Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 5 October 2008 at 21:47:49 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 October 2008, Chelsea vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          7   17  +11      92.09     9.09    74.98    67.00    85.92    92.88    96.42    99.12     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        7   17   +6      77.62    10.96    35.04     8.98    29.16    48.70    65.98    87.66     0.00     0.00  
Hull             7   14   -1      45.38    11.77   -29.80     0.04     0.06     0.48     1.60     6.72     8.36R    0.94  
Arsenal          7   13   +8      66.37    12.29    28.22     3.46     9.40    18.94    30.74    57.66     0.24R    0.02  
Aston_Villa      7   13   +2      70.78    13.04    35.59     4.28    15.44    29.70    44.58    69.66     0.12R    0.00  
West_Ham         7   12   +1      52.85    12.44    -4.85     0.08     0.60     2.48     6.02    18.14     3.56R    0.48  
Portsmouth       7   12   -4      48.84    11.90   -14.59     0.00     0.16     0.70     2.42    10.32     5.14R    0.56  
Man_Utd          6   11   +4      73.14    13.27    36.01     7.54    22.78    38.22    51.92    74.34     0.12R    0.00  
West_Brom        7   10   +0      46.37    11.37    -7.94     0.06     0.18     0.58     1.34     6.80     6.22R    1.14  
Blackburn        7   10   -6      34.45    10.04   -47.74     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.16     0.56    35.44R    9.00  
Man_City         7    9   +6      77.40    11.14    78.63     7.82    31.94    55.30    71.20    87.58     0.02R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    7    9   -2      44.72    12.54   -18.17     0.16     0.46     0.82     1.86     5.82    14.20R    2.88  
Wigan            7    8   +3      61.86    11.43    22.72     0.48     2.70     7.66    16.76    42.08     0.36R    0.02  
Sunderland       7    8   -2      54.89    12.14     6.55     0.06     0.68     2.26     5.90    21.58     1.70R    0.30  
Everton          7    8   -4      33.11    11.11   -54.63     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.12     1.04    42.92R   15.20  
Bolton           7    7   -2      41.11    11.83   -19.77     0.00     0.18     0.50     1.16     4.20    17.46R    3.66  
Fulham           6    6   -2      38.65    13.14   -20.92     0.04     0.34     0.68     1.60     4.46    25.52R    8.06  
Newcastle        7    5   -6      28.86     9.48   -42.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14    55.78R   22.28  
Stoke            7    4   -6      37.20    11.84   -26.91     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.20     1.82    28.60R    8.70  
Tottenham        7    2   -6      29.11    11.35   -29.64     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.02     0.30    54.24R   26.76  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 October 2008, Barnsley vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       10   23   +7      84.23    14.42    25.23    12.60    26.78    67.46    38.08P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    10   22  +11      96.23    13.13    63.72    29.94    58.96    92.24    66.74P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          10   20  +15      99.67    11.93    80.32    44.12    71.72    96.28    79.42P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        10   17   +8      78.98    15.20    28.17     7.86    18.10    55.66    29.88P    0.24R    0.00  
Plymouth         10   15   +3      75.81    13.51    21.87     1.30     6.08    48.58    18.28P    0.72R    0.02  
Coventry         10   15   +2      60.76    13.83    -5.81     0.52     1.58    14.04     4.00P    3.48R    0.16  
Cardiff          10   15   +2      62.78    14.31    -1.93     0.48     1.64    18.00     5.84P    3.12R    0.08  
Swansea          10   15   -1      66.68    14.64     3.31     0.44     2.08    24.24     7.04P    3.18R    0.38  
Burnley          10   15   -2      63.83    13.63    -4.38     0.14     0.68    15.56     3.06P    3.48R    0.36  
Sheff_Wed        10   15   -6      62.41    14.60    -9.52     0.04     0.56    15.42     2.74P    5.54R    0.52  
QPR              10   14   +0      57.23    14.71   -12.16     0.38     1.24    10.74     3.16P    8.12R    0.98  
Preston          10   14   -2      61.19    14.02    -6.59     0.22     0.84    12.28     2.90P    5.74R    0.82  
Bristol_City     10   13   +1      67.84    13.38     9.18     0.66     2.76    26.94     8.20P    1.00R    0.08  
Charlton         10   13   +0      63.90    13.87     2.36     0.12     0.66    16.22     4.34P    4.16R    0.66  
Derby            10   13   +0      56.51    13.62   -10.77     0.20     0.76     8.76     2.60P    7.26R    0.52  
Blackpool        10   13   -2      56.85    12.87   -10.98     0.10     0.58     7.72     2.30P    5.78R    0.56  
Ipswich          10   12   +3      69.65    13.73    16.52     0.44     2.82    29.64    10.48P    1.32R    0.06  
