Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 24 April 2008 at 21:37:41 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 April 2008, Aston_Villa vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         35   81  +54      87.19     1.94    57.20    89.39    99.63   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         35   78  +36      83.90     2.00    38.86    10.56    85.18    99.90   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         35   74  +37      80.58     1.97    40.90     0.05    15.17    95.66   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       35   69  +36      75.03     2.17    38.86     0.00     0.03     4.44    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton         35   61  +21      65.97     2.09    22.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    92.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     35   58  +22      62.85     2.15    23.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.62     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      35   57  +12      62.80     2.15    14.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        35   55   +1      59.10     2.03     0.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.06     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       35   52   +2      56.93     2.01     3.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        35   47   -5      50.37     2.01    -6.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       35   42   +6      46.95     2.21     7.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       35   42  -16      44.11     1.87   -19.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           35   36  -17      38.69     1.87   -19.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   35   36  -18      39.42     2.17   -18.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Sunderland      35   36  -21      39.35     2.12   -22.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.50R    0.00  
Bolton          35   32  -20      34.51     1.85   -23.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.04R    0.00  
Reading         35   32  -28      35.99     2.23   -28.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.68R    0.00  
Birmingham      35   31  -17      34.29     2.17   -18.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.26R    0.00  
Fulham          35   27  -26      29.64     1.95   -28.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.79R    0.00  
Derby           35   11  -59      12.41     1.52   -63.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 April 2008, Wolverhampton vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        44   77  +31      80.93     1.76    33.07    85.80    99.51   100.00    99.68P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            44   75  +13      78.38     1.86    13.96    13.86    84.14   100.00    88.45P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             44   72  +18      74.91     1.83    18.26     0.33    14.22   100.00    41.54P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     44   71   -1      73.65     1.78    -1.07     0.00     1.89    97.51    18.95P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          44   69   +7      72.36     1.80     7.91     0.00     0.24    91.21    21.75P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   68  +12      70.87     1.78    12.24     0.00     0.00    77.97    21.82P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    44   66   +4      68.85     1.83     4.18     0.00     0.00    21.11     4.78P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   65   +8      67.72     1.84     7.99     0.00     0.00    10.60     2.63P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        44   63   +5      66.12     1.85     5.54     0.00     0.00     1.60     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         44   61   +8      63.95     1.82     8.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         44   61   +5      64.24     1.86     5.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          44   61   -2      63.47     1.78    -2.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   60   +1      63.00     1.82     1.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR              44   58   -1      60.47     1.85    -1.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          44   55   -3      57.55     1.80    -3.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        44   53   -2      55.46     1.82    -2.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Coventry         44   52   -9      54.31     1.77    -9.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.14R    0.00  
Norwich          44   52  -10      54.53     1.81   -10.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.46R    0.00  
Barnsley         44   52  -13      54.24     1.78   -13.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.01R    0.00  
Leicester        44   51   -1      53.57     1.75    -1.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.69R    0.00  
Southampton      44   50  -17      51.77     1.63   -18.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.83R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        44   49   -6      51.70     1.76    -5.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.83R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       44   42  -24      44.22     1.74   -24.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    8.78  
Colchester       44   37  -23      39.39     1.85   -23.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   91.22  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 April 2008, Bristol_Rovers vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          44   86  +36      89.85     1.73    37.72   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         44   79  +21      82.90     1.77    22.80     0.00    62.26   100.00    69.99P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        44   77  +23      81.02     1.73    24.82     0.00    27.12   100.00    44.05P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     44   76  +30      79.97     1.71    31.69     0.00     9.69   100.00    40.31P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         44   75  +16      78.64     1.70    17.63     0.00     0.93   100.00    15.85P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            44   70  +32      74.38     1.60    34.53     0.00     0.00    99.33    29.70P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         44   66   +7      68.48     1.80     6.67     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          44   63   +8      66.25     1.83     8.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         44   62   +5      64.61     1.82     4.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      44   62   +4      65.27     1.87     4.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           44   61   +8      64.50     1.78     9.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     44   60  -15      62.41     1.80   -15.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          44   57   +6      60.66     1.82     7.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    44   57  -13      58.94     1.60   -14.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      44   54  -11      56.38     1.70   -11.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       44   53   -2      54.96     1.72    -3.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   44   53   -4      55.67     1.81    -4.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           44   52  -19      53.31     1.42   -20.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.03R    0.00  
