Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 10 November 2008 at 22:33:52 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 November 2008, Aston_Villa vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         12   29  +25      96.19     5.83    84.77    89.04    98.83    99.86    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       12   29  +11      82.69     8.68    39.21     8.75    66.39    87.71    95.63    99.15     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         12   23  +12      66.45     9.43    24.75     0.40     7.21    25.08    50.81    77.87     0.05R    0.00  
Man_Utd         11   21  +10      73.91     9.67    35.73     1.75    23.21    60.22    78.22    92.38     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   20   +4      61.52     9.71    13.30     0.05     2.53    13.01    29.54    60.41     0.39R    0.02  
Hull            12   20   -2      53.41     9.65    -7.49     0.00     0.43     2.61     8.18    27.09     2.84R    0.34  
Everton         12   18   -2      49.24     9.45   -12.98     0.00     0.08     0.88     3.53    15.43     6.59R    0.93  
Middlesbrough   12   17   -4      47.63     9.40   -12.60     0.00     0.08     0.70     2.65    11.01     9.59R    1.62  
Portsmouth      12   17   -5      51.46     9.85    -7.18     0.00     0.25     1.89     5.97    21.05     5.28R    0.96  
Fulham          11   14   +0      43.80     9.62    -9.60     0.00     0.02     0.27     1.21     6.71    17.33R    3.98  
Bolton          12   14   -2      43.38     8.75   -10.45     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.65     4.57    16.33R    3.27  
Stoke           12   14   -6      46.68     9.63   -11.79     0.00     0.06     0.53     2.02     9.55    12.46R    3.00  
Man_City        12   13   +4      56.15     9.68    16.63     0.00     0.71     5.29    14.58    40.23     1.76R    0.29  
West_Ham        12   13   -6      38.66     8.78   -26.97     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.17     1.58    35.52R   10.84  
Blackburn       12   13   -9      38.64     9.11   -28.78     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.23     2.02    37.32R   11.65  
Tottenham       12   12   -3      49.49     9.92    -0.50     0.00     0.11     1.14     4.09    16.76     7.70R    1.66  
Wigan           12   12   -3      46.19     9.50    -5.91     0.00     0.05     0.49     1.91     9.19    12.15R    2.89  
Newcastle       12   12   -5      38.93     8.79   -21.88     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.18     1.87    33.67R    9.62  
Sunderland      12   12   -8      40.25     9.40   -19.65     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.44     2.90    30.84R    9.99  
West_Brom       12   11  -11      31.31     8.17   -38.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20    70.18R   38.93  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 November 2008, Swansea vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    16   37  +14      94.72     9.31    46.04    45.45    74.63    97.61    79.10P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       16   31   +8      79.83    10.26    19.57     6.21    16.80    68.36    29.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          16   30  +20      93.06     8.92    60.56    38.24    71.60    97.39    79.91P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        16   28  +11      80.62     9.85    27.68     6.37    18.28    73.29    37.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          16   26   +1      72.31     9.82     9.42     0.66     3.39    39.68    10.40P    0.12R    0.00  
Cardiff          16   25   +5      68.30    10.01     8.47     0.43     2.13    26.74     8.04P    0.36R    0.00  
QPR              16   25   +1      66.90    10.19     2.98     0.31     1.46    21.52     5.91P    0.67R    0.00  
Ipswich          16   24   +8      74.08     9.62    22.23     1.18     5.36    48.81    17.30P    0.04R    0.00  
Swansea          16   24   +3      69.02     9.72     9.47     0.24     1.63    28.40     7.59P    0.30R    0.00  
Bristol_City     16   24   +2      69.10    10.23     8.28     0.52     2.24    28.94     8.44P    0.43R    0.01  
Plymouth         16   22   +0      65.80     9.91     4.26     0.13     0.91    18.68     4.75P    0.91R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed        16   22   -8      57.27     9.82   -17.31     0.01     0.09     4.15     0.69P    6.98R    0.25  
Derby            16   21   -1      59.80    10.15    -5.34     0.07     0.34     7.79     1.78P    3.87R    0.13  
Preston          16   21   -2      60.97     9.65    -4.27     0.02     0.22     8.44     1.73P    2.57R    0.10  
Blackpool        16   21   -3      57.46     9.95   -11.58     0.02     0.13     4.66     0.89P    6.45R    0.25  
Crystal_Palace   16   20   +2      64.42     9.76     7.61     0.11     0.60    15.58     4.38P    1.06R    0.05  
Coventry         16   20   -2      56.21     9.97    -9.70     0.02     0.12     3.94     0.83P    7.73R    0.30  