Crystal_Palace   10   12   -1      65.36    13.05     6.30     0.20     0.82    18.04     4.90P    2.58R    0.14  
Watford          10   11   -3      61.56    14.39    -2.36     0.10     0.84    14.18     3.64P    6.30R    0.42  
Southampton      10   11   -4      46.68    13.87   -36.46     0.02     0.04     2.32     0.54P   29.68R    4.40  
Norwich          10   10   -4      49.79    15.17   -21.37     0.10     0.38     4.38     1.44P   23.10R    3.52  
Barnsley         10    8   -4      42.19    12.91   -31.24     0.02     0.08     1.08     0.34P   42.12R    8.56  
Doncaster        10    7  -12      27.69     9.71   -66.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.90R   57.74  
Nottm_Forest     10    5  -11      38.28    12.16   -36.59     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.08P   55.18R   20.02  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 October 2008, Brighton vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester             9   22  +12     105.34    11.27    69.65    49.54    71.90    97.02    81.02P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe            9   19   +9      86.05    14.96    40.07     9.00    19.90    64.10    31.34P    0.16R    0.00  
Oldham                9   18   +8      94.23    13.50    60.27    15.68    36.60    84.16    49.28P    0.04R    0.00  
Leeds                 9   17   +5      75.08    13.52    17.00     1.36     3.82    33.36    10.02P    0.48R    0.00  
Walsall               9   17   +5      69.27    15.24     6.77     0.82     2.78    23.40     7.92P    1.94R    0.06  
Millwall              9   17   +2      77.29    14.32    17.82     1.22     5.18    40.76    13.58P    0.88R    0.02  
Southend              9   16   +1      59.25    14.80   -17.04     0.12     0.52     8.30     1.92P    8.60R    0.52  
Milton_Keynes_Dons    8   15   +8      96.67    12.81    61.55    18.94    44.28    88.18    58.82P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport             9   14   +3      76.08    14.39    21.57     0.90     4.90    37.48    13.68P    0.84R    0.16  
Carlisle              9   13   +2      61.78    14.13    -3.31     0.08     0.78    10.06     2.88P    4.90R    0.18  
Tranmere              9   13   +0      72.47    14.72    16.06     0.78     3.06    28.96     7.90P    2.02R    0.18  
Peterborough          8   11   +3      69.95    14.32    14.54     0.70     2.58    22.74     7.16P    1.32R    0.02  
Hartlepool            9   11   +1      71.86    14.62    19.35     0.72     2.66    27.46     7.74P    1.72R    0.06  
Brighton              9   11   -1      48.10    12.56   -25.43     0.00     0.02     0.88     0.20P   23.86R    2.24  
Bristol_Rovers       10   10   +1      51.12    12.78   -21.03     0.00     0.00     2.18     0.28P   16.70R    1.06  
Northampton           9   10   -1      61.63    14.28    -0.98     0.04     0.34     8.88     1.82P    6.62R    0.90  
Huddersfield          9    9   -3      64.30    15.07     4.23     0.00     0.48    14.08     2.94P    6.18R    0.42  
Swindon               9    9   -4      54.44    14.66   -17.06     0.06     0.16     4.20     0.80P   16.64R    2.30  
Leyton_Orient         9    9   -8      40.55    13.80   -43.17     0.04     0.04     0.50     0.12P   49.04R   12.14  
Colchester            9    8   -6      52.72    13.74   -16.58     0.00     0.00     2.72     0.54P   17.08R    1.88  
Cheltenham           10    8  -13      42.16    11.63   -48.36     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   42.50R    8.90  
Crewe                 9    7   -8      37.07    11.91   -57.08     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.00    60.40R   14.76  
Yeovil                9    7   -8      38.39    12.85   -44.25     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.02P   55.30R   12.98  
Hereford              9    5   -8      28.69    11.24   -54.57     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    82.78R   41.22  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 October 2008, Aldershot vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe               9   21   +8      95.78    12.20    45.92    22.26    60.36    92.92    71.76P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                  9   19   +7      85.52    13.70    38.04     8.04    31.36    74.08    39.84P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury            9   18  +14      97.40    10.84    63.65    30.42    67.90    96.28    77.78P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford             9   18   +7      86.75    13.14    32.93     6.94    31.78    77.68    48.60P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red             9   17  +12      95.72    12.95    72.62    26.86    63.46    91.44    70.88P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford              9   16   +5      76.69    13.55    25.71     1.86    13.10    50.74    19.68P    0.02R    0.02  
