Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 10 November 2008 at 09:43:58 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 November 2008, Aston_Villa vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         12   29  +25      96.10     5.87    84.41    89.18    98.67    99.82    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       12   29  +11      82.77     8.59    39.26     8.50    66.44    88.45    95.72    99.20     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         12   23  +12      66.78     9.33    25.34     0.44     7.38    25.48    52.20    79.28     0.07R    0.00  
Man_Utd         11   21  +10      74.28     9.54    36.38     1.83    23.48    61.29    79.69    93.27     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   20   +4      61.19     9.69    12.69     0.02     2.32    11.71    27.69    59.05     0.42R    0.03  
Hull            12   20   -2      53.58     9.58    -7.12     0.01     0.43     2.40     7.98    27.59     2.50R    0.27  
Everton         12   18   -2      49.36     9.42   -12.81     0.00     0.11     0.91     3.52    15.48     6.58R    1.09  
Middlesbrough   12   17   -4      47.29     9.24   -13.27     0.00     0.02     0.58     2.22    10.10     9.76R    1.78  
Portsmouth      12   17   -5      51.73     9.80    -6.80     0.00     0.25     1.87     6.36    21.76     4.95R    0.83  
Fulham          11   14   +0      44.20     9.69    -9.23     0.00     0.06     0.45     1.61     7.43    16.40R    3.55  
Bolton          12   14   -2      42.96     8.88   -11.07     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.73     4.60    17.95R    3.58  
Stoke           12   14   -6      46.99     9.61   -11.30     0.00     0.09     0.63     2.24    10.16    11.76R    2.78  
Man_City        12   13   +4      55.91     9.54    16.08     0.01     0.62     4.66    13.53    39.27     1.82R    0.30  
West_Ham        12   13   -6      38.48     8.90   -27.09     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.22     1.84    37.24R   11.29  
Blackburn       12   13   -9      38.91     8.97   -28.31     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.20     1.85    35.58R   10.81  
Tottenham       12   12   -3      49.26     9.74    -0.77     0.00     0.07     0.98     3.67    16.00     7.74R    1.66  
Wigan           12   12   -3      45.55     9.44    -6.80     0.00     0.04     0.41     1.73     8.05    13.54R    3.19  
Newcastle       12   12   -5      38.94     8.81   -21.60     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.21     1.90    33.65R    9.75  
Sunderland      12   12   -8      40.54     9.36   -19.20     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.50     2.96    29.61R    9.35  
West_Brom       12   11  -11      31.27     8.19   -38.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.23    70.41R   39.73  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 November 2008, Swansea vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    16   37  +14      94.69     9.24    45.86    45.07    74.31    97.71    78.95P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       16   31   +8      79.98    10.38    19.76     6.44    17.44    68.90    30.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          16   30  +20      93.08     8.88    60.58    38.60    71.45    97.49    80.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        16   28  +11      80.59     9.93    27.64     6.22    18.44    73.18    37.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Burnley          16   26   +1      72.44     9.92     9.64     0.75     3.60    40.00    10.76P    0.17R    0.01  
Cardiff          16   25   +5      68.21     9.98     8.35     0.38     1.88    26.15     7.73P    0.36R    0.00  
QPR              16   25   +1      67.04    10.30     3.15     0.39     1.61    22.25     6.11P    0.67R    0.01  
Ipswich          16   24   +8      73.92     9.56    21.95     1.09     5.17    48.24    16.94P    0.06R    0.00  
Swansea          16   24   +3      68.65     9.91     8.99     0.22     1.50    27.62     7.40P    0.46R    0.01  
Bristol_City     16   24   +2      69.40    10.05     8.69     0.47     2.24    29.81     8.42P    0.31R    0.00  
Plymouth         16   22   +0      65.66     9.88     4.07     0.16     0.79    18.28     4.53P    0.88R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed        16   22   -8      56.93     9.85   -17.85     0.01     0.08     3.94     0.66P    7.39R    0.33  
Derby            16   21   -1      59.69    10.15    -5.58     0.03     0.26     7.52     1.60P    4.14R    0.09  
Preston          16   21   -2      60.92     9.75    -4.38     0.03     0.25     8.62     1.84P    2.70R    0.11  
Blackpool        16   21   -3      57.76     9.96   -11.12     0.03     0.18     4.89     0.98P    6.12R    0.17  
Crystal_Palace   16   20   +2      64.21     9.77     7.35     0.09     0.61    14.93     4.17P    1.19R    0.03  
Coventry         16   20   -2      56.60    10.13    -9.15     0.02     0.12     4.42     1.08P    7.59R    0.28  
