Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 14 November 2008 at 22:33:49 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 November 2008, Aston_Villa vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 12 29 +25 96.35 5.81 84.84 90.25 98.88 99.86 99.99 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 12 29 +11 82.29 8.68 38.53 7.63 65.25 86.94 95.38 99.24 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 12 23 +12 66.93 9.28 25.56 0.42 7.83 26.95 52.72 79.75 0.04R 0.00 Man_Utd 11 21 +10 73.89 9.65 35.78 1.64 23.79 60.30 78.58 92.37 0.01R 0.00 Aston_Villa 12 20 +4 61.19 9.70 12.72 0.04 2.39 12.21 27.94 58.60 0.35R 0.02 Hull 12 20 -2 53.50 9.51 -7.28 0.01 0.45 2.52 8.05 26.95 2.57R 0.25 Everton 12 18 -2 49.24 9.57 -13.09 0.01 0.10 0.90 3.74 15.71 7.10R 1.11 Middlesbrough 12 17 -4 47.43 9.46 -13.02 0.00 0.11 0.74 2.54 11.00 10.00R 1.77 Portsmouth 12 17 -5 51.92 9.66 -6.51 0.00 0.27 1.81 6.19 21.88 4.60R 0.74 Fulham 11 14 +0 43.78 9.57 -9.77 0.00 0.05 0.33 1.26 6.67 17.68R 3.86 Bolton 12 14 -2 43.03 8.78 -11.01 0.00 0.01 0.10 0.54 4.24 17.76R 3.60 Stoke 12 14 -6 46.63 9.51 -11.88 0.00 0.03 0.50 1.97 9.49 12.22R 2.73 Man_City 12 13 +4 55.98 9.57 16.24 0.00 0.67 4.90 13.99 39.49 1.83R 0.31 West_Ham 12 13 -6 38.70 8.75 -26.71 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.20 1.67 35.85R 10.75 Blackburn 12 13 -9 38.78 8.84 -28.41 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.21 1.85 36.08R 11.00 Tottenham 12 12 -3 49.43 9.81 -0.51 0.00 0.10 1.12 3.95 16.51 7.67R 1.71 Wigan 12 12 -3 46.28 9.57 -5.77 0.00 0.05 0.60 2.09 9.56 11.93R 2.79 Newcastle 12 12 -5 39.09 8.89 -21.43 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.22 1.96 33.24R 9.60 Sunderland 12 12 -8 40.52 9.30 -19.18 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.44 2.89 29.52R 9.09 West_Brom 12 11 -11 31.10 8.08 -39.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.18 71.55R 40.67Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 November 2008, Swansea vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 16 37 +14 94.68 9.36 45.83 45.05 74.33 97.56 79.21P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 16 31 +8 80.10 10.13 19.92 6.06 17.26 70.20 31.06P 0.00R 0.00 Reading 16 30 +20 93.26 8.78 60.85 39.22 72.61 97.68 81.11P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 16 28 +11 80.49 9.78 27.54 6.08 17.76 73.15 36.57P 0.01R 0.00 Burnley 16 26 +1 72.41 9.80 9.52 0.60 3.43 40.02 10.68P 0.13R 0.00 Cardiff 16 25 +5 68.03 9.86 8.11 0.42 1.78 25.29 7.20P 0.34R 0.00 QPR 16 25 +1 67.12 10.18 3.24 0.34 1.53 22.38 6.19P 0.67R 0.01 Ipswich 16 24 +8 73.68 9.67 21.56 1.12 4.98 47.27 16.27P 0.05R 0.00 Swansea 16 24 +3 68.61 9.78 8.85 0.24 1.53 27.01 7.08P 0.36R 0.01 Bristol_City 16 24 +2 69.45 10.11 8.85 0.49 2.41 30.28 8.70P 0.36R 0.00 Plymouth 16 22 +0 65.61 9.78 3.96 0.12 0.72 18.05 4.40P 0.93R 0.04 Sheff_Wed 16 22 -8 57.20 9.88 -17.44 0.01 0.09 4.30 0.69P 7.17R 0.29 Derby 16 21 -1 60.19 10.26 -4.74 0.06 0.37 8.63 1.90P 3.75R 0.13 Preston 16 21 -2 60.72 9.59 -4.77 0.03 0.20 7.91 1.61P 2.64R 0.08 Blackpool 16 21 -3 57.63 9.94 -11.32 0.02 0.18 4.71 1.00P 6.35R 0.27 Crystal_Palace 16 20 +2 64.52 9.79 7.76 0.10 0.61 15.80 4.40P 1.04R 0.03 Coventry 16 20 -2 56.59 9.96 -9.13 0.02 0.13 4.02 0.84P 7.20R 0.33 Barnsley 16 18 -4 49.30 9.84 -20.36 0.00 0.01 0.98 0.18P 24.61R 1.65 Norwich 16 17 -5 52.12 9.64 -16.50 0.00 0.02 1.45 0.25P 15.61R 1.01 Charlton 16 16 -6 51.82 9.59 -15.07 0.00 0.01 1.33 0.28P 16.61R 1.02 Southampton 16 16 -10 42.81 9.13 -36.55 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.02P 52.13R 7.57 Watford 16 15 -6 53.38 9.56 -13.67 0.00 0.02 1.78 0.34P 12.67R 0.91 Nottm_Forest 16 11 -12 42.40 9.31 -27.26 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 51.36R 9.49 Doncaster 16 9 -16 27.68 7.43 -49.