Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 14 November 2008 at 22:33:49 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 November 2008, Aston_Villa vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         12   29  +25      96.35     5.81    84.84    90.25    98.88    99.86    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       12   29  +11      82.29     8.68    38.53     7.63    65.25    86.94    95.38    99.24     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         12   23  +12      66.93     9.28    25.56     0.42     7.83    26.95    52.72    79.75     0.04R    0.00  
Man_Utd         11   21  +10      73.89     9.65    35.78     1.64    23.79    60.30    78.58    92.37     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   20   +4      61.19     9.70    12.72     0.04     2.39    12.21    27.94    58.60     0.35R    0.02  
Hull            12   20   -2      53.50     9.51    -7.28     0.01     0.45     2.52     8.05    26.95     2.57R    0.25  
Everton         12   18   -2      49.24     9.57   -13.09     0.01     0.10     0.90     3.74    15.71     7.10R    1.11  
Middlesbrough   12   17   -4      47.43     9.46   -13.02     0.00     0.11     0.74     2.54    11.00    10.00R    1.77  
Portsmouth      12   17   -5      51.92     9.66    -6.51     0.00     0.27     1.81     6.19    21.88     4.60R    0.74  
Fulham          11   14   +0      43.78     9.57    -9.77     0.00     0.05     0.33     1.26     6.67    17.68R    3.86  
Bolton          12   14   -2      43.03     8.78   -11.01     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.54     4.24    17.76R    3.60  
Stoke           12   14   -6      46.63     9.51   -11.88     0.00     0.03     0.50     1.97     9.49    12.22R    2.73  
Man_City        12   13   +4      55.98     9.57    16.24     0.00     0.67     4.90    13.99    39.49     1.83R    0.31  
West_Ham        12   13   -6      38.70     8.75   -26.71     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.20     1.67    35.85R   10.75  
Blackburn       12   13   -9      38.78     8.84   -28.41     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.21     1.85    36.08R   11.00  
Tottenham       12   12   -3      49.43     9.81    -0.51     0.00     0.10     1.12     3.95    16.51     7.67R    1.71  
Wigan           12   12   -3      46.28     9.57    -5.77     0.00     0.05     0.60     2.09     9.56    11.93R    2.79  
Newcastle       12   12   -5      39.09     8.89   -21.43     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.22     1.96    33.24R    9.60  
Sunderland      12   12   -8      40.52     9.30   -19.18     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.44     2.89    29.52R    9.09  
West_Brom       12   11  -11      31.10     8.08   -39.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18    71.55R   40.67  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 November 2008, Swansea vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    16   37  +14      94.68     9.36    45.83    45.05    74.33    97.56    79.21P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       16   31   +8      80.10    10.13    19.92     6.06    17.26    70.20    31.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Reading          16   30  +20      93.26     8.78    60.85    39.22    72.61    97.68    81.11P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        16   28  +11      80.49     9.78    27.54     6.08    17.76    73.15    36.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          16   26   +1      72.41     9.80     9.52     0.60     3.43    40.02    10.68P    0.13R    0.00  
Cardiff          16   25   +5      68.03     9.86     8.11     0.42     1.78    25.29     7.20P    0.34R    0.00  
QPR              16   25   +1      67.12    10.18     3.24     0.34     1.53    22.38     6.19P    0.67R    0.01  
Ipswich          16   24   +8      73.68     9.67    21.56     1.12     4.98    47.27    16.27P    0.05R    0.00  
Swansea          16   24   +3      68.61     9.78     8.85     0.24     1.53    27.01     7.08P    0.36R    0.01  
Bristol_City     16   24   +2      69.45    10.11     8.85     0.49     2.41    30.28     8.70P    0.36R    0.00  
Plymouth         16   22   +0      65.61     9.78     3.96     0.12     0.72    18.05     4.40P    0.93R    0.04  
Sheff_Wed        16   22   -8      57.20     9.88   -17.44     0.01     0.09     4.30     0.69P    7.17R    0.29  
Derby            16   21   -1      60.19    10.26    -4.74     0.06     0.37     8.63     1.90P    3.75R    0.13  
Preston          16   21   -2      60.72     9.59    -4.77     0.03     0.20     7.91     1.61P    2.64R    0.08  
Blackpool        16   21   -3      57.63     9.94   -11.32     0.02     0.18     4.71     1.00P    6.35R    0.27  
Crystal_Palace   16   20   +2      64.52     9.79     7.76     0.10     0.61    15.80     4.40P    1.04R    0.03  
Coventry         16   20   -2      56.59     9.96    -9.13     0.02     0.13     4.02     0.84P    7.20R    0.33  
