Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 13 November 2008 at 22:34:08 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 November 2008, Aston_Villa vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         12   29  +25      96.21     5.82    84.60    89.66    98.88    99.85    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       12   29  +11      82.47     8.81    38.88     8.10    65.36    86.68    95.05    99.03     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         12   23  +12      67.04     9.52    25.87     0.48     8.39    27.46    53.25    79.41     0.05R    0.00  
Man_Utd         11   21  +10      73.78     9.76    35.62     1.69    22.99    59.39    77.75    92.09     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   20   +4      61.35     9.61    13.00     0.05     2.36    12.18    28.23    59.41     0.38R    0.03  
Hull            12   20   -2      53.75     9.64    -6.91     0.01     0.61     2.85     8.60    27.80     2.32R    0.26  
Everton         12   18   -2      49.31     9.59   -12.92     0.00     0.14     1.07     3.83    15.92     6.60R    0.96  
Middlesbrough   12   17   -4      47.72     9.49   -12.55     0.00     0.08     0.79     2.74    11.59     9.54R    1.57  
Portsmouth      12   17   -5      51.37     9.68    -7.34     0.00     0.20     1.68     5.53    20.28     5.21R    0.90  
Fulham          11   14   +0      44.10     9.39    -9.32     0.00     0.03     0.28     1.10     6.69    15.70R    3.42  
Bolton          12   14   -2      42.79     8.91   -11.25     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.59     4.31    18.45R    3.87  
Stoke           12   14   -6      46.91     9.57   -11.51     0.00     0.05     0.61     2.20     9.87    11.78R    2.58  
Man_City        12   13   +4      55.90     9.71    16.10     0.00     0.69     5.04    14.03    39.11     1.99R    0.33  
West_Ham        12   13   -6      38.82     8.88   -26.66     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.21     1.95    35.23R   10.47  
Blackburn       12   13   -9      38.54     8.98   -28.90     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.21     1.75    37.18R   11.44  
Tottenham       12   12   -3      49.54     9.78    -0.30     0.00     0.11     1.22     3.97    16.65     7.35R    1.57  
Wigan           12   12   -3      46.09     9.69    -5.99     0.00     0.08     0.55     2.06     9.21    12.82R    3.18  
Newcastle       12   12   -5      38.78     8.97   -22.09     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.23     1.95    34.55R   10.16  
Sunderland      12   12   -8      40.24     9.43   -19.68     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.44     2.79    30.78R   10.40  
West_Brom       12   11  -11      31.32     8.15   -38.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.19    70.08R   38.86  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 November 2008, Swansea vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    16   37  +14      94.65     9.22    45.76    45.29    74.46    97.69    79.05P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       16   31   +8      79.77    10.39    19.47     6.25    17.23    67.98    30.41P    0.02R    0.00  
Reading          16   30  +20      92.82     8.99    59.94    37.94    70.93    97.02    79.25P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        16   28  +11      80.49     9.90    27.53     6.52    18.41    72.75    36.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          16   26   +1      72.19     9.85     9.18     0.72     3.40    39.23    10.83P    0.14R    0.01  
Cardiff          16   25   +5      68.58     9.99     8.88     0.55     2.28    27.15     8.38P    0.28R    0.00  
QPR              16   25   +1      67.31    10.24     3.49     0.38     1.63    23.15     6.30P    0.60R    0.01  
Ipswich          16   24   +8      73.95     9.65    22.09     1.14     5.20    48.78    17.07P    0.08R    0.00  
Swansea          16   24   +3      69.13     9.79     9.69     0.27     1.69    28.59     7.91P    0.32R    0.01  
Bristol_City     16   24   +2      69.50    10.14     8.83     0.55     2.36    30.31     8.54P    0.35R    0.00  
Plymouth         16   22   +0      65.73     9.88     4.13     0.15     0.89    18.21     4.65P    0.89R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed        16   22   -8      56.90     9.75   -17.94     0.00     0.07     3.63     0.58P    7.33R    0.32  
Derby            16   21   -1      60.07    10.23    -4.83     0.07     0.36     8.34     1.99P    3.79R    0.16  
Preston          16   21   -2      60.73     9.77    -4.70     0.04     0.21     8.19     1.66P    2.92R    0.11  
Blackpool        16   21   -3      57.39     9.85   -11.70     0.04     0.16     4.38     0.92P    6.42R    0.25  
Crystal_Palace   16   20   +2      63.93     9.79     6.96     0.05     0.53    14.55     3.96P    1.27R    0.04  
Coventry         16   20   -2      56.47    10.02    -9.32     0.01     0.12     4.16     0.88P    7.58R    0.33  
