Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 11 November 2008 at 22:34:03 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 November 2008, Aston_Villa vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         12   29  +25      96.56     5.73    85.36    90.47    99.11    99.90    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       12   29  +11      82.68     8.57    39.21     7.61    66.76    88.02    95.85    99.28     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         12   23  +12      66.42     9.46    24.65     0.36     7.12    25.03    50.92    77.66     0.05R    0.00  
Man_Utd         11   21  +10      74.07     9.36    35.98     1.49    22.77    61.14    79.67    93.19     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   20   +4      61.14     9.77    12.72     0.03     2.43    12.37    28.08    58.61     0.39R    0.04  
Hull            12   20   -2      53.49     9.61    -7.24     0.02     0.48     2.49     8.01    27.49     2.53R    0.30  
Everton         12   18   -2      49.26     9.48   -13.06     0.00     0.11     0.87     3.62    15.62     6.83R    1.00  
Middlesbrough   12   17   -4      47.73     9.33   -12.44     0.00     0.09     0.67     2.49    11.27     9.02R    1.50  
Portsmouth      12   17   -5      51.75     9.68    -6.83     0.00     0.22     1.76     6.07    21.73     4.66R    0.80  
Fulham          11   14   +0      43.94     9.64    -9.44     0.00     0.08     0.36     1.42     7.07    17.17R    3.83  
Bolton          12   14   -2      43.05     8.88   -10.90     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.62     4.68    17.82R    3.62  
Stoke           12   14   -6      46.78     9.54   -11.60     0.00     0.06     0.58     2.04     9.74    11.93R    2.74  
Man_City        12   13   +4      55.73     9.62    15.70     0.00     0.58     4.62    13.68    38.45     1.94R    0.39  
West_Ham        12   13   -6      38.64     8.73   -27.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.22     1.83    35.93R   10.43  
Blackburn       12   13   -9      38.91     8.96   -28.27     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.22     1.90    35.42R   10.71  
Tottenham       12   12   -3      49.75     9.89    -0.02     0.00     0.13     1.31     4.39    17.51     7.36R    1.59  
Wigan           12   12   -3      46.18     9.59    -5.88     0.00     0.04     0.55     2.04     9.39    12.63R    3.09  
Newcastle       12   12   -5      38.75     8.83   -22.19     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.23     1.80    34.86R   10.06  
Sunderland      12   12   -8      39.95     9.28   -20.08     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.42     2.57    31.41R   10.47  
West_Brom       12   11  -11      31.34     8.20   -38.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.22    70.03R   39.43  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 November 2008, Swansea vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    16   37  +14      94.72     9.33    46.09    44.98    74.55    97.67    79.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Birmingham       16   31   +8      79.65    10.21    19.30     5.92    16.50    67.69    29.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          16   30  +20      93.28     8.87    60.83    39.22    72.48    97.42    80.78P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        16   28  +11      80.34    10.00    27.32     6.18    17.68    72.23    36.19P    0.02R    0.00  
Burnley          16   26   +1      72.64     9.86     9.90     0.64     3.61    41.23    11.19P    0.14R    0.00  
Cardiff          16   25   +5      68.54    10.04     8.84     0.51     2.25    27.12     8.42P    0.39R    0.00  
QPR              16   25   +1      67.10    10.22     3.22     0.36     1.65    22.35     6.31P    0.54R    0.01  
Ipswich          16   24   +8      73.84     9.63    21.85     1.03     5.01    48.22    16.68P    0.07R    0.00  
Swansea          16   24   +3      68.88     9.90     9.26     0.23     1.55    27.98     7.59P    0.36R    0.00  
Bristol_City     16   24   +2      69.33    10.02     8.57     0.48     2.20    29.66     8.42P    0.34R    0.00  
Plymouth         16   22   +0      65.59     9.90     3.94     0.16     0.85    18.01     4.46P    1.02R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed        16   22   -8      57.12     9.82   -17.46     0.01     0.09     4.14     0.65P    7.15R    0.28  
Derby            16   21   -1      59.79    10.23    -5.44     0.05     0.34     8.04     1.81P    4.00R    0.10  
Preston          16   21   -2      60.64     9.59    -4.76     0.05     0.20     7.61     1.49P    2.76R    0.13  
Blackpool        16   21   -3      57.75     9.88   -11.21     0.04     0.17     4.74     1.02P    5.75R    0.21  
Crystal_Palace   16   20   +2      64.32     9.96     7.56     0.10     0.65    15.86     4.34P    1.30R    0.02  
Coventry         16   20   -2      56.74     9.92    -8.86     0.01     0.11     4.19     0.86P    6.85R    0.26  
