Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 23 April 2008 at 21:39:52 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 April 2008, Aston_Villa vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         35   81  +54      87.20     1.94    57.20    89.56    99.65   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         35   78  +36      83.85     2.01    38.80    10.40    85.05    99.91   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         35   74  +37      80.56     1.96    40.89     0.04    15.28    95.61   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       35   69  +36      75.03     2.17    38.85     0.00     0.01     4.48    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton         35   61  +21      65.99     2.11    22.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    92.18     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     35   58  +22      62.83     2.14    23.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.04     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      35   57  +12      62.77     2.15    14.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.44     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        35   55   +1      59.08     2.03     0.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       35   52   +2      56.93     2.00     3.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        35   47   -5      50.36     2.00    -6.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       35   42   +6      46.97     2.21     7.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       35   42  -16      44.15     1.89   -19.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           35   36  -17      38.70     1.86   -19.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.63R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   35   36  -18      39.44     2.18   -18.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
Sunderland      35   36  -21      39.37     2.11   -22.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47R    0.00  
Bolton          35   32  -20      34.50     1.84   -23.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.52R    0.00  
Reading         35   32  -28      35.99     2.24   -28.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.94R    0.00  
Birmingham      35   31  -17      34.35     2.18   -18.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.49R    0.00  
Fulham          35   27  -26      29.64     1.96   -28.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.77R    0.00  
Derby           35   11  -59      12.39     1.52   -63.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 April 2008, Wolverhampton vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        44   77  +31      80.96     1.76    33.13    85.87    99.58   100.00    99.72P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            44   75  +13      78.40     1.86    13.97    13.81    84.30   100.00    88.55P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             44   72  +18      74.89     1.83    18.22     0.32    13.86   100.00    41.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     44   71   -1      73.66     1.78    -1.07     0.00     1.95    97.51    18.81P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          44   69   +7      72.35     1.80     7.90     0.00     0.31    91.10    21.89P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   68  +12      70.91     1.78    12.30     0.00     0.00    78.40    22.24P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    44   66   +4      68.83     1.83     4.16     0.00     0.00    20.68     4.70P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   65   +8      67.73     1.84     8.02     0.00     0.00    10.73     2.70P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        44   63   +5      66.11     1.85     5.53     0.00     0.00     1.57     0.38P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         44   61   +8      63.98     1.81     8.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         44   61   +5      64.26     1.86     5.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          44   61   -2      63.46     1.78    -2.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   60   +1      63.01     1.83     1.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR              44   58   -1      60.45     1.85    -1.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          44   55   -3      57.52     1.80    -3.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        44   53   -2      55.44     1.81    -2.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Coventry         44   52   -9      54.29     1.77    -9.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.12R    0.00  
Norwich          44   52  -10      54.54     1.80   -10.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.40R    0.00  
Barnsley         44   52  -13      54.25     1.78   -13.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.92R    0.00  
Leicester        44   51   -1      53.54     1.74    -1.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.77R    0.00  
Southampton      44   50  -17      51.76     1.63   -18.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.99R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        44   49   -6      51.70     1.76    -5.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.78R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       44   42  -24      44.23     1.74   -24.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    8.95  
Colchester       44   37  -23      39.39     1.86   -23.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   91.05  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 April 2008, Bristol_Rovers vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          44   86  +36      89.85     1.73    37.73   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         44   79  +21      82.88     1.77    22.76     0.00    62.25   100.00    70.08P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        44   77  +23      81.00     1.73    24.79     0.00    26.90   100.00    44.04P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     44   76  +30      79.95     1.71    31.69     0.00     9.84   100.00    40.36P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         44   75  +16      78.65     1.69    17.64     0.00     1.00   100.00    15.51P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            44   70  +32      74.36     1.61    34.53     0.00     0.00    99.29    29.93P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         44   66   +7      68.47     1.80     6.65     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          44   63   +8      66.25     1.83     8.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         44   62   +5      64.60     1.81     4.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      44   62   +4      65.27     1.86     4.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           44   61   +8      64.49     1.78     9.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     44   60  -15      62.41     1.80   -15.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          44   57   +6      60.67     1.81     7.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    44   57  -13      58.93     1.60   -14.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      44   54  -11      56.40     1.72   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       44   53   -2      54.97     1.71    -3.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   44   53   -4      55.69     1.81    -4.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           44   52  -19      53.33     1.43   -20.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.06R    0.00  