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.00R 77.18League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Friday 14 November 2008, Bristol_Rovers vs Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Scunthorpe 16 33 +12 82.88 10.10 26.67 10.24 22.37 66.64 32.05P 0.01R 0.00 Leicester 15 31 +13 91.91 9.88 42.67 36.58 57.35 90.40 67.51P 0.00 0.00 Leeds 15 29 +9 79.55 10.48 22.16 6.26 14.71 54.15 24.27P 0.01R 0.00 Millwall 15 29 +4 80.61 10.47 19.10 6.64 16.23 57.54 24.59P 0.04R 0.00 MK_Dons 14 28 +13 87.68 10.77 38.98 22.49 41.15 80.48 52.43P 0.00R 0.00 Oldham 15 25 +9 81.12 10.33 32.37 7.16 17.70 61.64 29.54P 0.01R 0.00 Stockport 15 25 +7 76.10 10.53 20.28 2.78 8.22 41.81 18.15P 0.09R 0.00 Southend 15 25 +1 65.55 10.43 -3.40 0.36 1.14 11.19 2.96P 1.41R 0.01 Peterborough 14 23 +10 76.28 11.03 26.09 4.50 10.86 43.59 20.02P 0.13R 0.00 Hartlepool 15 23 +4 71.90 10.55 14.31 1.34 4.15 27.35 9.28P 0.28R 0.00 Tranmere 15 23 +2 69.55 10.56 7.98 0.67 2.32 20.16 6.34P 0.47R 0.00 Walsall 14 21 +2 65.34 11.03 1.93 0.37 1.41 12.50 3.74P 1.88R 0.04 Bristol_Rovers 16 20 +4 62.00 10.11 4.33 0.10 0.38 6.25 1.70P 2.54R 0.03 Brighton 15 19 +0 59.77 10.60 -3.00 0.07 0.32 4.70 1.31P 4.81R 0.10 Northampton 14 17 +0 63.97 11.27 4.59 0.28 1.04 10.68 3.30P 2.84R 0.08 Huddersfield 15 17 -6 56.11 10.43 -13.28 0.01 0.08 1.97 0.44P 10.04R 0.47 Swindon 14 16 -4 58.39 11.09 -8.24 0.07 0.28 4.05 1.05P 8.22R 0.36 Colchester 14 15 -2 59.05 10.75 -3.65 0.06 0.28 4.45 1.20P 6.25R 0.27 Yeovil 15 15 -9 45.08 9.71 -28.53 0.00 0.01 0.16 0.05P 41.25R 3.98 Carlisle 15 14 -10 45.47 10.01 -32.19 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.04P 40.85R 4.13 Leyton_Orient 15 13 -11 41.41 9.81 -32.71 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 56.71R 9.12 Cheltenham 15 11 -18 42.10 9.84 -42.79 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 54.67R 9.99 Crewe 15 9 -15 36.62 9.24 -47.25 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 75.22R 20.67 Hereford 15 9 -15 29.98 8.15 -46.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.28R 50.73League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Friday 14 November 2008, Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Darlington 15 28 +13 86.04 9.89 40.01 21.12 54.03 87.71 63.00P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 14 28 +9 89.55 10.28 33.98 33.33 65.94 92.46 74.99P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 16 27 +18 82.71 9.44 42.67 12.63 41.24 82.22 53.92P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 15 27 +8 74.40 10.35 17.14 3.21 14.59 50.65 21.47P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 15 27 +4 70.21 10.24 5.82 1.29 7.15 34.00 12.08P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 15 26 +9 79.72 10.29 28.05 7.82 29.20 71.13 38.56P 0.00 0.00 Bury 15 25 +6 79.47 10.25 26.01 7.28 28.17 70.21 