Barnsley         16   18   -4      49.30     9.84   -20.36     0.00     0.01     0.98     0.18P   24.61R    1.65  
Norwich          16   17   -5      52.12     9.64   -16.50     0.00     0.02     1.45     0.25P   15.61R    1.01  
Charlton         16   16   -6      51.82     9.59   -15.07     0.00     0.01     1.33     0.28P   16.61R    1.02  
Southampton      16   16  -10      42.81     9.13   -36.55     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   52.13R    7.57  
Watford          16   15   -6      53.38     9.56   -13.67     0.00     0.02     1.78     0.34P   12.67R    0.91  
Nottm_Forest     16   11  -12      42.40     9.31   -27.26     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   51.36R    9.49  
Doncaster        16    9  -16      27.68     7.43   -49.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.00R   77.18  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 14 November 2008, Bristol_Rovers vs Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe       16   33  +12      82.88    10.10    26.67    10.24    22.37    66.64    32.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        15   31  +13      91.91     9.88    42.67    36.58    57.35    90.40    67.51P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            15   29   +9      79.55    10.48    22.16     6.26    14.71    54.15    24.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall         15   29   +4      80.61    10.47    19.10     6.64    16.23    57.54    24.59P    0.04R    0.00  
MK_Dons          14   28  +13      87.68    10.77    38.98    22.49    41.15    80.48    52.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           15   25   +9      81.12    10.33    32.37     7.16    17.70    61.64    29.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Stockport        15   25   +7      76.10    10.53    20.28     2.78     8.22    41.81    18.15P    0.09R    0.00  
Southend         15   25   +1      65.55    10.43    -3.40     0.36     1.14    11.19     2.96P    1.41R    0.01  
Peterborough     14   23  +10      76.28    11.03    26.09     4.50    10.86    43.59    20.02P    0.13R    0.00  
Hartlepool       15   23   +4      71.90    10.55    14.31     1.34     4.15    27.35     9.28P    0.28R    0.00  
Tranmere         15   23   +2      69.55    10.56     7.98     0.67     2.32    20.16     6.34P    0.47R    0.00  
Walsall          14   21   +2      65.34    11.03     1.93     0.37     1.41    12.50     3.74P    1.88R    0.04  
Bristol_Rovers   16   20   +4      62.00    10.11     4.33     0.10     0.38     6.25     1.70P    2.54R    0.03  
Brighton         15   19   +0      59.77    10.60    -3.00     0.07     0.32     4.70     1.31P    4.81R    0.10  
Northampton      14   17   +0      63.97    11.27     4.59     0.28     1.04    10.68     3.30P    2.84R    0.08  
Huddersfield     15   17   -6      56.11    10.43   -13.28     0.01     0.08     1.97     0.44P   10.04R    0.47  
Swindon          14   16   -4      58.39    11.09    -8.24     0.07     0.28     4.05     1.05P    8.22R    0.36  
Colchester       14   15   -2      59.05    10.75    -3.65     0.06     0.28     4.45     1.20P    6.25R    0.27  
Yeovil           15   15   -9      45.08     9.71   -28.53     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.05P   41.25R    3.98  
Carlisle         15   14  -10      45.47    10.01   -32.19     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P   40.85R    4.13  
Leyton_Orient    15   13  -11      41.41     9.81   -32.71     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   56.71R    9.12  
Cheltenham       15   11  -18      42.10     9.84   -42.79     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   54.67R    9.99  
Crewe            15    9  -15      36.62     9.24   -47.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    75.22R   20.67  
Hereford         15    9  -15      29.98     8.15   -46.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.28R   50.73  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 14 November 2008, Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Darlington           15   28  +13      86.04     9.89    40.01    21.12    54.03    87.71    63.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              14   28   +9      89.55    10.28    33.98    33.33    65.94    92.46    74.99P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           16   27  +18      82.71     9.44    42.67    12.63    41.24    82.22    53.92P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             15   27   +8      74.40    10.35    17.14     3.21    14.59    50.65    21.47P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               15   27   +4      70.21    10.24     5.82     1.29     7.15    34.00    12.08P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             15   26   +9      79.72    10.29    28.05     7.82    29.20    71.13    38.56P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 15   25   +6      79.47    10.25    26.01     7.28    28.17    70.21    38.65P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            15   24  +12      81.12    10.25    37.26     9.72    35.41    76.16    46.49P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            15   24   +5      72.59    10.35    14.63     1.75    10.42    43.67    19.27P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham           15   24   +0      61.26    10.27    -8.13     0.17     1.51    11.22     3.13P    0.04R    0.00  