Crewe            44   50  -14      52.27     1.79   -14.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.37R    0.00  
Millwall         44   49  -17      50.77     1.65   -18.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham       44   48  -22      49.60     1.57   -23.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.60R    0.00  
Gillingham       44   45  -28      46.46     1.51   -30.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.98R    0.00  
Port_Vale        44   36  -34      37.53     1.58   -36.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   24.06  
Luton            44   33  -17      35.15     1.65   -17.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   75.94  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 April 2008, Hereford vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   44   93  +44      97.08     1.74    45.99    96.24   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         44   89  +40      92.52     1.81    41.18     3.76   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             44   82  +26      85.85     1.80    27.61     0.00    79.41   100.00    85.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             44   78  +23      81.63     1.85    24.37     0.00     3.85   100.00    26.76P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            43   78  +18      83.49     2.28    20.11     0.00    16.74   100.00    34.61P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           44   75  +26      78.31     1.72    26.85     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.35P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              44   75  +14      78.36     1.79    14.85     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.28P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         44   68  +21      71.89     1.79    22.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            44   68   +2      71.20     1.87     2.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             44   62   +4      63.92     1.69     2.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   59   -3      61.24     1.70    -3.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford            44   59  -14      60.65     1.64   -15.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               44   57   -7      59.20     1.81    -7.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 44   55   -5      57.78     1.84    -4.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              44   55   -6      56.61     1.62    -7.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         44   55  -15      57.95     1.83   -14.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           44   48   -9      50.44     1.78    -9.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   48  -34      50.43     1.80   -34.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         44   46  -18      48.13     1.77   -18.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Chester              43   44  -17      47.62     2.25   -17.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.18R    0.00  
Notts_County         44   44  -17      45.68     1.58   -18.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.40R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            44   43  -24      44.97     1.65   -25.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.82R    0.34  
Mansfield            44   42  -17      44.54     1.83   -17.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.51R    1.41  
Wrexham              44   37  -32      39.29     1.77   -32.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.25  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 24 April 2008, Grays_Athletic vs Rushden_&_D'monds; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Torquay             23   50  +17      93.72     7.09    38.10    46.70    93.31    58.53P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot           22   46  +15      89.69     7.54    33.21    23.86    82.17    39.21P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      23   43  +13      81.96     7.53    24.63     4.29    47.37    15.29P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       23   42  +13      81.56     7.41    25.08     3.70    45.15    15.17P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              23   42   +9      79.89     7.50    20.61     2.71    36.44     9.25P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           22   41  +17      85.48     7.72    37.62    11.72    67.14    25.27P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           23   41  +13      80.16     7.41    25.98     2.71    38.60    11.44P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       23   39   +9      75.32     7.58    16.64     0.73    17.38     4.62P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              22   38   +8      76.60     7.85    17.47     1.09    22.91     5.85P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        22   37  +11      79.06     7.75    25.78     2.24    33.94    11.39P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    23   36   +5      71.28     7.45    11.37     0.14     6.94     1.57P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          22   32   -2      64.61     7.77    -1.63     0.02     1.22     0.28P    0.02R    0.00  
Kidderminster       23   31  +10      70.81     7.47    23.44     0.10     6.96     2.04P    0.00R    0.00  
York                23   31   -2      58.53     7.22    -9.88     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.13R    0.00  
Altrincham          22   29   -3      57.96     7.65   -10.15     0.00     0.17     0.04P    0.25R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   23   27   -6      53.62     7.28   -13.80     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.78R    0.00  
Halifax             22   27   -7      55.19     7.53   -15.82     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.64R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        23   25   -3      55.57     7.43    -4.57     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.44R    0.00  
Woking              22   25   -3      54.94     7.75    -7.94     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.70R    0.00  
Northwich           22   24   -4      53.68     7.73    -9.74     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.97R    0.00  
Weymouth            23   20  -19      39.10     6.52   -39.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.87R    0.17  
Droylsden           23   15  -22      34.39     6.64   -43.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.97R    1.48  
Stafford_Rangers    22    9  -34      23.74     6.09   -72.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.57R   28.92  
Farsley_Celtic      23    7  -35      18.89     5.28   -70.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.65R   69.42