38.65P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 15 24 +12 81.12 10.25 37.26 9.72 35.41 76.16 46.49P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 15 24 +5 72.59 10.35 14.63 1.75 10.42 43.67 19.27P 0.00R 0.00 Gillingham 15 24 +0 61.26 10.27 -8.13 0.17 1.51 11.22 3.13P 0.04R 0.00 Chesterfield 16 22 +5 70.59 10.12 18.35 1.13 7.44 37.42 13.86P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 15 22 +3 65.03 10.61 4.41 0.42 3.19 19.48 6.92P 0.01R 0.01 Port_Vale 15 19 -5 54.24 9.97 -16.37 0.02 0.22 3.16 0.68P 0.41R 0.04 Aldershot 15 18 -9 52.81 9.87 -23.78 0.01 0.10 2.05 0.39P 0.73R 0.08 Notts_County 15 15 -3 54.59 10.07 -7.41 0.01 0.18 3.05 0.82P 0.48R 0.09 Accrington_Stanley 15 15 -5 51.80 10.02 -12.96 0.00 0.08 1.75 0.41P 0.95R 0.14 Morecambe 15 13 -9 45.50 10.09 -26.85 0.00 0.02 0.45 0.10P 4.91R 1.00 Barnet 15 13 -12 47.96 10.36 -26.41 0.00 0.03 0.78 0.14P 3.14R 0.56 Chester 15 13 -13 46.27 10.15 -31.55 0.00 0.02 0.47 0.09P 4.06R 0.81 Macclesfield 14 13 -14 39.46 9.58 -49.29 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.01P 13.03R 2.86 Rotherham 15 9 +8 61.04 10.41 23.26 0.08 1.04 11.78 5.02P 0.13R 0.01 Grimsby 15 6 -21 24.82 7.99 -61.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.28R 37.51 Bournemouth 14 -3 -5 36.35 10.62 -11.72 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 22.52R 8.01 Luton 14 -14 -4 22.44 10.35 -15.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.30R 48.88 Adjustments: Rotherham -17 Bournemouth -17 Luton -30Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 November 2008, Northwich vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Burton_Albion 18 34 +8 78.93 9.20 18.47 9.39 50.41 17.59P 0.00 0.00 Kettering 17 32 +9 79.80 9.64 21.50 12.31 54.35 23.49P 0.01R 0.00 Torquay 17 31 +9 82.49 9.55 26.86 18.66 65.60 31.75P 0.00R 0.00 Histon 16 31 +9 80.91 10.18 22.49 15.76 58.48 26.91P 0.01R 0.00 Crawley_Town 17 30 +11 80.52 9.54 28.20 13.84 58.53 25.92P 0.00R 0.00 Kidderminster 17 30 +9 76.47 9.85 19.96 7.44 41.18 15.24P 0.02R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 17 30 +6 74.94 9.53 14.10 4.59 33.87 12.22P 0.03R 0.00 Wrexham 16 27 +9 78.77 10.26 26.97 12.12 51.68 21.98P 0.02R 0.00 Stevenage 17 27 +0 67.17 9.51 0.26 0.84 11.70 2.71P 0.35R 0.01 Rushden_&_D'monds 18 26 +5 72.44 9.35 17.49 2.35 25.60 8.91P 0.08R 0.00 Weymouth 18 26 +0 64.44 9.59 -0.56 0.37 7.38 1.80P 0.72R 0.02 Barrow 17 24 -3 59.75 9.46 -11.15 0.12 2.74 0.56P 2.68R 0.12 York 17 23 +1 68.91 9.91 10.95 1.32 16.52 5.14P 0.30R 0.01 Salisbury 17 23 -1 59.66 9.55 -5.54 0.10 2.92 0.78P 2.40R 0.10 Oxford_Utd 17 22 -1 61.83 9.70 -0.70 0.19 4.70 1.22P 1.68R 0.04 Altrincham 17 22 -5 55.09 9.39 -14.14 0.04 1.02 0.24P 6.85R 0.40 Mansfield 17 21 -1 62.02 9.89 0.94 0.21 5.15 1.31P 1.75R 0.10 Ebbsfleet_United 17 20 +2 63.93 9.78 8.78 0.34 7.28 2.07P 1.00R 0.03 Eastbourne_Borough 17 20 -9 53.15 9.40 -21.59 0.01 0.58 0.11P 10.49R 0.85 Woking 17 16 -7 44.06 9.01 -22.78 0.00 0.04 0.01P 37.76R 4.73 Forest_Green 17 16 -9 49.73 9.43 -20.30 0.01 0.25 0.05P 17.98R 1.77 Northwich 18 13 -9 41.43 8.76 -26.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.91R 8.23 Grays_Athletic 17 12 -12 36.51 8.59 -34.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.07R 20.47 Lewes 17 11 -21 29.58 7.59 -58.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.89R 63.10