Barnsley         16   18   -4      49.10     9.66   -20.65     0.00     0.01     0.76     0.15P   24.90R    1.55  
Norwich          16   17   -5      51.83     9.80   -17.05     0.00     0.03     1.47     0.25P   17.15R    1.13  
Charlton         16   16   -6      52.04     9.67   -14.69     0.00     0.01     1.39     0.27P   16.15R    1.03  
Southampton      16   16  -10      43.06     9.05   -36.30     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   50.61R    7.38  
Watford          16   15   -6      53.74     9.88   -12.95     0.00     0.02     2.21     0.39P   12.86R    1.14  
Nottm_Forest     16   11  -12      42.59     9.21   -27.02     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   50.67R    8.77  
Doncaster        16    9  -16      27.63     7.51   -49.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.13R   77.90  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 November 2008, Brighton vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe       15   30  +11      80.01    10.64    23.44     7.35    16.90    56.39    25.56P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds            15   29   +9      79.26    10.50    21.62     6.36    14.86    53.82    24.19P    0.02R    0.00  
Millwall         15   29   +4      80.37    10.42    18.56     6.46    16.10    57.37    24.45P    0.04R    0.00  
MK_Dons          14   28  +13      87.69    10.66    39.03    23.23    41.84    81.01    53.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Leicester        14   28  +12      91.68    10.25    44.46    37.53    58.25    89.73    68.23P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           15   25   +9      80.79    10.56    31.61     7.57    18.38    60.99    29.53P    0.04R    0.00  
Stockport        15   25   +7      76.00    10.45    20.20     2.88     8.56    41.94    18.34P    0.08R    0.00  
Southend         15   25   +1      66.00    10.60    -2.67     0.51     1.62    12.78     3.61P    1.31R    0.01  
Peterborough     14   23  +10      76.38    10.92    26.17     4.54    11.20    44.50    20.65P    0.15R    0.00  
Hartlepool       15   23   +4      72.22    10.53    14.84     1.47     4.68    28.87    10.12P    0.26R    0.00  
Tranmere         15   23   +2      69.51    10.68     7.95     0.83     2.67    20.77     6.94P    0.61R    0.01  
Walsall          14   21   +2      65.29    11.22     1.82     0.50     1.71    13.24     4.13P    2.07R    0.03  
Bristol_Rovers   15   20   +5      64.62    10.71     7.50     0.33     1.23    11.56     3.49P    1.84R    0.02  
Brighton         15   19   +0      59.30    10.50    -3.86     0.05     0.24     4.30     1.21P    5.18R    0.12  
Northampton      14   17   +0      64.15    11.20     4.82     0.26     1.11    11.26     3.58P    2.77R    0.04  
Huddersfield     15   17   -6      56.44    10.35   -12.82     0.01     0.07     2.09     0.42P    9.40R    0.45  
Swindon          14   16   -4      58.63    10.93    -7.74     0.06     0.29     3.98     1.06P    7.67R    0.27  
Colchester       14   15   -2      59.56    10.79    -2.77     0.06     0.29     4.92     1.24P    5.97R    0.22  
Yeovil           14   15   -8      44.94    10.05   -30.74     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.04P   42.93R    4.44  
Carlisle         15   14  -10      46.01    10.07   -31.18     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P   38.63R    3.83  
Leyton_Orient    15   13  -11      41.42     9.65   -32.66     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.02P   56.97R    8.62  
Cheltenham       15   11  -18      41.80     9.77   -43.39     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   55.73R   10.08  
Crewe            15    9  -15      36.58     9.35   -47.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    75.54R   20.04  
Hereford         15    9  -15      29.73     8.09   -46.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.77R   51.84  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 November 2008, Bournemouth vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Darlington           15   28  +13      86.36    10.07    40.69    21.80    54.72    88.01    63.61P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              14   28   +9      89.26    10.30    33.51    30.97    64.53    92.04    73.96P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             15   27   +8      74.75    10.45    17.96     3.24    15.22    52.37    22.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter               15   27   +4      69.85    10.21     5.30     0.98     6.58    32.84    11.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           15   26  +18      84.18     9.93    44.20    16.11    47.23    84.48    59.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             15   26   +9      79.55    10.37    27.75     7.58    28.61    70.38    38.29P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 15   25   +6      78.84    10.19    25.04     6.26    25.42    68.38    35.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            15   24  +12      80.95    10.32    36.82     9.41    34.25    75.87    45.59P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            15   24   +5      72.73    10.29    14.87     1.79    10.20    44.25    19.10P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           15   24   +0      61.45    10.14    -7.83     0.11     1.34    11.26     3.06P    0.03R    0.01  