Barnsley         16   18   -4      49.18     9.74   -20.64     0.00     0.01     0.95     0.21P   24.78R    1.57  
Norwich          16   17   -5      52.36     9.87   -16.08     0.00     0.02     1.68     0.31P   15.82R    1.02  
Charlton         16   16   -6      51.70     9.62   -15.24     0.00     0.02     1.24     0.26P   16.90R    1.05  
Southampton      16   16  -10      43.21     9.08   -36.03     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   50.48R    6.64  
Watford          16   15   -6      53.76     9.70   -12.96     0.00     0.03     1.96     0.36P   12.27R    1.01  
Nottm_Forest     16   11  -12      42.50     9.34   -27.20     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   51.54R    8.88  
Doncaster        16    9  -16      27.37     7.54   -49.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.15R   78.75  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 November 2008, Brighton vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe       15   30  +11      79.67    10.83    22.87     7.43    16.57    55.12    24.93P    0.03R    0.00  
Leeds            15   29   +9      79.45    10.48    22.01     6.41    15.05    54.49    24.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall         15   29   +4      80.39    10.69    18.72     7.25    16.74    56.91    24.72P    0.05R    0.00  
MK_Dons          14   28  +13      87.47    10.64    38.69    21.91    41.23    80.22    52.41P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        14   28  +12      91.75    10.09    44.60    37.59    58.30    90.02    68.23P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           15   25   +9      81.16    10.39    32.31     8.15    19.26    62.41    30.60P    0.04R    0.00  
Stockport        15   25   +7      76.38    10.51    20.70     3.22     8.97    43.50    19.40P    0.09R    0.00  
Southend         15   25   +1      65.81    10.40    -2.90     0.39     1.27    11.79     3.14P    1.27R    0.03  
Peterborough     14   23  +10      76.27    10.79    25.99     4.03    10.63    44.52    20.04P    0.13R    0.00  
Hartlepool       15   23   +4      72.46    10.68    15.27     1.73     5.02    30.12    10.75P    0.29R    0.01  
Tranmere         15   23   +2      68.84    10.51     6.83     0.59     2.06    18.68     5.84P    0.65R    0.01  
Walsall          14   21   +2      65.53    11.12     2.25     0.51     1.70    13.44     4.21P    1.82R    0.04  
Bristol_Rovers   15   20   +5      64.83    10.72     7.92     0.30     1.20    11.87     3.60P    1.82R    0.03  
Brighton         15   19   +0      59.44    10.54    -3.61     0.04     0.26     4.44     1.28P    5.31R    0.10  
Northampton      14   17   +0      64.25    11.11     4.95     0.28     1.06    10.97     3.36P    2.57R    0.08  
Huddersfield     15   17   -6      56.40    10.34   -12.93     0.02     0.11     2.19     0.48P    9.46R    0.41  
Swindon          14   16   -4      58.34    10.89    -8.26     0.07     0.27     3.79     0.96P    8.04R    0.34  
Colchester       14   15   -2      59.51    10.87    -2.83     0.07     0.29     5.10     1.40P    5.96R    0.24  
Yeovil           14   15   -8      45.24    10.10   -30.32     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.05P   41.81R    4.12  
Carlisle         15   14  -10      45.40     9.96   -32.38     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   40.50R    4.21  
Leyton_Orient    15   13  -11      41.26     9.61   -33.04     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   57.67R    8.98  
Cheltenham       15   11  -18      42.25     9.75   -42.47     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   54.25R    9.48  
Crewe            15    9  -15      36.52     9.35   -47.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   75.51R   20.53  
Hereford         15    9  -15      29.78     8.10   -46.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.71R   51.39  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 November 2008, Bournemouth vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Darlington           15   28  +13      86.26    10.03    40.57    21.37    54.34    87.76    63.16P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              14   28   +9      89.08    10.36    33.36    30.65    63.57    91.67    72.87P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             15   27   +8      74.64    10.33    17.72     3.24    14.97    51.54    21.85P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               15   27   +4      70.39    10.14     6.15     1.07     6.94    34.63    12.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           15   26  +18      83.88    10.00    43.72    15.54    46.26    83.37    57.87P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             15   26   +9      79.34    10.37    27.40     7.46    27.96    69.82    37.59P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 15   25   +6      79.27    10.23    25.72     6.95    26.63    69.87    37.11P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            15   24  +12      81.05    10.42    36.97    10.05    35.08    75.52    46.10P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            15   24   +5      72.49    10.41    14.56     1.67    10.19    43.56    19.