Chesterfield         16   22   +5      70.59    10.12    18.35     1.13     7.44    37.42    13.86P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         15   22   +3      65.03    10.61     4.41     0.42     3.19    19.48     6.92P    0.01R    0.01  
Port_Vale            15   19   -5      54.24     9.97   -16.37     0.02     0.22     3.16     0.68P    0.41R    0.04  
Aldershot            15   18   -9      52.81     9.87   -23.78     0.01     0.10     2.05     0.39P    0.73R    0.08  
Notts_County         15   15   -3      54.59    10.07    -7.41     0.01     0.18     3.05     0.82P    0.48R    0.09  
Accrington_Stanley   15   15   -5      51.80    10.02   -12.96     0.00     0.08     1.75     0.41P    0.95R    0.14  
Morecambe            15   13   -9      45.50    10.09   -26.85     0.00     0.02     0.45     0.10P    4.91R    1.00  
Barnet               15   13  -12      47.96    10.36   -26.41     0.00     0.03     0.78     0.14P    3.14R    0.56  
Chester              15   13  -13      46.27    10.15   -31.55     0.00     0.02     0.47     0.09P    4.06R    0.81  
Macclesfield         14   13  -14      39.46     9.58   -49.29     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   13.03R    2.86  
Rotherham            15    9   +8      61.04    10.41    23.26     0.08     1.04    11.78     5.02P    0.13R    0.01  
Grimsby              15    6  -21      24.82     7.99   -61.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.28R   37.51  
Bournemouth          14   -3   -5      36.35    10.62   -11.72     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   22.52R    8.01  
Luton                14  -14   -4      22.44    10.35   -15.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.30R   48.88  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 November 2008, Northwich vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        18   34   +8      78.93     9.20    18.47     9.39    50.41    17.59P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering            17   32   +9      79.80     9.64    21.50    12.31    54.35    23.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Torquay              17   31   +9      82.49     9.55    26.86    18.66    65.60    31.75P    0.00R    0.00  
Histon               16   31   +9      80.91    10.18    22.49    15.76    58.48    26.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         17   30  +11      80.52     9.54    28.20    13.84    58.53    25.92P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster        17   30   +9      76.47     9.85    19.96     7.44    41.18    15.24P    0.02R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        17   30   +6      74.94     9.53    14.10     4.59    33.87    12.22P    0.03R    0.00  
Wrexham              16   27   +9      78.77    10.26    26.97    12.12    51.68    21.98P    0.02R    0.00  
Stevenage            17   27   +0      67.17     9.51     0.26     0.84    11.70     2.71P    0.35R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D'monds    18   26   +5      72.44     9.35    17.49     2.35    25.60     8.91P    0.08R    0.00  
Weymouth             18   26   +0      64.44     9.59    -0.56     0.37     7.38     1.80P    0.72R    0.02  
Barrow               17   24   -3      59.75     9.46   -11.15     0.12     2.74     0.56P    2.68R    0.12  
York                 17   23   +1      68.91     9.91    10.95     1.32    16.52     5.14P    0.30R    0.01  
Salisbury            17   23   -1      59.66     9.55    -5.54     0.10     2.92     0.78P    2.40R    0.10  
Oxford_Utd           17   22   -1      61.83     9.70    -0.70     0.19     4.70     1.22P    1.68R    0.04  
Altrincham           17   22   -5      55.09     9.39   -14.14     0.04     1.02     0.24P    6.85R    0.40  
Mansfield            17   21   -1      62.02     9.89     0.94     0.21     5.15     1.31P    1.75R    0.10  
Ebbsfleet_United     17   20   +2      63.93     9.78     8.78     0.34     7.28     2.07P    1.00R    0.03  
Eastbourne_Borough   17   20   -9      53.15     9.40   -21.59     0.01     0.58     0.11P   10.49R    0.85  
Woking               17   16   -7      44.06     9.01   -22.78     0.00     0.04     0.01P   37.76R    4.73  
Forest_Green         17   16   -9      49.73     9.43   -20.30     0.01     0.25     0.05P   17.98R    1.77  
Northwich            18   13   -9      41.43     8.76   -26.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.91R    8.23  
Grays_Athletic       17   12  -12      36.51     8.59   -34.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.07R   20.47  
Lewes                17   11  -21      29.58     7.59   -58.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.89R   63.10