Barnsley         16   18   -4      49.15     9.74   -20.69     0.01     0.02     0.82     0.21P   25.04R    1.54  
Norwich          16   17   -5      52.21     9.81   -16.36     0.00     0.03     1.61     0.31P   15.78R    0.94  
Charlton         16   16   -6      51.91     9.61   -14.90     0.00     0.01     1.20     0.25P   16.07R    1.25  
Southampton      16   16  -10      42.86     9.10   -36.72     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.03P   51.77R    7.08  
Watford          16   15   -6      53.59     9.76   -13.32     0.01     0.03     2.00     0.39P   12.59R    1.03  
Nottm_Forest     16   11  -12      42.28     9.26   -27.42     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   51.99R    9.54  
Doncaster        16    9  -16      27.58     7.53   -49.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.06R   77.59  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 November 2008, Leicester vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        15   31  +13      91.80    10.01    42.61    37.09    57.86    90.27    68.04P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       15   30  +11      80.28    10.67    23.86     7.99    17.76    57.42    26.43P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds            15   29   +9      79.16    10.56    21.55     6.25    14.69    53.42    24.05P    0.02R    0.00  
Millwall         15   29   +4      80.25    10.59    18.39     6.52    16.08    56.86    24.46P    0.03R    0.00  
MK_Dons          14   28  +13      87.94    10.80    39.54    23.98    43.20    81.33    54.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           15   25   +9      80.88    10.30    31.94     7.12    17.90    61.87    29.53P    0.02R    0.00  
Stockport        15   25   +7      76.36    10.37    20.64     2.85     8.65    43.66    18.84P    0.07R    0.00  
Southend         15   25   +1      65.82    10.38    -2.93     0.44     1.36    12.04     3.22P    1.21R    0.01  
Peterborough     14   23  +10      76.25    10.87    25.87     4.38    10.66    43.99    20.14P    0.12R    0.00  
Hartlepool       15   23   +4      71.96    10.75    14.31     1.39     4.67    28.77    10.14P    0.38R    0.00  
Tranmere         15   23   +2      69.25    10.65     7.48     0.75     2.56    20.31     6.56P    0.61R    0.01  
Walsall          14   21   +2      65.19    11.19     1.57     0.48     1.64    12.87     3.94P    2.23R    0.06  
Bristol_Rovers   15   20   +5      64.60    10.56     7.41     0.27     1.05    11.17     3.26P    1.80R    0.04  
Brighton         15   19   +0      59.33    10.43    -3.73     0.07     0.30     4.26     1.29P    5.38R    0.11  
Northampton      14   17   +0      63.75    11.14     4.15     0.25     1.03    10.46     3.21P    2.90R    0.06  
Huddersfield     15   17   -6      56.41    10.26   -12.80     0.01     0.06     2.05     0.44P    9.49R    0.44  
Swindon          14   16   -4      58.34    11.02    -8.21     0.07     0.26     4.02     1.00P    8.45R    0.39  
Colchester       14   15   -2      59.30    10.78    -3.22     0.07     0.27     4.79     1.15P    6.20R    0.22  
Yeovil           15   15   -9      45.08     9.71   -28.48     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   41.86R    4.02  
Carlisle         15   14  -10      46.09    10.05   -30.96     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.04P   38.88R    3.71  
Leyton_Orient    15   13  -11      41.86     9.83   -32.02     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   55.91R    8.24  
Cheltenham       15   11  -18      42.07     9.77   -42.65     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   55.77R    9.70  
Crewe            15    9  -15      36.65     9.27   -47.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    75.82R   19.98  
Hereford         15    9  -15      29.59     8.28   -47.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.85R   53.01  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 November 2008, Bournemouth vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Darlington           15   28  +13      85.94    10.13    40.05    20.48    53.03    87.06    62.08P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              14   28   +9      89.43    10.32    33.78    31.98    65.34    92.17    74.28P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             15   27   +8      74.58    10.44    17.55     3.16    15.10    51.41    22.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter               15   27   +4      69.85    10.36     5.33     1.09     6.74    33.19    11.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           15   26  +18      83.99     9.74    43.94    15.32    45.86    84.32    58.07P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             15   26   +9      79.68    10.42    28.00     7.80    29.22    70.75    39.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 15   25   +6      79.01    10.29    25.37     6.60    26.20    68.86    36.51P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            15   24  +12      80.93    10.53    36.99     9.99    34.75    75.04    45.58P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            15   24   +5      72.72    10.27    14.83     1.73    10.12    44.59    19.17P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           15   24   +0      61.24    10.27    -8.30     0.16     1.34    11.40     3.01P    0.04R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         15   22   +3      65.16    10.41     4.72     0.36     2.72    19.38     6.38P    0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield         15   21   +5      70.44    10.61    17.29     1.22     8.00    37.28    14.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            15   19   -5      54.29     9.93   -16.19     0.01     0.20     3.08     0.67P    0.38R    0.06  