Barnsley         16   18   -4      49.24     9.85   -20.34     0.01     0.01     0.94     0.21P   25.14R    1.61  
Norwich          16   17   -5      52.17     9.82   -16.36     0.01     0.03     1.53     0.31P   16.22R    1.02  
Charlton         16   16   -6      51.69     9.76   -15.22     0.00     0.02     1.32     0.28P   17.17R    1.38  
Southampton      16   16  -10      43.19     9.00   -35.90     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   49.95R    6.96  
Watford          16   15   -6      53.66     9.70   -13.16     0.01     0.03     1.87     0.34P   12.39R    1.03  
Nottm_Forest     16   11  -12      42.50     9.45   -27.13     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   51.45R    9.75  
Doncaster        16    9  -16      27.74     7.65   -49.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.69R   77.00  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 November 2008, Leicester vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        15   31  +13      91.63     9.90    42.23    36.66    57.14    90.45    67.80P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       15   30  +11      80.39    10.66    24.19     8.17    17.94    57.65    26.69P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds            15   29   +9      79.50    10.48    22.07     6.54    15.37    54.33    24.49P    0.03R    0.00  
Millwall         15   29   +4      80.44    10.65    18.75     6.86    16.70    57.67    24.96P    0.02R    0.00  
MK_Dons          14   28  +13      87.51    10.76    38.84    22.34    41.78    80.45    52.73P    0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           15   25   +9      80.63    10.43    31.43     7.38    17.75    60.35    29.14P    0.02R    0.00  
Stockport        15   25   +7      76.06    10.52    20.28     3.12     8.53    42.28    18.75P    0.09R    0.00  
Southend         15   25   +1      66.12    10.52    -2.36     0.48     1.48    12.75     3.47P    1.24R    0.02  
Peterborough     14   23  +10      76.53    10.85    26.53     4.79    11.44    45.22    20.80P    0.09R    0.00  
Hartlepool       15   23   +4      72.17    10.55    14.74     1.48     4.62    28.60     9.80P    0.39R    0.00  
Tranmere         15   23   +2      69.16    10.70     7.34     0.81     2.53    19.74     6.56P    0.64R    0.02  
Walsall          14   21   +2      65.72    11.08     2.54     0.53     1.69    13.59     4.12P    1.79R    0.02  
Bristol_Rovers   15   20   +5      64.07    10.68     6.49     0.31     1.06    10.62     3.21P    2.11R    0.03  
Brighton         15   19   +0      59.76    10.55    -3.09     0.07     0.33     4.73     1.27P    4.98R    0.10  
Northampton      14   17   +0      64.20    11.16     4.85     0.32     1.08    11.13     3.68P    2.64R    0.06  
Huddersfield     15   17   -6      55.95    10.42   -13.68     0.01     0.09     2.06     0.45P   10.41R    0.43  
Swindon          14   16   -4      57.97    11.01    -8.91     0.07     0.22     3.67     0.89P    8.97R    0.37  
Colchester       14   15   -2      59.04    10.72    -3.68     0.04     0.23     4.26     1.09P    6.34R    0.29  
Yeovil           15   15   -9      45.33     9.70   -28.15     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   40.30R    3.68  
Carlisle         15   14  -10      46.17    10.02   -30.82     0.00     0.02     0.18     0.05P   38.04R    3.53  
Leyton_Orient    15   13  -11      41.58     9.89   -32.43     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   57.02R    8.81  
Cheltenham       15   11  -18      41.51     9.75   -43.92     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   57.45R   11.45  
Crewe            15    9  -15      36.80     9.32   -46.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.93R   20.05  
Hereford         15    9  -15      29.92     8.23   -46.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.47R   51.14  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 November 2008, Bournemouth vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Darlington           15   28  +13      86.31    10.06    40.44    21.62    54.46    87.85    63.34P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              14   28   +9      89.41    10.13    33.73    31.40    65.10    92.47    74.65P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             15   27   +8      74.30    10.41    17.06     2.90    14.24    50.44    21.01P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               15   27   +4      69.78    10.04     5.15     0.97     6.19    32.38    10.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           15   26  +18      83.99     9.70    43.84    15.50    45.99    84.51    58.23P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             15   26   +9      79.71    10.29    28.09     7.67    28.86    71.05    38.53P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 15   25   +6      79.24    10.23    25.83     6.64    26.89    69.64    37.32P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            15   24  +12      80.89    10.37    36.91     9.61    34.09    75.28    44.90P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            15   24   +5      72.73    10.24    14.88     1.81    10.22    44.02    19.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham           15   24   +0      61.22    10.20    -8.20     0.17     1.35    10.86     2.93P    0.04R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         15   22   +3      65.16    10.48     4.61     0.36     2.90    19.75     6.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield         15   21   +5      70.54    10.45    17.47     1.23     7.97    37.26    14.21P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            15   19   -5      53.84     9.75   -16.83     0.01     0.15     2.68     0.59P    0.42R    0.06  