Exeter                9   14   +3      71.88    13.78    17.49     1.10     6.98    37.18    13.22P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot             9   14   +0      70.92    13.48    13.93     0.52     5.40    33.54    10.12P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham            9   13   -6      49.14    13.11   -32.74     0.00     0.10     2.12     0.28P    2.70R    0.12  
Darlington            9   12   +6      72.79    13.91    26.13     1.02     8.40    40.12    15.98P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County          9   12   +1      69.95    14.33    15.46     0.66     5.84    32.28    10.86P    0.04R    0.00  
Rochdale              9   12   +0      60.68    13.72    -2.37     0.04     0.84    13.54     2.96P    0.18R    0.02  
Chesterfield          9   10   -4      56.45    14.45   -11.01     0.00     0.42     9.32     1.80P    0.88R    0.00  
Lincoln_City          9    9   -2      53.85    14.63   -10.30     0.02     0.44     7.06     1.28P    0.80R    0.10  
Chester               9    9   -6      50.15    13.77   -27.53     0.02     0.16     3.36     0.54P    2.24R    0.24  
Macclesfield          9    9  -13      40.96    12.40   -57.37     0.00     0.04     0.54     0.06P    9.22R    2.54  
Morecambe             9    8   -3      52.89    13.63   -13.03     0.00     0.12     4.80     0.68P    1.48R    0.20  
Accrington_Stanley    9    7   -5      39.61    10.86   -32.83     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.00     7.46R    1.56  
Port_Vale             9    7   -6      45.59    12.91   -27.96     0.00     0.12     1.52     0.32P    4.42R    0.78  
Barnet                9    7  -10      29.60    11.12   -76.72     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00    39.70R    9.92  
Grimsby               9    3  -14      16.59     7.73   -90.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.08R   64.52  
Rotherham             9    1   +8      68.03    13.89    37.85     0.24     3.16    30.78    13.22P    0.26R    0.00  
Bournemouth           9   -8   -2      40.62    13.81    -4.88     0.00     0.02     0.46     0.14P   12.24R    4.32  
Luton                 9  -18   +0      29.84    12.84    -2.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.28R   15.66  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 October 2008, Altrincham vs Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town         13   26  +10      85.12    11.61    32.62    26.86    71.08    38.62P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        13   24   +5      75.63    11.88    15.50     7.18    39.46    13.22P    0.34R    0.00  
Kettering            13   23   +7      78.60    11.40    23.26    10.36    49.10    21.68P    0.06R    0.02  
Kidderminster        13   23   +6      74.16    11.51    15.51     6.00    34.32    11.52P    0.08R    0.00  
Histon               13   22   +6      71.34    11.29    12.56     3.80    25.98     9.62P    0.20R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        13   22   +4      73.43    11.85    13.96     6.16    32.46    12.54P    0.46R    0.04  
Mansfield            13   21   +4      71.07    12.32    11.86     4.30    27.76     9.80P    0.90R    0.02  
Torquay              13   21   +3      72.64    11.92    13.23     4.90    30.84    11.34P    0.52R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United     13   20   +9      78.35    11.62    30.64    11.22    51.02    23.52P    0.12R    0.02  
Salisbury            13   20   +2      63.22    11.56    -0.67     0.62     9.62     2.76P    3.10R    0.08  
Rushden_&_D'monds    13   19   +7      78.45    11.19    29.32    10.00    51.50    22.58P    0.06R    0.00  
Weymouth             13   19   -1      58.99    11.07   -12.17     0.22     4.68     0.84P    5.18R    0.24  
Wrexham              13   18   +4      73.86    11.84    22.20     6.28    35.24    12.92P    0.38R    0.00  
Stevenage            13   18   -3      63.06    11.17    -4.42     0.38     8.76     1.64P    2.66R    0.16  
York                 13   17   +0      65.26    11.31     5.08     0.94    11.72     3.48P    2.04R    0.14  
Barrow               13   17   -3      58.24    11.47   -11.94     0.36     4.16     1.00P    7.64R    0.56  
Altrincham           13   16   -5      54.06    11.31   -15.29     0.10     2.08     0.60P   13.48R    0.82  
Oxford_Utd           13   15   -2      58.44    11.76    -5.02     0.20     4.84     1.18P    7.56R    0.66  
Woking               13   14   -4      52.29    11.91   -13.12     0.06     2.08     0.52P   17.66R    2.40  
Forest_Green         13   14   -6      51.79    11.29   -18.35     0.02     1.42     0.20P   18.76R    2.16  
Eastbourne_Borough   13   14   -8      52.33    11.27   -21.28     0.04     1.56     0.30P   17.08R    1.70  
Grays_Athletic       13   11   -7      42.07    10.40   -28.33     0.00     0.18     0.12P   50.08R    8.54  
Lewes                13    8  -18      28.30     8.97   -62.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.72R   65.68  
Northwich            13    6  -10      39.30    10.66   -32.69     0.00     0.14     0.00    59.92R   16.76