Crewe            44   50  -14      52.26     1.80   -14.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.51R    0.00  
Millwall         44   49  -17      50.78     1.66   -18.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.19R    0.00  
Cheltenham       44   48  -22      49.61     1.58   -23.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.30R    0.00  
Gillingham       44   45  -28      46.46     1.51   -30.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.94R    0.00  
Port_Vale        44   36  -34      37.53     1.57   -36.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   24.14  
Luton            44   33  -17      35.15     1.65   -17.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   75.86  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 April 2008, Hereford vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   44   93  +44      97.07     1.74    46.00    96.29   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         44   89  +40      92.50     1.81    41.14     3.71   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             44   82  +26      85.87     1.79    27.65     0.00    79.40   100.00    85.08P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             44   78  +23      81.64     1.85    24.39     0.00     3.74   100.00    26.10P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            43   78  +18      83.50     2.28    20.12     0.00    16.86   100.00    34.55P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           44   75  +26      78.33     1.72    26.88     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.67P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              44   75  +14      78.36     1.79    14.84     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.59P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         44   68  +21      71.88     1.78    22.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            44   68   +2      71.19     1.88     2.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             44   62   +4      63.92     1.69     2.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   59   -3      61.25     1.70    -3.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford            44   59  -14      60.65     1.65   -15.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               44   57   -7      59.21     1.81    -7.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 44   55   -5      57.76     1.84    -5.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              44   55   -6      56.60     1.62    -7.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         44   55  -15      57.96     1.83   -14.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           44   48   -9      50.43     1.78    -9.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   48  -34      50.43     1.81   -34.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         44   46  -18      48.15     1.78   -18.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Chester              43   44  -17      47.60     2.24   -17.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.19R    0.00  
Notts_County         44   44  -17      45.69     1.57   -18.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.09R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            44   43  -24      44.95     1.65   -25.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.57R    0.34  
Mansfield            44   42  -17      44.56     1.84   -17.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.99R    1.33  
Wrexham              44   37  -32      39.27     1.76   -32.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.32  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 April 2008, Aldershot vs Weymouth; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           45  100  +34     101.62     1.30    34.36   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             45   86  +27      87.87     1.30    27.79     0.00   100.00    26.23P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       45   83  +25      84.91     1.26    25.77     0.00   100.00    28.90P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              45   82  +25      83.22     1.30    24.77     0.00   100.00    22.46P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       45   80  +23      81.53     1.33    23.23     0.00   100.00    22.42P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           45   76  +26      77.71     1.32    26.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Histon              45   71   +9      72.43     1.33     9.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        45   70  +17      71.34     1.33    16.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    45   69   +6      70.47     1.29     6.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          45   68   +6      69.24     1.26     5.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       45   67  +20      68.64     1.30    20.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           45   65   +7      66.67     1.33     7.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      44   64   +6      67.26     1.82     6.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        45   63   +5      63.92     1.23     4.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                45   62   +0      63.11     1.28    -0.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   44   58   +3      60.27     1.75     2.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             45   52   -8      53.06     1.26    -8.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              45   50  -11      51.09     1.24   -11.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth            45   45  -20      46.58     1.32   -19.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northwich           45   44  -24      44.84     1.15   -24.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham          45   40  -26      41.17     1.28   -26.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.24R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      45   39  -36      39.97     1.20   -36.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.76R    0.00  
Droylsden           45   24  -56      25.31     1.32   -56.11     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   40.72  
Stafford_Rangers    45   22  -58      23.46     1.33   -57.89     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   59.28