Aldershot            15   18   -9      53.12     9.83   -23.06     0.01     0.11     2.18     0.44P    0.64R    0.09  
Notts_County         15   15   -3      54.88    10.25    -6.99     0.02     0.24     3.67     0.94P    0.46R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   15   15   -5      51.99     9.97   -12.68     0.01     0.11     1.93     0.47P    0.85R    0.11  
Morecambe            15   13   -9      45.68    10.03   -26.51     0.00     0.03     0.47     0.09P    4.73R    0.93  
Barnet               15   13  -12      47.53    10.36   -27.04     0.00     0.02     0.63     0.10P    3.59R    0.76  
Chester              15   13  -13      46.09    10.22   -31.95     0.00     0.02     0.57     0.09P    4.19R    0.72  
Macclesfield         14   13  -14      39.20     9.47   -49.73     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   13.66R    3.38  
Rotherham            15    9   +8      61.08    10.58    23.33     0.07     1.07    12.24     5.37P    0.13R    0.01  
Grimsby              15    6  -21      25.02     7.95   -61.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.79R   37.43  
Bournemouth          14   -3   -5      36.24    10.71   -12.01     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   23.35R    8.80  
Luton                14  -14   -4      22.83    10.52   -14.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.13R   47.65  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 November 2008, Northwich vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        18   34   +8      78.99     9.36    18.54     9.64    50.61    17.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Kettering            17   32   +9      79.48     9.63    20.95    11.29    52.93    22.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Torquay              17   31   +9      82.97     9.57    27.56    19.88    67.46    33.62P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               16   31   +9      81.11    10.23    22.81    16.41    58.90    27.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         17   30  +11      80.10     9.54    27.55    12.92    56.79    24.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster        17   30   +9      76.35    10.01    19.84     7.45    41.39    15.45P    0.02R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        17   30   +6      75.03     9.54    14.28     4.46    34.57    12.40P    0.04R    0.00  
Wrexham              16   27   +9      78.91    10.30    27.22    12.38    52.08    22.27P    0.03R    0.00  
Stevenage            17   27   +0      67.15     9.55     0.22     0.87    11.77     2.78P    0.32R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D'monds    18   26   +5      72.39     9.26    17.42     2.17    25.43     8.62P    0.07R    0.00  
Weymouth             18   26   +0      64.22     9.56    -1.09     0.38     6.98     1.70P    0.71R    0.02  
Barrow               17   24   -3      59.76     9.40   -11.06     0.10     2.76     0.54P    2.56R    0.10  
York                 17   23   +1      68.74     9.92    10.76     1.17    16.14     4.74P    0.38R    0.00  
Salisbury            17   23   -1      59.72     9.59    -5.41     0.11     3.03     0.72P    2.44R    0.09  
Oxford_Utd           17   22   -1      61.60     9.64    -0.97     0.17     4.36     1.11P    1.71R    0.07  
Altrincham           17   22   -5      55.03     9.39   -14.25     0.02     0.95     0.22P    6.96R    0.39  
Mansfield            17   21   -1      62.27     9.76     1.38     0.22     5.27     1.29P    1.57R    0.09  
Ebbsfleet_United     17   20   +2      64.20     9.78     9.26     0.35     7.75     2.20P    1.01R    0.02  
Eastbourne_Borough   17   20   -9      53.37     9.33   -21.17     0.02     0.61     0.11P    9.87R    0.78  
Woking               17   16   -7      44.03     8.91   -22.71     0.00     0.03     0.00P   37.42R    4.84  
Forest_Green         17   16   -9      49.45     9.35   -20.86     0.00     0.17     0.03P   18.65R    1.67  
Northwich            18   13   -9      41.52     8.82   -26.81     0.00     0.02     0.00P   49.36R    7.86  
Grays_Athletic       17   12  -12      36.45     8.44   -34.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.60R   20.24  
Lewes                17   11  -21      29.55     7.52   -58.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.26R   63.83