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham           15   24   +0      61.40    10.23    -8.00     0.19     1.41    11.23     3.15P    0.03R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         15   22   +3      65.63    10.53     5.33     0.37     3.17    20.69     7.33P    0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield         15   21   +5      70.25    10.51    16.96     1.30     7.71    35.98    13.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            15   19   -5      54.16     9.87   -16.41     0.01     0.19     3.04     0.65P    0.42R    0.03  
Aldershot            15   18   -9      52.73     9.85   -23.83     0.01     0.08     2.04     0.36P    0.70R    0.07  
Notts_County         15   15   -3      54.84    10.25    -6.97     0.03     0.24     3.61     1.02P    0.52R    0.06  
Accrington_Stanley   15   15   -5      51.98    10.05   -12.68     0.01     0.12     1.97     0.47P    0.94R    0.13  
Morecambe            15   13   -9      45.53    10.00   -26.90     0.00     0.02     0.41     0.09P    4.59R    0.86  
Barnet               15   13  -12      47.31    10.31   -27.59     0.00     0.03     0.61     0.12P    3.58R    0.63  
Chester              15   13  -13      46.01    10.08   -32.16     0.00     0.02     0.44     0.06P    4.08R    0.71  
Macclesfield         14   13  -14      39.73     9.49   -48.57     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.02P   12.32R    2.61  
Rotherham            15    9   +8      61.15    10.51    23.40     0.07     1.07    12.05     5.29P    0.11R    0.01  
Grimsby              15    6  -21      24.53     7.86   -62.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   75.91R   38.73  
Bournemouth          14   -3   -5      36.75    10.74   -11.15     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   21.56R    7.59  
Luton                14  -14   -4      22.45    10.59   -15.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.19R   48.56  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 November 2008, Northwich vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        18   34   +8      78.97     9.19    18.52     9.23    50.48    17.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Kettering            17   32   +9      79.88     9.69    21.64    12.27    54.48    23.50P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              17   31   +9      82.80     9.62    27.32    19.36    66.58    33.06P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               16   31   +9      81.08    10.16    22.80    16.15    58.68    27.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         17   30  +11      80.51     9.58    28.21    13.50    58.56    25.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster        17   30   +9      76.22    10.00    19.58     7.30    40.38    14.86P    0.04R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        17   30   +6      75.08     9.55    14.28     4.65    34.76    12.66P    0.02R    0.00  
Wrexham              16   27   +9      78.60    10.30    26.64    11.52    50.99    21.08P    0.05R    0.00  
Stevenage            17   27   +0      66.89     9.56    -0.25     0.81    11.30     2.64P    0.37R    0.02  
Rushden_&_D'monds    18   26   +5      72.39     9.47    17.38     2.40    25.50     8.95P    0.10R    0.00  
Weymouth             18   26   +0      64.41     9.59    -0.68     0.44     7.42     1.87P    0.69R    0.01  
Barrow               17   24   -3      59.58     9.43   -11.44     0.12     2.61     0.52P    2.71R    0.11  
York                 17   23   +1      68.77     9.91    10.82     1.25    16.21     4.96P    0.28R    0.01  
Salisbury            17   23   -1      59.65     9.75    -5.55     0.14     3.32     0.81P    2.60R    0.09  
Oxford_Utd           17   22   -1      61.95     9.80    -0.49     0.20     4.70     1.22P    1.70R    0.07  
Altrincham           17   22   -5      55.19     9.37   -13.99     0.04     0.96     0.20P    6.89R    0.36  
Mansfield            17   21   -1      62.04     9.75     0.99     0.24     4.89     1.24P    1.56R    0.06  
Ebbsfleet_United     17   20   +2      63.91     9.86     8.71     0.36     7.37     2.21P    1.15R    0.04  
Eastbourne_Borough   17   20   -9      53.47     9.33   -20.97     0.01     0.62     0.12P    9.19R    0.71  
Woking               17   16   -7      43.92     9.07   -22.90     0.00     0.04     0.01P   38.54R    5.01  
Forest_Green         17   16   -9      49.61     9.36   -20.44     0.00     0.14     0.02P   18.08R    1.71  
Northwich            18   13   -9      41.59     8.87   -26.65     0.00     0.01     0.00    49.23R    8.05  
Grays_Athletic       17   12  -12      36.17     8.46   -35.10     0.00     0.00     0.00P   74.26R   21.60  
Lewes                17   11  -21      29.75     7.64   -58.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.54R   62.14