Lincoln_City         15   22   +3      65.11    10.52     4.64     0.40     2.84    19.65     6.64P    0.03R    0.00  
Chesterfield         15   21   +5      69.96    10.59    16.37     1.24     7.38    35.75    13.31P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            15   19   -5      54.43    10.01   -15.89     0.02     0.21     3.31     0.74P    0.43R    0.04  
Aldershot            15   18   -9      52.96     9.89   -23.41     0.01     0.13     2.19     0.45P    0.70R    0.10  
Notts_County         15   15   -3      54.89    10.17    -6.88     0.01     0.18     3.63     0.91P    0.36R    0.04  
Accrington_Stanley   15   15   -5      51.94    10.15   -12.74     0.01     0.09     2.06     0.52P    0.98R    0.15  
Morecambe            15   13   -9      45.52    10.00   -26.86     0.00     0.01     0.44     0.08P    4.67R    0.93  
Barnet               15   13  -12      47.52    10.24   -27.15     0.00     0.02     0.73     0.13P    3.13R    0.56  
Chester              15   13  -13      45.88    10.12   -32.38     0.00     0.02     0.51     0.09P    4.29R    0.79  
Macclesfield         14   13  -14      39.99     9.68   -48.08     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.03P   11.93R    2.56  
Rotherham            15    9   +8      61.05    10.40    23.21     0.06     1.00    11.64     4.86P    0.11R    0.01  
Grimsby              15    6  -21      24.53     7.92   -62.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.52R   38.55  
Bournemouth          14   -3   -5      36.42    10.85   -11.59     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   22.64R    8.31  
Luton                14  -14   -4      22.58    10.46   -14.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.16R   47.97  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 November 2008, Northwich vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        18   34   +8      79.09     9.26    18.78     9.71    50.69    17.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Kettering            17   32   +9      79.82     9.55    21.56    12.01    54.36    22.98P    0.00R    0.00  
Torquay              17   31   +9      82.34     9.53    26.61    17.94    65.13    31.45P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               16   31   +9      81.39    10.12    23.22    16.87    60.01    28.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         17   30  +11      80.43     9.49    28.01    13.58    58.11    25.86P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        17   30   +9      76.40     9.87    19.86     7.19    41.28    14.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        17   30   +6      74.96     9.46    14.18     4.57    33.72    12.25P    0.03R    0.00  
Wrexham              16   27   +9      78.67    10.27    26.74    11.91    51.29    21.62P    0.03R    0.00  
Stevenage            17   27   +0      67.15     9.59     0.22     0.96    11.79     2.94P    0.35R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D'monds    18   26   +5      72.47     9.49    17.61     2.48    25.89     9.07P    0.07R    0.00  
Weymouth             18   26   +0      64.33     9.54    -0.84     0.42     7.06     1.73P    0.75R    0.01  
Barrow               17   24   -3      59.79     9.41   -11.06     0.11     2.73     0.53P    2.64R    0.09  
York                 17   23   +1      68.73     9.95    10.67     1.28    16.21     4.83P    0.26R    0.00  
Salisbury            17   23   -1      59.79     9.66    -5.35     0.13     3.05     0.79P    2.48R    0.08  
Oxford_Utd           17   22   -1      61.83     9.71    -0.67     0.21     4.44     1.23P    1.65R    0.05  
Altrincham           17   22   -5      55.13     9.36   -14.09     0.03     0.92     0.17P    6.60R    0.28  
Mansfield            17   21   -1      62.10     9.82     1.02     0.24     5.15     1.32P    1.55R    0.07  
Ebbsfleet_United     17   20   +2      64.05     9.81     8.99     0.35     7.37     2.19P    1.11R    0.04  
Eastbourne_Borough   17   20   -9      53.02     9.33   -21.84     0.00     0.55     0.09P   10.42R    0.85  
Woking               17   16   -7      43.66     8.97   -23.32     0.00     0.03     0.01P   39.14R    5.34  
Forest_Green         17   16   -9      49.46     9.27   -20.70     0.00     0.22     0.04P   18.29R    1.74  
Northwich            18   13   -9      41.83     8.78   -26.27     0.00     0.01     0.00    47.96R    7.60  
Grays_Athletic       17   12  -12      36.22     8.46   -35.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.02R   21.76  
Lewes                17   11  -21      29.79     7.58   -58.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.61R   62.07