Aldershot            15   18   -9      52.99     9.94   -23.32     0.01     0.11     2.22     0.40P    0.68R    0.08  
Notts_County         15   15   -3      54.95    10.28    -6.86     0.01     0.20     3.73     1.03P    0.41R    0.05  
Accrington_Stanley   15   15   -5      51.89     9.96   -12.77     0.01     0.08     1.83     0.44P    0.95R    0.17  
Morecambe            15   13   -9      45.71    10.06   -26.55     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.07P    4.63R    0.99  
Barnet               15   13  -12      47.60    10.32   -27.08     0.00     0.02     0.71     0.12P    3.22R    0.68  
Chester              15   13  -13      45.84    10.29   -32.37     0.00     0.03     0.53     0.11P    4.58R    0.83  
Macclesfield         14   13  -14      39.64     9.69   -49.00     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.02P   12.60R    3.02  
Rotherham            15    9   +8      60.95    10.51    23.07     0.06     0.93    11.82     4.76P    0.11R    0.02  
Grimsby              15    6  -21      24.55     7.79   -62.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.85R   38.75  
Bournemouth          14   -3   -5      36.44    10.82   -11.56     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   22.72R    8.34  
Luton                14  -14   -4      22.92    10.41   -14.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.81R   47.01  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 November 2008, Northwich vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        18   34   +8      79.05     9.23    18.71     9.58    50.73    17.92P    0.01R    0.00  
Kettering            17   32   +9      80.06     9.61    21.87    12.71    55.04    24.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Torquay              17   31   +9      82.45     9.55    26.73    18.39    65.20    31.86P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               16   31   +9      80.77    10.14    22.24    15.24    57.38    25.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         17   30  +11      80.32     9.70    27.87    13.68    57.61    25.41P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster        17   30   +9      76.55     9.87    20.15     7.51    41.65    15.38P    0.03R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        17   30   +6      75.42     9.56    14.75     5.19    35.93    13.31P    0.02R    0.00  
Wrexham              16   27   +9      78.68    10.25    26.75    11.87    50.95    21.60P    0.02R    0.00  
Stevenage            17   27   +0      67.30     9.65     0.46     0.96    12.41     3.00P    0.30R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D'monds    18   26   +5      72.41     9.33    17.41     2.24    25.32     8.72P    0.06R    0.00  
Weymouth             18   26   +0      64.36     9.52    -0.77     0.36     7.20     1.70P    0.74R    0.03  
Barrow               17   24   -3      60.09     9.43   -10.54     0.14     3.03     0.63P    2.34R    0.09  
York                 17   23   +1      68.75     9.86    10.74     1.13    15.90     4.84P    0.31R    0.01  
Salisbury            17   23   -1      59.51     9.61    -5.81     0.09     2.80     0.66P    2.49R    0.11  
Oxford_Utd           17   22   -1      61.73     9.81    -0.84     0.22     4.62     1.24P    1.74R    0.06  
Altrincham           17   22   -5      54.79     9.34   -14.62     0.03     0.83     0.17P    7.26R    0.40  
Mansfield            17   21   -1      62.00     9.70     0.95     0.22     4.86     1.23P    1.51R    0.06  
Ebbsfleet_United     17   20   +2      64.19     9.85     9.22     0.41     7.75     2.24P    1.07R    0.05  
Eastbourne_Borough   17   20   -9      53.22     9.37   -21.38     0.01     0.55     0.08P   10.08R    0.85  
Woking               17   16   -7      43.73     9.02   -23.30     0.00     0.04     0.01P   38.83R    5.18  
Forest_Green         17   16   -9      49.56     9.37   -20.56     0.00     0.18     0.03P   18.03R    1.83  
Northwich            18   13   -9      41.56     8.84   -26.78     0.00     0.01     0.00P   48.74R    7.98  
Grays_Athletic       17   12  -12      36.36     8.54   -34.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.46R   20.93  
Lewes                17   11  -21      29.65     7.56   -58.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.95R   62.42