Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 7 May 2008 at 21:39:36 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 May 2008, Newcastle vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         37   84  +56      86.24     1.12    57.23    72.65   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         37   84  +39      86.49     0.97    40.76    27.35   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         37   80  +42      82.16     1.18    43.20     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       37   73  +37      74.74     1.32    37.56     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton         37   62  +20      64.28     1.12    21.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     37   59  +20      60.54     1.33    20.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.47     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       37   58   +5      59.49     1.31     5.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.98     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      37   57   +9      59.15     1.18    10.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.56     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        37   55   -1      56.37     1.28    -0.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        37   48   -8      49.22     1.30    -8.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       37   46   +7      47.03     1.26     6.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       37   43  -18      43.53     0.96   -19.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           37   40  -15      40.54     0.93   -16.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   37   39  -17      40.32     1.27   -17.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      37   39  -22      39.63     1.03   -23.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          37   36  -18      36.34     0.76   -19.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Fulham          37   33  -23      33.63     1.02   -24.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.00R    0.00  
Reading         37   33  -29      34.77     1.29   -28.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.17R    0.00  
Birmingham      37   32  -19      33.25     1.29   -19.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.80R    0.00  
Derby           37   11  -65      11.96     1.20   -65.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 May 2008, Blackpool vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        46   81  +33      81.00     0.00    33.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            46   79  +14      79.00     0.00    14.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             46   75  +18      75.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.99P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     46   74   +1      74.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.10P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   46   71  +16      71.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.32P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          46   70   +6      70.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.58P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    46   70   +5      70.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          46   69   +9      69.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        46   66   +5      66.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         46   64  +10      64.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         46   64   +5      64.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          46   64   +4      64.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          46   62   -7      62.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR              46   58   -6      58.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          46   56   -6      56.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        46   55   -1      55.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          46   55  -10      55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   55  -13      55.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        46   54   -5      54.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      46   54  -16      54.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         46   53  -12      53.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        46   52   -3      52.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   46  -23      46.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Colchester       46   38  -24      38.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2008, Brighton vs Swansea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          46   92  +40      92.00     0.00    40.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     46   82  +32      82.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        46   80  +24      80.00     0.00    24.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.57P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         46   80  +18      80.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.91P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            46   76  +34      76.00     0.00    34.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    34.99P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         46   76  +15      76.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.53P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         46   69   +8      69.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   67  +12      67.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      46   66   +5      66.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     46   66  -12      66.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         46   65   +5      65.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   64   +6      64.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          46   61   +7      61.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    46   60  -14      60.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      46   58  -10      58.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       46   54   -3      54.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   46   53   -8      53.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   52  -15      52.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           46   52  -21      52.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       46   51  -22      51.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe            46   50  -18      50.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Gillingham       46   46  -29      46.00     0.00   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale        46   38  -34      38.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Luton            46   33  -20      33.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   46   97  +45      97.00     0.00    45.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         46   92  +41      92.00     0.00    41.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             46   88  +31      88.00     0.00    31.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            46   82  +18      82.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.01P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   80  +23      80.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.51P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           46   78  +27      78.00     0.00    27.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.32P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   78  +14      78.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.15P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            46   74   +4      74.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         46   69  +20      69.00     0.00    20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             46   62   +2      62.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   60   -4      60.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   60   -7      60.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 46   59   -3      59.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford            46   59  -18      59.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         46   58  -16      58.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              46   55  -11      55.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   51  -34      51.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           46   50   -9      50.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         46   50  -17      50.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   49  -21      49.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         46   48  -16      48.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester              46   47  -17      47.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   42  -20      42.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Wrexham              46   40  -32      40.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 April 2008, Burton_Albion vs Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           46  101  +34     101.00     0.00    34.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       46   86  +27      86.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    31.23P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             46   86  +26      86.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    24.58P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              46   83  +25      83.00     0.00    25.00     0.00   100.00    22.62P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       46   81  +23      81.00     0.00    23.00     0.00   100.00    21.57P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           46   79  +27      79.00     0.00    27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Histon              46   72   +9      72.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        46   71  +17      71.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          46   71   +8      71.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      46   70  +11      70.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    46   69   +4      69.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           46   68  +10      68.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       46   67  +17      67.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        46   66   +6      66.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                46   62   -3      62.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   46   59   +0      59.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              46   53   -8      53.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             46   52   -9      52.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth            46   46  -20      46.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northwich           46   44  -26      44.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham          46   41  -26      41.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      46   39  -38      39.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers    46   25  -57      25.00     0.00   -57.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Droylsden           46   24  -57      24.00     0.00   -57.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00