Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 29 April 2008 at 21:39:22 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 April 2008, Derby vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         36   81  +53      85.79     1.46    56.11    71.39    98.88   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         36   81  +37      85.60     1.55    39.88    28.51    96.93   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         36   77  +41      80.98     1.75    42.83     0.10     4.19   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       36   70  +36      73.98     1.76    37.87     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton         36   62  +21      65.17     1.63    21.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.38     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     36   59  +22      62.92     1.72    23.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.20     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      36   57  +11      60.85     1.74    12.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.75     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       36   55   +3      59.08     1.60     5.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.55     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        36   55   +0      56.97     1.62    -1.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        36   48   -5      49.52     1.50    -7.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       36   43   +6      45.72     1.85     5.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       36   43  -16      44.20     1.44   -18.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      36   39  -20      40.80     1.65   -21.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           36   37  -17      37.98     1.31   -19.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   36   36  -19      38.35     1.77   -19.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.85R    0.00  
Bolton          36   33  -20      34.92     1.51   -21.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.27R    0.00  
Reading         36   33  -28      35.94     1.84   -27.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.87R    0.00  
Birmingham      36   32  -17      34.54     1.85   -17.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.63R    0.00  
Fulham          36   30  -25      32.06     1.66   -26.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.29R    0.00  
Derby           36   11  -63      12.18     1.37   -65.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 April 2008, West_Brom vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        45   78  +31      79.63     1.34    31.40    64.62   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            45   78  +14      79.79     1.27    14.59    35.38    92.37   100.00    94.43P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             45   75  +19      76.32     1.30    18.93     0.00     7.63   100.00    38.26P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     45   71   -2      72.59     1.29    -1.69     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.08P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          45   69   +6      70.29     1.31     5.87     0.00     0.00    72.12    16.35P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   45   68  +11      69.78     1.28    11.58     0.00     0.00    74.99    20.87P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    45   67   +4      68.48     1.29     4.16     0.00     0.00    28.07     6.41P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          45   66   +8      67.41     1.31     8.07     0.00     0.00    14.78     3.37P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        45   66   +6      67.48     1.30     6.17     0.00     0.00    10.05     2.24P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         45   64  +11      65.23     1.26    10.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          45   62   -2      62.95     1.19    -2.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         45   61   +2      62.75     1.30     2.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          45   61   +1      62.76     1.29     1.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR              45   58   -4      59.15     1.30    -4.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          45   56   -3      57.12     1.23    -3.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          45   55   -7      56.10     1.23    -7.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         45   55  -10      55.99     1.22   -10.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        45   53   -5      54.46     1.32    -4.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.86R    0.00  
Coventry         45   53   -9      54.00     1.22    -9.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.53R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        45   52   -4      53.61     1.28    -3.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.16R    0.00  
Leicester        45   51   -3      51.93     1.17    -3.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.67R    0.00  
Southampton      45   51  -17      52.25     1.28   -17.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.77R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       45   45  -23      46.53     1.33   -22.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Colchester       45   37  -24      38.23     1.30   -24.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 April 2008, Bournemouth vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          45   89  +39      90.51     1.31    39.20   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        45   80  +25      81.83     1.26    25.63     0.00    55.77   100.00    67.18P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     45   79  +31      81.26     1.09    32.21     0.00    34.33   100.00    56.86P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         45   79  +18      81.11     1.22    19.18     0.00     9.90   100.00    28.52P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         45   75  +15      77.38     1.09    16.77     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.41P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            45   73  +33      75.46     1.01    34.78     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.03P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         45   69   +9      70.22     1.28     8.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         45   65   +6      66.15     1.24     5.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           45   64   +9      65.47     1.29     9.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          45   63   +6      64.77     1.29     6.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      45   63   +4      64.55     1.29     4.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     45   63  -13      64.20     1.27   -13.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          45   58   +6      59.94     1.25     6.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      45   57  -10      57.69     1.09   -11.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    45   57  -16      58.45     1.28   -15.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       45   53   -3      53.97     1.21    -3.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   45   53   -6      54.24     1.25    -6.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         45   52  -14      52.81     1.14   -14.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           45   52  -20      52.50     0.87   -21.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe            45   50  -15      51.24     1.26   -15.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.96R    0.00  
Cheltenham       45   48  -23      48.89     1.15   -23.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.04R    0.00  
Gillingham       45   46  -28      46.39     0.83   -29.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale        45   37  -34      37.47     0.95   -35.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Luton            45   33  -19      34.52     1.30   -18.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 April 2008, Chester vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   45   96  +45      98.17     1.18    46.24   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         45   92  +43      93.63     1.30    43.37     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             45   85  +29      87.01     1.23    29.95     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             45   79  +23      80.95     1.27    23.89     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.73P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            45   79  +17      80.97     1.26    17.93     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.54P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           45   75  +25      76.09     1.24    24.63     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.26P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              45   75  +13      76.61     1.29    13.34     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.48P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            45   71   +3      72.60     1.32     3.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         45   68  +20      69.95     1.24    20.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             45   62   +3      63.11     1.24     2.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               45   60   -6      61.15     1.27    -6.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            45   59   -4      59.62     1.04    -5.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford            45   59  -17      59.81     1.16   -17.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         45   58  -14      59.85     1.27   -13.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 45   56   -5      57.67     1.32    -4.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              45   55   -9      55.76     1.11    -9.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   51  -32      52.09     1.26   -32.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           45   49   -9      49.83     1.17    -9.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         45   49  -17      50.26     1.29   -17.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         45   47  -16      47.79     1.11   -16.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester              45   46  -17      47.47     1.31   -16.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            45   46  -23      47.38     1.30   -22.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            45   42  -18      43.35     1.30   -18.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Wrexham              45   37  -34      37.90     1.18   -34.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 April 2008, Burton_Albion vs Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           46  101  +34     101.00     0.00    34.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       46   86  +27      86.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    31.39P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             46   86  +26      86.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    24.50P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              46   83  +25      83.00     0.00    25.00     0.00   100.00    22.92P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       46   81  +23      81.00     0.00    23.00     0.00   100.00    21.19P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           46   79  +27      79.00     0.00    27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Histon              46   72   +9      72.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        46   71  +17      71.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          46   71   +8      71.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      46   70  +11      70.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    46   69   +4      69.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           46   68  +10      68.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       46   67  +17      67.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        46   66   +6      66.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                46   62   -3      62.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   46   59   +0      59.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              46   53   -8      53.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             46   52   -9      52.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth            46   46  -20      46.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northwich           46   44  -26      44.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham          46   41  -26      41.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      46   39  -38      39.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers    46   25  -57      25.00     0.00   -57.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Droylsden           46   24  -57      24.00     0.00   -57.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00