Hereford         16   12  -12      35.41     8.48   -37.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.56R   24.34  
Cheltenham       16   11  -21      36.98     8.97   -53.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.95R   23.62  
Crewe            16    9  -17      33.11     8.72   -53.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   87.15R   39.16  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 November 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Darlington           16   31  +15      89.60     9.55    45.23    33.75    71.51    94.68    77.83P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              15   31  +10      89.59     9.81    32.26    32.53    70.07    94.39    78.49P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           16   27  +18      84.39     9.45    45.13    16.16    52.59    88.02    64.33P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             16   27   +9      75.66     9.95    21.07     3.54    18.67    60.45    28.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford            16   27   +8      76.09     9.89    20.25     3.46    19.16    61.77    31.47P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             16   27   +7      74.80    10.19    18.86     2.81    16.85    56.52    25.07P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           16   27   +4      69.06     9.99     6.02     0.82     6.54    33.39    11.74P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               16   27   +3      68.06     9.79     3.78     0.58     5.02    29.26     9.78P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 16   25   +4      70.83    10.10    12.04     1.30     8.88    40.76    15.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            16   24  +11      75.76    10.18    28.91     3.85    20.35    61.75    31.51P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         16   22   +5      68.87    10.19    14.87     0.93     6.56    34.66    12.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         16   22   +1      61.98    10.04     0.15     0.10     1.47    13.76     4.31P    0.08R    0.01  
Aldershot            16   21   -8      56.71     9.71   -17.83     0.02     0.28     4.77     0.95P    0.37R    0.04  
Port_Vale            16   19   -8      51.54     9.50   -21.69     0.00     0.07     1.69     0.35P    1.21R    0.21  
Notts_County         16   18   +1      61.60     9.85     5.46     0.12     1.26    12.69     3.97P    0.09R    0.02  
Accrington_Stanley   16   18   -2      57.74     9.96    -3.41     0.04     0.54     6.92     1.95P    0.30R    0.05  
Morecambe            16   16   -8      47.98     9.71   -23.89     0.00     0.03     0.77     0.16P    3.58R    0.82  
Macclesfield         15   14  -14      42.99     9.70   -39.33     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.04P   10.00R    2.75  
Chester              16   13  -14      41.82     9.57   -38.29     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   11.65R    3.56  
Barnet               16   13  -16      41.80     9.46   -39.79     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   12.24R    3.80  
Rotherham            16    9   +4      53.49    10.09     9.58     0.00     0.14     3.19     1.13P    0.98R    0.25  
Grimsby              16    9  -19      30.61     8.32   -51.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.44R   25.39  
Bournemouth          15   -3   -8      32.17    10.22   -19.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   44.04R   23.89  
Luton                15  -11   -3      27.59    10.10    -8.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   62.02R   39.21  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 November 2008, Crawley_Town vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        19   37   +9      79.22     8.94    17.12     7.87    50.09    15.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Torquay              18   34  +10      85.33     9.14    29.74    24.12    75.57    38.51P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               17   34  +10      83.70     9.61    25.02    19.75    68.27    32.69P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        18   33  +10      80.20     9.56    24.39    11.79    55.61    22.14P    0.01R    0.00  
Kettering            18   32   +8      77.24     9.25    18.54     6.13    42.38    15.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         18   31  +11      78.64     9.25    25.80     8.27    49.76    19.29P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        18   31   +6      75.37     9.27    15.16     4.00    34.44    12.07P    0.02R    0.00  
Wrexham              17   30  +11      81.54     9.72    30.95    15.34    61.54    27.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage            18   28   +0      65.03     9.07    -2.77     0.31     7.00     1.51P    0.40R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D'monds    19   26   +4      69.74     8.92    14.47     0.64    15.23     4.73P    0.14R    0.00  
Weymouth             19   26   -2      60.96     9.08    -6.38     0.09     2.75     0.56P    1.62R    0.05  
Altrincham           18   25   -3      59.25     9.11    -8.79     0.06     2.10     0.47P    2.65R    0.09  
Mansfield            18   24   +2      66.82     9.48     9.29     0.57    10.78     2.92P    0.45R    0.02  
Barrow               18   24   -4      58.59     9.07   -11.42     0.06     1.75     0.35P    3.14R    0.11  
Ebbsfleet_United     18   23   +3      65.46     9.43     9.52     0.33     8.41     2.36P    0.55R    0.01  
York                 18   23   +0      67.12     9.57     9.33     0.61    11.38     3.13P    0.43R    0.01  
Salisbury            18   23   -4      56.89     9.19   -10.65     0.02     1.15     0.24P    4.84R    0.19  
Oxford_Utd           18   22   -3      57.77     9.31    -6.97     0.03     1.45     0.30P    3.96R    0.15  
Eastbourne_Borough   18   21   -9      51.88     8.88   -22.72     0.00     0.26     0.05P   12.12R    0.92  
Woking               18   17   -7      43.84     8.57   -21.75     0.00     0.03     0.01P   39.34R    5.02  
Forest_Green         18   16  -11      45.84     8.83   -27.24     0.00     0.05     0.01P   32.27R    3.64  
Grays_Athletic       18   15  -10      40.28     8.40   -29.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.02R    9.91  
Northwich            19   14   -9      42.59     8.49   -23.66     0.00     0.01     0.00P   45.19R    6.49  
Lewes                18   11  -22      28.80     7.25   -57.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.85R   73.37